Pick Lab · Display-only · ACCRUINGPick Lab · 仅展示 · 累积中

Candidate Pick Engines候选选股引擎

23 shadow books running on forward ledgers — measured against a random-control yardstick before any book earns operator attention. All data is display-only; nothing here drives live selection or gating.23个影子书在前向账本上运行 — 在任何书获得操作员关注之前,均与随机控制基准对比衡量。所有数据仅供展示;这里没有任何内容驱动实时选股或门控。

As of截至 2026-10-19 · Built生成时间 2026-10-21 06:57 UTC

Liquidity流动性 expanding
How to read this table:如何阅读此表: All 20 entry books are measured against the Random Control yardstick (pinned at bottom). ACCRUING = fewer than 25 fires across 3 months — do not act on these numbers yet; they are honest samples, not evidence. The ruler for Family C (washout) is absolute reversion-capture, not SPY-excess.所有20个入场书均与随机控制基准(固定在底部)进行比较。ACCRUING = 3个月内少于25次触发 — 暂不据此行动;这些是诚实样本,而非证据。C族(洗盘)的标尺是绝对均值回归捕获,而非SPY超额。
Book书本 Fam族 Status状态 N firesN触发 N openN开放 Dates日期 Mo span月跨 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MFE medMFE中位 MAE medMAE中位 Asym非对称 NAV exc cumNAV累积超额 Max DD最大回撤 vs Rand对比随机 vs Univ对比全市场
A A SCOREABLE 可评分 324 185 47 3.2 42.4% +38.9% -2.5% -0.9% 18.9% -0.05 -4.3% -5.5% +1.5% +1.5%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 180 47.8% +45.0% -0.4% -2.1%
10d 172 46.5% +41.6% -1.1% -2.7%
21d 139 42.4% +38.9% -2.5% -11.2%
63d 27 48.1% +29.6% -3.0% 3.4%

Peak typically day 11; peak usually before dip (55% of cases); median best gain 5.5%; median worst dip −6.7% 峰值通常第11日;峰值通常早于下跌(55%的情况);中位最佳收益5.5%;中位最大回撤−6.7%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 33 51.5% +48.5% -0.2% —
1-week 1周 33 54.5% +42.4% -2.5% —
2-week 2周 20 30.0% +30.0% -3.9% —
unmeasured 未测量 53 34.0% +34.0% -3.1% 18.9%

covers 86 of 139 fires 覆盖 139 次触发中的 86 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
cyclical 周期 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
distressed 困境 3 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
financial 金融 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
mixed 混合 6 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
rate sensitive 利率敏感 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
secular growth 长期成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 114 35.1% +32.5% -2.9% 18.9%

covers 0 of 139 fires 覆盖 139 次触发中的 0 次

A A SCOREABLE 可评分 239 73 45 3.2 40.4% +33.7% -2.9% -0.2% 9.1% -0.02 -6.5% -7.4% +1.1% +1.1%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 216 51.8% +47.3% -0.3% 2.5%
10d 203 47.3% +42.9% -1.1% 4.0%
21d 166 40.4% +33.7% -2.9% -17.5%
63d 34 47.1% +32.4% -5.5% -7.1%

Peak typically day 11; peak usually before dip (58% of cases); median best gain 4.4%; median worst dip −6.8% 峰值通常第11日;峰值通常早于下跌(58%的情况);中位最佳收益4.4%;中位最大回撤−6.8%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 57 33.3% +24.6% -5.4% —
1-week 1周 44 52.3% +45.5% -0.7% —
2-week 2周 18 44.4% +44.4% -1.9% —
unmeasured 未测量 47 36.2% +29.8% -2.8% 9.1%

covers 119 of 166 fires 覆盖 166 次触发中的 119 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 3 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
cyclical 周期 9 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
distressed 困境 3 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
financial 金融 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
mixed 混合 10 60.0% +50.0% -0.9% —
rate sensitive 利率敏感 3 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 3 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 128 36.7% +30.5% -3.0% 9.1%

covers 10 of 166 fires 覆盖 166 次触发中的 10 次

A A SCOREABLE 可评分 319 134 45 3.2 46.0% +36.2% -2.7% -0.9% 16.8% -0.05 -6.7% -6.9% +1.3% +1.3%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 236 42.4% +41.1% -0.7% -8.5%
10d 220 47.7% +42.9% -1.2% 3.9%
21d 185 46.0% +36.2% -2.7% 9.6%
63d 33 33.3% +27.3% -5.9% -45.4%

Peak typically day 10; peak usually before dip (55% of cases); median best gain 4.1%; median worst dip −6.3% 峰值通常第10日;峰值通常早于下跌(55%的情况);中位最佳收益4.1%;中位最大回撤−6.3%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 57 47.4% +42.1% -2.1% 16.8%
1-week 1周 41 41.5% +31.7% -3.1% —
2-week 2周 31 45.2% +32.3% -3.1% —
unmeasured 未测量 56 48.2% +35.7% -2.9% 15.6%

covers 129 of 185 fires 覆盖 185 次触发中的 129 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
cyclical 周期 4 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
deep value 深度价值 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
distressed 困境 6 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
financial 金融 4 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
mixed 混合 10 80.0% +80.0% +1.5% —
quality compounder 优质复利 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
rate sensitive 利率敏感 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 148 44.6% +33.8% -2.8% 16.8%

covers 10 of 185 fires 覆盖 185 次触发中的 10 次

A A ACCRUING 累积中 34 20 12 2.9 35.7% +21.4% -5.0% — — — -9.7% -9.3% -1.0% -1.0%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 15 26.7% +46.7% -0.6% -15.6%
10d 14 42.9% +35.7% -2.7% -14.9%
21d 14 35.7% +21.4% -5.0% -186.8%
63d 1 100.0% 0.0% -1.8% 33.7%

Peak typically day 5; peak usually before dip (57% of cases); median best gain 2.9%; median worst dip −7.0% 峰值通常第5日;峰值通常早于下跌(57%的情况);中位最佳收益2.9%;中位最大回撤−7.0%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 6 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
1-week 1周 3 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
2-week 2周 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 3 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级

covers 0 of 14 fires 覆盖 14 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 10 30.0% +20.0% -5.0% —

covers 0 of 14 fires 覆盖 14 次触发中的 0 次

B B SCOREABLE 可评分 62 12 25 3.1 48.0% +26.0% -2.9% — — — -5.5% -6.2% +1.1% +1.1%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 58 36.2% +30.9% -2.9% -17.5%
10d 56 39.3% +28.8% -2.3% -18.0%
21d 50 48.0% +26.0% -2.9% 17.9%
63d 3 0.0% 0.0% -16.6% -557.9%

Peak typically day 9; peak usually before dip (60% of cases); median best gain 3.2%; median worst dip −5.7% 峰值通常第9日;峰值通常早于下跌(60%的情况);中位最佳收益3.2%;中位最大回撤−5.7%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 17 47.1% +29.4% -2.4% —
1-week 1周 19 47.4% +15.8% -3.8% —
2-week 2周 8 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 6 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级

covers 36 of 50 fires 覆盖 50 次触发中的 36 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
cyclical 周期 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
deep value 深度价值 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
distressed 困境 7 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
financial 金融 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
mixed 混合 8 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
rate sensitive 利率敏感 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
secular growth 长期成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 16 62.5% +31.2% -1.0% —

covers 0 of 50 fires 覆盖 50 次触发中的 0 次

B B SCOREABLE 可评分 76 20 26 3.2 33.9% +32.1% -3.1% — — — -17.1% -16.9% +0.9% +0.9%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 67 41.8% +43.8% -0.7% 1.6%
10d 63 34.9% +28.8% -4.1% -21.8%
21d 56 33.9% +32.1% -3.1% -20.4%
63d 17 35.3% +5.9% -14.1% -16.0%

Peak typically day 12; peak usually before dip (55% of cases); median best gain 4.1%; median worst dip −10.3% 峰值通常第12日;峰值通常早于下跌(55%的情况);中位最佳收益4.1%;中位最大回撤−10.3%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 16 31.2% +31.2% -4.1% —
1-week 1周 18 33.3% +27.8% -2.7% —
2-week 2周 6 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 16 43.8% +43.8% -3.9% —

covers 34 of 56 fires 覆盖 56 次触发中的 34 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
cyclical 周期 4 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 6 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
mixed 混合 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 38 39.5% +36.8% -2.5% —

covers 0 of 56 fires 覆盖 56 次触发中的 0 次

B B ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 0 — — — —
10d 0 — — — —
21d 0 — — — —
63d 0 — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

B B SCOREABLE 可评分 240 188 45 3.1 40.4% +32.7% -3.3% — — — -5.7% -6.2% +0.7% +0.6%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 64 50.0% +48.1% -0.1% 0.4%
10d 60 45.0% +45.8% -0.7% -12.6%
21d 52 40.4% +32.7% -3.3% -25.3%
63d 14 35.7% +35.7% -3.9% -18.6%

Peak typically day 10; peak usually before dip (62% of cases); median best gain 5.6%; median worst dip −7.4% 峰值通常第10日;峰值通常早于下跌(62%的情况);中位最佳收益5.6%;中位最大回撤−7.4%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 12 58.3% +50.0% +0.8% —
1-week 1周 14 28.6% +21.4% -3.3% —
2-week 2周 4 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 22 40.9% +31.8% -4.5% —

covers 26 of 52 fires 覆盖 52 次触发中的 26 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
cyclical 周期 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
distressed 困境 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
financial 金融 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
quality compounder 优质复利 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 45 40.0% +33.3% -3.6% —

covers 0 of 52 fires 覆盖 52 次触发中的 0 次

C C SCOREABLE 可评分 127 106 34 3.1 38.1% +38.1% -4.8% — — — -16.2% -15.9% +2.4% +42.1%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 26 53.8% +47.6% -1.0% 6.4%
10d 25 68.0% +64.0% +3.2% 29.1%
21d 21 38.1% +38.1% -4.8% 51.3%
63d 3 66.7% +66.7% +4.2% 15.5%

Peak typically day 15; dip usually before peak (56% of cases); median best gain 11.1%; median worst dip −6.9% 峰值通常第15日;下跌通常早于峰值(56%的情况);中位最佳收益11.1%;中位最大回撤−6.9%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
1-week 1周 3 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
2-week 2周 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 8 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级

covers 0 of 21 fires 覆盖 21 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 20 35.0% +35.0% -5.0% —

covers 0 of 21 fires 覆盖 21 次触发中的 0 次

C C ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 0 — — — —
10d 0 — — — —
21d 0 — — — —
63d 0 — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

C C SCOREABLE 可评分 54 15 16 3.1 41.0% +35.9% -2.4% — — — -7.5% -7.6% +5.3% +45.0%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 47 42.5% +46.8% -1.1% 5.0%
10d 46 45.6% +43.5% -1.4% 30.2%
21d 39 41.0% +35.9% -2.4% -47.6%
63d 12 50.0% +33.3% -5.5% -47.9%

Peak typically day 10; peak usually before dip (63% of cases); median best gain 8.2%; median worst dip −9.1% 峰值通常第10日;峰值通常早于下跌(63%的情况);中位最佳收益8.2%;中位最大回撤−9.1%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 4 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
2-week 2周 6 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 29 44.8% +37.9% -2.4% —

covers 0 of 39 fires 覆盖 39 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
unlabeled 未标注 39 41.0% +35.9% -2.4% —

covers 0 of 39 fires 覆盖 39 次触发中的 0 次

D D SCOREABLE 可评分 91 25 37 3.2 45.5% +37.9% -3.8% 22.0% 5.7% 3.87 -5.6% -8.0% +0.2% +0.2%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 80 42.5% +45.6% -0.8% -2.1%
10d 75 45.3% +40.3% -1.8% 3.1%
21d 66 45.5% +37.9% -3.8% 2.7%
63d 22 27.3% +13.6% -14.9% -87.6%

Peak typically day 13; dip usually before peak (55% of cases); median best gain 7.7%; median worst dip −7.0% 峰值通常第13日;下跌通常早于峰值(55%的情况);中位最佳收益7.7%;中位最大回撤−7.0%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 19 47.4% +47.4% -0.5% 5.7%
1-week 1周 15 46.7% +33.3% -3.0% —
2-week 2周 10 50.0% +30.0% -3.8% —
unmeasured 未测量 22 40.9% +36.4% -7.0% —

covers 44 of 66 fires 覆盖 66 次触发中的 44 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
cyclical 周期 3 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 7 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
mixed 混合 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
secular growth 长期成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 48 45.8% +37.5% -4.9% 5.7%

covers 0 of 66 fires 覆盖 66 次触发中的 0 次

D D SCOREABLE 可评分 196 50 43 3.2 45.2% +41.8% -1.5% — — — -3.0% -5.0% +2.4% +2.4%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 183 47.5% +44.2% -0.9% -1.8%
10d 176 48.3% +41.5% -0.9% 9.9%
21d 146 45.2% +41.8% -1.5% 6.5%
63d 28 42.9% +28.6% -6.7% -7.1%

Peak typically day 13; peak usually before dip (52% of cases); median best gain 5.9%; median worst dip −7.6% 峰值通常第13日;峰值通常早于下跌(52%的情况);中位最佳收益5.9%;中位最大回撤−7.6%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 45 46.7% +40.0% -3.1% —
1-week 1周 38 52.6% +44.7% -0.3% —
2-week 2周 17 41.2% +41.2% -1.2% —
unmeasured 未测量 46 39.1% +41.3% -1.2% —

covers 100 of 146 fires 覆盖 146 次触发中的 100 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
cyclical 周期 6 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
distressed 困境 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
financial 金融 4 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 4 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
mixed 混合 6 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
rate sensitive 利率敏感 3 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
secular growth 长期成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 115 39.1% +37.4% -2.4% —

covers 0 of 146 fires 覆盖 146 次触发中的 0 次

D D SCOREABLE 可评分 77 19 33 3.1 51.7% +43.1% -1.3% — — — -3.0% -4.3% +2.7% +2.7%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 72 65.3% +61.8% +1.1% 23.2%
10d 67 56.7% +52.4% +0.5% 4.5%
21d 58 51.7% +43.1% -1.3% 31.7%
63d 10 70.0% +60.0% +4.3% 67.6%

Peak typically day 9; peak usually before dip (52% of cases); median best gain 7.3%; median worst dip −4.9% 峰值通常第9日;峰值通常早于下跌(52%的情况);中位最佳收益7.3%;中位最大回撤−4.9%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 10 60.0% +60.0% +2.6% —
1-week 1周 13 53.8% +53.8% +1.0% —
2-week 2周 14 57.1% +28.6% -1.1% —
unmeasured 未测量 21 42.9% +38.1% -4.1% —

covers 37 of 58 fires 覆盖 58 次触发中的 37 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
mixed 混合 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
quality compounder 优质复利 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 52 50.0% +40.4% -1.6% —

covers 0 of 58 fires 覆盖 58 次触发中的 0 次

E E ACCRUING 累积中 2 2 2 0.1 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 2 0.0% 0.0% -6.4% —
10d 2 0.0% 0.0% -17.5% —
21d 0 — — — —
63d 0 — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

E E ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 0 — — — —
10d 0 — — — —
21d 0 — — — —
63d 0 — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

F F SCOREABLE 可评分 125 47 44 3.2 44.9% +43.6% -1.7% -1.8% 14.9% -0.12 +1.5% -1.7% +2.3% +2.3%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 91 59.3% +52.3% +0.4% 12.3%
10d 88 51.1% +49.4% -0.3% 20.1%
21d 78 44.9% +43.6% -1.7% -1.8%
63d 25 48.0% +36.0% -3.3% -12.7%

Peak typically day 14; dip usually before peak (51% of cases); median best gain 6.9%; median worst dip −5.5% 峰值通常第14日;下跌通常早于峰值(51%的情况);中位最佳收益6.9%;中位最大回撤−5.5%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 12 33.3% +25.0% -5.2% —
1-week 1周 21 33.3% +33.3% -2.8% —
2-week 2周 7 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 38 55.3% +57.9% +0.5% 14.9%

covers 33 of 78 fires 覆盖 78 次触发中的 33 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
cyclical 周期 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
distressed 困境 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
financial 金融 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
mixed 混合 7 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
quality compounder 优质复利 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
rate sensitive 利率敏感 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
secular growth 长期成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 60 45.0% +45.0% -1.7% 14.9%

covers 0 of 78 fires 覆盖 78 次触发中的 0 次

F F SCOREABLE 可评分 310 191 46 3.2 37.8% +36.1% -3.4% — — — -11.2% -11.0% +0.6% +0.6%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 153 45.8% +44.5% -0.6% 3.0%
10d 142 43.0% +39.3% -1.6% -1.4%
21d 119 37.8% +36.1% -3.4% -30.9%
63d 28 60.7% +42.9% -1.3% 18.1%

Peak typically day 11; peak usually before dip (58% of cases); median best gain 3.8%; median worst dip −7.2% 峰值通常第11日;峰值通常早于下跌(58%的情况);中位最佳收益3.8%;中位最大回撤−7.2%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 24 50.0% +41.7% -2.6% —
1-week 1周 40 32.5% +30.0% -3.6% —
2-week 2周 13 46.2% +46.2% -0.2% —
unmeasured 未测量 42 33.3% +35.7% -6.2% —

covers 77 of 119 fires 覆盖 119 次触发中的 77 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 3 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
cyclical 周期 4 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
distressed 困境 7 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
dividend defensive 红利防御 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
financial 金融 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
mixed 混合 8 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
rate sensitive 利率敏感 3 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
secular growth 长期成长 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
speculative / unprofitable 投机/未盈利 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 89 34.8% +33.7% -5.5% —

covers 0 of 119 fires 覆盖 119 次触发中的 0 次

F (AVOID — inverse)(规避 — 反向) F SCOREABLE 可评分 134 55 27 3.2 43.0% +38.0%
Avoid accuracy 21d21日规避准确率 62.0%
-2.9% — — — -11.4% -13.0% +1.1% +1.1%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 99 48.5% +44.1% -0.8% 17.3%
10d 91 47.2% +36.0% -1.9% 7.9%
21d 79 43.0% +38.0% -2.9% 12.3%
63d 18 38.9% +38.9% -5.1% -34.8%

Peak typically day 8; peak usually before dip (57% of cases); median best gain 3.6%; median worst dip −6.1% 峰值通常第8日;峰值通常早于下跌(57%的情况);中位最佳收益3.6%;中位最大回撤−6.1%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 10 50.0% +30.0% -4.5% —
1-week 1周 29 44.8% +34.5% -2.8% —
2-week 2周 10 50.0% +50.0% -0.6% —
unmeasured 未测量 30 36.7% +40.0% -4.0% —

covers 49 of 79 fires 覆盖 79 次触发中的 49 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
cyclical 周期 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
financial 金融 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
mixed 混合 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
rate sensitive 利率敏感 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 68 42.6% +39.7% -2.6% —

covers 0 of 79 fires 覆盖 79 次触发中的 0 次

F (yardstick)(基准) F SCOREABLE 可评分 600 331 48 3.2 35.7% +31.2% -4.0% 5.5% 7.3% 0.75 -9.3% -9.6% 0.0% -0.0%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 333 44.1% +45.1% -0.5% 5.1%
10d 317 42.6% +41.4% -1.6% 13.5%
21d 269 35.7% +31.2% -4.0% -33.0%
63d 61 27.9% +24.6% -9.1% -66.4%

Peak typically day 8; peak usually before dip (60% of cases); median best gain 3.1%; median worst dip −6.5% 峰值通常第8日;峰值通常早于下跌(60%的情况);中位最佳收益3.1%;中位最大回撤−6.5%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 55 29.1% +21.8% -5.3% —
1-week 1周 88 40.9% +40.9% -3.1% —
2-week 2周 38 42.1% +31.6% -3.0% —
unmeasured 未测量 88 31.8% +27.3% -4.8% 7.3%

covers 181 of 269 fires 覆盖 269 次触发中的 181 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 3 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
cyclical 周期 7 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
distressed 困境 10 30.0% +20.0% -6.4% —
financial 金融 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
high-beta momentum 高贝塔动量 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
mixed 混合 17 52.9% +52.9% +0.0% —
quality compounder 优质复利 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
rate sensitive 利率敏感 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 220 34.5% +29.5% -4.0% 7.3%

covers 27 of 269 fires 覆盖 269 次触发中的 27 次

G G ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 0 — — — —
10d 0 — — — —
21d 0 — — — —
63d 0 — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

G G ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 0 — — — —
10d 0 — — — —
21d 0 — — — —
63d 0 — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位

covers 0 of 0 fires 覆盖 0 次触发中的 0 次

H H ACCRUING 累积中 8 2 6 2.4 66.7% +33.3% -4.1% — — — +1.2% -4.0% -0.1% -0.1%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 8 87.5% +28.6% -1.6% 60.7%
10d 8 37.5% +12.5% -4.2% 41.2%
21d 6 66.7% +33.3% -4.1% 45.9%
63d 0 — — — —

Peak typically day 14; peak usually before dip (67% of cases); median best gain 5.0%; median worst dip −3.5% 峰值通常第14日;峰值通常早于下跌(67%的情况);中位最佳收益5.0%;中位最大回撤−3.5%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 3 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
1-week 1周 3 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级

covers 0 of 6 fires 覆盖 6 次触发中的 0 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
cyclical 周期 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
mixed 混合 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级

covers 0 of 6 fires 覆盖 6 次触发中的 0 次

H H SCOREABLE 可评分 51 25 19 3.1 46.2% +34.6% -3.3% — — — -15.4% -15.7% +0.7% +0.7%
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Resolved已结算 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d 36 33.3% +26.7% -3.3% -20.4%
10d 35 45.7% +34.4% -1.0% 16.5%
21d 26 46.2% +34.6% -3.3% 9.6%
63d 3 66.7% +66.7% +0.2% 27.1%

Peak typically day 13; dip usually before peak (57% of cases); median best gain 4.4%; median worst dip −7.9% 峰值通常第13日;下跌通常早于峰值(57%的情况);中位最佳收益4.4%;中位最大回撤−7.9%

▶ Cuts by personality 按性格分层

Descriptive breakdowns of this book's fires — display-only, not a rate on single-digit samples. 该书本触发的描述性拆分 — 仅供展示,个位数样本不出评级。

By reversion rung 按回归级别
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
3-day 3日 4 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
1-week 1周 13 38.5% +38.5% -4.4% —
2-week 2周 4 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unmeasured 未测量 5 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级

covers 13 of 26 fires 覆盖 26 次触发中的 13 次

By archetype 按性格类型
Stratum分层 N firesN触发 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MAE medMAE中位
broken growth 破位成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
mixed 混合 2 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
secular growth 长期成长 1 too few to rate 样本过少,暂不评级
unlabeled 未标注 22 40.9% +31.8% -3.3% —

covers 0 of 26 fires 覆盖 26 次触发中的 0 次

Books 1–4 price the flagship gate's speed cost — names whose 1D oscillators crossed before the 2D/3D gate prints. First operator read clock: 2026-08-20. Family A ruler: 21-day SPY-excess.书1–4定价旗舰门控的速度成本 — 1日振荡器在2D/3D门印发前穿越的名称。第一次操作员读取时钟:2026-08-20。A族标尺:21日SPY超额。

A 1D Pure (velocity gate) 1日纯速 (动能门) NN=324 · WR21 excWR21超额 +38.9% · SCOREABLE 可评分
#1 CROX —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 5.0rsi14 51.0pct_vs_20dma -0.0off_52w_high_pct -14.9cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.10429108042964644bars_since_60d_low 27ret_252d 0.4453397245912493
#2 SHOO —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 52.0pct_vs_20dma 0.1off_52w_high_pct -8.4cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.11122096148852771bars_since_60d_low 24ret_252d 0.30527489251632783
#3 PFBC —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 5.0rsi14 48.0pct_vs_20dma -1.0off_52w_high_pct -5.3cycle_state HALF SIZEfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.02417985831236798bars_since_60d_low 28ret_252d 0.2460045761096901
#4 IAG —
Materials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0rsi14 42.0pct_vs_20dma -3.8off_52w_high_pct -27.7cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#6 GRMN —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 56.0pct_vs_20dma 1.2off_52w_high_pct -8.3cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.180187248820271bars_since_60d_low 59ret_252d 0.16920021262060128
#7 RUSHA —
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0rsi14 39.0pct_vs_20dma -2.3off_52w_high_pct -18.3cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.029237154629603166bars_since_60d_low 3ret_252d 0.34056486354500953
#8 MDA —
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 5.0rsi14 42.0pct_vs_20dma -5.6off_52w_high_pct Nonecycle_state LIMITEDfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#9 SGP —
ETF / macro
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 3.0rsi14 53.0pct_vs_20dma 3.1off_52w_high_pct Nonecycle_state LIMITEDfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#10 TRLV —
Health Care
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 3.0rsi14 50.0pct_vs_20dma -1.6off_52w_high_pct -17.0cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#11 BTG —
Materials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0rsi14 49.0pct_vs_20dma -0.4off_52w_high_pct -15.2cycle_state HALF SIZEfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#12 FSM —
Materials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 3.0rsi14 42.0pct_vs_20dma -5.0off_52w_high_pct -23.9cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
CROX 2026-10-19 — open
SHOO 2026-10-19 — open
PFBC 2026-10-19 — open
IAG 2026-10-19 — open
GRMN 2026-10-19 — open
RUSHA 2026-10-19 — open
MDA 2026-10-19 — open
SGP 2026-10-19 — open
TRLV 2026-10-19 — open
BTG 2026-10-19 — open
FSM 2026-10-19 — open
ROST 2026-10-14 — open
CARG 2026-10-14 — open
UTMD 2026-10-14 — open
FIVE 2026-10-14 — open
BBY 2026-10-14 — open
TGT 2026-10-14 — open
LQDT 2026-10-14 — open
HSBC 2026-10-14 — open
CL=F 2026-10-14 — open
ZD 2026-10-14 — open
EPSN 2026-10-08 — open
PCYO 2026-10-08 — open
STNG 2026-10-08 — open
FTI 2026-10-08 +2.1% matured
STT 2026-10-08 -3.3% matured
BFH 2026-10-08 +3.9% matured
DG 2026-10-08 +7.6% matured
TALO 2026-10-06 +3.2% matured
PCVX 2026-10-06 — open
A 1D Regime-filtered 1日制度过滤 NN=239 · WR21 excWR21超额 +33.7% · SCOREABLE 可评分
#1 SPHR —
Communication Services
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0calm 1.0edge_alpha 2.27pct_vs_20dma -13.7off_52w_high_pct -41.7cycle_state AVOIDfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.0041967627270938146bars_since_60d_low 4ret_252d 0.7248951677731313
#2 TRST —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 5.0calm 1.0edge_alpha 2.1pct_vs_20dma -2.0off_52w_high_pct -9.2cycle_state AVOIDfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.0016794206443670717bars_since_60d_low 6ret_252d 0.5878625061906472
#3 TMP —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0calm 1.0edge_alpha 2.02pct_vs_20dma -0.1off_52w_high_pct -4.0cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.01695442245365472bars_since_60d_low 33ret_252d 0.6058904789427974
#4 ROIV —
Health Care
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 1.0calm 1.0edge_alpha 2.02pct_vs_20dma -1.9off_52w_high_pct -17.0cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.055673924262879655bars_since_60d_low 57ret_252d 1.028053741970408
#6 WAB —
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 5.0calm 1.0edge_alpha 1.78pct_vs_20dma -0.4off_52w_high_pct -6.1cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.03752214531389478bars_since_60d_low 23ret_252d 0.4864044142080383
#8 CROX —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 5.0calm 1.0edge_alpha 1.75pct_vs_20dma -0.0off_52w_high_pct -14.9cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.10429108042964644bars_since_60d_low 27ret_252d 0.4453397245912493
#9 MBIN —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0calm 1.0edge_alpha 1.72pct_vs_20dma -4.5off_52w_high_pct -14.6cycle_state AVOIDfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.0bars_since_60d_low 0ret_252d 0.533441245873187
#10 PFG —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 3.0calm 1.0edge_alpha 1.63pct_vs_20dma -3.5off_52w_high_pct -9.8cycle_state AVOIDfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.0bars_since_60d_low 0ret_252d 0.3995307503787261
#11 CHEF —
Consumer Staples
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0calm 1.0edge_alpha 1.55pct_vs_20dma -0.2off_52w_high_pct -4.4cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.16304346179310386bars_since_60d_low 59ret_252d 0.9265928326353701
#12 MRNA —
Health Care
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0calm 1.0edge_alpha 1.54pct_vs_20dma 11.3off_52w_high_pct -4.1cycle_state DON'T CHASEfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 3.2125881325378516bars_since_60d_low 51ret_252d 7.359985427125225

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
SPHR 2026-10-19 — open
TRST 2026-10-19 — open
TMP 2026-10-19 — open
ROIV 2026-10-19 — open
WAB 2026-10-19 — open
CROX 2026-10-19 — open
MBIN 2026-10-19 — open
PFG 2026-10-19 — open
CHEF 2026-10-19 — open
MRNA 2026-10-19 — open
MATX 2026-10-14 — open
ROST 2026-10-14 — open
TGT 2026-10-14 — open
FIVE 2026-10-14 — open
ANDE 2026-10-14 — open
UBSI 2026-10-14 — open
NWBI 2026-10-14 — open
HSBC 2026-10-14 — open
DELL 2026-10-08 -21.0% matured
KO 2026-10-08 +8.6% matured
BNY 2026-10-08 +2.4% matured
WSFS 2026-10-08 +3.2% matured
COKE 2026-10-08 +9.1% matured
GM 2026-10-08 +3.5% matured
CXW 2026-10-08 -4.9% matured
STBA 2026-10-08 +3.6% matured
ADM 2026-10-08 +5.4% matured
STT 2026-10-06 -3.2% matured
EZPW 2026-10-06 +8.5% matured
RIO 2026-10-06 — open
A 1D Sector-heat 1日板块热度 NN=319 · WR21 excWR21超额 +36.2% · SCOREABLE 可评分
#1 CROX —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma -0.0off_52w_high_pct -14.9cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.10429108042964644bars_since_60d_low 27ret_252d 0.4453397245912493
#2 SHOO —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma 0.1off_52w_high_pct -8.4cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.11122096148852771bars_since_60d_low 24ret_252d 0.30527489251632783
#3 PFBC —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma -1.0off_52w_high_pct -5.3cycle_state HALF SIZEfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.02417985831236798bars_since_60d_low 28ret_252d 0.2460045761096901
#4 IAG —
Materials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma -3.8off_52w_high_pct -27.7cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#5 SBH —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma 0.2off_52w_high_pct -4.2cycle_state DON'T CHASEfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.09953231735910832bars_since_60d_low 55ret_252d 0.11141111533463825
#6 AMG —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma 2.5off_52w_high_pct -0.6cycle_state BUY NOWfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.12333002122396833bars_since_60d_low 23ret_252d 0.6469559858355299
#7 CRGY —
Energy
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0sector_stage leadingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma 4.1off_52w_high_pct -10.9cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.3278400316637198bars_since_60d_low 58ret_252d 0.6826333923084086
#8 GRMN —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma 1.2off_52w_high_pct -8.3cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.180187248820271bars_since_60d_low 59ret_252d 0.16920021262060128
#9 MRP —
Real Estate
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma -7.8off_52w_high_pct -31.4cycle_state AVOIDfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.03581528055957764bars_since_60d_low 3ret_252d -0.2826143010621356
#10 STBA —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma -0.7off_52w_high_pct -8.5cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.010840117667940512bars_since_60d_low 3ret_252d 0.4362672490363861
#11 MCRI —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma -2.3off_52w_high_pct -15.1cycle_state AVOIDfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.0bars_since_60d_low 1ret_252d 0.2098679474871407
#12 AMZN —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma 3.6off_52w_high_pct -7.6cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.15795287568768904bars_since_60d_low 57ret_252d 0.2237143223445673

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
CROX 2026-10-19 — open
SHOO 2026-10-19 — open
PFBC 2026-10-19 — open
IAG 2026-10-19 — open
SBH 2026-10-19 — open
AMG 2026-10-19 — open
CRGY 2026-10-19 — open
GRMN 2026-10-19 — open
MRP 2026-10-19 — open
STBA 2026-10-19 — open
MCRI 2026-10-19 — open
AMZN 2026-10-19 — open
EPSN 2026-10-14 — open
UNFI 2026-10-14 — open
TGT 2026-10-14 — open
COCO 2026-10-14 — open
AAPL 2026-10-14 — open
ANDE 2026-10-14 — open
ENSG 2026-10-14 — open
ADM 2026-10-14 — open
SND 2026-10-14 — open
DGX 2026-10-14 — open
WDAY 2026-10-14 — open
MANH 2026-10-08 +10.4% matured
PEGA 2026-10-08 -1.1% matured
DELL 2026-10-08 -21.0% matured
PRGS 2026-10-08 +5.8% matured
CTSH 2026-10-08 +13.5% matured
MDB 2026-10-08 — open
VRSN 2026-10-06 +3.4% matured
A 1D Blastoff (3D gate miss) 1日起飞 (3日门遗漏) NN=34 · WR21 excWR21超额 +21.4% · ACCRUING 累积中

No picks today for this book.今日此书无选择。

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
MA 2026-10-14 — open
SLP 2026-10-08 — open
ET 2026-10-08 — open
ADEA 2026-10-05 -5.8% matured
GBTG 2026-09-30 — open
STT 2026-09-08 -10.0% matured
INTC 2026-09-08 -1.0% matured
STX 2026-09-08 -14.2% matured
CFFN 2026-09-08 -5.2% matured
DELL 2026-09-08 +5.6% matured
AMRX 2026-09-08 +12.1% matured
CPF 2026-09-08 -4.8% matured
WELL 2026-09-08 -7.2% matured
VLY 2026-09-08 -8.4% matured
ASML 2026-09-08 — open
JBHT 2026-09-08 -16.5% matured
AMD 2026-09-08 +17.3% matured
NAVN 2026-08-27 — open
PMPEX 2026-08-24 — open
SKYT 2026-07-31 — open
AVNS 2026-07-28 — open
APLE 2026-07-24 -4.0% matured
ADI 2026-07-24 -3.2% matured
CECO 2026-07-24 — open
ATRO 2026-07-24 — open
CSTM 2026-07-24 — open
HLIO 2026-07-24 — open
LION 2026-07-24 — open
MSGE 2026-07-24 — open
FCEL 2026-07-24 — open
On the Run Stocks热门板块个股 on_the_run sector context · Book 7热门板块背景 · 书7
# MEDP $619.66
Health Care
# NHC $239.24
Health Care
# PGNY $27.84
Health Care
# XOM $178.28
Energy
# FTI $69.86
Energy
# PTGX $134.44
Health Care
# TALO $18.05
Energy
# CVX $224.37
Energy
# INDV $33.87
Health Care
# PTEN $12.05
Energy
# HP $38.20
Energy
# LIVN $78.14
Health Care
# INSW $104.83
Energy
# LNTH $99.92
Health Care
# APA $49.76
Energy
# OII $44.43
Energy
# MD $27.30
Health Care
# ACHC $30.18
Health Care
# PARR $83.02
Energy
# PR $24.80
Energy
# COP $145.24
Energy
# IDXX $555.80
Health Care
# CRGY $13.70
Energy
# DVA $187.00
Health Care
# WKC $35.62
Energy
# VLO $433.31
Energy
# REGN $782.04
Health Care
# TRGP $292.80
Energy
# UTHR $543.15
Health Care
# MPC $473.69
Energy
Take Profits / Topping Stocks止盈/见顶个股 NOT buys — avoid / exit context非买入 — 规避/退出背景

Book 19 (Topping Avoid, INVERSE) — cycle_state TOP WATCH / ROLLING OVER or high RSI in take-profit sectors. Scored as avoid-accuracy: expected negative 21d excess. Do NOT treat these as buy signals.书19(顶部规避,反向)— 周期状态TOP WATCH / ROLLING OVER或止盈板块高RSI。评分为规避准确性:预期负21日超额。切勿将这些视为买入信号。

# BOX $40.46
Information Technology
# PTC $193.06
Information Technology
# ACN $236.93
Information Technology
# DXC $14.26
Information Technology
# CXT $56.75
Information Technology
# EPAM $127.38
Information Technology
# CTSH $66.79
Information Technology
# PCOR $60.73
Information Technology
# TEAM $221.11
Information Technology
# RAMP $38.21
Information Technology
# DOCU $76.66
Information Technology
# IT $207.72
Information Technology
# QTWO $62.22
Information Technology
# KVYO $19.61
Information Technology
# TYL $360.09
Information Technology
# VRSN $306.48
Information Technology
# CXM $6.12
Information Technology
# BSY $36.73
Information Technology
# MANH $225.43
Information Technology
# SYNA $117.05
Information Technology
# AGYS $112.23
Information Technology
# KD $13.28
Information Technology
# AAPL $342.94
Information Technology
# CDW $152.65
Information Technology
# INTU $325.62
Information Technology
# TDC $31.35
Information Technology
# YOU $45.18
Information Technology
# GTLB $55.00
Information Technology
# MSFT $533.52
Information Technology
# ADSK $240.70
Information Technology

Select a book to view today's picks and recently graded fires.选择一本书查看今日选择和最近评级触发。

A 1D Pure (velocity gate) 1日纯速 (动能门) N firesN触发=324 · WR21 excWR21超额 +38.9% · SCOREABLE 可评分

Ruler标尺: 21d_spy_excess

#1 CROX —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 5.0rsi14 51.0pct_vs_20dma -0.0off_52w_high_pct -14.9cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.10429108042964644bars_since_60d_low 27ret_252d 0.4453397245912493
#2 SHOO —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 52.0pct_vs_20dma 0.1off_52w_high_pct -8.4cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.11122096148852771bars_since_60d_low 24ret_252d 0.30527489251632783
#3 PFBC —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 5.0rsi14 48.0pct_vs_20dma -1.0off_52w_high_pct -5.3cycle_state HALF SIZEfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.02417985831236798bars_since_60d_low 28ret_252d 0.2460045761096901
#4 IAG —
Materials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0rsi14 42.0pct_vs_20dma -3.8off_52w_high_pct -27.7cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#6 GRMN —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 56.0pct_vs_20dma 1.2off_52w_high_pct -8.3cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.180187248820271bars_since_60d_low 59ret_252d 0.16920021262060128
#7 RUSHA —
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0rsi14 39.0pct_vs_20dma -2.3off_52w_high_pct -18.3cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low 0.029237154629603166bars_since_60d_low 3ret_252d 0.34056486354500953
#8 MDA —
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 5.0rsi14 42.0pct_vs_20dma -5.6off_52w_high_pct Nonecycle_state LIMITEDfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#9 SGP —
ETF / macro
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 3.0rsi14 53.0pct_vs_20dma 3.1off_52w_high_pct Nonecycle_state LIMITEDfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#10 TRLV —
Health Care
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 3.0rsi14 50.0pct_vs_20dma -1.6off_52w_high_pct -17.0cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#11 BTG —
Materials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0rsi14 49.0pct_vs_20dma -0.4off_52w_high_pct -15.2cycle_state HALF SIZEfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#12 FSM —
Materials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 3.0rsi14 42.0pct_vs_20dma -5.0off_52w_high_pct -23.9cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKfx_regime_at_entry rates-drivenusd_stance_at_entry Watch — don't chasepct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc ret21日超额回报 Status状态
CROX 2026-10-19 — open
SHOO 2026-10-19 — open
PFBC 2026-10-19 — open
IAG 2026-10-19 — open
GRMN 2026-10-19 — open
RUSHA 2026-10-19 — open
MDA 2026-10-19 — open
SGP 2026-10-19 — open
TRLV 2026-10-19 — open
BTG 2026-10-19 — open
FSM 2026-10-19 — open
ROST 2026-10-14 — open
CARG 2026-10-14 — open
UTMD 2026-10-14 — open
FIVE 2026-10-14 — open
BBY 2026-10-14 — open
TGT 2026-10-14 — open
LQDT 2026-10-14 — open
HSBC 2026-10-14 — open
CL=F 2026-10-14 — open
ZD 2026-10-14 — open
EPSN 2026-10-08 — open
PCYO 2026-10-08 — open
STNG 2026-10-08 — open
FTI 2026-10-08 +2.1% matured
STT 2026-10-08 -3.3% matured
BFH 2026-10-08 +3.9% matured
DG 2026-10-08 +7.6% matured
TALO 2026-10-06 +3.2% matured
PCVX 2026-10-06 — open
All fires (full history) — 324 全部触发(完整历史)— 324
Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
TRLV 2026-10-19 — open
SHOO 2026-10-19 — open
SGP 2026-10-19 — open
RUSHA 2026-10-19 — open
PFBC 2026-10-19 — open
MDA 2026-10-19 — open
IAG 2026-10-19 — open
GRMN 2026-10-19 — open
FSM 2026-10-19 — open
CROX 2026-10-19 — open
BTG 2026-10-19 — open
ZD 2026-10-14 — open
UTMD 2026-10-14 — open
TGT 2026-10-14 — open
ROST 2026-10-14 — open
LQDT 2026-10-14 — open
HSBC 2026-10-14 — open
FIVE 2026-10-14 — open
CL=F 2026-10-14 — open
CARG 2026-10-14 — open
BBY 2026-10-14 — open
STT 2026-10-08 -3.3% matured
STNG 2026-10-08 — open
PCYO 2026-10-08 — open
FTI 2026-10-08 +2.1% matured
EPSN 2026-10-08 — open
DG 2026-10-08 +7.6% matured
BFH 2026-10-08 +3.9% matured
TALO 2026-10-06 +3.2% matured
PCVX 2026-10-06 — open
OVBC 2026-10-06 — open
APA 2026-10-06 +9.1% matured
WTBA 2026-10-05 — open
TRGP 2026-10-05 +2.7% matured
SND 2026-10-05 — open
RIO 2026-10-05 — open
PANL 2026-10-05 — open
FSUN 2026-10-05 — open
CART 2026-10-05 +9.3% matured
WRLD 2026-10-02 -0.4% matured
UFCS 2026-10-02 +2.0% matured
NTB 2026-10-02 — open
JBHT 2026-10-02 -1.0% matured
HBT 2026-10-02 — open
FTDR 2026-10-02 +0.0% matured
DAVE 2026-10-02 -2.5% matured
CMRE 2026-10-02 — open
HR 2026-10-01 -3.0% matured
VIRT 2026-09-30 +2.6% matured
URBN 2026-09-30 +1.5% matured
SNDR 2026-09-30 -3.1% matured
RELY 2026-09-30 +8.2% matured
NATH 2026-09-30 — open
IDYA 2026-09-30 — open
HAS 2026-09-30 +1.5% matured
FIGS 2026-09-30 — open
ATI 2026-09-30 -2.9% matured
AHR 2026-09-30 -1.8% matured
ABNB 2026-09-30 +0.4% matured
RNG 2026-09-25 +2.6% matured
MLI 2026-09-25 +2.1% matured
DLTR 2026-09-25 -3.6% matured
CWBC 2026-09-25 — open
CSX 2026-09-25 +0.2% matured
CRS 2026-09-25 +0.6% matured
CECO 2026-09-25 — open
CASY 2026-09-25 +0.6% matured
WTS 2026-09-24 +1.7% matured
TILE 2026-09-24 -0.7% matured
SBH 2026-09-24 -5.2% matured
MITK 2026-09-24 — open
ETSY 2026-09-24 +6.5% matured
EAT 2026-09-24 -2.3% matured
CNK 2026-09-23 -1.7% matured
XLV 2026-09-22 +0.4% matured
IHG 2026-09-22 — open
XERS 2026-09-21 — open
WDC 2026-09-21 -1.2% matured
SNDK 2026-09-21 -7.1% matured
SKY 2026-09-21 -1.2% matured
NVDA 2026-09-21 +0.5% matured
GWW 2026-09-21 -0.4% matured
DGII 2026-09-21 +3.4% matured
DC 2026-09-21 — open
IRDM 2026-09-17 -6.2% matured
ECG 2026-09-17 -6.9% matured
COKE 2026-09-17 +8.7% matured
CIEN 2026-09-17 -1.9% matured
BATRA 2026-09-17 — open
AUPH 2026-09-17 — open
SONO 2026-09-16 +7.6% matured
SHOO 2026-09-16 +8.0% matured
MEDP 2026-09-16 +0.2% matured
CROX 2026-09-16 -0.2% matured
COCO 2026-09-16 +4.0% matured
ALKS 2026-09-16 -12.1% matured
XLC 2026-09-14 -4.4% matured
WNEB 2026-09-14 — open
UNFI 2026-09-14 +4.5% matured
TPR 2026-09-14 -3.6% matured
TOWN 2026-09-14 — open
ROST 2026-09-14 +0.0% matured
MPB 2026-09-14 — open
FCNCA 2026-09-14 — open
ESP 2026-09-14 — open
CARG 2026-09-14 -16.1% matured
AME 2026-09-14 +3.4% matured
TER 2026-09-11 +13.0% matured
RL 2026-09-11 +7.3% matured
PWR 2026-09-11 +8.3% matured
NHC 2026-09-11 -0.6% matured
MGY 2026-09-11 -11.6% matured
FRBA 2026-09-11 — open
DAR 2026-09-11 -5.3% matured
AVO 2026-09-11 — open
UNTY 2026-09-10 — open
RNGR 2026-09-10 — open
OPBK 2026-09-10 — open
NKSH 2026-09-10 — open
FCCO 2026-09-10 — open
ASML 2026-09-10 — open
AMAT 2026-09-10 +6.9% matured
SPHB 2026-09-09 — open
ORRF 2026-09-09 — open
MTSI 2026-09-09 +18.2% matured
LFUS 2026-09-09 +0.2% matured
IESC 2026-09-09 -9.9% matured
FORM 2026-09-09 +21.6% matured
HIPO 2026-09-08 — open
HIFS 2026-09-08 — open
LSCC 2026-09-04 +9.8% matured
KEYS 2026-09-04 +12.7% matured
GLNG 2026-09-04 — open
FISI 2026-09-04 — open
BWB 2026-09-04 — open
YETI 2026-09-03 -2.8% matured
QCRH 2026-09-03 — open
FSBW 2026-09-03 — open
FMBH 2026-09-03 — open
ECHO 2026-09-03 +10.0% matured
CTBI 2026-09-03 — open
BY 2026-09-03 — open
BUSE 2026-09-03 — open
ARLO 2026-09-03 -9.8% matured
STRL 2026-08-31 +10.2% matured
ROK 2026-08-31 +5.4% matured
PTON 2026-08-31 -2.9% matured
MCB 2026-08-31 — open
HOV 2026-08-31 — open
GOOG 2026-08-31 +0.4% matured
CMPR 2026-08-31 — open
YOU 2026-08-28 -4.3% matured
DSP 2026-08-28 — open
PJT 2026-08-27 -20.2% matured
MAGS 2026-08-27 — open
CGNX 2026-08-27 -0.9% matured
MYRG 2026-08-26 -6.9% matured
MSM 2026-08-26 +0.8% matured
MCY 2026-08-26 -2.7% matured
MAGN 2026-08-26 — open
CPSS 2026-08-26 — open
AMG 2026-08-26 +0.1% matured
SEZL 2026-08-25 -10.5% matured
PGNY 2026-08-25 -4.2% matured
OPLN 2026-08-25 -0.2% matured
NLOP 2026-08-25 — open
IBEX 2026-08-25 — open
DGICA 2026-08-25 — open
AFRI 2026-08-25 — open
PBFS 2026-08-24 — open
ETSY 2026-08-24 -18.5% matured
ABX 2026-08-24 — open
PDM 2026-08-21 — open
HR 2026-08-21 -7.6% matured
DLO 2026-08-21 — open
DAVE 2026-08-21 -8.6% matured
CRAI 2026-08-21 — open
ASUR 2026-08-21 — open
XHR 2026-08-20 -8.9% matured
SHO 2026-08-20 -2.8% matured
FSV 2026-08-20 — open
EE 2026-08-20 — open
DRH 2026-08-20 -5.0% matured
CSX 2026-08-20 -10.4% matured
WPC 2026-08-19 -9.5% matured
PRSU 2026-08-19 -0.7% matured
GTY 2026-08-19 -13.1% matured
FLNG 2026-08-19 — open
ESE 2026-08-19 -9.2% matured
CASY 2026-08-19 -30.8% matured
ANDE 2026-08-19 +0.3% matured
AKR 2026-08-19 -9.4% matured
OCFC 2026-08-18 — open
HCSG 2026-08-18 -5.4% matured
CTO 2026-08-18 — open
CMRE 2026-08-18 — open
CMDB 2026-08-18 — open
ARLP 2026-08-18 — open
ABBV 2026-08-18 +0.2% matured
SONO 2026-08-17 +2.7% matured
RYZ 2026-08-17 — open
MUSA 2026-08-17 -8.0% matured
GNK 2026-08-17 — open
DJCO 2026-08-17 — open
ASC 2026-08-17 — open
WERN 2026-08-13 -1.0% matured
UNFI 2026-08-13 -5.0% matured
ODFL 2026-08-13 -11.7% matured
NTCT 2026-08-13 -0.8% matured
GNW 2026-08-13 +1.0% matured
ADM 2026-08-13 +10.8% matured
XOP 2026-08-12 — open
XLE 2026-08-12 +7.9% matured
TRGP 2026-08-12 +9.8% matured
MRTN 2026-08-12 -6.0% matured
JBHT 2026-08-12 -0.4% matured
HTLD 2026-08-12 +0.5% matured
FTI 2026-08-12 -2.7% matured
DAR 2026-08-12 +0.9% matured
COCO 2026-08-12 -13.4% matured
CL=F 2026-08-12 — open
BZ=F 2026-08-12 — open
ALKS 2026-08-12 -5.1% matured
YORW 2026-08-07 — open
WST 2026-08-07 -2.9% matured
WDFC 2026-08-07 -13.4% matured
SUPN 2026-08-07 -9.2% matured
PRG 2026-08-07 -9.6% matured
PCVX 2026-08-07 — open
PAL 2026-08-07 — open
LSTR 2026-08-07 -1.1% matured
KNX 2026-08-07 +1.8% matured
KLAC 2026-08-07 -3.6% matured
EXPD 2026-08-07 +6.6% matured
EGY 2026-08-07 — open
DX 2026-08-07 — open
DNLI 2026-08-07 — open
CNC 2026-08-07 -2.4% matured
BH 2026-08-07 — open
AUPH 2026-08-07 — open
MGY 2026-07-31 +10.4% matured
MFIN 2026-07-31 — open
CWEN 2026-07-31 -0.7% matured
AVBH 2026-07-31 — open
YOU 2026-07-30 -22.8% matured
WMK 2026-07-30 — open
RCMT 2026-07-30 — open
NECB 2026-07-30 — open
LIVN 2026-07-30 -3.1% matured
DIN 2026-07-30 — open
CTNM 2026-07-30 — open
BLCO 2026-07-30 — open
VLGEA 2026-07-29 — open
TDC 2026-07-29 -9.6% matured
NYT 2026-07-29 -13.8% matured
ITB 2026-07-29 — open
IMKTA 2026-07-29 — open
CRD-A 2026-07-29 — open
XHB 2026-07-28 — open
W 2026-07-28 — open
TILE 2026-07-28 +7.3% matured
MEDP 2026-07-28 -1.2% matured
MCY 2026-07-28 -11.0% matured
IDXX 2026-07-28 -10.0% matured
GSK 2026-07-28 — open
WSBF 2026-07-27 — open
VEL 2026-07-27 — open
SMHI 2026-07-27 — open
MTZ 2026-07-27 -23.8% matured
FCAP 2026-07-27 — open
XLB 2026-07-24 +0.6% matured
VRT 2026-07-24 -14.7% matured
SNDK 2026-07-24 +12.2% matured
P 2026-07-24 +34.9% matured
MYRG 2026-07-24 -23.4% matured
LXFR 2026-07-24 — open
JBL 2026-07-24 -4.5% matured
CW 2026-07-24 -21.7% matured
CIX 2026-07-24 — open
CIEN 2026-07-24 -0.9% matured
TER 2026-07-21 +1.7% matured
LFUS 2026-07-21 -3.0% matured
KVHI 2026-07-21 — open
KEYS 2026-07-21 -5.4% matured
GWW 2026-07-21 -5.8% matured
FRAF 2026-07-21 — open
CNK 2026-07-21 +12.4% matured
BLX 2026-07-21 — open
TPC 2026-07-20 +1.3% matured
PRM 2026-07-20 — open
NNI 2026-07-20 — open
NKSH 2026-07-20 — open
MRBK 2026-07-20 — open
MLR 2026-07-20 — open
JAKK 2026-07-20 — open
HWBK 2026-07-20 — open
YETI 2026-07-17 -18.3% matured
TJX 2026-07-17 -6.2% matured
STAA 2026-07-17 -0.6% matured
SHO 2026-07-17 -9.6% matured
MRP 2026-07-17 +0.5% matured
M 2026-07-17 -3.8% matured
FN 2026-07-17 -5.8% matured
FCNCA 2026-07-17 — open
EVR 2026-07-17 -13.9% matured
WY 2026-07-15 -3.0% matured
WMB 2026-07-15 -2.8% matured
VST 2026-07-15 -6.3% matured
ORCL 2026-07-15 +17.8% matured
IRM 2026-07-15 +3.0% matured
FCX 2026-07-15 +10.1% matured
ETN 2026-07-15 +10.8% matured
TGT 2026-07-13 +13.1% matured
STLD 2026-07-13 +10.0% matured
SATS 2026-07-13 — open
ROST 2026-07-13 +9.6% matured
QCOM 2026-07-13 -11.2% matured
NUE 2026-07-13 +13.3% matured
MS 2026-07-13 -6.6% matured
GM 2026-07-13 +10.1% matured
F 2026-07-13 -2.5% matured
EQIX 2026-07-13 +1.7% matured
COST 2026-07-13 +0.4% matured
CCI 2026-07-13 -9.2% matured
Early Turn Screen早期拐点筛选 BETA

As of截至 2026-10-19

Stocks washed out on the slow frame, first daily up-tick today. Watch — don't chase.慢框架超跌、当日日线首现回升的股票。观察为主,勿追高。

T0 = washed out on the slower frame and turning up on the same day. Beta — an early, unproven flag; not a buy signal.T0 = 在较慢的周期上已经跌透,当天在日线上开始转上来。测试中 — 早期提示,未经验证,不是买入信号。

Showing top 30 of显示前30,共 99 by liquidity按流动性排序 · 1,768 names screened只股票已筛选

Ticker代码 Sector板块 Close收盘 Slow frame慢框架 Daily日线 Liquidity流动性
NVDA Information Technology $217.09 washed out深度超跌 (K 10) turned up today今日上穿 (K 4) $22.9B
SNDK Information Technology $1371.12 washed out深度超跌 (K 0) turned up today今日上穿 (K 8) $12.8B
INTC Information Technology $92.03 washed out深度超跌 (K 11) turned up today今日上穿 (K 4) $11.2B
BE Industrials $226.22 washed out深度超跌 (K 22) turned up today今日上穿 (K 3) $3.7B
STX Information Technology $660.81 washed out深度超跌 (K 0) turned up today今日上穿 (K 4) $3.1B
WDC Information Technology $352.21 washed out深度超跌 (K 0) turned up today今日上穿 (K 10) $3.1B
AMAT Information Technology $413.11 washed out深度超跌 (K 29) turned up today今日上穿 (K 1) $2.9B
LRCX Information Technology $272.20 washed out深度超跌 (K 21) turned up today今日上穿 (K 4) $2.6B
PANW Information Technology $346.95 washed out深度超跌 (K 30) turned up today今日上穿 (K 2) $2.0B
KLAC Information Technology $166.40 washed out深度超跌 (K 25) turned up today今日上穿 (K 1) $1.7B
C Financials $121.69 washed out深度超跌 (K 14) turned up today今日上穿 (K 17) $1.2B
ANET Information Technology $182.95 washed out深度超跌 (K 23) turned up today今日上穿 (K 6) $938M
DASH Consumer Discretionary $193.53 washed out深度超跌 (K 14) turned up today今日上穿 (K 82) $630M
BX Financials $107.09 washed out深度超跌 (K 4) turned up today今日上穿 (K 58) $629M
PNC Financials $216.21 washed out深度超跌 (K 11) turned up today今日上穿 (K 77) $429M
BKR Energy $55.81 washed out深度超跌 (K 11) turned up today今日上穿 (K 70) $349M
LYV Communication Services $170.80 washed out深度超跌 (K 18) turned up today今日上穿 (K 83) $308M
DLR Real Estate $173.00 washed out深度超跌 (K 7) turned up today今日上穿 (K 30) $302M
ARES Financials $113.00 washed out深度超跌 (K 4) turned up today今日上穿 (K 40) —
FIX Industrials $1464.07 washed out深度超跌 (K 13) turned up today今日上穿 (K 3) —
LITE Information Technology $834.51 washed out深度超跌 (K 8) turned up today今日上穿 (K 1) —
SMCI Information Technology $32.10 washed out深度超跌 (K 2) turned up today今日上穿 (K 2) —
TER Information Technology $335.53 washed out深度超跌 (K 10) turned up today今日上穿 (K 4) —
ACMR Information Technology $56.09 washed out深度超跌 (K 8) turned up today今日上穿 (K 5) —
AOSL Information Technology $22.60 washed out深度超跌 (K 17) turned up today今日上穿 (K 5) —
BHE Information Technology $71.12 washed out深度超跌 (K 26) turned up today今日上穿 (K 1) —
BTU Energy $23.77 washed out深度超跌 (K 5) turned up today今日上穿 (K 36) —
CNR Energy $89.90 washed out深度超跌 (K 24) turned up today今日上穿 (K 75) —
CORT Health Care $112.10 washed out深度超跌 (K 9) turned up today今日上穿 (K 6) —
CTS Information Technology $55.44 washed out深度超跌 (K 3) turned up today今日上穿 (K 4) —

First maturation ETA首次到期预计时间: 2027-01-05 (126 trading days交易日)

Long-hold grids accrue at a 126/252-day horizon. No verdict language before maturation. Ruler: 126d/252d sector-relative + SPY-excess, descriptive only.长持网格以126/252日地平线累积。到期前无结论语言。标尺:126日/252日板块相对+SPY超额,仅描述性。

⚠️ Firewall防火墙: Long-hold grids are display-only and never feed entry surfaces (PL-R6). Promotion of any LH grid belongs to the long-hold program (G1), not this lab.长持网格仅供展示,永不进入入场界面(PL-R6)。任何LH网格的晋升属于长持项目(G1),而非本实验室。

As of截至 2026-10-19

LH LH Compounder Grid 长持复利网格 ACCRUING 累积中
#1 VRSK —
Industrials
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a
#2 MANH —
Information Technology
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a
#4 CARG —
Communication Services
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a
#6 DBX —
Information Technology
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a
#7 DPZ —
Consumer Discretionary
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a
#8 YOU —
Information Technology
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a
#10 WINA —
Consumer Discretionary
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a

Recent long-hold fires近期长持触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Status状态
VRSK 2026-10-19 open
MANH 2026-10-19 open
CARG 2026-10-19 open
DBX 2026-10-19 open
DPZ 2026-10-19 open
YOU 2026-10-19 open
WINA 2026-10-19 open
NTNX 2026-09-30 open
TPR 2026-08-13 open
RNG 2026-08-12 open
SAM 2026-08-12 open
DOCU 2026-07-20 open
VRSK 2026-07-17 open
MRP 2026-07-17 open
MANH 2026-07-17 open
CARG 2026-07-17 open
DBX 2026-07-17 open
DPZ 2026-07-17 open
YOU 2026-07-17 open
CL 2026-07-17 open
All fires (full history) — 22 全部触发(完整历史)— 22
Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
YOU 2026-10-19 — open
WINA 2026-10-19 — open
VRSK 2026-10-19 — open
MANH 2026-10-19 — open
DPZ 2026-10-19 — open
DBX 2026-10-19 — open
CARG 2026-10-19 — open
NTNX 2026-09-30 — open
TPR 2026-08-13 — open
SAM 2026-08-12 — open
RNG 2026-08-12 — open
DOCU 2026-07-20 — open
YOU 2026-07-17 — open
WINA 2026-07-17 — open
VRSK 2026-07-17 — open
MRP 2026-07-17 — open
MANH 2026-07-17 — open
DPZ 2026-07-17 — open
DBX 2026-07-17 — open
CL 2026-07-17 — open
CHWY 2026-07-17 — open
CARG 2026-07-17 — open
LH LH EDGE Durability (no-gate control) 长持EDGE耐久(无门控对照) ACCRUING 累积中 CONTROL

No-gate control — measures EDGE persistence without entry conditions; not a pick list 无门控对照——衡量EDGE在无入场条件下的持久性;非选股列表

#5 SNDK —
Information Technology
EDGE decilequality>median
#9 VICR —
Industrials
EDGE decilequality>median
#10 PTGX —
Health Care
EDGE decilequality>median

Recent long-hold fires近期长持触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Status状态
SNDK 2026-10-19 open
VICR 2026-10-19 open
PTGX 2026-10-19 open
INSW 2026-10-14 open
ROST 2026-10-14 open
DRH 2026-10-14 open
PARR 2026-10-14 open
IRDM 2026-10-08 open
TGT 2026-10-06 open
KEYS 2026-09-30 open
DGII 2026-09-25 open
MATX 2026-09-25 open
MPC 2026-09-21 open
FIVE 2026-09-09 open
CIEN 2026-09-08 open
VLO 2026-09-03 open
LPG 2026-08-31 open
PBF 2026-08-31 open
CHEF 2026-08-25 open
AMG 2026-08-24 open
All fires (full history) — 55 全部触发(完整历史)— 55
Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
VICR 2026-10-19 — open
SNDK 2026-10-19 — open
PTGX 2026-10-19 — open
ROST 2026-10-14 — open
PARR 2026-10-14 — open
INSW 2026-10-14 — open
DRH 2026-10-14 — open
IRDM 2026-10-08 — open
TGT 2026-10-06 — open
KEYS 2026-09-30 — open
MATX 2026-09-25 — open
DGII 2026-09-25 — open
MPC 2026-09-21 — open
FIVE 2026-09-09 — open
CIEN 2026-09-08 — open
VLO 2026-09-03 — open
PBF 2026-08-31 — open
LPG 2026-08-31 — open
CHEF 2026-08-25 — open
IESC 2026-08-24 — open
AMG 2026-08-24 — open
HWM 2026-08-21 — open
DAR 2026-08-20 — open
LFST 2026-08-18 — open
INDV 2026-08-18 — open
ECHO 2026-08-17 — open
AMKR 2026-08-13 — open
CNC 2026-08-12 — open
LRCX 2026-08-07 — open
FTNT 2026-08-07 — open
COHU 2026-08-07 — open
FORM 2026-07-31 — open
MXL 2026-07-28 — open
XHR 2026-07-20 — open
TER 2026-07-20 — open
PENG 2026-07-20 — open
HR 2026-07-20 — open
VSXY 2026-07-17 — open
UFCS 2026-07-17 — open
STRL 2026-07-17 — open
STAA 2026-07-17 — open
SPHR 2026-07-17 — open
MCY 2026-07-17 — open
KLIC 2026-07-17 — open
HPE 2026-07-17 — open
WDC 2026-07-13 — open
VRT 2026-07-13 — open
TRGP 2026-07-13 — open
TJX 2026-07-13 — open
SNDK 2026-07-13 — open
ROST 2026-07-13 — open
NUE 2026-07-13 — open
CSX 2026-07-13 — open
AMD 2026-07-13 — open
AMAT 2026-07-13 — open
LH LH Washout Survivor Grid 长持洗盘幸存网格 ACCRUING 累积中
#3 CHWY —
Consumer Discretionary
dd>40%quality>medianic n/adilution n/a
#5 PEGA —
Information Technology
dd>40%quality>medianic n/adilution n/a
#6 ADBE —
Information Technology
dd>40%quality>medianic n/adilution n/a

Recent long-hold fires近期长持触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Status状态
CHWY 2026-10-19 open
PEGA 2026-10-19 open
ADBE 2026-10-19 open
SEZL 2026-10-02 open
HUBG 2026-09-24 open
SNDK 2026-09-09 open
CPRI 2026-09-03 open
WDAY 2026-08-24 open
EPAM 2026-08-21 open
PODD 2026-08-20 open
UPWK 2026-08-20 open
IT 2026-08-20 open
ACI 2026-07-24 open
MANH 2026-07-17 open
WS 2026-07-17 open
CHWY 2026-07-17 open
PTON 2026-07-17 open
HIMS 2026-07-17 open
ADBE 2026-07-17 open
PEGA 2026-07-17 open
All fires (full history) — 23 全部触发(完整历史)— 23
Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
PEGA 2026-10-19 — open
CHWY 2026-10-19 — open
ADBE 2026-10-19 — open
SEZL 2026-10-02 — open
HUBG 2026-09-24 — open
SNDK 2026-09-09 — open
CPRI 2026-09-03 — open
WDAY 2026-08-24 — open
EPAM 2026-08-21 — open
UPWK 2026-08-20 — open
PODD 2026-08-20 — open
IT 2026-08-20 — open
ACI 2026-07-24 — open
WS 2026-07-17 — open
PTON 2026-07-17 — open
PINS 2026-07-17 — open
PGNY 2026-07-17 — open
PEGA 2026-07-17 — open
MANH 2026-07-17 — open
HIMS 2026-07-17 — open
CHWY 2026-07-17 — open
APPF 2026-07-17 — open
ADBE 2026-07-17 — open
LH LH EDGE Durability B (gated) 长持EDGE耐久B(有门控) ACCRUING 累积中
#5 SNDK —
Information Technology
EDGE decilequality>0sector cap 3
#6 ROST —
Consumer Discretionary
EDGE decilequality>0sector cap 3
#9 CAKE —
Consumer Discretionary
EDGE decilequality>0sector cap 3
#10 PRLB —
Industrials
EDGE decilequality>0sector cap 3

Recent long-hold fires近期长持触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Status状态
SNDK 2026-10-19 open
ROST 2026-10-19 open
CAKE 2026-10-19 open
PRLB 2026-10-19 open
INSW 2026-10-14 open
KEYS 2026-09-30 open
TGT 2026-09-30 open
DGII 2026-09-25 open
MATX 2026-09-21 open
IRDM 2026-09-16 open
MPC 2026-09-11 open
FIVE 2026-09-09 open
CIEN 2026-09-08 open
TALO 2026-09-03 open
PTGX 2026-08-31 open
IESC 2026-08-24 open
CHEF 2026-08-20 open
LFST 2026-08-18 open
HWM 2026-08-18 open
INDV 2026-08-17 open
All fires (full history) — 43 全部触发(完整历史)— 43
Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
SNDK 2026-10-19 — open
ROST 2026-10-19 — open
PRLB 2026-10-19 — open
CAKE 2026-10-19 — open
INSW 2026-10-14 — open
TGT 2026-09-30 — open
KEYS 2026-09-30 — open
DGII 2026-09-25 — open
MATX 2026-09-21 — open
IRDM 2026-09-16 — open
MPC 2026-09-11 — open
FIVE 2026-09-09 — open
CIEN 2026-09-08 — open
TALO 2026-09-03 — open
PTGX 2026-08-31 — open
IESC 2026-08-24 — open
CHEF 2026-08-20 — open
LFST 2026-08-18 — open
HWM 2026-08-18 — open
INDV 2026-08-17 — open
VLO 2026-08-12 — open
AMD 2026-08-12 — open
FORM 2026-08-07 — open
ENVA 2026-08-07 — open
ECHO 2026-08-07 — open
CNC 2026-07-30 — open
TER 2026-07-29 — open
PARR 2026-07-29 — open
HCSG 2026-07-27 — open
MAC 2026-07-21 — open
ROST 2026-07-20 — open
LBRT 2026-07-20 — open
JBHT 2026-07-20 — open
WDC 2026-07-17 — open
VSXY 2026-07-17 — open
STRL 2026-07-17 — open
STAA 2026-07-17 — open
SPHR 2026-07-17 — open
SNDK 2026-07-17 — open
MCY 2026-07-17 — open
KLIC 2026-07-17 — open
HR 2026-07-17 — open
GIII 2026-07-17 — open
Board Record 选板记录

How well has the US Buy Board identified winners before they moved? Record is measuring — first read expected ~Sep 15 2026 when cluster-unit floors are met (SA-R10). 美国买入板过去是否提前识别到赢家?记录正在累积中——首次读取预计2026年9月15日(集群单元下限达到,SA-R10)。

ACCRUING — first read ~Sep 15 2026 累积中 — 首次读取约2026年9月15日
Stratified Scoreboard 分层记分板
Stratum层 Raw n原始n Eff. n有效n State状态
by_lane.buy 34 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_lane.laggards 12 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_lane.watch 24 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_quad_hard_label.nan 34 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_vol_regime.nan 34 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_risk_radar_state.nan 34 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_outcome_cause.beta_tailwind 2 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_outcome_cause.idio_alpha 10 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_outcome_cause.idio_break 6 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_outcome_cause.mixed 16 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_process_fault.clean 33 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_process_fault.premature_stop_noise 1 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_sector.Consumer Discretionary 1 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_sector.Consumer Staples 1 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_sector.Energy 2 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_sector.Financials 4 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_sector.Health Care 2 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_sector.Industrials 10 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_sector.Information Technology 2 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_sector.Materials 2 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_sector.Real Estate 1 1 ACCRUING累积中
by_sector.Utilities 9 1 ACCRUING累积中
upstream_concordance.risk_radar_state 34 1 ACCRUING累积中

All lanes: 70 rows. CIs are cluster-unit (entry-date-collapsed) and descriptive only. No significance claims. Cells with effective_n<3 print state='ACCRUING'. 所有通道:70 行。CIs are cluster-unit (entry-date-collapsed) and descriptive only. No significance claims. Cells with effective_n<3 print state='ACCRUING'.

Outcome Causes 结果原因
beta_tailwind 2 ACCRUING累积中
idio_alpha 10 ACCRUING累积中
idio_break 6 ACCRUING累积中
mixed 16 ACCRUING累积中
Process Faults 流程缺陷
clean 33 ACCRUING累积中
premature_stop_noise 1 ACCRUING累积中
pp Lost on Surfaced Losers 已浮现亏损者损失pp
Sensor maturing — available once winner/loser attribution accumulates. 传感器累积中——赢家/亏损者归因积累后可用。
pp Forgone on Unsurfaced Winners 未浮现赢家错失pp
Sensor maturing — available once missed-mover census accumulates. 传感器累积中——遗漏动向普查积累后可用。
Coverage Monitor 覆盖率监控
231 unique tickers surfaced (trailing 4wk) 个独特代码(近4周)
Frozen baseline: 冻结基准: —
Week周 Tickers代码数
2026-06-15/2026-06-21 182
2026-06-22/2026-06-28 209
2026-06-29/2026-07-05 78
2026-07-06/2026-07-12 56
2026-07-13/2026-07-19 88
2026-07-20/2026-07-26 69
2026-07-27/2026-08-02 5
Upstream Concordance 上游一致性

Gate suppressed: data_gap: near_miss store lacks excess_spy column 门控被抑制:data_gap: near_miss store lacks excess_spy column

Organ器官 Discordance rate不一致率 n
risk_radar_state 17.6% 6 / 34

Authority: display_only. All numbers from committed audit artifacts (SA-W1). Cluster-unit CIs per SA-R10. No verdict language before floor (raw n ≥25, eff. n ≥3, ≥3 calendar months). 授权:仅展示。所有数字来自已提交审计工件(SA-W1)。集群单元置信区间按SA-R10。下限(原始n≥25、有效n≥3、≥3个日历月)前无结论语言。 · As of截至 2026-08-08

What this lab measures本实验室测量什么

23 frozen candidate pick engines run in parallel on forward ledgers. Each book fires picks nightly; those picks are graded when the horizon elapses. Nothing here drives live selection. The purpose is evidence accrual: let the data tell us which constructions are worth a formal gauntlet.23个冻结候选选股引擎在前向账本上并行运行。每本书每晚触发选择;当地平线经过时,这些选择被评级。这里没有任何内容驱动实时选股。目的是证据累积:让数据告诉我们哪些构造值得正式考验。

Rulers (per family, pre-declared — PL-R3)标尺(每族,预先声明 — PL-R3)

  • Families A, B, D, E, F: primary ruler = 21-trading-day SPY-excess (win rate + median excess). 5/10/63d recorded as descriptive ladder.A、B、D、E、F族:主标尺 = 21交易日SPY超额(胜率+中位超额)。5/10/63日记录为描述性阶梯。
  • Family C (Washout/Reversion): primary ruler = 21-session absolute reversion-capture + MFE/MAE asymmetry. 63d excess is the wrong ruler here.C族(洗盘/均值回归):主标尺 = 21节绝对均值回归捕获 + MFE/MAE非对称。63日超额在此为错误标尺。
  • Book 19 (Topping Avoid, INVERSE): scored as avoid-accuracy — expected negative 21d excess.书19(顶部规避,反向):评分为规避准确性 — 预期负21日超额。
  • Long-hold grids: 126d and 252d sector-relative + SPY-excess, descriptive only.长持网格:126日和252日板块相对+SPY超额,仅描述性。

Secondary horizons (pre-declared before any data matured — Amendment §A2)辅助地平线(数据成熟前预先声明 — 修正案§A2)

  • 1D-velocity books (Family A) are also judged at 10 days — declared before any data matured, because 1D triggers lead the 3D gate by about 2 sessions and burst edges can decay fast. 1日动能书(A族)同样在10日评判——在任何数据成熟前已声明,因为1日触发比3日门控提前约2节,且爆发性优势消退较快。
  • Momentum and quality books (Families B and D) are also judged at 63 days — declared before any data matured, because breakout and EDGE theses need room to run and often take weeks to pay out. 动能与质量书(B族和D族)同样在63日评判——在任何数据成熟前已声明,因为突破和EDGE论点需要时间兑现,往往需要数周。
  • Picking a book's best-looking horizon after grades are in is forbidden — that is a multiple-comparisons trap. Only these pre-declared horizons earn verdict language. 禁止在评级出来后才选择表现最佳的地平线——这是多重比较陷阱。只有这些预先声明的地平线才能使用结论性语言。

What "time-to-peak" and "capture rate" mean"峰值时间"与"捕获率"含义

The scoreboard detail row shows how a typical trade played out over 25 sessions after entry. Time-to-peak (median session of the best gain) tells you how long the move usually takes to reach its high point — so a peak on day 8 with a 21-day exit means you are typically selling after the move has already rolled over. Capture rate is what fraction of that best gain you actually keep at a given exit horizon — a 10-day exit with 70% capture means a typical hold of 10 days keeps about 70 cents of every peak dollar. These are descriptive numbers, not targets; they help you decide which exit horizon fits the thesis. 记分板详情行显示了入场后25节内一笔典型交易的表现。峰值时间(最佳收益的中位节次)告诉你走势通常需要多久才能到达高点——例如第8日见顶而21日退出,意味着你通常是在走势已经回落后才卖出。捕获率是在某一退出地平线实际保留的最佳收益比例——10日退出70%捕获率意味着持有10日通常能保留约每个峰值美元的70分。这些是描述性数字,不是目标;它们帮助你判断哪个退出地平线符合论点。

Controls (PL-R5)控制变量(PL-R5)

Every book is measured against two yardsticks. Random-names control (live now): 12 uniform-random liquid names per day with a deterministic seed — measures selection skill, pinned in the scoreboard. Universe base rate and timing lift: the buy-anytime return across all snapshot tickers and a timing-only control are arriving as grades mature — the column shows a dash until then. A book needs to beat both to claim an edge. 每本书均与两个基准比较。随机名称控制(现已上线):每日12个确定性种子的均匀随机流动名称——衡量选股技能,固定在记分板中。全市场基准率与时机提升:全部快照代码的随时买入回报及纯时机控制将随评级成熟而填入——届时前列显示破折号。一本书需要同时超越两者才能宣称存在优势。

ACCRUING floor (PL-R4)累积下限(PL-R4)

No verdict language before n≥25 fires spanning ≥3 calendar months and ≥6 distinct fire dates.在n≥25次触发跨越≥3个日历月和≥6个不同触发日期之前,无结论语言。 Until then, the status badge reads ACCRUING. Even past the floor, this page shows descriptive summaries only.在此之前,状态徽章显示ACCRUING。即使超过下限,此页面也仅显示描述性摘要。

What promotion would take (PL-R1)晋升所需条件(PL-R1)

Promotion of any book beyond display-tier requires the existing gauntlet: n≥25 fires across ≥3 months, a time-preserving placebo (no ticker-cluster CIs without time control), and pre-registered outcome gates. The lab contributes forward evidence only. Operator daily review (PL-R8) is a sanctioned selection heuristic for gauntlet slots — never promotion evidence by itself.任何书超越展示层级的晋升都需要现有的考验:跨越≥3个月的n≥25次触发,时间保留安慰剂(没有无时间控制的代码集群置信区间),以及预先注册的结果门控。实验室仅提供前向证据。操作员每日审查(PL-R8)是考验槽位的制裁选择启发式 — 本身从不是晋升证据。

Frozen configs (PL-R2)冻结配置(PL-R2)

Every book registers a frozen config + config_hash at ship time. Any parameter change ships as engine_id-v2 with a fresh ledger. Ledgers are never edited or re-scored in place.每本书在发布时注册一个冻结配置+config_hash。任何参数更改以engine_id-v2发布,带有新账本。账本永不就地编辑或重新评分。

Candidate families候选族

  • A — 1D Velocity: 4 books pricing the flagship gate's speed cost on fast movers. Clock: 2026-08-20.4本书定价旗舰门控在快速移动者上的速度成本。时钟:2026-08-20。
  • B — Momentum: 4 books (breakout-vol, residual-momentum, OTR pullback, high-base squeeze).4本书(突破量能、残差动能、OTR回调、高位基建盘整)。
  • C — Washout/Reversion: 3 books; absolute reversion ruler, not SPY-excess.3本书;绝对均值回归标尺,而非SPY超额。
  • D — EDGE/Quality: 3 books (EDGE pure, EDGE×1D, quality pullback).3本书(纯EDGE、EDGE×1日、优质回调)。
  • E — Context/Personality: 2 books (beta-squeeze, revision-accel).2本书(Beta压缩、预测加速上修)。
  • F — Ablations + Control: 4 books including flagship-nogate, flagship-T3/T4, topping-avoid (INVERSE), and the random control yardstick.4本书,包括旗舰无门控、旗舰T3/T4、顶部规避(反向)和随机控制基准。
  • LH — Long-Hold: 3 grids (compounder, EDGE durability, washout survivor). Firewalled from entry surfaces.3个网格(复利、EDGE耐久、洗盘幸存)。与入场界面隔离。

Notes from last run上次运行说明

Display-only forward-evidence lab. All books ACCRUING until n≥25 fires / ≥3 months / ≥6 distinct fire dates. plab_random_ctrl = yardstick (buy-anytime base rate). Authority: display_only. Never gates or scores anything.

Authority: display_only. All rows carry authority: "display_only" per PL-R10.授权:仅展示。所有行按照PL-R10携带授权:"display_only"。 · Built生成时间 2026-10-21 06:57 UTC