Stocks股票 / Tech / ORCL
ORCL US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Oracle Corporation is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Austin, Texas.甲骨文公司(Oracle Corporation)是一家美国跨国科技公司,总部位于得克萨斯州奥斯汀。
Price chart价格图表
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21Earnings财务业绩
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Post-earnings drift: -25.9% (20d)财报后漂移:-25.9%(20日)
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | ORCL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 20.41x | 40.25 | |
| P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) | 11.2x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 11.64x | 5.91 | |
| P/S市销率 | 5.18x | 4.85 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.90% | 2.18 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -0.11% | 3.07 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.69% | 2.14 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 16.02x | 28.83 |
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Leverage杠杆
Capital allocation资本配置
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大
Flow:资金流向: $291M premium traded; 37% 0DTE; 128 fresh positions; P/C 0.43; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +232,698); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $291M;0DTE占37%;128个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.43;净新增看涨持仓(偏多)(ΔOI +232,698);≈偏看涨(方向近似)
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向: -$47.5M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$47.5M 净值(0 买家,7 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 5.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| Coatue Management | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Corvex Management | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Oaktree Capital Management | B | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件Company profile公司档案
Oracle Corporation is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Austin, Texas.甲骨文公司(Oracle Corporation)是一家美国跨国科技公司,总部位于得克萨斯州奥斯汀。
Demand chain:需求链: Contracted bookings (RPO) decelerating (+41% YoY to ~$138B, 2.4× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单(RPO)增速放缓(同比+41%,约 $138B,覆盖营收 2.4 倍)——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(静态) | 20.4× | 40.2× | 76% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) | 11.2× | — | — |
| Price / Book市净率 | 11.6× | 5.9× | 25% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 5.2× | 4.8× | 47% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 16.0× | 28.8× | 73% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.9% | 2.2% | 80% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 9.2% | 4.2% | 82% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 1.7% | 2.1% | 44% |
Relative strength相对强度
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -7.7% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -33.9% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -33.0% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -29.9% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -37.6% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -50.2% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +6.5% | +69.9% |
| 5 Years近5年 | +44.3% | +82.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $40.5B | $42.4B | $50.0B | $53.0B | $57.4B |
| EPS每股收益 | $4.55 | $2.41 | $3.07 | $3.71 | $4.34 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $13.8B | $5.0B | $8.5B | $11.8B | $-394M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 34.0% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 21.7% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 34.0% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 22.3% | -0.7% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Returns & growth回报与增长
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量:盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: inventory +113% vs sales +42% — inventory building, demand risk营运资本:存货 +113% 对销售 +42%——存货积压,需求风险
- Capital discipline: assets +38.1% (aggressive expansion)资本纪律:资产 +38.1%(扩张激进)
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 1.92 — grey zone资产负债表:Altman Z 1.92——灰色区
Indicator readings指标读数
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Volatility regime波动状态
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 93d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 72d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 382d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 31d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 9d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 190d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 8d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 58d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 95d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 77d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 37d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 36d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 24d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 358d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 49d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 4d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 46d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 121d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 49d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 112d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Short-term Falling Trend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Long-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Falling Trend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 298d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 85d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 35d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 77d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 24d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 32d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 22d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 44d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 164d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 49d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 38d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 77d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 37d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 44d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 133d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1750d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 2447d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1054d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 2387d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 4746d |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 1747d |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analyst view分析师观点
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | Trimming减持 | 5.1% | $739M |
| Coatue Management | A | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $865M |
| Corvex Management | A | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $79M |
| Oaktree Capital Management | B | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $97M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 60% | +4.2% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 20% | -1.9% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 80% | +6.4% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 60% | +2.4% | 5 |
| May5月 | 67% | +11.5% | 6 |
| Jun6月 | 50% | +12.2% | 6 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +11.4% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 60% | +1.6% | 5 |
| Sep9月 | 40% | -2.0% | 5 |
| Oct10月 | 40% | -1.1% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 60% | +6.4% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 0% | -2.4% | 5 |
- Jul: +0.7% avg, up 59% of years (n=41)7月:平均 +0.7%,59% 的年份上涨(n=41)