Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / SHAK
Shake Shack, Inc. · Consumer Disc.
SHAK US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Shake Shack is an American multinational fast casual restaurant chain based in New York City. It started out as a hot dog cart inside Madison Square Park in 2001, and its popularity steadily grew.Shake Shack 是一家总部位于纽约市的美国跨国快餐连锁餐厅，2001年以麦迪逊广场公园内的热狗摊起家，人气稳步增长。
Consumer Disc.
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
Mixed profile混合特征
$73.64
+$0.78 · +1.07%
52w low52周低 $49.91high高 $111
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Trend intact — hold. Late in the cycle, so don't add here; a pullback is due.趋势完好——持有。已处周期晚期，此处不宜加仓；回调即将到来。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
71
Overbought超买区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+23.3% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-9.0% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
79th percentile第79百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$1.4B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 22.6%
Earnings per share每股收益
$1.092025
20202025
Free cash flow自由现金流
$56.5M2025
20202025
Operating margin营业利润率
4.3%
Net margin净利率
3.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
15.4%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 6/7
Return on equity股本回报率 10%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.66
Current ratio流动比率1.76
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
SHAK RSI reached overboughtSHAK RSI进入超买
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： +$3.2M net (6 buyers, 1 sellers)+$3.2M 净值（6 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD. The weekly (investor-cycle) momentum just crossed UP while price holds its 10-day average — the start of a new multi-month up-leg. A daily-overbought print here is the launch thrust, not a top, so this is a HOLD / ride, not a take-profit. The daily can still dip to its 10-day average (normal) — but the bigger investor cycle is early, with room left. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell持有。周线（投资者周期）动量刚刚向上交叉，且价格守住 10 日均线——这是新的多月上行段的起点。此处日线超买只是启动推力、并非见顶，因此应持有 / 顺势，而非止盈。日线仍可能回踩 10 日均线（属正常）——但更大的投资者周期尚处早期，仍有空间。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Aug 13, 2026
SHAK RSI reached overboughtSHAK RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $73.64.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$73.64。
Aug 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Aug 7, 2026
SHAK weekly MACD crossed upSHAK 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Aug 5, 2026
SHAK RSI reached overboughtSHAK RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $74.33.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$74.33。
Jul 31, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 20, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 16, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 15, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 241 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Shake Shack is an American multinational fast casual restaurant chain based in New York City. It started out as a hot dog cart inside Madison Square Park in 2001, and its popularity steadily grew.Shake Shack 是一家总部位于纽约市的美国跨国快餐连锁餐厅，2001年以麦迪逊广场公园内的热狗摊起家，人气稳步增长。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
3/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
69/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
12/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
8/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#208 / 212
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +4.8% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +22.5% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +21.9% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -16.5% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -11.8% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -31.9% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -4.2% | +79.7% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.21
Volatility rank波动率分位
79th pctile
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-31.9%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $523M | $740M | $900M | $1.1B | $1.3B | $1.4B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-1.14 | $-0.22 | $-0.61 | $0.48 | $0.24 | $1.09 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $-32M | $-43M | $-66M | $-14M | $36M | $57M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | -8.1% | -1.2% | -2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 3.2% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | -6.1% | -5.8% | -7.3% | -1.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$1.4B
Net income净利润
$50M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$222M
Total assets总资产
$1.9B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$525M
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
9.5%
Return on assets资产回报率
2.6%
Profit growth利润增速
+359.4%
Asset growth资产增速
+11.7%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: receivables +248% vs sales +176% — receivables outpacing sales, revenue-quality risk营运资本：应收 +248% 对销售 +176%——应收快于销售，营收质量风险
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
71
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
93
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+14.1%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+23.3%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-9.0%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
90/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
5
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-16.7%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+1
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.0% | $2M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
1 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 11, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': -97.9, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-03-31', 'available_on': '2026-05-14', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-14', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 11, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': -97.9, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-03-31', 'available_on': '2026-05-14', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-14', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
+$3.2M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
6 : 1
Days to cover回补天数
2.2
Short interest change空头变化
-8.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Apr · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Mar · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +2.8% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 67% | +9.3% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 0% | -7.1% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 100% | +2.3% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -10.7% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 33% | -4.7% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +1.2% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 50% | +14.8% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -11.9% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 67% | +3.8% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +8.6% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -2.6% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。