Stocks股票 / Tech / VECO
Veeco Instruments Inc. · Tech
VECO US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Mid cap中盘 · $3B
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量
Tech
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
$50.69
-$1.58 · -3.02%
52w low52周低 $19.54high高 $86.04
Leader · accounting warning — verify before buying领先 · 财务质量警示 — 买入前先核实
A cycle low is due in roughly ~0–2 trading days — watch for the turn, don't front-run it.周期低点预计在约 ~0–2 个交易日内出现——等待转向，切勿抢跑。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
37
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-19.5% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+25.0% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
94th percentile第94百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0516days to go天后公布
Estimates being raised — 4 analysts预期上调 — 4 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -5.0% (20d)财报后漂移：-5.0%（20日）
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | VECO | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 86.50x | 40.25 | |
| P/B市净率 | 3.46x | 5.91 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.16% | 2.18 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.74% | 3.07 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 56.53x | 28.83 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 57.44x | 29.15 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 7.9%
Earnings per share每股收益
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
5.4%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/9
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Return on equity股本回报率 4%
Warning警示
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.60
Current ratio流动比率4.75
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$37.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+6.3%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Semiconductor Equipment (WFE) theme — #38 of 46 themes「半导体设备（晶圆厂设备）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 38 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
VECO weekly MACD crossed downVECO 周线MACD下穿
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±6.23%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±13.93%
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-5.4%
Flow:资金流向： $0M premium traded; 26% 0DTE; 2 fresh positions; P/C 0.14; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M；0DTE占26%；2个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.14；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: fear偏斜：避险
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$5.1M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$5.1M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY. Day 99 of a typical 23-44-day cycle — inside the window where lows usually form, and short-term momentum is washed out. No confirmed turn yet准备。典型 23-44 天周期的第 99 天——处于低点通常形成的窗口内，且短期动量已被洗净。尚无确认的转向
Jul 17, 2026
VECO weekly MACD crossed downVECO 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 14, 2026
VECO StochRSI turned up from oversoldVECO StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $58.02.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$58.02。
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 8, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 30, 2026
VECO took relative-strength leadershipVECO 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $75.80.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$75.80。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 278 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Demand chain:需求链： Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for wafer-fab equipment (one step back, longer lead)云厂商资本开支加速（同比+69%，约 $379B）——晶圆制造设备（上游一环，前置更长）的需求来源
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
- Inventory build
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 86.5× | 40.2× | 21% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 3.5× | 5.9× | 69% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 56.5× | 28.8× | 25% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.2% | 2.2% | 32% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.3% | 4.2% | 27% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
97/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
90/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
94/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
96/100 — stronger than most强于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#27 / 184
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -9.1% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -36.4% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +6.0% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +53.7% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +66.0% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +136.6% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +92.0% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
2.29
Volatility rank波动率分位
94th pctile
Short interest空头占比
11.5% of float
Market cap市值
$3B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$0.59
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-39.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $454M | $583M | $646M | $666M | $717M | $664M |
| EPS每股收益 | $-0.17 | $0.49 | $2.71 | $-0.56 | $1.23 | $0.59 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $36M | $27M | $84M | $34M | $46M | $53M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 42.8% | 41.5% | 40.7% | 42.8% | 42.4% | 40.0% |
| Net margin净利率 | -1.8% | 4.5% | 25.8% | -4.6% | 10.3% | 5.3% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 8.0% | 4.6% | 13.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Gross profit毛利润
$265M
Net income净利润
$35M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$69M
Total assets总资产
$1.3B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$886M
Long-term debt长期负债
$226M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.06B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
4.0%
Return on assets资产回报率
2.7%
Debt / assets负债/资产
17.0%
Profit growth利润增速
-52.0%
Asset growth资产增速
+5.9%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: inventory +89% vs sales +46% — inventory building, demand risk营运资本：存货 +89% 对销售 +46%——存货积压，需求风险
- Pricing power: soft gross profitability vs peers定价能力：毛利能力弱于同业
- Capital discipline: share count +21.4% over 6 years (dilution)资本纪律：股本 6 年增加 21.4%（稀释）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 4.92 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 4.92——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
37
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
5
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-18.8%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-19.5%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+25.0%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
100/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
4
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+45.3%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+4
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$55
Put wall看跌期权墙
$50
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$60
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$50
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
1%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-5.4%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
+0.2pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.0% | $407,268 |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
1 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 2, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2026-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2026-05-14', 'holders_series': [1, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 2, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2026-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2026-05-14', 'holders_series': [1, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$5.1M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 3
Short interest空头占流通盘
11.5%
Days to cover回补天数
3.7
Short interest change空头变化
-6.5%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
May · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Oct · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +3.3% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 33% | -0.0% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 33% | -2.6% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 67% | +1.2% | 3 |
| May5月 | 100% | +14.5% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 100% | +14.7% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +2.8% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 67% | +4.1% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -3.3% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 0% | -13.5% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +2.3% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -1.7% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。