Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Real Estate / SPG
Simon Property Group · Real Estate
SPG US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Simon Property Group, Inc. is an American real estate investment trust that invests in shopping malls, outlet centers, and community/lifestyle centers.Simon Property Group, Inc.是一家美国房地产投资信托公司，投资于购物中心、奥特莱斯中心以及社区/生活方式中心。
Large cap大盘 · $66B
Real Estate
Distressed困境股
$204.82
+$0.12 · +0.06%
52w low52周低 $165high高 $236
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 202.94.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 202.94 下方。
As of 2026-09-29截至 2026-09-29
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-09-29MA Sell (7)
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
38
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-5.0% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+2.7% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
39
Strong trend趋势强劲
Volatility波动率
3th percentile第3百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-11-0235
Estimates being cut预期下调
Beat expectations 4 quarters in a row连续 4 季度超预期
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 3.7%
Valuation估值
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵| Multiple指标 | SPG | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 30.1x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 12.72x | 1.77 | |
| P/S市销率 | 10.41x | 6.19 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.83% | 4.82 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.34% | 4.22 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 20.40x | 13.72 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 20.70x | 19.79 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$6.4B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 6.7%
Earnings per share每股收益
$14.172025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 31.6%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$3.2B2025
20202025
Operating margin营业利润率
49.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
65.0%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/6
Bankruptcy risk: distress zone破产风险：警戒区
Warning警示
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA6.00
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$226.8M
Debt coming due到期债务
SEC filingsSEC 文件Debt schedule not loaded yet.到期债务尚未加载。
This panel is still catching up to the SEC filings for this listing. Check back soon — nothing is being estimated in its place.本面板仍在同步该证券的 SEC 文件，请稍后再查看；此处不作任何估算替代。
A cash-flow scenario is unavailable until the filing inputs are verified.报告数据核实前，现金流情景暂不可用。
Capital-need coverage is not available for this issuer yet.该发行人的资本需求覆盖信息暂不可用。
Reported facts remain separate from the cash-flow scenario until identity and filing provenance are confirmed.在确认身份与报告来源之前，已披露事实与现金流情景保持分离。
Research context only — reported figures from SEC filings, not a rating, a signal or investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 数据摘自 SEC 文件披露口径，不构成评级、信号或投资建议。
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Real Estate (Equal-Weight) theme — #48 of 49 themes「房地产（等权）」主题 — 49 个主题中第 48 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → DOWNTREND接近高点 → 下跌趋势
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.32%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±2.96%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$206
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.2%
Skew: fear偏斜：避险
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$1.2M net (9 buyers, 1 sellers)-$1.2M 净值（9 买家，1 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; investor cycle overdue). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. The daily cycle has also failed (broke its own start low), which tilts the odds toward failure here高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为负；投资者周期已逾期）。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。日线周期同样已经失败（跌破其自身起始低点），此处概率更偏向失败
Sep 21, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → DOWNTREND接近高点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Sep 21, 2026
SPG broke down vs the marketSPG 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $204.98.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$204.98。
Sep 21, 2026
SPG daily MACD crossed upSPG 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $204.98.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$204.98。
Sep 18, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A HIGH下跌趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Sep 17, 2026
SPG StochRSI turned up from oversoldSPG StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $204.47.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$204.47。
Sep 16, 2026
SPG RSI reached oversoldSPG RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $202.94.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$202.94。
Sep 8, 2026
SPG StochRSI turned up from oversoldSPG StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $209.63.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$209.63。
Aug 26, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Aug 25, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 2940 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Simon Property Group, Inc. is an American real estate investment trust that invests in shopping malls, outlet centers, and community/lifestyle centers.Simon Property Group, Inc.是一家美国房地产投资信托公司，投资于购物中心、奥特莱斯中心以及社区/生活方式中心。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 30.1× | — | — |
| Price / Book市净率 | 12.7× | 1.8× | 1% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 10.4× | 6.2× | 13% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 20.4× | 13.7× | 23% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 29% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 0.3% | 4.2% | 9% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
60/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
32/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
58/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
54/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#32 / 100
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.2% | +1.3% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -4.6% | +0.9% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -8.8% | +6.1% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +16.1% | +22.3% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +15.1% | +13.8% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +17.4% | +18.5% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +117.4% | +87.8% |
| 5 Years近5年 | +99.6% | +85.8% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.25
Volatility rank波动率分位
3th pctile
Market cap市值
$66B
Dividend yield股息率
4.35%
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-12.5%
Volume vs normal成交量相对平常
0.7×
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $4.6B | $5.1B | $5.3B | $5.7B | $6.0B | $6.4B |
| EPS每股收益 | $3.59 | — | — | $6.98 | $7.26 | $14.17 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $1.8B | $3.1B | $3.1B | $3.1B | $3.1B | $3.2B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 27.7% | 50.2% | 46.3% | 46.2% | 45.8% | 84.3% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 40.0% | 60.8% | 58.9% | 55.4% | 51.3% | 50.3% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$6.4B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$4.1B
Total assets总资产
$40.6B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$5.2B
Buybacks股票回购
$227M
Returns & growth回报与增长
Revenue growth营收增速
+19.5%
Asset growth资产增速
+25.3%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Capital discipline: assets +25.3% (aggressive expansion)资本纪律：资产 +25.3%（扩张激进）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 1.43 — distress zone资产负债表：Altman Z 1.43——困境区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
38
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
54
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
39
Average daily range平均日波幅
1.4%
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-0.7%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-5.0%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+2.7%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
Monthly月线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
23/100
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 168d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 437d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 393d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 46d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 10d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 518d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 73d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 115d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 178d |
| MA Sell (7) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 52d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 50d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 25d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 95d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 2d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 59d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 31d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 59d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 246d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 59d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 16d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 91d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 121d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 44d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 169d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 25d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 32d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 24d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | quiet静默 | 2d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 58d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 16d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 4d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 56d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 129d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 51d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 8d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 154d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Directional Indicator Bullish Cross (+DI above -DI) | quiet静默 | 72d |
| Directional Indicator Bearish Cross (-DI above +DI) | quiet静默 | 52d |
| ADX Trend Ignition — Bullish (ADX crosses above 25 while price rising) | quiet静默 | 92d |
| ADX Trend Ignition — Bearish (ADX crosses above 25 while price falling) | quiet静默 | 23d |
| ADX Trending (ADX ≥ 25 and rising — strong, accelerating trend) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| ADX Weak Trend (ADX < 20 — market ranging, no directional conviction) | quiet静默 | — |
| Aroon Bullish Cross (recent highs dominating — uptrend beginning) | quiet静默 | 121d |
| Aroon Bearish Cross (recent lows dominating — downtrend beginning) | quiet静默 | 39d |
| Aroon Strong Uptrend (recent highs near current bar, lows far away) | quiet静默 | — |
| Aroon Strong Downtrend (recent lows near current bar, highs far away) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Vortex Bullish Cross (VI+ above VI- with separation — upward momentum) | quiet静默 | 170d |
| Vortex Bearish Cross (VI- above VI+ with separation — downward momentum) | quiet静默 | 51d |
| Elder Ray Bullish Setup (bear power negative but improving, price trend up) | quiet静默 | 115d |
| Elder Ray Bearish Setup (bull power positive but falling, price trend down) | quiet静默 | 31d |
| Elder Ray Bulls Dominant (bull power positive, bear power near zero) | quiet静默 | — |
| Elder Ray Bears Dominant (bear power negative, bull power near zero) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Volatility Squeeze Active (Bollinger inside Keltner) | quiet静默 | — |
| Squeeze Release — Upside Breakout | quiet静默 | 108d |
| Squeeze Release — Downside Breakout | quiet静默 | 477d |
| Trending Market Regime (Choppiness below 38.2) | quiet静默 | — |
| Ranging Market Regime (Choppiness above 61.8) | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Onset (Choppiness drops below 38.2) | quiet静默 | 59d |
| Trending Regime by Efficiency (VHF above median) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Donchian Channel Upside Breakout (20-day high exceeded) | quiet静默 | 59d |
| Donchian Channel Downside Breakdown (20-day low breached) | quiet静默 | 9d |
| Failed Upside Breakout (Price retreats below channel within 5 bars) | quiet静默 | 57d |
| Failed Downside Breakdown (Price recovers above channel within 5 bars) | quiet静默 | 8d |
| Wide Channel (Donchian width in top 20% of trailing year) | quiet静默 | — |
| NR7 Coiling Pattern Active (Narrowest range in 7 bars, within last 3) | quiet静默 | — |
| Upside Range Expansion (True range > 2×ATR, strong close) | quiet静默 | 108d |
| Downside Range Expansion (True range > 2×ATR, weak close) | quiet静默 | 189d |
| Money Flow turns positive (CMF crosses above zero) | quiet静默 | 88d |
| Money Flow turns negative (CMF crosses below zero) | quiet静默 | 57d |
| Sustained buying pressure (CMF above +0.05 for 10+ bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Sustained selling pressure (CMF below -0.05 for 10+ bars) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Volume backing the move up (OBV rising over 20 days) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Volume backing the move down (OBV falling over 20 days) | quiet静默 | — |
| OBV breaks to new 60-day high (accumulation surge) | quiet静默 | 70d |
| OBV breaks to new 60-day low (distribution surge) | quiet静默 | 189d |
| Volume surge (relative volume doubles its 20-day average) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Volume drying up (5-day average below 60% of normal) | quiet静默 | — |
| Oversold money flow recovering (MFI crosses back above 20) | quiet静默 | 37d |
| Overbought money flow retreating (MFI crosses back below 80) | quiet静默 | 157d |
| Money flow momentum turns bullish (MFI crosses above 50) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Money flow momentum turns bearish (MFI crosses below 50) | quiet静默 | 56d |
| Price crosses above adaptive moving average in trending market | quiet静默 | 190d |
| Price crosses below adaptive moving average in trending market | quiet静默 | 156d |
| Adaptive moving average rising in trending market | quiet静默 | — |
| Adaptive moving average falling in trending market | quiet静默 | — |
| Market moving efficiently — trend-following conditions present | quiet静默 | — |
| Market choppy — trend signals unreliable | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend turns bullish — price breaks above resistance band | quiet静默 | 170d |
| Trend turns bearish — price breaks below support band | quiet静默 | 50d |
| Price above trend support — bullish regime | quiet静默 | — |
| Price below trend resistance — bearish regime | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Price pulls back to trend support then recovers — continuation setup | quiet静默 | 51d |
| Connors RSI deep oversold arrival (crosses below 10) | quiet静默 | 50d |
| Connors RSI oversold exit (crosses back above 10) | quiet静默 | 49d |
| Connors RSI overbought exit (crosses back below 90) | quiet静默 | 58d |
| Spearman trend turns positive (smoothed rank correlation crosses above zero) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Spearman trend turns negative (smoothed rank correlation crosses below zero) | quiet静默 | 31d |
| Spearman strong uptrend (raw rank correlation above 80) | quiet静默 | — |
| Spearman strong downtrend (raw rank correlation below -80) | quiet静默 | — |
| Low Drawdown Stress (Ulcer Index below 25th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| Elevated Drawdown Stress (Ulcer Index above 75th percentile) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Drawdown Stress Spike (Ulcer Index doubles in 21 bars, above 5) | quiet静默 | 29d |
| Drawdown Stress Easing (Ulcer Index crosses below median after stress period) | quiet静默 | 57d |
| Low Relative Volatility (nATR below 25th percentile) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| High Relative Volatility (nATR above 75th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volatility Compression (short-window vol well below long-window vol) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Volatility Expansion Breakout (short-window vol crosses above long-window vol) | quiet静默 | 161d |
| Mass Index Bulge Reversal (range expansion then contraction setup) | quiet静默 | 214d |
| 12-1 Momentum Positive (medium-term uptrend, reversal-adjusted) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| 12-1 Momentum Negative (medium-term downtrend, reversal-adjusted) | quiet静默 | — |
| Momentum Acceleration Up (3-month crosses above 6-month, both improving) | quiet静默 | 94d |
| Momentum Deceleration Down (3-month crosses below 6-month, both weakening) | quiet静默 | 519d |
| New 52-Week Closing High | quiet静默 | 59d |
| New 52-Week Closing Low | quiet静默 | 1460d |
| Relative Strength Recovery (stock outpaces benchmark over 3 months) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength Deterioration (stock falls behind benchmark over 3 months) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength at 6-Month High (stock/benchmark ratio at new peak) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength at 6-Month Low (stock/benchmark ratio at new trough) | quiet静默 | — |
| BBTrend Crosses Above Zero (channel expanding in favor of buyers) | quiet静默 | 87d |
| BBTrend Crosses Below Zero (channel expanding in favor of sellers) | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Inside Bar — price range compressed within prior bar | quiet静默 | — |
| Outside Bar — price range expands beyond prior bar on both sides | quiet静默 | — |
| Outside-Inside Bar Coil — outside bar followed by inside bar compression | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Three Consecutive Inside Bars — prolonged compression coil | quiet静默 | — |
| Bullish 2-1-2 Continuation — higher high bar, inside bar, upside break | quiet静默 | 80d |
| Bearish 2-1-2 Continuation — lower low bar, inside bar, downside break | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Bullish 2-1-2 Reversal — lower low bar, inside bar, upside break | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Bearish 2-1-2 Reversal — higher high bar, inside bar, downside break | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Bullish 3-1-2 — outside bar, inside bar coil, upside break | quiet静默 | 281d |
| Bearish 3-1-2 — outside bar, inside bar coil, downside break | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Fractal Low Confirmed (swing low locked in) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Fractal High Confirmed (swing high locked in) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Swing Uptrend (higher highs and higher lows) | quiet静默 | — |
| Swing Downtrend (lower lows and lower highs) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Fractal High Break (close rises above confirmed swing high) | quiet静默 | 60d |
| Fractal Low Break (close falls below confirmed swing low) | quiet静默 | 30d |
| KST crosses above signal line (negative territory) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| KST crosses below signal line (positive territory) | quiet静默 | 77d |
| True Strength Index crosses above signal (below zero) | quiet静默 | 172d |
| True Strength Index crosses below signal (above zero) | quiet静默 | 53d |
| Coppock curve turns up from a trough (below zero) | quiet静默 | 1276d |
| Ultimate Oscillator exits oversold zone (crosses above 30) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Ultimate Oscillator exits overbought zone (crosses below 70) | quiet静默 | 157d |
| Fisher Transform crosses above prior bar (below -1) | quiet静默 | 8d |
| Fisher Transform crosses below prior bar (above +1) | quiet静默 | 57d |
| QQE smoothed RSI crosses above adaptive band (below 50) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| QQE smoothed RSI crosses below adaptive band (above 50) | quiet静默 | 53d |
| Schaff Trend Cycle crosses above 25 (bullish turn) | quiet静默 | 65d |
| Schaff Trend Cycle crosses below 75 (bearish turn) | quiet静默 | 53d |
| Bullish price gap forms (3-candle imbalance zone) | quiet静默 | 58d |
| Bearish price gap forms (3-candle imbalance zone) | quiet静默 | 24d |
| Bullish gap zone filled (price returns to imbalance area) | quiet静默 | 29d |
| Bearish gap zone filled (price returns to imbalance area) | quiet静默 | 32d |
| Price reclaims AVWAP from earnings-proxy anchor (quarter's top-volume session) | quiet静默 | 71d |
| Price loses AVWAP from earnings-proxy anchor (quarter's top-volume session) | quiet静默 | 52d |
| Close above week-anchored VWAP | quiet静默 | — |
| Close below week-anchored VWAP | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| POC retest holds (price defends the point of control) | quiet静默 | 9d |
| POC retest fails (rejected at the point of control) | quiet静默 | 185d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 449d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 855d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1094d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 2479d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1073d |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 445d |
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $3.29 | $3.18 | +3.5% |
| Mar 2026 | $3.17 | $2.98 | +6.4% |
| Dec 2025 | $3.49 | $3.47 | +0.6% |
| Sep 2025 | $3.22 | $3.09 | +4.2% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
3
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+1.3%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-1
Analyst view分析师观点
Forward P/E预测市盈率
30.1×
Profit margin净利率
66.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$220
Put wall看跌期权墙
$200
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$206
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$210
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$200
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
-0.9%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-4.2%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$1.2M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
9 : 1
Days to cover回补天数
8.2
Short interest change空头变化
+3.5%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jul · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Mar · 20%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 60% | +1.1% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 60% | +6.5% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 20% | -6.5% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 40% | -4.1% | 5 |
| May5月 | 60% | +0.7% | 5 |
| Jun6月 | 60% | +1.8% | 5 |
| Jul7月 | 100% | +2.7% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 50% | +6.3% | 6 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -2.1% | 6 |
| Oct10月 | 80% | +2.0% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +8.3% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 60% | +0.6% | 5 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
- Sep: -0.2% avg, up 55% of years (n=33)9月：平均 -0.2%，55% 的年份上涨（n=33）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。