Stocks股票 / Staples / POST
Post Holdings · Staples
POST US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Post Holdings, Inc. is an American consumer packaged goods holding company headquartered in St.Post Holdings, Inc. 是一家美国消费品包装控股公司，总部位于圣路易斯。
Mid cap中盘 · $4B
Distressed困境股
Staples
S&P 400标普400中盘
$87.34
+$0.48 · +0.55%
52w low52周低 $83.13high高 $116
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 84.7.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 84.7 下方。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-5.5% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-12.7% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
83th percentile第83百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0617days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | POST | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 12.48x | 24.24 | |
| P/B市净率 | 1.21x | 3.39 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.51x | 1.27 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 8.01% | 3.75 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 11.65% | 4.72 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 8.64x | 12.38 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 8.58x | 21.16 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 7.5%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 27.1%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Gross margin毛利率
28.7%
Operating margin营业利润率
9.8%
Net margin净利率
4.1%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
12.2%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/8
Bankruptcy risk: distress zone破产风险：警戒区
Return on equity股本回报率 10%
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA5.47
Current ratio流动比率1.67
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$443.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$81.6M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-15.1%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -12.9%空头仓位变动 -12.9%
Technical技术面
POST daily MACD crossed upPOST 日线MACD上穿
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$1.8M net (1 buyers, 3 sellers)-$1.8M 净值（1 买家，3 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; investor cycle failed (broke its start low); last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为负；投资者周期失败（跌破起始低点）；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 16, 2026
POST daily MACD crossed upPOST 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $87.89.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$87.89。
Jul 14, 2026
TOPPING → DOWNTREND做顶中 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 13, 2026
DOWNTREND → TOPPING下跌趋势 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 9, 2026
POST daily MACD crossed downPOST 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $84.70.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$84.70。
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 8, 2026
POST made a new 52-week lowPOST 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $85.91.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$85.91。
Jul 7, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 6, 2026
POST broke down vs the marketPOST 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $88.50.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$88.50。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 267 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Post Holdings, Inc. is an American consumer packaged goods holding company headquartered in St.Post Holdings, Inc. 是一家美国消费品包装控股公司，总部位于圣路易斯。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 12.5× | 24.2× | 88% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 1.2× | 3.4× | 85% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.5× | 1.3× | 76% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 8.6× | 12.4× | 77% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 8.0% | 3.8% | 91% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 23.8% | 8.2% | 95% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
13/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
11/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
20/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
13/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#59 / 74
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.7% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -1.2% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -18.3% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -12.8% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -12.3% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -18.1% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -0.1% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.06
Volatility rank波动率分位
83th pctile
Short interest空头占比
12.3% of float
Market cap市值
$4B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$7.00
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-23.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20192019 | 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $5.7B | $5.7B | $6.2B | $5.9B | $7.0B | $8.2B |
| EPS每股收益 | $1.66 | $0.01 | $2.38 | $12.09 | $4.82 | $5.51 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $414M | $391M | $396M | $127M | $447M | $488M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 31.5% | 31.4% | 29.1% | 25.1% | 26.9% | 28.7% |
| Net margin净利率 | 2.2% | 0.0% | 2.7% | 12.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$8.2B
Gross profit毛利润
$2.3B
Net income净利润
$336M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$998M
Total assets总资产
$13.0B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$3.5B
Long-term debt长期负债
$7.5B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.05B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
9.7%
Return on assets资产回报率
2.6%
Debt / assets负债/资产
57.4%
Profit growth利润增速
-8.5%
Asset growth资产增速
+1.3%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Pricing power: soft gross profitability vs peers定价能力：毛利能力弱于同业
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 1.35 — distress zone资产负债表：Altman Z 1.35——困境区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
45
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
65
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-0.8%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-5.5%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-12.7%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
56/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
1
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+5.8%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-1
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$1.8M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
1 : 3
Short interest空头占流通盘
12.3%
Days to cover回补天数
6.6
Short interest change空头变化
-12.9%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Feb · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Jun · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +3.5% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 100% | +7.0% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 67% | +2.1% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -0.0% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -2.2% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 0% | -1.3% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 25% | -0.7% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 100% | +5.8% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -4.4% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 0% | -5.8% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +6.4% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -4.7% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。