Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / UTI
Universal Technical Institute · Consumer Disc.
UTI US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Universal Technical Institute, Inc. (UTI) is a private for-profit system of technical colleges in the United States.Universal Technical Institute, Inc. (UTI) 是美国一所私立的营利性技术学院系统。
Small cap小盘 · $1B
Consumer Disc.
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
Secular growth长期成长
$25.84
+$0.20 · +0.78%
52w low52周低 $20.78high高 $52.56
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
28
Oversold超卖区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-35.6% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-23.8% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
98th percentile第98百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | UTI | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 22.56x | 20.35 | |
| P/B市净率 | 4.23x | 3.13 | |
| P/S市销率 | 1.70x | 1.37 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.43% | 4.65 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.89% | 5.43 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 11.86x | 11.90 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 25.68x | 16.77 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$835.6M2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 22.7%
Earnings per share每股收益
$1.132025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 86.6%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$55.4M2025
20202025
Operating margin营业利润率
10.0%
Net margin净利率
7.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
11.6%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 6/8
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Return on equity股本回报率 19%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.35
Current ratio流动比率1.07
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$9.2M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+1.2%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
UTI RSI reached oversoldUTI RSI进入超卖
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$136.8M net (0 buyers, 11 sellers)-$136.8M 净值（0 买家，11 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases)回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）
Aug 10, 2026
UTI RSI reached oversoldUTI RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $26.72.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$26.72。
Aug 6, 2026
UTI lost its 200-day averageUTI 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $27.87.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$27.87。
Aug 6, 2026
UTI broke down vs the marketUTI 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $27.87.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$27.87。
Aug 6, 2026
UTI daily MACD crossed downUTI 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $27.87.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$27.87。
Aug 6, 2026
UTI RSI reached oversoldUTI RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $27.87.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$27.87。
Aug 4, 2026
UTI daily MACD crossed upUTI 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $42.23.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$42.23。
Jul 27, 2026
UTI StochRSI turned up from oversoldUTI StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $38.44.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$38.44。
Jul 24, 2026
UTI weekly MACD crossed downUTI 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 23, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 22, 2026
UTI printed a daily-cycle lowUTI 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $35.99.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$35.99。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 262 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Universal Technical Institute, Inc. (UTI) is a private for-profit system of technical colleges in the United States.Universal Technical Institute, Inc. (UTI) 是美国一所私立的营利性技术学院系统。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 22.6× | 20.4× | 41% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 4.2× | 3.1× | 39% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 1.7× | 1.4× | 41% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 11.9× | 11.9× | 50% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.4% | 4.7% | 47% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.8% | 7.9% | 38% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
73/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
3/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
54/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
49/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#68 / 212
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -7.3% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -44.6% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -34.7% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -14.9% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +4.0% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +0.3% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +207.6% | +79.7% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.81
Volatility rank波动率分位
98th pctile
Short interest空头占比
8.0% of float
Market cap市值
$1B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$1.15
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-49.5%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $301M | $335M | $419M | $607M | $733M | $836M |
| EPS每股收益 | $0.05 | $0.17 | $0.38 | $0.13 | $0.75 | $1.13 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $2M | $-6M | $-33M | $-8M | $62M | $55M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 0.6% | -1.9% | -8.0% | -1.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$836M
Net income净利润
$63M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$97M
Total assets总资产
$834M
Shareholder equity股东权益
$336M
Long-term debt长期负债
$99M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.06B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
18.8%
Return on assets资产回报率
7.6%
Debt / assets负债/资产
11.8%
Profit growth利润增速
+50.0%
Asset growth资产增速
+10.6%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: inventory & receivables lean vs sales营运资本：存货与应收相对销售保持精简
- Capital discipline: share count +66.7% over 6 years (dilution)资本纪律：股本 6 年增加 66.7%（稀释）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 3.25 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 3.25——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
28
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
26
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-27.5%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-35.6%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-23.8%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
100/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
2
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-3.2%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+0
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$136.8M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 11
Short interest空头占流通盘
8.0%
Days to cover回补天数
4.7
Short interest change空头变化
-4.4%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jan · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Aug · 25%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 100% | +7.3% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 100% | +7.4% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 67% | +0.8% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 67% | +4.5% | 3 |
| May5月 | 100% | +4.8% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 33% | -0.1% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +6.6% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 25% | -7.7% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 67% | +5.4% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 67% | +2.7% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +30.8% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 100% | +7.9% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。