Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / SABR
Sabre · Consumer Disc.
SABR US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Sabre Corporation, a travel technology company headquartered in Southlake, Texas, is the largest global distribution systems (GDS) provider for air bookings.Sabre Corporation 是一家旅行技术公司，总部位于德克萨斯州南湖，是最大的航空预订全球分销系统提供商。
Small cap小盘 · $870M
Consumer Disc.
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
Distressed困境股
$2.21
+$0.15 · +7.28%
52w low52周低 $0.75high高 $2.31
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~16 days ago at $1.66 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's missing is the weekly timeframe…日线转向已经完成——低点于约 16 天前形成，价位1.66，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
63
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+17.5% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+35.8% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
50th percentile第50百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Mixed — beat 2 of last 4 quarters表现不稳 — 近 4 季中 2 季超预期
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 -45.2%
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | SABR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 1.66x | 20.35 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.32x | 1.37 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 60.10% | 4.65 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -21.97% | 5.43 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 11.04x | 11.90 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$2.8B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 15.7%
Earnings per share每股收益
$1.342025
20202025
Free cash flow自由现金流
-$191.8M2025
20202025
Operating margin营业利润率
10.7%
Net margin净利率
18.9%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/9
Bankruptcy risk: distress zone破产风险：警戒区
Warning警示
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA8.87
Current ratio流动比率1.07
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$45.7M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+2.4%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
SABR took relative-strength leadershipSABR 取得相对强弱领先
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： +$12.3M net (1 buyers, 0 sellers)+$12.3M 净值（1 买家，0 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. A new cycle low likely formed 16 day(s) ago (2026-07-22 @ 1.66): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial买入预备。新的周期低点可能已在 16 天前形成 （2026-07-22 @ 1.66）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——但周线周期尚未转向，因此信心仅为部分
Aug 13, 2026
SABR took relative-strength leadershipSABR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $2.21.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$2.21。
Aug 12, 2026
NEARING A LOW → NEARING A HIGH接近低点 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Aug 4, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Aug 4, 2026
SABR took relative-strength leadershipSABR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $2.12.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$2.12。
Jul 30, 2026
SABR daily MACD crossed upSABR 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $1.87.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$1.87。
Jul 27, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 27, 2026
SABR StochRSI turned up from oversoldSABR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $1.78.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$1.78。
Jul 23, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 22, 2026
SABR printed a daily-cycle lowSABR 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $1.66.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$1.66。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 242 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Sabre Corporation, a travel technology company headquartered in Southlake, Texas, is the largest global distribution systems (GDS) provider for air bookings.Sabre Corporation 是一家旅行技术公司，总部位于德克萨斯州南湖，是最大的航空预订全球分销系统提供商。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 1.7× | 20.4× | 99% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.3× | 1.4× | 91% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 11.0× | 11.9× | 55% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 60.1% | 4.7% | 100% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
14/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
87/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
98/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
77/100 — stronger than most强于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#148 / 212
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.3% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +29.2% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +38.6% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +132.4% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +66.2% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +12.2% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -59.9% | +79.7% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.65
Volatility rank波动率分位
50th pctile
Short interest空头占比
7.5% of float
Market cap市值
$870M
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$1.33
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-1.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $1.3B | $1.7B | $2.5B | $2.9B | $3.0B | $2.8B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-4.42 | $-2.96 | $-1.40 | $-1.56 | $-0.73 | $1.34 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $-836M | $-469M | $-346M | $-31M | $-14M | $-192M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 56.6% | 59.1% | 59.0% | 59.1% | 58.6% | 56.4% |
| Net margin净利率 | -95.4% | -55.0% | -17.2% | -18.1% | -9.2% | 18.9% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | -62.6% | -27.8% | -13.6% | -1.1% | -0.4% | -6.9% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$2.8B
Net income净利润
$525M
Total assets总资产
$4.5B
Long-term debt长期负债
$4.1B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.40B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on assets资产回报率
11.7%
Debt / assets负债/资产
91.1%
Asset growth资产增速
-2.9%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: inventory & receivables lean vs sales营运资本：存货与应收相对销售保持精简
- Pricing power: gross margin −0.2pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年下降 0.2 个百分点
- Capital discipline: share count +24.5% over 6 years (dilution)资本纪律：股本 6 年增加 24.5%（稀释）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z -0.23 — distress zone资产负债表：Altman Z -0.23——困境区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
63
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
86
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+15.6%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+17.5%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+35.8%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
79/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $0.05 | $-0.09 | +155.6% |
| Dec 2025 | $-0.04 | $-0.11 | +63.6% |
| Sep 2025 | $-0.03 | $0.01 | -400.0% |
| Jun 2025 | $-0.05 | $-0.05 | 0.0% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-49.4%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+0
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
+$12.3M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
1 : 0
Short interest空头占流通盘
7.5%
Days to cover回补天数
9.9
Short interest change空头变化
-3.1%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Apr · 67%
Weakest month最弱月份
Jan · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 0% | -6.2% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 33% | -1.3% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 33% | -6.9% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 67% | +18.1% | 3 |
| May5月 | 67% | +7.4% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 67% | +20.0% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +11.0% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 50% | +19.1% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 67% | +3.1% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 33% | -10.0% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +4.6% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -5.8% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。