Stocks股票 / Industrials / RUN
Sunrun · Industrials
RUN US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Sunrun Inc. is an American provider of photovoltaic systems and battery energy storage products headquartered in San Francisco, California.Sunrun Inc.是一家总部位于加利福尼亚州旧金山的美国光伏系统和电池储能产品供应商。
Mid cap中盘 · $3B
Distressed困境股
Industrials
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
$11.44
-$0.41 · -3.46%
52w low52周低 $8.65high高 $22.07
Strong name · wrong tape — wait for a base强势个股 · 趋势不利 — 等待筑底
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
37
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-15.4% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-29.4% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
13th percentile第13百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0516days to go天后公布
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: +4.2% (20d)财报后漂移：+4.2%（20日）
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | RUN | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 5.94x | 29.54 | |
| P/B市净率 | 0.85x | 3.88 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.90x | 2.19 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 16.84% | 3.14 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 26.2%
Earnings per share每股收益
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
-4.3%
Net margin净利率
15.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
-14.3%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/8
Bankruptcy risk: distress zone破产风险：警戒区
Return on equity股本回报率 14%
Warning警示
Leverage杠杆
Current ratio流动比率1.66
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$108.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+3.5%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +13.1%空头仓位变动 +13.1%
Technical技术面
RUN broke down vs the marketRUN 相对市场走弱
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$16.0M net (1 buyers, 7 sellers)-$16.0M 净值（1 买家，7 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | trimtrim | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases)回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）
Jul 16, 2026
RUN broke down vs the marketRUN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $12.14.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$12.14。
Jul 13, 2026
RUN StochRSI turned up from oversoldRUN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $12.41.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$12.41。
Jul 7, 2026
RUN broke down vs the marketRUN 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $12.20.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$12.20。
Jul 3, 2026
RUN weekly MACD crossed downRUN 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 2, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
RUN daily MACD crossed downRUN 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $12.74.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$12.74。
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 236 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Sunrun Inc. is an American provider of photovoltaic systems and battery energy storage products headquartered in San Francisco, California.Sunrun Inc.是一家总部位于加利福尼亚州旧金山的美国光伏系统和电池储能产品供应商。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 5.9× | 29.5× | 99% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 0.8× | 3.9× | 99% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.9× | 2.2× | 79% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 16.8% | 3.1% | 99% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | -15.8% | 5.6% | 1% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
90/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
30/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
8/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
84/100 — stronger than most强于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#107 / 250
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -7.8% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -15.4% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -2.9% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -35.8% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -41.2% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +11.7% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -46.4% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
2.54
Volatility rank波动率分位
13th pctile
Short interest空头占比
27.9% of float
Market cap市值
$3B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$1.93
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-46.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $922M | $1.6B | $2.3B | $2.3B | $2.0B | $3.0B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-1.24 | $-0.39 | $0.80 | $-7.41 | $-12.81 | $1.71 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $-321M | $-826M | $-867M | $-842M | $-768M | — |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | -18.8% | -4.9% | 7.5% | -71.0% | -139.7% | 15.2% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | -34.8% | -51.3% | -37.3% | -37.2% | -37.7% | — |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$3.0B
Net income净利润
$450M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$-421M
Total assets总资产
$22.6B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$3.1B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.23B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
14.4%
Return on assets资产回报率
2.0%
Asset growth资产增速
+13.6%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals elevated vs peers (earnings lean on non-cash items)盈利质量：应计利润高于同业（盈利依赖非现金项目）
- Working capital: inventory & receivables lean vs sales营运资本：存货与应收相对销售保持精简
- Capital discipline: share count +16.0% over 6 years (dilution)资本纪律：股本 6 年增加 16.0%（稀释）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 0.01 — distress zone资产负债表：Altman Z 0.01——困境区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
37
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
4
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-10.7%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-15.4%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-29.4%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
53/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
2
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+65.6%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+2
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | Trimming减持 | 0.0% | $264,420 |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 1
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 0, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$16.0M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
1 : 7
Short interest空头占流通盘
27.9%
Days to cover回补天数
4.6
Short interest change空头变化
+13.1%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
May · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Feb · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +0.8% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 0% | -21.1% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 67% | +5.0% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -4.7% | 3 |
| May5月 | 100% | +28.9% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 25% | -7.5% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 75% | +26.8% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 67% | +18.2% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -10.7% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 33% | -21.3% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +0.5% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -7.7% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。