Pick Lab · Display-only · ACCRUINGPick Lab · 仅展示 · 累积中

Candidate Pick Engines候选选股引擎

23 shadow books running on forward ledgers — measured against a random-control yardstick before any book earns operator attention. All data is display-only; nothing here drives live selection or gating.23个影子书在前向账本上运行 — 在任何书获得操作员关注之前，均与随机控制基准对比衡量。所有数据仅供展示；这里没有任何内容驱动实时选股或门控。

As of截至 2026-09-11 · Built生成时间 2026-09-12 08:49 UTC

Liquidity流动性 expanding
How to read this table:如何阅读此表： All 20 entry books are measured against the Random Control yardstick (pinned at bottom). ACCRUING = fewer than 25 fires across 3 months — do not act on these numbers yet; they are honest samples, not evidence. The ruler for Family C (washout) is absolute reversion-capture, not SPY-excess.所有20个入场书均与随机控制基准（固定在底部）进行比较。ACCRUING = 3个月内少于25次触发 — 暂不据此行动；这些是诚实样本，而非证据。C族（洗盘）的标尺是绝对均值回归捕获，而非SPY超额。
Book书本 Fam族 Status状态 N firesN触发 N openN开放 Dates日期 Mo span月跨 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MFE medMFE中位 MAE medMAE中位 Asym非对称 NAV exc cumNAV累积超额 Max DD最大回撤 vs Rand对比随机 vs Univ对比全市场
A A ACCRUING 累积中 217 157 31 2.0 46.7% +36.7% -2.9% — — — -4.0% -4.5% -1.1% -0.3%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 44.9% +41.7% -0.8% 10.8%
10d 40.6% +33.3% -1.6% 16.1%
21d 46.7% +36.7% -2.9% 11.6%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 14; dip usually before peak (59% of cases); median best gain 7.7%; median worst dip −6.7% 峰值通常第14日；下跌通常早于峰值（59%的情况）；中位最佳收益7.7%；中位最大回撤−6.7%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 14 64.3% +50.0% +0.5% —
1-week 1周 19 52.6% +42.1% -3.0% —
2-week 2周 7 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 20 35.0% +30.0% -3.1% —

covers 33 of 60 fires 覆盖 60 次触发中的 33 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
cyclical 周期 4 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
distressed 困境 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
financial 金融 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
mixed 混合 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
rate sensitive 利率敏感 4 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
secular growth 长期成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 43 34.9% +27.9% -3.8% —

covers 0 of 60 fires 覆盖 60 次触发中的 0 次

A A ACCRUING 累积中 158 78 31 2.0 41.2% +28.7% -3.7% — — — -7.3% -7.8% -1.9% -1.2%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 47.0% +41.3% -1.6% 4.3%
10d 44.5% +42.9% -1.6% 16.9%
21d 41.2% +28.7% -3.7% -2.8%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 12; dip usually before peak (51% of cases); median best gain 5.4%; median worst dip −6.7% 峰值通常第12日；下跌通常早于峰值（51%的情况）；中位最佳收益5.4%；中位最大回撤−6.7%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 34 35.3% +23.5% -6.2% —
1-week 1周 18 61.1% +44.4% -0.7% —
2-week 2周 7 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 21 38.1% +28.6% -2.1% —

covers 52 of 80 fires 覆盖 80 次触发中的 52 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
cyclical 周期 6 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
distressed 困境 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
financial 金融 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
mixed 混合 7 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
rate sensitive 利率敏感 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 54 35.2% +22.2% -5.9% —

covers 0 of 80 fires 覆盖 80 次触发中的 0 次

A A ACCRUING 累积中 217 147 31 2.0 51.4% +34.3% -3.0% — — — -4.5% -4.4% -1.2% -0.5%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 41.9% +39.5% -0.9% 14.7%
10d 45.8% +37.0% -1.5% 12.9%
21d 51.4% +34.3% -3.0% 26.1%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 10; dip usually before peak (55% of cases); median best gain 5.4%; median worst dip −5.5% 峰值通常第10日；下跌通常早于峰值（55%的情况）；中位最佳收益5.4%；中位最大回撤−5.5%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 25 44.0% +32.0% -3.0% —
1-week 1周 17 47.1% +35.3% -3.1% —
2-week 2周 11 54.5% +18.2% -4.6% —
unmeasured 未测量 17 64.7% +47.1% -0.2% —

covers 53 of 70 fires 覆盖 70 次触发中的 53 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
cyclical 周期 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
distressed 困境 5 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
financial 金融 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
mixed 混合 7 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
quality compounder 优质复利 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 52 50.0% +32.7% -3.0% —

covers 0 of 70 fires 覆盖 70 次触发中的 0 次

A A ACCRUING 累积中 29 26 8 1.7 33.3% 0.0% -4.0% — — — -7.0% -6.6% -2.2% -1.5%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 0.0% +33.3% -3.9% -29.9%
10d 33.3% 0.0% -11.1% -143.8%
21d 33.3% 0.0% -4.0% -90.6%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 15; dip usually before peak (67% of cases); median best gain 3.1%; median worst dip −7.3% 峰值通常第15日；下跌通常早于峰值（67%的情况）；中位最佳收益3.1%；中位最大回撤−7.3%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
1-week 1周 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级

covers 0 of 3 fires 覆盖 3 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
unlabeled 未标注 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级

covers 0 of 3 fires 覆盖 3 次触发中的 0 次

B B ACCRUING 累积中 49 28 16 1.9 42.9% +9.5% -5.1% — — — -5.9% -5.9% -3.3% -2.6%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 35.0% +29.7% -3.1% -23.5%
10d 45.5% +31.0% -1.8% 19.5%
21d 42.9% +9.5% -5.1% 11.8%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 14; peak usually before dip (55% of cases); median best gain 2.5%; median worst dip −5.2% 峰值通常第14日；峰值通常早于下跌（55%的情况）；中位最佳收益2.5%；中位最大回撤−5.2%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 5 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
1-week 1周 10 50.0% +10.0% -5.2% —
2-week 2周 5 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级

covers 10 of 21 fires 覆盖 21 次触发中的 10 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
cyclical 周期 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
distressed 困境 5 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
financial 金融 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
mixed 混合 4 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
rate sensitive 利率敏感 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 4 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级

covers 0 of 21 fires 覆盖 21 次触发中的 0 次

B B ACCRUING 累积中 50 25 16 2.0 48.0% +48.0% -1.2% — — — -4.4% -4.2% +0.6% +1.3%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 40.0% +40.5% -1.0% 2.7%
10d 28.6% +18.4% -5.0% 9.1%
21d 48.0% +48.0% -1.2% 29.5%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 16; dip usually before peak (55% of cases); median best gain 8.2%; median worst dip −15.6% 峰值通常第16日；下跌通常早于峰值（55%的情况）；中位最佳收益8.2%；中位最大回撤−15.6%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 9 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
1-week 1周 8 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
2-week 2周 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 5 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级

covers 0 of 25 fires 覆盖 25 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
cyclical 周期 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
mixed 混合 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 16 56.2% +56.2% +0.9% —

covers 0 of 25 fires 覆盖 25 次触发中的 0 次

B B ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

B B ACCRUING 累积中 173 145 29 1.8 39.3% +28.6% -4.9% — — — -5.0% -4.9% -3.1% -2.3%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 46.3% +41.9% -1.2% 8.9%
10d 48.6% +50.0% +0.1% 18.4%
21d 39.3% +28.6% -4.9% -9.9%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 11; peak usually before dip (61% of cases); median best gain 8.0%; median worst dip −6.3% 峰值通常第11日；峰值通常早于下跌（61%的情况）；中位最佳收益8.0%；中位最大回撤−6.3%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 7 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
1-week 1周 6 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
2-week 2周 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 13 38.5% +30.8% -7.4% —

covers 0 of 28 fires 覆盖 28 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
cyclical 周期 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
distressed 困境 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 26 34.6% +26.9% -6.7% —

covers 0 of 28 fires 覆盖 28 次触发中的 0 次

C C ACCRUING 累积中 86 77 22 1.8 55.6% +55.6% +2.6% — — — +4.2% -4.6% +3.2% +58.1%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 57.1% +33.3% -2.0% -4.7%
10d 69.2% +61.5% +4.2% 18.4%
21d 55.6% +55.6% +2.6% -80.1%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 14; dip usually before peak (50% of cases); median best gain 10.1%; median worst dip −15.0% 峰值通常第14日；下跌通常早于峰值（50%的情况）；中位最佳收益10.1%；中位最大回撤−15.0%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
1-week 1周 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
2-week 2周 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级

covers 0 of 9 fires 覆盖 9 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
unlabeled 未标注 9 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级

covers 0 of 9 fires 覆盖 9 次触发中的 0 次

C C ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

C C ACCRUING 累积中 30 17 8 1.8 61.5% +46.2% -0.2% — — — -1.2% -1.1% +9.2% +64.1%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 58.6% +65.5% +0.8% -5.2%
10d 60.7% +57.1% +1.8% 39.1%
21d 61.5% +46.2% -0.2% 32.0%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 16; dip usually before peak (62% of cases); median best gain 8.6%; median worst dip −7.6% 峰值通常第16日；下跌通常早于峰值（62%的情况）；中位最佳收益8.6%；中位最大回撤−7.6%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
2-week 2周 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 10 70.0% +50.0% +0.5% —

covers 0 of 13 fires 覆盖 13 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
unlabeled 未标注 13 61.5% +46.2% -0.2% —

covers 0 of 13 fires 覆盖 13 次触发中的 0 次

D D ACCRUING 累积中 65 34 26 2.0 35.5% +22.6% -7.4% — — — -9.7% -9.5% -5.6% -4.9%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 42.6% +45.3% -0.8% 6.2%
10d 39.6% +28.9% -3.7% 25.1%
21d 35.5% +22.6% -7.4% -27.7%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 12; dip usually before peak (53% of cases); median best gain 8.0%; median worst dip −10.4% 峰值通常第12日；下跌通常早于峰值（53%的情况）；中位最佳收益8.0%；中位最大回撤−10.4%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 9 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
1-week 1周 6 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
2-week 2周 5 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 11 27.3% +27.3% -7.8% —

covers 0 of 31 fires 覆盖 31 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
cyclical 周期 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
mixed 混合 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
secular growth 长期成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 22 27.3% +13.6% -8.5% —

covers 0 of 31 fires 覆盖 31 次触发中的 0 次

D D ACCRUING 累积中 134 71 29 2.0 46.0% +33.3% -3.1% — — — -5.8% -6.2% -1.3% -0.5%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 46.5% +42.7% -1.4% 9.3%
10d 43.3% +34.3% -1.7% 18.9%
21d 46.0% +33.3% -3.1% 6.6%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 12; dip usually before peak (55% of cases); median best gain 7.7%; median worst dip −9.0% 峰值通常第12日；下跌通常早于峰值（55%的情况）；中位最佳收益7.7%；中位最大回撤−9.0%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 24 41.7% +29.2% -5.1% —
1-week 1周 20 55.0% +40.0% -2.8% —
2-week 2周 7 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 12 41.7% +33.3% -2.1% —

covers 44 of 63 fires 覆盖 63 次触发中的 44 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
cyclical 周期 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
distressed 困境 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
financial 金融 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
mixed 混合 4 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
rate sensitive 利率敏感 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
secular growth 长期成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 45 35.6% +24.4% -5.8% —

covers 0 of 63 fires 覆盖 63 次触发中的 0 次

D D ACCRUING 累积中 52 30 22 1.8 68.2% +59.1% +2.4% — — — +1.6% -0.2% +4.2% +4.9%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 59.5% +57.9% +0.6% 36.8%
10d 52.8% +46.9% -0.4% 44.9%
21d 68.2% +59.1% +2.4% 72.4%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 12; dip usually before peak (60% of cases); median best gain 11.3%; median worst dip −3.1% 峰值通常第12日；下跌通常早于峰值（60%的情况）；中位最佳收益11.3%；中位最大回撤−3.1%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 4 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
1-week 1周 5 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
2-week 2周 5 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 8 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级

covers 0 of 22 fires 覆盖 22 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
quality compounder 优质复利 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 21 71.4% +61.9% +3.2% —

covers 0 of 22 fires 覆盖 22 次触发中的 0 次

E E ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

E E ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

F F ACCRUING 累积中 90 52 28 2.0 55.3% +47.4% -0.2% — — — +1.4% -1.1% +1.6% +2.3%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 62.3% +58.9% +0.7% 15.2%
10d 55.0% +54.2% +1.2% 34.0%
21d 55.3% +47.4% -0.2% 22.8%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 15; dip usually before peak (62% of cases); median best gain 7.8%; median worst dip −5.2% 峰值通常第15日；下跌通常早于峰值（62%的情况）；中位最佳收益7.8%；中位最大回撤−5.2%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 6 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
1-week 1周 13 46.2% +38.5% -1.2% —
2-week 2周 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 16 68.8% +68.8% +0.9% —

covers 13 of 38 fires 覆盖 38 次触发中的 13 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
cyclical 周期 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
distressed 困境 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
financial 金融 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
mixed 混合 5 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
quality compounder 优质复利 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
rate sensitive 利率敏感 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
secular growth 长期成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 26 53.8% +46.2% -0.2% —

covers 0 of 38 fires 覆盖 38 次触发中的 0 次

F F ACCRUING 累积中 211 153 31 2.0 48.3% +41.4% -2.7% — — — -6.5% -6.3% -1.0% -0.2%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 38.8% +40.7% -1.0% 19.8%
10d 43.0% +41.7% -1.5% 13.2%
21d 48.3% +41.4% -2.7% 26.4%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 12; dip usually before peak (52% of cases); median best gain 6.7%; median worst dip −6.5% 峰值通常第12日；下跌通常早于峰值（52%的情况）；中位最佳收益6.7%；中位最大回撤−6.5%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 10 70.0% +50.0% -0.2% —
1-week 1周 20 40.0% +35.0% -5.3% —
2-week 2周 5 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 23 39.1% +39.1% -6.6% —

covers 30 of 58 fires 覆盖 58 次触发中的 30 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
cyclical 周期 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
distressed 困境 4 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
dividend defensive 红利防御 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
financial 金融 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
mixed 混合 4 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
rate sensitive 利率敏感 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
secular growth 长期成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 41 41.5% +39.0% -6.6% —

covers 0 of 58 fires 覆盖 58 次触发中的 0 次

F (AVOID — inverse)(规避 — 反向) F ACCRUING 累积中 104 58 18 1.9 54.4% +43.5% -1.8% — — — +0.6% -1.2% +0.0% +0.8%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 49.3% +41.5% -0.8% 29.1%
10d 51.7% +37.9% -1.8% 25.0%
21d 54.4% +43.5% -1.8% 30.4%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 12; dip usually before peak (52% of cases); median best gain 6.5%; median worst dip −4.8% 峰值通常第12日；下跌通常早于峰值（52%的情况）；中位最佳收益6.5%；中位最大回撤−4.8%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 8 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
1-week 1周 18 50.0% +33.3% -2.4% —
2-week 2周 7 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 13 61.5% +61.5% +2.5% —

covers 18 of 46 fires 覆盖 46 次触发中的 18 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
cyclical 周期 5 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
mixed 混合 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
rate sensitive 利率敏感 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 37 54.0% +46.0% -1.4% —

covers 0 of 46 fires 覆盖 46 次触发中的 0 次

F (yardstick)(基准) F ACCRUING 累积中 405 298 32 2.0 52.3% +43.0% -1.8% — — — -3.7% -3.7% 0.0% +0.7%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 47.8% +48.1% -0.1% 10.3%
10d 48.3% +45.7% -0.7% 30.4%
21d 52.3% +43.0% -1.8% 37.7%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 14; dip usually before peak (62% of cases); median best gain 5.8%; median worst dip −3.9% 峰值通常第14日；下跌通常早于峰值（62%的情况）；中位最佳收益5.8%；中位最大回撤−3.9%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 24 37.5% +25.0% -4.3% —
1-week 1周 41 58.5% +53.7% +0.8% —
2-week 2周 13 61.5% +46.2% -0.1% —
unmeasured 未测量 29 51.7% +41.4% -1.9% —

covers 78 of 107 fires 覆盖 107 次触发中的 78 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
cyclical 周期 4 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
distressed 困境 9 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
financial 金融 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
mixed 混合 11 45.5% +45.5% -3.1% —
rate sensitive 利率敏感 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 74 55.4% +43.2% -1.8% —

covers 11 of 107 fires 覆盖 107 次触发中的 11 次

G G ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

G G ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

H H ACCRUING 累积中 6 1 4 1.2 60.0% +20.0% -4.1% — — — -3.7% -4.0% -2.3% -1.6%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 83.3% +20.0% -3.2% 55.3%
10d 60.0% +20.0% -2.6% 59.9%
21d 60.0% +20.0% -4.1% 53.4%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 10; peak usually before dip (80% of cases); median best gain 3.3%; median worst dip −4.1% 峰值通常第10日；峰值通常早于下跌（80%的情况）；中位最佳收益3.3%；中位最大回撤−4.1%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
1-week 1周 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级

covers 0 of 5 fires 覆盖 5 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
cyclical 周期 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
mixed 混合 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级

covers 0 of 5 fires 覆盖 5 次触发中的 0 次

H H ACCRUING 累积中 30 13 10 1.7 58.8% +47.1% -1.4% — — — -1.8% -2.0% +0.4% +1.1%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 36.4% +25.0% -2.9% 6.8%
10d 50.0% +33.3% -0.5% 16.5%
21d 58.8% +47.1% -1.4% 60.6%
63d — — — —

Peak typically day 18; dip usually before peak (73% of cases); median best gain 6.5%; median worst dip −5.9% 峰值通常第18日；下跌通常早于峰值（73%的情况）；中位最佳收益6.5%；中位最大回撤−5.9%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示，个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 3 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
1-week 1周 6 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
2-week 2周 4 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 4 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级

covers 0 of 17 fires 覆盖 17 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
mixed 混合 2 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
secular growth 长期成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少，暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 13 53.8% +46.2% -1.4% —

covers 0 of 17 fires 覆盖 17 次触发中的 0 次

Books 1–4 price the flagship gate's speed cost — names whose 1D oscillators crossed before the 2D/3D gate prints. First operator read clock: 2026-08-20. Family A ruler: 21-day SPY-excess.书1–4定价旗舰门控的速度成本 — 1日振荡器在2D/3D门印发前穿越的名称。第一次操作员读取时钟：2026-08-20。A族标尺：21日SPY超额。

A 1D Pure (velocity gate) 1日纯速 (动能门) NN=217 · WR21 excWR21超额 +36.7% · ACCRUING 累积中
#3 TER —
Information Technology
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 5.0rsi14 50.0pct_vs_20dma -1.1off_52w_high_pct -23.5cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#6 FRBA —
Financial
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 6.0rsi14 47.0pct_vs_20dma -1.1off_52w_high_pct -5.7cycle_state BUY SOONfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#7 RL —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 33.0pct_vs_20dma -6.5off_52w_high_pct -18.5cycle_state AVOIDfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#8 NHC —
Health Care
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 6.0rsi14 53.0pct_vs_20dma -0.0off_52w_high_pct -5.0cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#9 MGY —
Energy
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 1.0rsi14 58.0pct_vs_20dma 2.3off_52w_high_pct -13.9cycle_state HALF SIZEfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#10 DAR —
Consumer Staples
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 1.0rsi14 55.0pct_vs_20dma 0.9off_52w_high_pct -2.9cycle_state HOLDfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#11 PWR —
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 5.0rsi14 44.0pct_vs_20dma -3.1off_52w_high_pct -21.2cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#12 AVO —
Consumer Defensive
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0rsi14 57.0pct_vs_20dma 2.1off_52w_high_pct -13.7cycle_state HALF SIZEfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
TER 2026-09-11 — open
FRBA 2026-09-11 — open
RL 2026-09-11 — open
NHC 2026-09-11 — open
MGY 2026-09-11 — open
DAR 2026-09-11 — open
PWR 2026-09-11 — open
AVO 2026-09-11 — open
ASML 2026-09-10 — open
OPBK 2026-09-10 — open
RNGR 2026-09-10 — open
UNTY 2026-09-10 — open
FCCO 2026-09-10 — open
NKSH 2026-09-10 — open
AMAT 2026-09-10 — open
IESC 2026-09-09 — open
FORM 2026-09-09 — open
LFUS 2026-09-09 — open
SPHB 2026-09-09 — open
MTSI 2026-09-09 — open
ORRF 2026-09-09 — open
HIFS 2026-09-08 — open
HIPO 2026-09-08 — open
LSCC 2026-09-04 — open
KEYS 2026-09-04 — open
FISI 2026-09-04 — open
BWB 2026-09-04 — open
GLNG 2026-09-04 — open
YETI 2026-09-03 — open
ECHO 2026-09-03 — open
A 1D Regime-filtered 1日制度过滤 NN=158 · WR21 excWR21超额 +28.7% · ACCRUING 累积中
#10 MATX —
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 3.0calm 1.0edge_alpha 1.7pct_vs_20dma 3.0off_52w_high_pct 0.0cycle_state DON'T CHASEfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#11 PEB —
Real Estate
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 1.0calm 1.0edge_alpha 1.63pct_vs_20dma -0.5off_52w_high_pct -8.5cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#12 COHR —
Information Technology
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 3.0calm 1.0edge_alpha 1.62pct_vs_20dma -0.2off_52w_high_pct -31.3cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
MATX 2026-09-11 — open
PEB 2026-09-11 — open
COHR 2026-09-11 — open
MSGS 2026-09-10 — open
DAR 2026-09-10 — open
TER 2026-09-10 — open
FORM 2026-09-10 — open
ROIV 2026-09-09 — open
AMAT 2026-09-09 — open
VICR 2026-09-09 — open
WSFS 2026-09-09 — open
STX 2026-09-08 — open
VLY 2026-09-08 — open
ASML 2026-09-08 — open
TMP 2026-09-04 — open
INTC 2026-09-03 — open
AMRX 2026-09-03 — open
NUE 2026-09-03 — open
CFFN 2026-09-03 — open
M 2026-09-03 — open
JBHT 2026-09-03 — open
STBA 2026-09-03 — open
CPF 2026-08-31 +1.2% matured
CNO 2026-08-31 +0.4% matured
LGND 2026-08-31 +1.2% matured
CHEF 2026-08-31 -5.5% matured
CALY 2026-08-31 -1.0% matured
GOOG 2026-08-31 -1.1% matured
DOCN 2026-08-28 +14.6% matured
NEO 2026-08-28 -1.8% matured
A 1D Sector-heat 1日板块热度 NN=217 · WR21 excWR21超额 +34.3% · ACCRUING 累积中
#9 COHR —
Information Technology
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage leadingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma -0.2off_52w_high_pct -31.3cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#10 ONTO —
Information Technology
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0sector_stage leadingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma -7.0off_52w_high_pct -28.9cycle_state BOTTOMING · EXTENDED — WAITfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#12 DIOD —
Information Technology
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage leadingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma -1.5off_52w_high_pct -25.3cycle_state HALF SIZEfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
COHR 2026-09-11 — open
ONTO 2026-09-11 — open
DIOD 2026-09-11 — open
RNGR 2026-09-10 — open
MGY 2026-09-10 — open
NHC 2026-09-10 — open
STT 2026-09-10 — open
BNY 2026-09-10 — open
MSGS 2026-09-10 — open
TKO 2026-09-10 — open
PRU 2026-09-10 — open
IRDM 2026-09-10 — open
WSFS 2026-09-10 — open
FORM 2026-09-09 — open
MTSI 2026-09-09 — open
TER 2026-09-09 — open
AMAT 2026-09-09 — open
ACMR 2026-09-09 — open
AEIS 2026-09-09 — open
LSCC 2026-09-08 — open
WRLD 2026-09-08 — open
KEYS 2026-09-08 — open
NVDA 2026-09-08 — open
LFUS 2026-09-08 — open
KLIC 2026-09-08 — open
GNE 2026-09-08 — open
ARLO 2026-09-08 — open
GLNG 2026-09-04 — open
AMG 2026-09-04 — open
HP 2026-09-04 — open
A 1D Blastoff (3D gate miss) 1日起飞 (3日门遗漏) NN=29 · WR21 excWR21超额 0.0% · ACCRUING 累积中

No picks today for this book.今日此书无选择。

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
STT 2026-09-08 — open
INTC 2026-09-08 — open
STX 2026-09-08 — open
CFFN 2026-09-08 — open
DELL 2026-09-08 — open
AMRX 2026-09-08 — open
CPF 2026-09-08 — open
WELL 2026-09-08 — open
VLY 2026-09-08 — open
ASML 2026-09-08 — open
JBHT 2026-09-08 — open
AMD 2026-09-08 — open
NAVN 2026-08-27 — open
PMPEX 2026-08-24 — open
SKYT 2026-07-31 — open
AVNS 2026-07-28 — open
APLE 2026-07-24 -4.0% matured
ADI 2026-07-24 -3.2% matured
CECO 2026-07-24 — open
ATRO 2026-07-24 — open
CSTM 2026-07-24 — open
HLIO 2026-07-24 — open
LION 2026-07-24 — open
MSGE 2026-07-24 — open
FCEL 2026-07-24 — open
NEXT 2026-07-24 — open
NUVB 2026-07-24 — open
KORE 2026-07-21 — open
QCOM 2026-07-17 -9.4% matured
On the Run Stocks热门板块个股 on_the_run sector context · Book 7热门板块背景 · 书7
# WDC $460.93
Information Technology
# FORM $112.12
Information Technology
# SNDK $1,692.59
Information Technology
# CIEN $334.56
Information Technology
# DGII $68.77
Information Technology
# TER $370.19
Information Technology
# KEYS $325.65
Information Technology
# AMAT $454.01
Information Technology
# ENVA $223.06
Financials
# MGY $27.70
Energy
# KLIC $82.97
Information Technology
# DAVE $358.36
Financials
# STT $191.30
Financials
# ACMR $72.39
Information Technology
# COHR $293.17
Information Technology
# NVDA $218.36
Information Technology
# HP $44.56
Energy
# CSCO $107.44
Information Technology
# ARLO $13.00
Information Technology
# DDOG $221.72
Information Technology
# IVZ $31.93
Financials
# DIOD $91.66
Information Technology
# LRCX $298.01
Information Technology
# ICHR $55.77
Information Technology
# MCY $102.65
Financials
# NTCT $37.44
Information Technology
# JKHY $161.42
Financials
# BFH $106.86
Financials
# KN $35.41
Information Technology
# BHE $73.98
Information Technology
Take Profits / Topping Stocks止盈/见顶个股 NOT buys — avoid / exit context非买入 — 规避/退出背景

Book 19 (Topping Avoid, INVERSE) — cycle_state TOP WATCH / ROLLING OVER or high RSI in take-profit sectors. Scored as avoid-accuracy: expected negative 21d excess. Do NOT treat these as buy signals.书19（顶部规避，反向）— 周期状态TOP WATCH / ROLLING OVER或止盈板块高RSI。评分为规避准确性：预期负21日超额。切勿将这些视为买入信号。

No topping names in the avoid list today.今日规避列表中无见顶名称。

Select a book to view today's picks and recently graded fires.选择一本书查看今日选择和最近评级触发。

A 1D Pure (velocity gate) 1日纯速 (动能门) N firesN触发=217 · WR21 excWR21超额 +36.7% · ACCRUING 累积中

Ruler标尺: 21d_spy_excess

#3 TER —
Information Technology
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 5.0rsi14 50.0pct_vs_20dma -1.1off_52w_high_pct -23.5cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#6 FRBA —
Financial
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 6.0rsi14 47.0pct_vs_20dma -1.1off_52w_high_pct -5.7cycle_state BUY SOONfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#7 RL —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 33.0pct_vs_20dma -6.5off_52w_high_pct -18.5cycle_state AVOIDfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#8 NHC —
Health Care
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 6.0rsi14 53.0pct_vs_20dma -0.0off_52w_high_pct -5.0cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#9 MGY —
Energy
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 1.0rsi14 58.0pct_vs_20dma 2.3off_52w_high_pct -13.9cycle_state HALF SIZEfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#10 DAR —
Consumer Staples
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 1.0rsi14 55.0pct_vs_20dma 0.9off_52w_high_pct -2.9cycle_state HOLDfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#11 PWR —
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 5.0rsi14 44.0pct_vs_20dma -3.1off_52w_high_pct -21.2cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#12 AVO —
Consumer Defensive
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0rsi14 57.0pct_vs_20dma 2.1off_52w_high_pct -13.7cycle_state HALF SIZEfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Get readypct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc ret21日超额回报 Status状态
TER 2026-09-11 — open
FRBA 2026-09-11 — open
RL 2026-09-11 — open
NHC 2026-09-11 — open
MGY 2026-09-11 — open
DAR 2026-09-11 — open
PWR 2026-09-11 — open
AVO 2026-09-11 — open
ASML 2026-09-10 — open
OPBK 2026-09-10 — open
RNGR 2026-09-10 — open
UNTY 2026-09-10 — open
FCCO 2026-09-10 — open
NKSH 2026-09-10 — open
AMAT 2026-09-10 — open
IESC 2026-09-09 — open
FORM 2026-09-09 — open
LFUS 2026-09-09 — open
SPHB 2026-09-09 — open
MTSI 2026-09-09 — open
ORRF 2026-09-09 — open
HIFS 2026-09-08 — open
HIPO 2026-09-08 — open
LSCC 2026-09-04 — open
KEYS 2026-09-04 — open
FISI 2026-09-04 — open
BWB 2026-09-04 — open
GLNG 2026-09-04 — open
YETI 2026-09-03 — open
ECHO 2026-09-03 — open
All fires (full history) — 217 全部触发（完整历史）— 217
Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
TER 2026-09-11 — open
RL 2026-09-11 — open
PWR 2026-09-11 — open
NHC 2026-09-11 — open
MGY 2026-09-11 — open
FRBA 2026-09-11 — open
DAR 2026-09-11 — open
AVO 2026-09-11 — open
UNTY 2026-09-10 — open
RNGR 2026-09-10 — open
OPBK 2026-09-10 — open
NKSH 2026-09-10 — open
FCCO 2026-09-10 — open
ASML 2026-09-10 — open
AMAT 2026-09-10 — open
SPHB 2026-09-09 — open
ORRF 2026-09-09 — open
MTSI 2026-09-09 — open
LFUS 2026-09-09 — open
IESC 2026-09-09 — open
FORM 2026-09-09 — open
HIPO 2026-09-08 — open
HIFS 2026-09-08 — open
LSCC 2026-09-04 — open
KEYS 2026-09-04 — open
GLNG 2026-09-04 — open
FISI 2026-09-04 — open
BWB 2026-09-04 — open
YETI 2026-09-03 — open
QCRH 2026-09-03 — open
FSBW 2026-09-03 — open
FMBH 2026-09-03 — open
ECHO 2026-09-03 — open
CTBI 2026-09-03 — open
BY 2026-09-03 — open
BUSE 2026-09-03 — open
ARLO 2026-09-03 — open
STRL 2026-08-31 +8.5% matured
ROK 2026-08-31 +2.0% matured
PTON 2026-08-31 -0.7% matured
MCB 2026-08-31 — open
HOV 2026-08-31 — open
GOOG 2026-08-31 -1.1% matured
CMPR 2026-08-31 — open
YOU 2026-08-28 -1.1% matured
DSP 2026-08-28 — open
PJT 2026-08-27 — matured
MAGS 2026-08-27 — open
CGNX 2026-08-27 — matured
MYRG 2026-08-26 -8.4% matured
MSM 2026-08-26 -3.6% matured
MCY 2026-08-26 +3.1% matured
MAGN 2026-08-26 — open
CPSS 2026-08-26 — open
AMG 2026-08-26 -1.4% matured
SEZL 2026-08-25 -1.5% matured
PGNY 2026-08-25 -0.2% matured
OPLN 2026-08-25 +0.1% matured
NLOP 2026-08-25 — open
IBEX 2026-08-25 — open
DGICA 2026-08-25 — open
AFRI 2026-08-25 — open
PBFS 2026-08-24 — open
ETSY 2026-08-24 -2.6% matured
ABX 2026-08-24 — open
PDM 2026-08-21 — open
HR 2026-08-21 -1.9% matured
DLO 2026-08-21 — open
DAVE 2026-08-21 +0.9% matured
CRAI 2026-08-21 — open
ASUR 2026-08-21 — open
XHR 2026-08-20 -0.3% matured
SHO 2026-08-20 -0.1% matured
FSV 2026-08-20 — open
EE 2026-08-20 — open
DRH 2026-08-20 -1.4% matured
CSX 2026-08-20 -1.1% matured
WPC 2026-08-19 -3.4% matured
PRSU 2026-08-19 +1.6% matured
GTY 2026-08-19 -2.4% matured
FLNG 2026-08-19 — open
ESE 2026-08-19 -2.2% matured
CASY 2026-08-19 -9.0% matured
ANDE 2026-08-19 -6.4% matured
AKR 2026-08-19 -1.7% matured
OCFC 2026-08-18 — open
HCSG 2026-08-18 +0.3% matured
CTO 2026-08-18 — open
CMRE 2026-08-18 — open
CMDB 2026-08-18 — open
ARLP 2026-08-18 — open
ABBV 2026-08-18 -0.8% matured
SONO 2026-08-17 -3.0% matured
RYZ 2026-08-17 — open
MUSA 2026-08-17 -4.9% matured
GNK 2026-08-17 — open
DJCO 2026-08-17 — open
ASC 2026-08-17 — open
WERN 2026-08-13 +1.4% matured
UNFI 2026-08-13 +0.6% matured
ODFL 2026-08-13 -0.8% matured
NTCT 2026-08-13 -1.6% matured
GNW 2026-08-13 -1.4% matured
ADM 2026-08-13 +1.8% matured
XOP 2026-08-12 — open
XLE 2026-08-12 +6.4% matured
TRGP 2026-08-12 +15.2% matured
MRTN 2026-08-12 -1.3% matured
JBHT 2026-08-12 -0.8% matured
HTLD 2026-08-12 -0.4% matured
FTI 2026-08-12 +3.3% matured
DAR 2026-08-12 +5.2% matured
COCO 2026-08-12 +1.9% matured
CL=F 2026-08-12 — open
BZ=F 2026-08-12 — open
ALKS 2026-08-12 -0.9% matured
YORW 2026-08-07 — open
WST 2026-08-07 -2.9% matured
WDFC 2026-08-07 -13.4% matured
SUPN 2026-08-07 -9.2% matured
PRG 2026-08-07 -9.6% matured
PCVX 2026-08-07 — open
PAL 2026-08-07 — open
LSTR 2026-08-07 -1.1% matured
KNX 2026-08-07 +1.8% matured
KLAC 2026-08-07 -3.6% matured
EXPD 2026-08-07 +6.6% matured
EGY 2026-08-07 — open
DX 2026-08-07 — open
DNLI 2026-08-07 — open
CNC 2026-08-07 -2.4% matured
BH 2026-08-07 — open
AUPH 2026-08-07 — open
MGY 2026-07-31 +10.4% matured
MFIN 2026-07-31 — open
CWEN 2026-07-31 -0.7% matured
AVBH 2026-07-31 — open
YOU 2026-07-30 -22.8% matured
WMK 2026-07-30 — open
RCMT 2026-07-30 — open
NECB 2026-07-30 — open
LIVN 2026-07-30 -3.1% matured
DIN 2026-07-30 — open
CTNM 2026-07-30 — open
BLCO 2026-07-30 — open
VLGEA 2026-07-29 — open
TDC 2026-07-29 -9.6% matured
NYT 2026-07-29 -13.8% matured
ITB 2026-07-29 — open
IMKTA 2026-07-29 — open
CRD-A 2026-07-29 — open
XHB 2026-07-28 — open
W 2026-07-28 — open
TILE 2026-07-28 +7.3% matured
MEDP 2026-07-28 -1.2% matured
MCY 2026-07-28 -11.0% matured
IDXX 2026-07-28 -10.0% matured
GSK 2026-07-28 — open
WSBF 2026-07-27 — open
VEL 2026-07-27 — open
SMHI 2026-07-27 — open
MTZ 2026-07-27 -23.8% matured
FCAP 2026-07-27 — open
XLB 2026-07-24 +0.6% matured
VRT 2026-07-24 -14.7% matured
SNDK 2026-07-24 +12.2% matured
P 2026-07-24 +34.9% matured
MYRG 2026-07-24 -23.4% matured
LXFR 2026-07-24 — open
JBL 2026-07-24 -4.5% matured
CW 2026-07-24 -21.7% matured
CIX 2026-07-24 — open
CIEN 2026-07-24 -0.9% matured
TER 2026-07-21 +1.7% matured
LFUS 2026-07-21 -3.0% matured
KVHI 2026-07-21 — open
KEYS 2026-07-21 -5.4% matured
GWW 2026-07-21 -5.8% matured
FRAF 2026-07-21 — open
CNK 2026-07-21 +12.4% matured
BLX 2026-07-21 — open
TPC 2026-07-20 +1.3% matured
PRM 2026-07-20 — open
NNI 2026-07-20 — open
NKSH 2026-07-20 — open
MRBK 2026-07-20 — open
MLR 2026-07-20 — open
JAKK 2026-07-20 — open
HWBK 2026-07-20 — open
YETI 2026-07-17 -18.3% matured
TJX 2026-07-17 -6.2% matured
STAA 2026-07-17 -0.6% matured
SHO 2026-07-17 -9.6% matured
MRP 2026-07-17 +0.5% matured
M 2026-07-17 -3.8% matured
FN 2026-07-17 -5.8% matured
FCNCA 2026-07-17 — open
EVR 2026-07-17 -13.9% matured
WY 2026-07-15 -3.0% matured
WMB 2026-07-15 -2.8% matured
VST 2026-07-15 -6.3% matured
ORCL 2026-07-15 +17.8% matured
IRM 2026-07-15 +3.0% matured
FCX 2026-07-15 +10.1% matured
ETN 2026-07-15 +10.8% matured
TGT 2026-07-13 +13.1% matured
STLD 2026-07-13 +10.0% matured
SATS 2026-07-13 — open
ROST 2026-07-13 +9.6% matured
QCOM 2026-07-13 -11.2% matured
NUE 2026-07-13 +13.3% matured
MS 2026-07-13 -6.6% matured
GM 2026-07-13 +10.1% matured
F 2026-07-13 -2.5% matured
EQIX 2026-07-13 +1.7% matured
COST 2026-07-13 +0.4% matured
CCI 2026-07-13 -9.2% matured
Early Turn Screen早期拐点筛选 BETA

As of截至 2026-09-11

Stocks washed out on the slow frame, first daily up-tick today. Watch — don't chase.慢框架超跌、当日日线首现回升的股票。观察为主，勿追高。

T0 = washed out on the slower frame and turning up on the same day. Beta — an early, unproven flag; not a buy signal.T0 = 在较慢的周期上已经跌透，当天在日线上开始转上来。测试中 — 早期提示，未经验证，不是买入信号。

Showing top 30 of显示前30，共 92 by liquidity按流动性排序

Ticker代码 Sector板块 Close收盘 Slow frame慢框架 Daily日线 Liquidity流动性
BRK-B Financials $507.00 washed out深度超跌 (K 30) turned up today今日上穿 $1.9B
ABBV Health Care $255.00 washed out深度超跌 (K 21) turned up today今日上穿 $1.1B
BKNG Consumer Discretionary $174.33 washed out深度超跌 (K 9) turned up today今日上穿 $1.0B
DASH Consumer Discretionary $201.03 washed out深度超跌 (K 22) turned up today今日上穿 $862M
RTX Industrials $198.12 washed out深度超跌 (K 0) turned up today今日上穿 $803M
UNP Industrials $285.78 washed out深度超跌 (K 0) turned up today今日上穿 $670M
HLT Consumer Discretionary $306.24 washed out深度超跌 (K 3) turned up today今日上穿 $539M
TTWO Communication Services $216.96 washed out深度超跌 (K 4) turned up today今日上穿 $537M
MNST Consumer Staples $43.09 washed out深度超跌 (K 0) turned up today今日上穿 $439M
GD Industrials $354.25 washed out深度超跌 (K 0) turned up today今日上穿 $318M
VTR Real Estate $90.44 washed out深度超跌 (K 6) turned up today今日上穿 $261M
ADSK Information Technology $211.61 washed out深度超跌 (K 24) turned up today今日上穿 —
EXPE Consumer Discretionary $276.88 washed out深度超跌 (K 5) turned up today今日上穿 —
FICO Information Technology $960.67 washed out深度超跌 (K 15) turned up today今日上穿 —
WST Health Care $344.25 washed out深度超跌 (K 9) turned up today今日上穿 —
ACHC Health Care $28.53 washed out深度超跌 (K 8) turned up today今日上穿 —
ALKS Health Care $46.11 washed out深度超跌 (K 3) turned up today今日上穿 —
ANIP Health Care $71.46 washed out深度超跌 (K 8) turned up today今日上穿 —
CARG Communication Services $33.30 washed out深度超跌 (K 3) turned up today今日上穿 —
CXM Information Technology $5.44 washed out深度超跌 (K 9) turned up today今日上穿 —
DRH Real Estate $12.18 washed out深度超跌 (K 3) turned up today今日上穿 —
GSHD Financials $56.44 washed out深度超跌 (K 18) turned up today今日上穿 —
JJSF Consumer Staples $82.56 washed out深度超跌 (K 27) turned up today今日上穿 —
LGND Health Care $289.25 washed out深度超跌 (K 22) turned up today今日上穿 —
OSIS Information Technology $201.25 washed out深度超跌 (K 5) turned up today今日上穿 —
PFBC Financials $103.90 washed out深度超跌 (K 9) turned up today今日上穿 —
PGNY Health Care $27.08 washed out深度超跌 (K 19) turned up today今日上穿 —
PRSU Consumer Discretionary $48.12 washed out深度超跌 (K 19) turned up today今日上穿 —
QNST Communication Services $18.03 washed out深度超跌 (K 10) turned up today今日上穿 —
SHO Real Estate $10.97 washed out深度超跌 (K 7) turned up today今日上穿 —

First maturation ETA首次到期预计时间: 2027-01-05 (126 trading days交易日)

Long-hold grids accrue at a 126/252-day horizon. No verdict language before maturation. Ruler: 126d/252d sector-relative + SPY-excess, descriptive only.长持网格以126/252日地平线累积。到期前无结论语言。标尺：126日/252日板块相对+SPY超额，仅描述性。

⚠️ Firewall防火墙: Long-hold grids are display-only and never feed entry surfaces (PL-R6). Promotion of any LH grid belongs to the long-hold program (G1), not this lab.长持网格仅供展示，永不进入入场界面（PL-R6）。任何LH网格的晋升属于长持项目（G1），而非本实验室。

As of截至 2026-09-11

LH LH Compounder Grid 长持复利网格 ACCRUING 累积中

No long-hold picks today for this grid.今日此网格无长持选择。

Recent long-hold fires近期长持触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Status状态
TPR 2026-08-13 open
RNG 2026-08-12 open
SAM 2026-08-12 open
DOCU 2026-07-20 open
VRSK 2026-07-17 open
MRP 2026-07-17 open
MANH 2026-07-17 open
CARG 2026-07-17 open
DBX 2026-07-17 open
DPZ 2026-07-17 open
YOU 2026-07-17 open
CL 2026-07-17 open
CHWY 2026-07-17 open
WINA 2026-07-17 open
All fires (full history) — 14 全部触发（完整历史）— 14
Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
TPR 2026-08-13 — open
SAM 2026-08-12 — open
RNG 2026-08-12 — open
DOCU 2026-07-20 — open
YOU 2026-07-17 — open
WINA 2026-07-17 — open
VRSK 2026-07-17 — open
MRP 2026-07-17 — open
MANH 2026-07-17 — open
DPZ 2026-07-17 — open
DBX 2026-07-17 — open
CL 2026-07-17 — open
CHWY 2026-07-17 — open
CARG 2026-07-17 — open
LH LH EDGE Durability (no-gate control) 长持EDGE耐久（无门控对照） ACCRUING 累积中 CONTROL

No-gate control — measures EDGE persistence without entry conditions; not a pick list 无门控对照——衡量EDGE在无入场条件下的持久性；非选股列表

No long-hold picks today for this grid.今日此网格无长持选择。

Recent long-hold fires近期长持触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Status状态
FIVE 2026-09-09 open
CIEN 2026-09-08 open
VLO 2026-09-03 open
LPG 2026-08-31 open
PBF 2026-08-31 open
CHEF 2026-08-25 open
AMG 2026-08-24 open
IESC 2026-08-24 open
HWM 2026-08-21 open
DAR 2026-08-20 open
LFST 2026-08-18 open
INDV 2026-08-18 open
ECHO 2026-08-17 open
AMKR 2026-08-13 open
CNC 2026-08-12 open
FTNT 2026-08-07 open
LRCX 2026-08-07 open
COHU 2026-08-07 open
FORM 2026-07-31 open
MXL 2026-07-28 open
All fires (full history) — 42 全部触发（完整历史）— 42
Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
FIVE 2026-09-09 — open
CIEN 2026-09-08 — open
VLO 2026-09-03 — open
PBF 2026-08-31 — open
LPG 2026-08-31 — open
CHEF 2026-08-25 — open
IESC 2026-08-24 — open
AMG 2026-08-24 — open
HWM 2026-08-21 — open
DAR 2026-08-20 — open
LFST 2026-08-18 — open
INDV 2026-08-18 — open
ECHO 2026-08-17 — open
AMKR 2026-08-13 — open
CNC 2026-08-12 — open
LRCX 2026-08-07 — open
FTNT 2026-08-07 — open
COHU 2026-08-07 — open
FORM 2026-07-31 — open
MXL 2026-07-28 — open
XHR 2026-07-20 — open
TER 2026-07-20 — open
PENG 2026-07-20 — open
HR 2026-07-20 — open
VSXY 2026-07-17 — open
UFCS 2026-07-17 — open
STRL 2026-07-17 — open
STAA 2026-07-17 — open
SPHR 2026-07-17 — open
MCY 2026-07-17 — open
KLIC 2026-07-17 — open
HPE 2026-07-17 — open
WDC 2026-07-13 — open
VRT 2026-07-13 — open
TRGP 2026-07-13 — open
TJX 2026-07-13 — open
SNDK 2026-07-13 — open
ROST 2026-07-13 — open
NUE 2026-07-13 — open
CSX 2026-07-13 — open
AMD 2026-07-13 — open
AMAT 2026-07-13 — open
LH LH Washout Survivor Grid 长持洗盘幸存网格 ACCRUING 累积中

No long-hold picks today for this grid.今日此网格无长持选择。

Recent long-hold fires近期长持触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Status状态
SNDK 2026-09-09 open
CPRI 2026-09-03 open
WDAY 2026-08-24 open
EPAM 2026-08-21 open
PODD 2026-08-20 open
UPWK 2026-08-20 open
IT 2026-08-20 open
ACI 2026-07-24 open
MANH 2026-07-17 open
WS 2026-07-17 open
CHWY 2026-07-17 open
PTON 2026-07-17 open
HIMS 2026-07-17 open
ADBE 2026-07-17 open
PEGA 2026-07-17 open
APPF 2026-07-17 open
PINS 2026-07-17 open
PGNY 2026-07-17 open
All fires (full history) — 18 全部触发（完整历史）— 18
Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
SNDK 2026-09-09 — open
CPRI 2026-09-03 — open
WDAY 2026-08-24 — open
EPAM 2026-08-21 — open
UPWK 2026-08-20 — open
PODD 2026-08-20 — open
IT 2026-08-20 — open
ACI 2026-07-24 — open
WS 2026-07-17 — open
PTON 2026-07-17 — open
PINS 2026-07-17 — open
PGNY 2026-07-17 — open
PEGA 2026-07-17 — open
MANH 2026-07-17 — open
HIMS 2026-07-17 — open
CHWY 2026-07-17 — open
APPF 2026-07-17 — open
ADBE 2026-07-17 — open
LH LH EDGE Durability B (gated) 长持EDGE耐久B（有门控） ACCRUING 累积中
#9 MPC —
Energy
EDGE decilequality>0sector cap 3

Recent long-hold fires近期长持触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Status状态
MPC 2026-09-11 open
FIVE 2026-09-09 open
CIEN 2026-09-08 open
TALO 2026-09-03 open
PTGX 2026-08-31 open
IESC 2026-08-24 open
CHEF 2026-08-20 open
LFST 2026-08-18 open
HWM 2026-08-18 open
INDV 2026-08-17 open
AMD 2026-08-12 open
VLO 2026-08-12 open
FORM 2026-08-07 open
ECHO 2026-08-07 open
ENVA 2026-08-07 open
CNC 2026-07-30 open
TER 2026-07-29 open
PARR 2026-07-29 open
HCSG 2026-07-27 open
MAC 2026-07-21 open
All fires (full history) — 33 全部触发（完整历史）— 33
Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
MPC 2026-09-11 — open
FIVE 2026-09-09 — open
CIEN 2026-09-08 — open
TALO 2026-09-03 — open
PTGX 2026-08-31 — open
IESC 2026-08-24 — open
CHEF 2026-08-20 — open
LFST 2026-08-18 — open
HWM 2026-08-18 — open
INDV 2026-08-17 — open
VLO 2026-08-12 — open
AMD 2026-08-12 — open
FORM 2026-08-07 — open
ENVA 2026-08-07 — open
ECHO 2026-08-07 — open
CNC 2026-07-30 — open
TER 2026-07-29 — open
PARR 2026-07-29 — open
HCSG 2026-07-27 — open
MAC 2026-07-21 — open
ROST 2026-07-20 — open
LBRT 2026-07-20 — open
JBHT 2026-07-20 — open
WDC 2026-07-17 — open
VSXY 2026-07-17 — open
STRL 2026-07-17 — open
STAA 2026-07-17 — open
SPHR 2026-07-17 — open
SNDK 2026-07-17 — open
MCY 2026-07-17 — open
KLIC 2026-07-17 — open
HR 2026-07-17 — open
GIII 2026-07-17 — open
Board Record 选板记录

How well has the US Buy Board identified winners before they moved? Record is measuring — first read expected ~Sep 15 2026 when cluster-unit floors are met (SA-R10). 美国买入板过去是否提前识别到赢家？记录正在累积中——首次读取预计2026年9月15日（集群单元下限达到，SA-R10）。

ACCRUING — first read ~Sep 15 2026 累积中 — 首次读取约2026年9月15日
Stratified Scoreboard 分层记分板
Stratum层 Raw n原始n Eff. n有效n State状态
by_lane — — —
by_quad_hard_label — — —
by_vol_regime — — —
by_risk_radar_state — — —
by_outcome_cause — — —
by_process_fault — — —
by_sector — — —
upstream_concordance — — —
Outcome Causes 结果原因
Measuring — outcome-cause breakdown available once attribution rows mature. 测量中——结果原因分解在归因行成熟后可用。
Process Faults 流程缺陷
Measuring — process-fault breakdown available once attribution rows mature. 测量中——流程缺陷分解在归因行成熟后可用。
pp Lost on Surfaced Losers 已浮现亏损者损失pp
Sensor maturing — available once winner/loser attribution accumulates. 传感器累积中——赢家/亏损者归因积累后可用。
pp Forgone on Unsurfaced Winners 未浮现赢家错失pp
Sensor maturing — available once missed-mover census accumulates. 传感器累积中——遗漏动向普查积累后可用。
Coverage Monitor 覆盖率监控
231 unique tickers surfaced (trailing 4wk) 个独特代码（近4周）
Frozen baseline: 冻结基准： —
Week周 Tickers代码数
2026-06-15/2026-06-21 182
2026-06-22/2026-06-28 209
2026-06-29/2026-07-05 78
2026-07-06/2026-07-12 56
2026-07-13/2026-07-19 88
2026-07-20/2026-07-26 69
2026-07-27/2026-08-02 5
Upstream Concordance 上游一致性

Gate suppressed: data_gap: near_miss store lacks excess_spy column 门控被抑制：data_gap: near_miss store lacks excess_spy column

Organ器官 Discordance rate不一致率 n
risk_radar_state 17.6% —

Authority: display_only. All numbers from committed audit artifacts (SA-W1). Cluster-unit CIs per SA-R10. No verdict language before floor (raw n ≥25, eff. n ≥3, ≥3 calendar months). 授权：仅展示。所有数字来自已提交审计工件（SA-W1）。集群单元置信区间按SA-R10。下限（原始n≥25、有效n≥3、≥3个日历月）前无结论语言。 · As of截至 2026-08-08

What this lab measures本实验室测量什么

23 frozen candidate pick engines run in parallel on forward ledgers. Each book fires picks nightly; those picks are graded when the horizon elapses. Nothing here drives live selection. The purpose is evidence accrual: let the data tell us which constructions are worth a formal gauntlet.23个冻结候选选股引擎在前向账本上并行运行。每本书每晚触发选择；当地平线经过时，这些选择被评级。这里没有任何内容驱动实时选股。目的是证据累积：让数据告诉我们哪些构造值得正式考验。

Rulers (per family, pre-declared — PL-R3)标尺（每族，预先声明 — PL-R3）

  • Families A, B, D, E, F: primary ruler = 21-trading-day SPY-excess (win rate + median excess). 5/10/63d recorded as descriptive ladder.A、B、D、E、F族：主标尺 = 21交易日SPY超额（胜率+中位超额）。5/10/63日记录为描述性阶梯。
  • Family C (Washout/Reversion): primary ruler = 21-session absolute reversion-capture + MFE/MAE asymmetry. 63d excess is the wrong ruler here.C族（洗盘/均值回归）：主标尺 = 21节绝对均值回归捕获 + MFE/MAE非对称。63日超额在此为错误标尺。
  • Book 19 (Topping Avoid, INVERSE): scored as avoid-accuracy — expected negative 21d excess.书19（顶部规避，反向）：评分为规避准确性 — 预期负21日超额。
  • Long-hold grids: 126d and 252d sector-relative + SPY-excess, descriptive only.长持网格：126日和252日板块相对+SPY超额，仅描述性。

Secondary horizons (pre-declared before any data matured — Amendment §A2)辅助地平线（数据成熟前预先声明 — 修正案§A2）

  • 1D-velocity books (Family A) are also judged at 10 days — declared before any data matured, because 1D triggers lead the 3D gate by about 2 sessions and burst edges can decay fast. 1日动能书（A族）同样在10日评判——在任何数据成熟前已声明，因为1日触发比3日门控提前约2节，且爆发性优势消退较快。
  • Momentum and quality books (Families B and D) are also judged at 63 days — declared before any data matured, because breakout and EDGE theses need room to run and often take weeks to pay out. 动能与质量书（B族和D族）同样在63日评判——在任何数据成熟前已声明，因为突破和EDGE论点需要时间兑现，往往需要数周。
  • Picking a book's best-looking horizon after grades are in is forbidden — that is a multiple-comparisons trap. Only these pre-declared horizons earn verdict language. 禁止在评级出来后才选择表现最佳的地平线——这是多重比较陷阱。只有这些预先声明的地平线才能使用结论性语言。

What "time-to-peak" and "capture rate" mean"峰值时间"与"捕获率"含义

The scoreboard detail row shows how a typical trade played out over 25 sessions after entry. Time-to-peak (median session of the best gain) tells you how long the move usually takes to reach its high point — so a peak on day 8 with a 21-day exit means you are typically selling after the move has already rolled over. Capture rate is what fraction of that best gain you actually keep at a given exit horizon — a 10-day exit with 70% capture means a typical hold of 10 days keeps about 70 cents of every peak dollar. These are descriptive numbers, not targets; they help you decide which exit horizon fits the thesis. 记分板详情行显示了入场后25节内一笔典型交易的表现。峰值时间（最佳收益的中位节次）告诉你走势通常需要多久才能到达高点——例如第8日见顶而21日退出，意味着你通常是在走势已经回落后才卖出。捕获率是在某一退出地平线实际保留的最佳收益比例——10日退出70%捕获率意味着持有10日通常能保留约每个峰值美元的70分。这些是描述性数字，不是目标；它们帮助你判断哪个退出地平线符合论点。

Controls (PL-R5)控制变量（PL-R5）

Every book is measured against two yardsticks. Random-names control (live now): 12 uniform-random liquid names per day with a deterministic seed — measures selection skill, pinned in the scoreboard. Universe base rate and timing lift: the buy-anytime return across all snapshot tickers and a timing-only control are arriving as grades mature — the column shows a dash until then. A book needs to beat both to claim an edge. 每本书均与两个基准比较。随机名称控制（现已上线）：每日12个确定性种子的均匀随机流动名称——衡量选股技能，固定在记分板中。全市场基准率与时机提升：全部快照代码的随时买入回报及纯时机控制将随评级成熟而填入——届时前列显示破折号。一本书需要同时超越两者才能宣称存在优势。

ACCRUING floor (PL-R4)累积下限（PL-R4）

No verdict language before n≥25 fires spanning ≥3 calendar months and ≥6 distinct fire dates.在n≥25次触发跨越≥3个日历月和≥6个不同触发日期之前，无结论语言。 Until then, the status badge reads ACCRUING. Even past the floor, this page shows descriptive summaries only.在此之前，状态徽章显示ACCRUING。即使超过下限，此页面也仅显示描述性摘要。

What promotion would take (PL-R1)晋升所需条件（PL-R1）

Promotion of any book beyond display-tier requires the existing gauntlet: n≥25 fires across ≥3 months, a time-preserving placebo (no ticker-cluster CIs without time control), and pre-registered outcome gates. The lab contributes forward evidence only. Operator daily review (PL-R8) is a sanctioned selection heuristic for gauntlet slots — never promotion evidence by itself.任何书超越展示层级的晋升都需要现有的考验：跨越≥3个月的n≥25次触发，时间保留安慰剂（没有无时间控制的代码集群置信区间），以及预先注册的结果门控。实验室仅提供前向证据。操作员每日审查（PL-R8）是考验槽位的制裁选择启发式 — 本身从不是晋升证据。

Frozen configs (PL-R2)冻结配置（PL-R2）

Every book registers a frozen config + config_hash at ship time. Any parameter change ships as engine_id-v2 with a fresh ledger. Ledgers are never edited or re-scored in place.每本书在发布时注册一个冻结配置+config_hash。任何参数更改以engine_id-v2发布，带有新账本。账本永不就地编辑或重新评分。

Candidate families候选族

  • A — 1D Velocity: 4 books pricing the flagship gate's speed cost on fast movers. Clock: 2026-08-20.4本书定价旗舰门控在快速移动者上的速度成本。时钟：2026-08-20。
  • B — Momentum: 4 books (breakout-vol, residual-momentum, OTR pullback, high-base squeeze).4本书（突破量能、残差动能、OTR回调、高位基建盘整）。
  • C — Washout/Reversion: 3 books; absolute reversion ruler, not SPY-excess.3本书；绝对均值回归标尺，而非SPY超额。
  • D — EDGE/Quality: 3 books (EDGE pure, EDGE×1D, quality pullback).3本书（纯EDGE、EDGE×1日、优质回调）。
  • E — Context/Personality: 2 books (beta-squeeze, revision-accel).2本书（Beta压缩、预测加速上修）。
  • F — Ablations + Control: 4 books including flagship-nogate, flagship-T3/T4, topping-avoid (INVERSE), and the random control yardstick.4本书，包括旗舰无门控、旗舰T3/T4、顶部规避（反向）和随机控制基准。
  • LH — Long-Hold: 3 grids (compounder, EDGE durability, washout survivor). Firewalled from entry surfaces.3个网格（复利、EDGE耐久、洗盘幸存）。与入场界面隔离。

Notes from last run上次运行说明

Display-only forward-evidence lab. All books ACCRUING until n≥25 fires / ≥3 months / ≥6 distinct fire dates. plab_random_ctrl = yardstick (buy-anytime base rate). Authority: display_only. Never gates or scores anything.

Authority: display_only. All rows carry authority: "display_only" per PL-R10.授权：仅展示。所有行按照PL-R10携带授权："display_only"。 · Built生成时间 2026-09-12 08:49 UTC