Stocks股票 / Comm. Services / TTD
Trade Desk (The) · Comm. Services
TTD US listed · USD美股 · 美元
The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) is an American multinational technology company that produces and services programmatic marketing automation with personalized real-time digital content.The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) 是一家美国 multinational 技术公司，提供并服务于个性化实时数字内容的程序化营销自动化。
Broken growth成长受损
Comm. Services
S&P 500标普500
$18.64
+$0.05 · +0.27%
52w low52周低 $16.98high高 $91.45
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 17.33.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 17.33 下方。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21MA Sell (21)Long-term Falling Trend
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
44
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-6.8% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-39.5% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
8
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility波动率
34th percentile第34百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0617days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -13.3% (20d)财报后漂移：-13.3%（20日）
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 28.2%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -28.9%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
20.3%
Net margin净利率
15.3%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
34.3%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/7
Return on equity股本回报率 18%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.93
Current ratio流动比率1.61
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$1.4B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$490.6M
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Communication Services (Equal-Weight) theme — #37 of 46 themes「通信服务（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 37 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
TTD broke down vs the marketTTD 相对市场走弱
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±5.47%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±12.24%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$20
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
5.3%
Skew: greed偏斜：贪婪
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： +$143.4M net (1 buyers, 1 sellers)+$143.4M 净值（1 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coatue Management | A | New position新建仓 | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum positive; investor cycle failed (broke its start low); last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为正；投资者周期失败（跌破起始低点）；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 17, 2026
TTD broke down vs the marketTTD 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $18.59.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$18.59。
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 14, 2026
TTD broke down vs the marketTTD 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $18.94.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$18.94。
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 30, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 29, 2026
TTD daily MACD crossed upTTD 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $18.65.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$18.65。
Jun 26, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A HIGH下跌趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 26, 2026
TTD StochRSI turned up from oversoldTTD StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $18.37.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$18.37。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 854 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) is an American multinational technology company that produces and services programmatic marketing automation with personalized real-time digital content.The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) 是一家美国 multinational 技术公司，提供并服务于个性化实时数字内容的程序化营销自动化。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
1/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
10/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
2/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
1/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#44 / 45
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -5.8% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +0.7% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -19.7% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -47.2% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -50.5% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -76.8% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -77.9% | +69.9% |
| 5 Years近5年 | -74.9% | +82.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.75
Volatility rank波动率分位
34th pctile
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-79.2%
Volume vs normal成交量相对平常
0.7×
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $836M | $1.2B | $1.6B | $1.9B | $2.4B | $2.9B |
| EPS每股收益 | $4.95 | $0.28 | $0.11 | $0.36 | $0.78 | $0.90 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $331M | $324M | $465M | $552M | $641M | $796M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 78.6% | 81.5% | 82.2% | 81.2% | 80.7% | 78.6% |
| Net margin净利率 | 29.0% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 9.2% | 16.1% | 15.3% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 39.6% | 27.1% | 29.4% | 28.3% | 26.2% | 27.5% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$2.9B
Net income净利润
$443M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$993M
Total assets总资产
$6.2B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$2.5B
Buybacks股票回购
$1.4B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
17.8%
Return on assets资产回报率
7.2%
Revenue growth营收增速
+11.8%
Profit growth利润增速
+12.8%
Asset growth资产增速
+0.7%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: inventory & receivables lean vs sales营运资本：存货与应收相对销售保持精简
- Pricing power: profitability near the peer median定价能力：盈利能力接近同业中位
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
44
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
23
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
8
Average daily range平均日波幅
5.4%
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-0.8%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-6.8%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-39.5%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
Monthly月线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
17/100
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 81d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 403d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 843d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 64d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 325d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 499d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 16d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 4d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 385d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| MA Sell (21) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 343d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 207d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 424d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 144d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 347d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 144d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 347d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 57d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 295d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 39d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 795d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 88d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 39d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Falling Trend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 617d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | quiet静默 | — |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 63d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 407d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 45d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 382d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 45d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 2d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 4d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 35d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 18d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 44d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 8d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 126d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 372d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 3000d |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1962d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 371d |
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
21
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-10.5%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-19
Analyst view分析师观点
Forward P/E预测市盈率
8.7×
Profit margin净利率
14.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$20
Put wall看跌期权墙
$18
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$20
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$20
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$18
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
-9.1%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
1%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
+5.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coatue Management | A | New position新建仓 | 0.1% | $31M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
1 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-11', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0, 1, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-11', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 2, 1, 0, 1, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
+$143.4M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
1 : 1
Days to cover回补天数
3.3
Short interest change空头变化
+5.2%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jul · 83%
Weakest month最弱月份
Sep · 20%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 40% | -4.5% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 60% | +15.6% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 40% | -2.2% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 60% | +1.9% | 5 |
| May5月 | 67% | +12.0% | 6 |
| Jun6月 | 50% | +5.5% | 6 |
| Jul7月 | 83% | +9.8% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 40% | -1.2% | 5 |
| Sep9月 | 20% | -4.0% | 5 |
| Oct10月 | 60% | +3.2% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 80% | +1.6% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 20% | -8.4% | 5 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
- Jul: +7.0% avg, up 80% of years (n=10)7月：平均 +7.0%，80% 的年份上涨（n=10）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。