Pick Lab · Display-only · ACCRUINGPick Lab · 仅展示 · 累积中

🧪 Candidate Pick Engines候选选股引擎

23 shadow books running on forward ledgers — measured against a random-control yardstick before any book earns operator attention. All data is display-only; nothing here drives live selection or gating.23个影子书在前向账本上运行 — 在任何书获得操作员关注之前，均与随机控制基准对比衡量。所有数据仅供展示；这里没有任何内容驱动实时选股或门控。

As of截至 2026-07-17 · Built生成时间 2026-07-20 04:17 UTC

Liquidity流动性 expanding
How to read this table:如何阅读此表： All 20 entry books are measured against the Random Control yardstick (pinned at bottom). ACCRUING = fewer than 25 fires across 3 months — do not act on these numbers yet; they are honest samples, not evidence. The ruler for Family C (washout) is absolute reversion-capture, not SPY-excess.所有20个入场书均与随机控制基准（固定在底部）进行比较。ACCRUING = 3个月内少于25次触发 — 暂不据此行动；这些是诚实样本，而非证据。C族（洗盘）的标尺是绝对均值回归捕获，而非SPY超额。
Book书本 Fam族 Status状态 N firesN触发 N openN开放 Dates日期 Mo span月跨 WR21 absWR21绝对 WR21 excWR21超额 Med exc21中位超额21 MFE medMFE中位 MAE medMAE中位 Asym非对称 NAV exc cumNAV累积超额 Max DD最大回撤 vs Rand对比随机 vs Univ对比全市场
A A ACCRUING 累积中 28 28 3 0.1 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

A A ACCRUING 累积中 31 31 3 0.1 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

A A ACCRUING 累积中 30 30 3 0.1 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

A A ACCRUING 累积中 1 1 1 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

B B ACCRUING 累积中 4 4 1 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

B B ACCRUING 累积中 17 17 2 0.1 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

B B ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

B B ACCRUING 累积中 12 12 1 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

C C ACCRUING 累积中 12 12 1 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

C C ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

C C ACCRUING 累积中 12 12 1 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

D D ACCRUING 累积中 21 21 2 0.1 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

D D ACCRUING 累积中 27 27 3 0.1 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

D D ACCRUING 累积中 8 8 2 0.1 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

E E ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

E E ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

F F ACCRUING 累积中 26 26 4 0.1 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

F F ACCRUING 累积中 27 27 3 0.1 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

F (AVOID — inverse)(规避 — 反向) F ACCRUING 累积中 15 15 2 0.1 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

F (yardstick)(基准) F ACCRUING 累积中 57 57 4 0.1 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

G G ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

G G ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

H H ACCRUING 累积中 0 0 0 0.0 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

H H ACCRUING 累积中 5 5 2 0.1 — — — — — — — 0.0% — —
▶ Exit horizons & path 退出地平线与路径
Horizon地平线 Win rate胜率 Exc vs SPY超额 Med exc中位超额 Capture捕获率
5d — — — —
10d — — — —
21d — — — —
63d — — — —

Path data arriving as grades mature 路径数据随评级成熟而填入

Books 1–4 price the flagship gate's speed cost — names whose 1D oscillators crossed before the 2D/3D gate prints. First operator read clock: 2026-08-20. Family A ruler: 21-day SPY-excess.书1–4定价旗舰门控的速度成本 — 1日振荡器在2D/3D门印发前穿越的名称。第一次操作员读取时钟：2026-08-20。A族标尺：21日SPY超额。

A 1D Pure (velocity gate) 1日纯速 (动能门) NN=28 · WR21 excWR21超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中
#1 MRP —
Real Estate
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0rsi14 59.0pct_vs_20dma 2.4off_52w_high_pct -10.7cycle_state BUY NOWpct_gain_60d_low 0.10601502460085324bars_since_60d_low 45ret_252d 0.030762175992990214
#2 TJX —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0rsi14 48.0pct_vs_20dma -0.3off_52w_high_pct -8.3cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKpct_gain_60d_low 0.0539748862488677bars_since_60d_low 44ret_252d 0.2884074032166239
#3 YETI —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 1.0rsi14 60.0pct_vs_20dma 3.8off_52w_high_pct -0.3cycle_state BUY SOONpct_gain_60d_low 0.3405986549987157bars_since_60d_low 51ret_252d 0.512144602344344
#4 FCNCA —
ETF / macro
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 1.0rsi14 56.0pct_vs_20dma 1.4off_52w_high_pct -3.5cycle_state HALF SIZEpct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#5 STAA —
Health Care
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0rsi14 40.0pct_vs_20dma -6.7off_52w_high_pct -20.7cycle_state AVOIDpct_gain_60d_low 0.06612908659070804bars_since_60d_low 59ret_252d 0.5471035867752103
#7 FN —
Information Technology
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 6.0rsi14 39.0pct_vs_20dma -7.6off_52w_high_pct -35.9cycle_state AVOIDpct_gain_60d_low 0.03954890829978117bars_since_60d_low 1ret_252d 0.6083038998682856
#9 SHO —
Real Estate
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 6.0rsi14 62.0pct_vs_20dma 2.4off_52w_high_pct -0.8cycle_state DON'T CHASEpct_gain_60d_low 0.2334384079836678bars_since_60d_low 59ret_252d 0.35889422622782274
#10 M —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 53.0pct_vs_20dma -0.7off_52w_high_pct -8.8cycle_state HALF SIZEpct_gain_60d_low 0.2932824137554946bars_since_60d_low 43ret_252d 1.024194352422855
#12 EVR —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 48.0pct_vs_20dma -1.6off_52w_high_pct -10.4cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKpct_gain_60d_low 0.0809004761856931bars_since_60d_low 52ret_252d 0.17437802446138406

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
MRP 2026-07-17 — open
TJX 2026-07-17 — open
YETI 2026-07-17 — open
FCNCA 2026-07-17 — open
STAA 2026-07-17 — open
FN 2026-07-17 — open
SHO 2026-07-17 — open
M 2026-07-17 — open
EVR 2026-07-17 — open
FCX 2026-07-15 — open
WMB 2026-07-15 — open
VST 2026-07-15 — open
ORCL 2026-07-15 — open
ETN 2026-07-15 — open
WY 2026-07-15 — open
IRM 2026-07-15 — open
ROST 2026-07-13 — open
SATS 2026-07-13 — open
EQIX 2026-07-13 — open
GM 2026-07-13 — open
NUE 2026-07-13 — open
QCOM 2026-07-13 — open
STLD 2026-07-13 — open
MS 2026-07-13 — open
TGT 2026-07-13 — open
COST 2026-07-13 — open
F 2026-07-13 — open
CCI 2026-07-13 — open
A 1D Regime-filtered 1日制度过滤 NN=31 · WR21 excWR21超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中
#1 POWL —
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 6.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 2.22pct_vs_20dma -10.8off_52w_high_pct -27.7cycle_state AVOIDpct_gain_60d_low 0.0315961601892885bars_since_60d_low 4ret_252d 2.2181423185200715
#2 JBHT —
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 1.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 1.91pct_vs_20dma 3.8off_52w_high_pct -2.3cycle_state HALF SIZEpct_gain_60d_low 0.23066857521286685bars_since_60d_low 45ret_252d 0.9428347446923856
#3 PHIN —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 1.88pct_vs_20dma 0.1off_52w_high_pct -5.9cycle_state HOLDpct_gain_60d_low 0.12582012039418297bars_since_60d_low 40ret_252d 0.6815682028131874
#4 VLY —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 1.79pct_vs_20dma 2.0off_52w_high_pct -1.6cycle_state HALF SIZEpct_gain_60d_low 0.1649850313774789bars_since_60d_low 40ret_252d 0.6635000882356281
#5 SCHL —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 1.66pct_vs_20dma 3.5off_52w_high_pct -0.8cycle_state TAKE PROFITSpct_gain_60d_low 0.21280985547499678bars_since_60d_low 44ret_252d 1.2901791424154623
#6 WAB —
Industrials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 1.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 1.63pct_vs_20dma -1.4off_52w_high_pct -7.2cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKpct_gain_60d_low 0.028369551875989784bars_since_60d_low 38ret_252d 0.24502121599621673
#7 M —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 1.61pct_vs_20dma -0.7off_52w_high_pct -8.8cycle_state HALF SIZEpct_gain_60d_low 0.2932824137554946bars_since_60d_low 43ret_252d 1.024194352422855
#8 VTRS —
Health Care
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 1.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 1.59pct_vs_20dma 5.8off_52w_high_pct -0.2cycle_state HALF SIZEpct_gain_60d_low 0.19951635286392214bars_since_60d_low 59ret_252d 0.9792330895902022
#9 JAZZ —
Health Care
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 1.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 1.52pct_vs_20dma 4.0off_52w_high_pct -0.3cycle_state HALF SIZEpct_gain_60d_low 0.2595664227450058bars_since_60d_low 57ret_252d 1.1324086395136117
#10 ABCB —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 1.37pct_vs_20dma 2.5off_52w_high_pct -0.9cycle_state HALF SIZEpct_gain_60d_low 0.11809593372480803bars_since_60d_low 42ret_252d 0.40028414785502625
#12 CFFN —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚calm≥0.5regime-ok
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 5.0calm 0.5edge_alpha 1.34pct_vs_20dma 2.0off_52w_high_pct -1.9cycle_state DON'T CHASEpct_gain_60d_low 0.15449943410052383bars_since_60d_low 54ret_252d 0.4731112750305339

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
POWL 2026-07-17 — open
JBHT 2026-07-17 — open
PHIN 2026-07-17 — open
VLY 2026-07-17 — open
SCHL 2026-07-17 — open
WAB 2026-07-17 — open
M 2026-07-17 — open
VTRS 2026-07-17 — open
JAZZ 2026-07-17 — open
ABCB 2026-07-17 — open
CFFN 2026-07-17 — open
HWM 2026-07-15 — open
GS 2026-07-15 — open
JCI 2026-07-15 — open
FCX 2026-07-15 — open
IRM 2026-07-15 — open
DG 2026-07-15 — open
D 2026-07-15 — open
HON 2026-07-15 — open
STLD 2026-07-13 — open
ROST 2026-07-13 — open
NUE 2026-07-13 — open
CSCO 2026-07-13 — open
WBD 2026-07-13 — open
TGT 2026-07-13 — open
GM 2026-07-13 — open
EQIX 2026-07-13 — open
MS 2026-07-13 — open
EIX 2026-07-13 — open
EA 2026-07-13 — open
A 1D Sector-heat 1日板块热度 NN=30 · WR21 excWR21超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中
#1 MRP —
Real Estate
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0sector_stage leadingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma 2.4off_52w_high_pct -10.7cycle_state BUY NOWpct_gain_60d_low 0.10601502460085324bars_since_60d_low 45ret_252d 0.030762175992990214
#2 STAA —
Health Care
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma -6.7off_52w_high_pct -20.7cycle_state AVOIDpct_gain_60d_low 0.06612908659070804bars_since_60d_low 59ret_252d 0.5471035867752103
#4 IDXX —
Health Care
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma 2.4off_52w_high_pct -26.0cycle_state BUY NOWpct_gain_60d_low 0.07788161957651267bars_since_60d_low 12ret_252d 0.09003591151573234
#5 MC —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage leadingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma 1.3off_52w_high_pct -11.4cycle_state HOLDpct_gain_60d_low 0.09420849855323292bars_since_60d_low 51ret_252d -0.011770409503438885
#6 EL —
Consumer Staples
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma -0.3off_52w_high_pct -30.9cycle_state WAITpct_gain_60d_low 0.08927939005697674bars_since_60d_low 54ret_252d -0.03548268769615241
#7 IBKR —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage leadingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma -2.9off_52w_high_pct -7.1cycle_state WAITpct_gain_60d_low 0.19396166285598773bars_since_60d_low 58ret_252d 0.5298011823457901
#8 SHO —
Real Estate
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0sector_stage leadingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma 2.4off_52w_high_pct -0.8cycle_state DON'T CHASEpct_gain_60d_low 0.2334384079836678bars_since_60d_low 59ret_252d 0.35889422622782274
#9 EQIX —
Real Estate
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0sector_stage leadingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma -2.8off_52w_high_pct -8.6cycle_state AVOIDpct_gain_60d_low 0.021184546649724bars_since_60d_low 9ret_252d 0.3625182415188097
#10 EVR —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage leadingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma -1.6off_52w_high_pct -10.4cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKpct_gain_60d_low 0.0809004761856931bars_since_60d_low 52ret_252d 0.17437802446138406
#11 HST —
Real Estate
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0sector_stage leadingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma 1.4off_52w_high_pct -1.1cycle_state BUY SOONpct_gain_60d_low 0.14820144345580463bars_since_60d_low 59ret_252d 0.5451139435600223
#12 CHD —
Consumer Staples
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚sector heating
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0sector_stage improvingsector_phase Nonepct_vs_20dma 0.9off_52w_high_pct -6.5cycle_state BUY NOWpct_gain_60d_low 0.08454772540156823bars_since_60d_low 46ret_252d 0.03161281908778463

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
MRP 2026-07-17 — open
STAA 2026-07-17 — open
IDXX 2026-07-17 — open
MC 2026-07-17 — open
EL 2026-07-17 — open
IBKR 2026-07-17 — open
SHO 2026-07-17 — open
EQIX 2026-07-17 — open
EVR 2026-07-17 — open
HST 2026-07-17 — open
CHD 2026-07-17 — open
SATS 2026-07-15 — open
HWM 2026-07-15 — open
WMB 2026-07-15 — open
ECHO 2026-07-15 — open
DIS 2026-07-15 — open
VST 2026-07-15 — open
GS 2026-07-15 — open
JPM 2026-07-15 — open
TGT 2026-07-15 — open
DG 2026-07-15 — open
COST 2026-07-15 — open
MS 2026-07-13 — open
JCI 2026-07-13 — open
D 2026-07-13 — open
DHR 2026-07-13 — open
CEG 2026-07-13 — open
EIX 2026-07-13 — open
PCG 2026-07-13 — open
HON 2026-07-13 — open
A 1D Blastoff (3D gate miss) 1日起飞 (3日门遗漏) NN=1 · WR21 excWR21超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中
#1 QCOM —
Information Technology
1D MACD✚≤33D not yetabove_200ext=none
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d3_macd_xup_bars Noneext_grade Nonepct_vs_20dma -4.8off_52w_high_pct -24.6cycle_state HALF SIZEpct_gain_60d_low 0.2871554106145919bars_since_60d_low 58ret_252d 0.13844752402917793

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
QCOM 2026-07-17 — open
On the Run Stocks热门板块个股 on_the_run sector context · Book 7热门板块背景 · 书7
# MRP $29.42
Real Estate
# IBKR $90.53
Financials
# EQIX $1,020.00
Real Estate
# JKHY $151.67
Financials
# IVZ $29.63
Financials
# CBOE $273.41
Financials
# HST $23.94
Real Estate
# XOM $147.36
Energy
# APA $35.22
Energy
# BEN $32.63
Financials
# PSA $318.04
Real Estate
# TRGP $282.91
Energy
# HAL $35.22
Energy
# CCI $79.17
Real Estate
# BKR $55.95
Energy
# MS $215.50
Financials
# WMB $73.38
Energy
# CME $245.05
Financials
# CVX $187.38
Energy
# AMT $170.06
Real Estate
# DVN $43.83
Energy
# BRK-B $490.91
Financials
# SLB $46.99
Energy
# GS $1,065.22
Financials
# PGR $207.95
Financials
# NDAQ $91.64
Financials
# NTRS $184.68
Financials
# HIG $140.26
Financials
# OKE $93.52
Energy
# CB $352.16
Financials
Take Profits / Topping Stocks止盈/见顶个股 NOT buys — avoid / exit context非买入 — 规避/退出背景

Book 19 (Topping Avoid, INVERSE) — cycle_state TOP WATCH / ROLLING OVER or high RSI in take-profit sectors. Scored as avoid-accuracy: expected negative 21d excess. Do NOT treat these as buy signals.书19（顶部规避，反向）— 周期状态TOP WATCH / ROLLING OVER或止盈板块高RSI。评分为规避准确性：预期负21日超额。切勿将这些视为买入信号。

# MAN $52.34
Industrials
# BCO $120.12
Industrials
# UNP $301.75
Industrials
# EXPD $182.80
Industrials
# VSTS $16.50
Industrials
# RHI $41.80
Industrials
# ACIW $58.07
Information Technology
# CTAS $204.45
Industrials
# NSC $340.16
Industrials
# HUBG $51.22
Industrials
# UNF $291.44
Industrials
# SPSC $65.59
Information Technology
# AAPL $333.74
Information Technology
# CHRW $208.50
Industrials
# PAYX $114.39
Industrials
# MATX $222.18
Industrials
# MLKN $21.82
Industrials
# SCSC $54.79
Information Technology
# NABL $4.77
Information Technology
# NSP $49.55
Industrials
# DBX $30.62
Information Technology
# CSX $50.75
Industrials
# UPS $117.72
Industrials
# ABM $47.58
Industrials
# BILL $44.71
Information Technology
# QLYS $159.43
Information Technology
# ADP $255.26
Industrials
# ACA $145.01
Industrials
# BOX $30.48
Information Technology
# CNXN $78.97
Information Technology

Select a book to view today's picks and recently graded fires.选择一本书查看今日选择和最近评级触发。

A 1D Pure (velocity gate) 1日纯速 (动能门) N firesN触发=28 · WR21 excWR21超额 — · ACCRUING 累积中

Ruler标尺: 21d_spy_excess

#1 MRP —
Real Estate
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0rsi14 59.0pct_vs_20dma 2.4off_52w_high_pct -10.7cycle_state BUY NOWpct_gain_60d_low 0.10601502460085324bars_since_60d_low 45ret_252d 0.030762175992990214
#2 TJX —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0rsi14 48.0pct_vs_20dma -0.3off_52w_high_pct -8.3cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKpct_gain_60d_low 0.0539748862488677bars_since_60d_low 44ret_252d 0.2884074032166239
#3 YETI —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 1.0rsi14 60.0pct_vs_20dma 3.8off_52w_high_pct -0.3cycle_state BUY SOONpct_gain_60d_low 0.3405986549987157bars_since_60d_low 51ret_252d 0.512144602344344
#4 FCNCA —
ETF / macro
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 0.0d1_kd_xup_bars 1.0rsi14 56.0pct_vs_20dma 1.4off_52w_high_pct -3.5cycle_state HALF SIZEpct_gain_60d_low Nonebars_since_60d_low Noneret_252d None
#5 STAA —
Health Care
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 2.0rsi14 40.0pct_vs_20dma -6.7off_52w_high_pct -20.7cycle_state AVOIDpct_gain_60d_low 0.06612908659070804bars_since_60d_low 59ret_252d 0.5471035867752103
#7 FN —
Information Technology
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 6.0rsi14 39.0pct_vs_20dma -7.6off_52w_high_pct -35.9cycle_state AVOIDpct_gain_60d_low 0.03954890829978117bars_since_60d_low 1ret_252d 0.6083038998682856
#9 SHO —
Real Estate
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 6.0rsi14 62.0pct_vs_20dma 2.4off_52w_high_pct -0.8cycle_state DON'T CHASEpct_gain_60d_low 0.2334384079836678bars_since_60d_low 59ret_252d 0.35889422622782274
#10 M —
Consumer Discretionary
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 1.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 53.0pct_vs_20dma -0.7off_52w_high_pct -8.8cycle_state HALF SIZEpct_gain_60d_low 0.2932824137554946bars_since_60d_low 43ret_252d 1.024194352422855
#12 EVR —
Financials
1D MACD✚1D K×D✚from_OSRSI<65
d1_macd_xup_bars 2.0d1_kd_xup_bars 4.0rsi14 48.0pct_vs_20dma -1.6off_52w_high_pct -10.4cycle_state UNCONFIRMED — HIGH RISKpct_gain_60d_low 0.0809004761856931bars_since_60d_low 52ret_252d 0.17437802446138406

Recent graded fires近期已评级触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc ret21日超额回报 Status状态
MRP 2026-07-17 — open
TJX 2026-07-17 — open
YETI 2026-07-17 — open
FCNCA 2026-07-17 — open
STAA 2026-07-17 — open
FN 2026-07-17 — open
SHO 2026-07-17 — open
M 2026-07-17 — open
EVR 2026-07-17 — open
FCX 2026-07-15 — open
WMB 2026-07-15 — open
VST 2026-07-15 — open
ORCL 2026-07-15 — open
ETN 2026-07-15 — open
WY 2026-07-15 — open
IRM 2026-07-15 — open
ROST 2026-07-13 — open
SATS 2026-07-13 — open
EQIX 2026-07-13 — open
GM 2026-07-13 — open
NUE 2026-07-13 — open
QCOM 2026-07-13 — open
STLD 2026-07-13 — open
MS 2026-07-13 — open
TGT 2026-07-13 — open
COST 2026-07-13 — open
F 2026-07-13 — open
CCI 2026-07-13 — open
All fires (full history) — 28 全部触发（完整历史）— 28
Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
YETI 2026-07-17 — open
TJX 2026-07-17 — open
STAA 2026-07-17 — open
SHO 2026-07-17 — open
MRP 2026-07-17 — open
M 2026-07-17 — open
FN 2026-07-17 — open
FCNCA 2026-07-17 — open
EVR 2026-07-17 — open
WY 2026-07-15 — open
WMB 2026-07-15 — open
VST 2026-07-15 — open
ORCL 2026-07-15 — open
IRM 2026-07-15 — open
FCX 2026-07-15 — open
ETN 2026-07-15 — open
TGT 2026-07-13 — open
STLD 2026-07-13 — open
SATS 2026-07-13 — open
ROST 2026-07-13 — open
QCOM 2026-07-13 — open
NUE 2026-07-13 — open
MS 2026-07-13 — open
GM 2026-07-13 — open
F 2026-07-13 — open
EQIX 2026-07-13 — open
COST 2026-07-13 — open
CCI 2026-07-13 — open
Early Turn Screen早期拐点筛选 BETA

As of截至 2026-07-17

Stocks washed out on the slow frame, first daily up-tick today. Watch — don't chase.慢框架超跌、当日日线首现回升的股票。观察为主，勿追高。

T0 = 3-day-frame StochRSI under 30 with a same-day daily StochRSI up-cross (RSI14/Stoch14/3/3). Beta — an early, unproven flag; not a buy signal.T0 = 3日框架StochRSI低于30且当日日线StochRSI上穿（RSI14/Stoch14/3/3）。测试版 — 早期且未经验证的提示，并非买入信号。
Ticker代码 Sector板块 Close收盘 Slow frame慢框架 Daily日线 Liquidity流动性
CAT Industrials $880.28 washed out深度超跌 (K 5) turned up today今日上穿 $3.4B
AMT Real Estate $170.06 washed out深度超跌 (K 23) turned up today今日上穿 $585M
EQIX Real Estate $1020.00 washed out深度超跌 (K 17) turned up today今日上穿 $577M
DLR Real Estate $173.88 washed out深度超跌 (K 21) turned up today今日上穿 $563M
HSY Consumer Staples $171.42 washed out深度超跌 (K 4) turned up today今日上穿 $382M
LVS Consumer Discretionary $45.36 washed out深度超跌 (K 1) turned up today今日上穿 —
CRC Energy $52.83 washed out深度超跌 (K 23) turned up today今日上穿 —
EZPW Financials $32.09 washed out深度超跌 (K 10) turned up today今日上穿 —
LRN Consumer Discretionary $87.32 washed out深度超跌 (K 27) turned up today今日上穿 —
LUMN Communication Services $6.28 washed out深度超跌 (K 4) turned up today今日上穿 —
MDU Utilities $21.14 washed out深度超跌 (K 29) turned up today今日上穿 —
MSGS Communication Services $396.87 washed out深度超跌 (K 12) turned up today今日上穿 —
NXRT Real Estate $26.59 washed out深度超跌 (K 5) turned up today今日上穿 —
OGN Health Care $13.52 washed out深度超跌 (K 7) turned up today今日上穿 —
RAL — $70.17 washed out深度超跌 (K 13) turned up today今日上穿 —
SHEN Communication Services $11.38 washed out深度超跌 (K 0) turned up today今日上穿 —
VSH Information Technology $37.81 washed out深度超跌 (K 2) turned up today今日上穿 —
WRLD Financials $192.06 washed out深度超跌 (K 12) turned up today今日上穿 —
ARWR Health Care $74.30 washed out深度超跌 (K 4) turned up today今日上穿 —
BAH Industrials $65.21 washed out深度超跌 (K 24) turned up today今日上穿 —
CGNX Information Technology $64.07 washed out深度超跌 (K 9) turned up today今日上穿 —
CRUS Information Technology $137.98 washed out深度超跌 (K 4) turned up today今日上穿 —
NOVT Information Technology $148.71 washed out深度超跌 (K 11) turned up today今日上穿 —
SFM Consumer Staples $75.78 washed out深度超跌 (K 7) turned up today今日上穿 —
UTHR Health Care $535.67 washed out深度超跌 (K 10) turned up today今日上穿 —
WMG Communication Services $28.33 washed out深度超跌 (K 27) turned up today今日上穿 —
ARM Information Technology $267.19 washed out深度超跌 (K 1) turned up today今日上穿 —
SG Consumer Discretionary $7.08 washed out深度超跌 (K 8) turned up today今日上穿 —
LUNR Industrials $13.52 washed out深度超跌 (K 0) turned up today今日上穿 —
FTAI ETF / macro $207.46 washed out深度超跌 (K 1) turned up today今日上穿 —

First maturation ETA首次到期预计时间: 2027-01-05 (126 trading days交易日)

Long-hold grids accrue at a 126/252-day horizon. No verdict language before maturation. Ruler: 126d/252d sector-relative + SPY-excess, descriptive only.长持网格以126/252日地平线累积。到期前无结论语言。标尺：126日/252日板块相对+SPY超额，仅描述性。

⚠️ Firewall防火墙: Long-hold grids are display-only and never feed entry surfaces (PL-R6). Promotion of any LH grid belongs to the long-hold program (G1), not this lab.长持网格仅供展示，永不进入入场界面（PL-R6）。任何LH网格的晋升属于长持项目（G1），而非本实验室。

As of截至 2026-07-17

LH LH Compounder Grid 长持复利网格 ACCRUING 累积中
#1 VRSK —
Industrials
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a
#2 MRP —
Real Estate
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a
#3 MANH —
Information Technology
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a
#4 CARG —
Communication Services
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a
#5 DBX —
Information Technology
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a
#6 DPZ —
Consumer Discretionary
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a
#7 YOU —
Information Technology
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a
#8 CL —
Consumer Staples
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a
#9 CHWY —
Consumer Discretionary
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a
#10 WINA —
Consumer Discretionary
quality decilecompounder/growthdilution n/a

Recent long-hold fires近期长持触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Status状态
VRSK 2026-07-17 open
MRP 2026-07-17 open
MANH 2026-07-17 open
CARG 2026-07-17 open
DBX 2026-07-17 open
DPZ 2026-07-17 open
YOU 2026-07-17 open
CL 2026-07-17 open
CHWY 2026-07-17 open
WINA 2026-07-17 open
All fires (full history) — 10 全部触发（完整历史）— 10
Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
YOU 2026-07-17 — open
WINA 2026-07-17 — open
VRSK 2026-07-17 — open
MRP 2026-07-17 — open
MANH 2026-07-17 — open
DPZ 2026-07-17 — open
DBX 2026-07-17 — open
CL 2026-07-17 — open
CHWY 2026-07-17 — open
CARG 2026-07-17 — open
LH LH EDGE Durability (no-gate control) 长持EDGE耐久（无门控对照） ACCRUING 累积中 CONTROL

No-gate control — measures EDGE persistence without entry conditions; not a pick list 无门控对照——衡量EDGE在无入场条件下的持久性；非选股列表

#2 SPHR —
Communication Services
EDGE decilequality>median
#3 KLIC —
Information Technology
EDGE decilequality>median
#4 HPE —
Information Technology
EDGE decilequality>median
#5 VSXY —
Consumer Discretionary
EDGE decilequality>median
#6 MCY —
Financials
EDGE decilequality>median
#8 STRL —
Industrials
EDGE decilequality>median
#9 STAA —
Health Care
EDGE decilequality>median
#10 UFCS —
Financials
EDGE decilequality>median

Recent long-hold fires近期长持触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Status状态
SPHR 2026-07-17 open
KLIC 2026-07-17 open
HPE 2026-07-17 open
VSXY 2026-07-17 open
MCY 2026-07-17 open
STRL 2026-07-17 open
STAA 2026-07-17 open
UFCS 2026-07-17 open
SNDK 2026-07-13 open
WDC 2026-07-13 open
NUE 2026-07-13 open
ROST 2026-07-13 open
AMAT 2026-07-13 open
TJX 2026-07-13 open
VRT 2026-07-13 open
TRGP 2026-07-13 open
AMD 2026-07-13 open
CSX 2026-07-13 open
All fires (full history) — 18 全部触发（完整历史）— 18
Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
VSXY 2026-07-17 — open
UFCS 2026-07-17 — open
STRL 2026-07-17 — open
STAA 2026-07-17 — open
SPHR 2026-07-17 — open
MCY 2026-07-17 — open
KLIC 2026-07-17 — open
HPE 2026-07-17 — open
WDC 2026-07-13 — open
VRT 2026-07-13 — open
TRGP 2026-07-13 — open
TJX 2026-07-13 — open
SNDK 2026-07-13 — open
ROST 2026-07-13 — open
NUE 2026-07-13 — open
CSX 2026-07-13 — open
AMD 2026-07-13 — open
AMAT 2026-07-13 — open
LH LH Washout Survivor Grid 长持洗盘幸存网格 ACCRUING 累积中
#1 MANH —
Information Technology
dd>40%quality>medianic n/adilution n/a
#2 WS —
Materials
dd>40%quality>medianic n/adilution n/a
#3 CHWY —
Consumer Discretionary
dd>40%quality>medianic n/adilution n/a
#4 PTON —
Consumer Discretionary
dd>40%quality>medianic n/adilution n/a
#5 HIMS —
Health Care
dd>40%quality>medianic n/adilution n/a
#6 ADBE —
Information Technology
dd>40%quality>medianic n/adilution n/a
#7 PEGA —
Information Technology
dd>40%quality>medianic n/adilution n/a
#8 APPF —
Information Technology
dd>40%quality>medianic n/adilution n/a
#9 PINS —
Communication Services
dd>40%quality>medianic n/adilution n/a
#10 PGNY —
Health Care
dd>40%quality>medianic n/adilution n/a

Recent long-hold fires近期长持触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Status状态
MANH 2026-07-17 open
WS 2026-07-17 open
CHWY 2026-07-17 open
PTON 2026-07-17 open
HIMS 2026-07-17 open
ADBE 2026-07-17 open
PEGA 2026-07-17 open
APPF 2026-07-17 open
PINS 2026-07-17 open
PGNY 2026-07-17 open
All fires (full history) — 10 全部触发（完整历史）— 10
Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
WS 2026-07-17 — open
PTON 2026-07-17 — open
PINS 2026-07-17 — open
PGNY 2026-07-17 — open
PEGA 2026-07-17 — open
MANH 2026-07-17 — open
HIMS 2026-07-17 — open
CHWY 2026-07-17 — open
APPF 2026-07-17 — open
ADBE 2026-07-17 — open
LH LH EDGE Durability B (gated) 长持EDGE耐久B（有门控） ACCRUING 累积中
#1 SNDK —
Information Technology
EDGE decilequality>0sector cap 3
#2 SPHR —
Communication Services
EDGE decilequality>0sector cap 3
#3 KLIC —
Information Technology
EDGE decilequality>0sector cap 3
#4 VSXY —
Consumer Discretionary
EDGE decilequality>0sector cap 3
#5 MCY —
Financials
EDGE decilequality>0sector cap 3
#6 WDC —
Information Technology
EDGE decilequality>0sector cap 3
#7 STRL —
Industrials
EDGE decilequality>0sector cap 3
#8 STAA —
Health Care
EDGE decilequality>0sector cap 3
#9 HR —
Real Estate
EDGE decilequality>0sector cap 3
#10 GIII —
Consumer Discretionary
EDGE decilequality>0sector cap 3

Recent long-hold fires近期长持触发

Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 Status状态
SNDK 2026-07-17 open
SPHR 2026-07-17 open
KLIC 2026-07-17 open
VSXY 2026-07-17 open
MCY 2026-07-17 open
WDC 2026-07-17 open
STRL 2026-07-17 open
STAA 2026-07-17 open
HR 2026-07-17 open
GIII 2026-07-17 open
All fires (full history) — 10 全部触发（完整历史）— 10
Ticker代码 Fire date触发日期 21d exc21日超额 Status状态
WDC 2026-07-17 — open
VSXY 2026-07-17 — open
STRL 2026-07-17 — open
STAA 2026-07-17 — open
SPHR 2026-07-17 — open
SNDK 2026-07-17 — open
MCY 2026-07-17 — open
KLIC 2026-07-17 — open
HR 2026-07-17 — open
GIII 2026-07-17 — open
Board Record 选板记录

How well has the US Buy Board identified winners before they moved? Record is measuring — first read expected ~Sep 15 2026 when cluster-unit floors are met (SA-R10). 美国买入板过去是否提前识别到赢家？记录正在累积中——首次读取预计2026年9月15日（集群单元下限达到，SA-R10）。

ACCRUING — first read ~Sep 15 2026 累积中 — 首次读取约2026年9月15日
Stratified Scoreboard 分层记分板
📊

No matured rows yet. Rows accrue as 21d windows close — first read ~Sep 15 2026. 暂无成熟行。行随21日窗口关闭而累积——首次读取约2026年9月15日。

Buy-lane rows in ledger: 0 (all horizons, including immature) 买入通道账本行：0（所有地平线，含未成熟）

Outcome Causes 结果原因
Measuring — outcome-cause breakdown available once attribution rows mature. 测量中——结果原因分解在归因行成熟后可用。
Process Faults 流程缺陷
Measuring — process-fault breakdown available once attribution rows mature. 测量中——流程缺陷分解在归因行成熟后可用。
pp Lost on Surfaced Losers 已浮现亏损者损失pp
Sensor maturing — available once winner/loser attribution accumulates. 传感器累积中——赢家/亏损者归因积累后可用。
pp Forgone on Unsurfaced Winners 未浮现赢家错失pp
Sensor maturing — available once missed-mover census accumulates. 传感器累积中——遗漏动向普查积累后可用。
Coverage Monitor 覆盖率监控
397 unique tickers surfaced (trailing 4wk) 个独特代码（近4周）
Frozen baseline: 冻结基准： —
Week周 Tickers代码数
2026-06-15/2026-06-21 182
2026-06-22/2026-06-28 209
2026-06-29/2026-07-05 78
2026-07-06/2026-07-12 36
Upstream Concordance 上游一致性

Gate suppressed: data_gap: near_miss store lacks excess_spy column 门控被抑制：data_gap: near_miss store lacks excess_spy column

Concordance data accruing — available once attribution rows mature. 一致性数据累积中——归因行成熟后可用。

Authority: display_only. All numbers from committed audit artifacts (SA-W1). Cluster-unit CIs per SA-R10. No verdict language before floor (raw n ≥25, eff. n ≥3, ≥3 calendar months). 授权：仅展示。所有数字来自已提交审计工件（SA-W1）。集群单元置信区间按SA-R10。下限（原始n≥25、有效n≥3、≥3个日历月）前无结论语言。 · As of截至 2026-07-19

What this lab measures本实验室测量什么

23 frozen candidate pick engines run in parallel on forward ledgers. Each book fires picks nightly; those picks are graded when the horizon elapses. Nothing here drives live selection. The purpose is evidence accrual: let the data tell us which constructions are worth a formal gauntlet.23个冻结候选选股引擎在前向账本上并行运行。每本书每晚触发选择；当地平线经过时，这些选择被评级。这里没有任何内容驱动实时选股。目的是证据累积：让数据告诉我们哪些构造值得正式考验。

Rulers (per family, pre-declared — PL-R3)标尺（每族，预先声明 — PL-R3）

  • Families A, B, D, E, F: primary ruler = 21-trading-day SPY-excess (win rate + median excess). 5/10/63d recorded as descriptive ladder.A、B、D、E、F族：主标尺 = 21交易日SPY超额（胜率+中位超额）。5/10/63日记录为描述性阶梯。
  • Family C (Washout/Reversion): primary ruler = 21-session absolute reversion-capture + MFE/MAE asymmetry. 63d excess is the wrong ruler here.C族（洗盘/均值回归）：主标尺 = 21节绝对均值回归捕获 + MFE/MAE非对称。63日超额在此为错误标尺。
  • Book 19 (Topping Avoid, INVERSE): scored as avoid-accuracy — expected negative 21d excess.书19（顶部规避，反向）：评分为规避准确性 — 预期负21日超额。
  • Long-hold grids: 126d and 252d sector-relative + SPY-excess, descriptive only.长持网格：126日和252日板块相对+SPY超额，仅描述性。

Secondary horizons (pre-declared before any data matured — Amendment §A2)辅助地平线（数据成熟前预先声明 — 修正案§A2）

  • 1D-velocity books (Family A) are also judged at 10 days — declared before any data matured, because 1D triggers lead the 3D gate by about 2 sessions and burst edges can decay fast. 1日动能书（A族）同样在10日评判——在任何数据成熟前已声明，因为1日触发比3日门控提前约2节，且爆发性优势消退较快。
  • Momentum and quality books (Families B and D) are also judged at 63 days — declared before any data matured, because breakout and EDGE theses need room to run and often take weeks to pay out. 动能与质量书（B族和D族）同样在63日评判——在任何数据成熟前已声明，因为突破和EDGE论点需要时间兑现，往往需要数周。
  • Picking a book's best-looking horizon after grades are in is forbidden — that is a multiple-comparisons trap. Only these pre-declared horizons earn verdict language. 禁止在评级出来后才选择表现最佳的地平线——这是多重比较陷阱。只有这些预先声明的地平线才能使用结论性语言。

What "time-to-peak" and "capture rate" mean"峰值时间"与"捕获率"含义

The scoreboard detail row shows how a typical trade played out over 25 sessions after entry. Time-to-peak (median session of the best gain) tells you how long the move usually takes to reach its high point — so a peak on day 8 with a 21-day exit means you are typically selling after the move has already rolled over. Capture rate is what fraction of that best gain you actually keep at a given exit horizon — a 10-day exit with 70% capture means a typical hold of 10 days keeps about 70 cents of every peak dollar. These are descriptive numbers, not targets; they help you decide which exit horizon fits the thesis. 记分板详情行显示了入场后25节内一笔典型交易的表现。峰值时间（最佳收益的中位节次）告诉你走势通常需要多久才能到达高点——例如第8日见顶而21日退出，意味着你通常是在走势已经回落后才卖出。捕获率是在某一退出地平线实际保留的最佳收益比例——10日退出70%捕获率意味着持有10日通常能保留约每个峰值美元的70分。这些是描述性数字，不是目标；它们帮助你判断哪个退出地平线符合论点。

Controls (PL-R5)控制变量（PL-R5）

Every book is measured against two yardsticks. Random-names control (live now): 12 uniform-random liquid names per day with a deterministic seed — measures selection skill, pinned in the scoreboard. Universe base rate and timing lift: the buy-anytime return across all snapshot tickers and a timing-only control are arriving as grades mature — the column shows a dash until then. A book needs to beat both to claim an edge. 每本书均与两个基准比较。随机名称控制（现已上线）：每日12个确定性种子的均匀随机流动名称——衡量选股技能，固定在记分板中。全市场基准率与时机提升：全部快照代码的随时买入回报及纯时机控制将随评级成熟而填入——届时前列显示破折号。一本书需要同时超越两者才能宣称存在优势。

ACCRUING floor (PL-R4)累积下限（PL-R4）

No verdict language before n≥25 fires spanning ≥3 calendar months and ≥6 distinct fire dates.在n≥25次触发跨越≥3个日历月和≥6个不同触发日期之前，无结论语言。 Until then, the status badge reads ACCRUING. Even past the floor, this page shows descriptive summaries only.在此之前，状态徽章显示ACCRUING。即使超过下限，此页面也仅显示描述性摘要。

What promotion would take (PL-R1)晋升所需条件（PL-R1）

Promotion of any book beyond display-tier requires the existing gauntlet: n≥25 fires across ≥3 months, a time-preserving placebo (no ticker-cluster CIs without time control), and pre-registered outcome gates. The lab contributes forward evidence only. Operator daily review (PL-R8) is a sanctioned selection heuristic for gauntlet slots — never promotion evidence by itself.任何书超越展示层级的晋升都需要现有的考验：跨越≥3个月的n≥25次触发，时间保留安慰剂（没有无时间控制的代码集群置信区间），以及预先注册的结果门控。实验室仅提供前向证据。操作员每日审查（PL-R8）是考验槽位的制裁选择启发式 — 本身从不是晋升证据。

Frozen configs (PL-R2)冻结配置（PL-R2）

Every book registers a frozen config + config_hash at ship time. Any parameter change ships as engine_id-v2 with a fresh ledger. Ledgers are never edited or re-scored in place.每本书在发布时注册一个冻结配置+config_hash。任何参数更改以engine_id-v2发布，带有新账本。账本永不就地编辑或重新评分。

Candidate families候选族

  • A — 1D Velocity: 4 books pricing the flagship gate's speed cost on fast movers. Clock: 2026-08-20.4本书定价旗舰门控在快速移动者上的速度成本。时钟：2026-08-20。
  • B — Momentum: 4 books (breakout-vol, residual-momentum, OTR pullback, high-base squeeze).4本书（突破量能、残差动能、OTR回调、高位基建盘整）。
  • C — Washout/Reversion: 3 books; absolute reversion ruler, not SPY-excess.3本书；绝对均值回归标尺，而非SPY超额。
  • D — EDGE/Quality: 3 books (EDGE pure, EDGE×1D, quality pullback).3本书（纯EDGE、EDGE×1日、优质回调）。
  • E — Context/Personality: 2 books (beta-squeeze, revision-accel).2本书（Beta压缩、预测加速上修）。
  • F — Ablations + Control: 4 books including flagship-nogate, flagship-T3/T4, topping-avoid (INVERSE), and the random control yardstick.4本书，包括旗舰无门控、旗舰T3/T4、顶部规避（反向）和随机控制基准。
  • LH — Long-Hold: 3 grids (compounder, EDGE durability, washout survivor). Firewalled from entry surfaces.3个网格（复利、EDGE耐久、洗盘幸存）。与入场界面隔离。

Notes from last run上次运行说明

Display-only forward-evidence lab. All books ACCRUING until n≥25 fires / ≥3 months / ≥6 distinct fire dates. plab_random_ctrl = yardstick (buy-anytime base rate). Authority: display_only. Never gates or scores anything.

Authority: display_only. All rows carry authority: "display_only" per PL-R10.授权：仅展示。所有行按照PL-R10携带授权："display_only"。 · Built生成时间 2026-07-20 04:17 UTC