Stocks股票 / Comm. Services / TDS
Telephone and Data Systems, Inc. · Comm. Services
TDS US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.电话与数据系统公司
Mid cap中盘 · $4B
Distressed困境股
Comm. Services
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
$33.79
-$0.53 · -1.54%
52w low52周低 $32.86high高 $48.01
Avoid — downtrend回避 — 下行趋势
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
29
Oversold超卖区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-12.7% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-17.9% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
67th percentile第67百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-1021days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | TDS | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 189.94x | 34.57 | |
| P/B市净率 | 0.80x | 2.63 | |
| P/S市销率 | 3.13x | 1.70 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.53% | 2.35 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.19% | 5.91 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 2.81% | 4.04 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 14.94x | 11.88 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 19.29x | 12.03 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -25.1%
Earnings per share每股收益
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
-7.9%
Net margin净利率
1.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
48.0%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/7
Bankruptcy risk: distress zone破产风险：警戒区
Return on equity股本回报率 0%
Warning警示
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-3.72
Current ratio流动比率2.10
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$27.2M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-0.5%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
TDS RSI reached oversoldTDS RSI进入超卖
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$0.9M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$0.9M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oaktree Capital Management | B | Adding加仓 | 3.9% | 2026-03-31 |
| Third Point (Loeb) | B | Holding持有 | 13.3% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases)回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）
Jul 20, 2026
TDS RSI reached oversoldTDS RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $33.79.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$33.79。
Jul 15, 2026
TDS StochRSI turned up from oversoldTDS StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $34.08.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$34.08。
Jul 7, 2026
TDS made a new 52-week lowTDS 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $35.24.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$35.24。
Jul 6, 2026
TDS RSI reached oversoldTDS RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $35.35.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$35.35。
Jul 1, 2026
Death cross on TDSTDS 死叉
The 50-day average crossed below the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bearish trend signal. $37.09.50日均线下穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看空趋势信号。$37.09。
Jun 29, 2026
TDS broke down vs the marketTDS 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $37.87.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$37.87。
Jun 26, 2026
TDS StochRSI turned up from oversoldTDS StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $38.45.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$38.45。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 265 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Telephone and Data Systems, Inc.电话与数据系统公司
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 189.9× | 34.6× | 5% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 0.8× | 2.6× | 86% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 3.1× | 1.7× | 24% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 14.9× | 11.9× | 24% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 0.5% | 2.4% | 28% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 15.3% | 12.4% | 65% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 2.8% | 4.0% | 41% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
48/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
4/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
8/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
20/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#15 / 45
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.2% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -14.7% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -25.0% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -23.0% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -17.5% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -6.9% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +342.8% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.52
Volatility rank波动率分位
67th pctile
Short interest空头占比
4.4% of float
Market cap市值
$4B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$0.18
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-28.9%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $5.2B | $5.3B | $5.4B | $5.2B | $5.0B | $1.2B |
| EPS每股收益 | $1.93 | $1.00 | $-0.07 | $-5.06 | $-0.85 | $-0.65 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $194M | $-28M | $-6M | $-69M | $261M | $199M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | -9.7% | -0.6% | -0.5% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 3.7% | -0.5% | -0.1% | -1.3% | 5.3% | 16.2% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$1.2B
Net income净利润
$20M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$590M
Total assets总资产
$8.4B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$4.8B
Buybacks股票回购
$108M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.11B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
0.4%
Return on assets资产回报率
0.2%
Asset growth资产增速
-38.6%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 1.1 — distress zone资产负债表：Altman Z 1.1——困境区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
29
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
17
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-5.9%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-12.7%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-17.9%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
94/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
1
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-41.2%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-1
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oaktree Capital Management | B | Adding增持 | 3.9% | $181M |
| Third Point (Loeb) | B | Holding持有 | 13.3% | $278M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
2
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
1 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 12, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-14', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 12, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-14', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 2, 2, 2, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$0.9M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 2
Short interest空头占流通盘
4.4%
Days to cover回补天数
3.7
Short interest change空头变化
-0.9%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jan · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Sep · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 100% | +5.3% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 33% | -0.6% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 67% | +6.1% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -1.9% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -7.5% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 75% | +5.6% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +2.5% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 100% | +11.6% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 0% | -1.8% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 67% | +0.3% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +8.5% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 67% | +0.2% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。