Goldman Sachs Sell-side卖方

GOAL Kickstart Summer data only update

Aug 18, 202628 pages页

From the report报告摘录S&P 500 Valuation & Credit Spreads: S&P 500 at 20.0x (59th percentile) signals relative expensiveness vs. 10y history, while US HY credit spreads at 267bp indicate elevated risk premium, demanding caution in equity…

Inside the report报告内文 Verbatim from the original PDF — first pages原版 PDF 开篇原文 · 逐字摘录

Portfolio Strategy Research 17 August 2026 | 5:04PM BST

During August we provide a data-only GOAL Kickstart. Christian Mueller-Glissmann, CFA Pricing as of August 14th close. | christian.mueller- Goldman Sachs International

Andrea Ferrario | Goldman Sachs International

Alessandro Giglio | Goldman Sachs International

Elena Porfidia | Goldman Sachs International

Peter Oppenheimer | Goldman Sachs International

This report is intended for distribution to GS institutional clients only.

Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to

Exhibit 1: GOAL asset allocation recommendations and GS cross-asset forecasts Allocation Weighting Current Forecasts Forecast Upside/Downside (%) 3m 12m Level 3m 6m 12 m 3m 6m 12 m Equities N OW Index level Total Return S&P 500 ($) OW OW Stoxx Europe 600 (€) UW UW MSCI Asia-Pacific ex. JP ($) OW OW Topix (¥) OW OW Year Government Bonds N N Yield (%) Total Return US OW OW Germany OW N Japan UW UW UK N OW Corporate Bonds N UW Spread Total Return Bloomberg USD IG OW OW Bloomberg USD HY OW OW Bloomberg EUR IG UW UW Bloomberg EUR HY UW UW EM Hard Currency Sovereign N N Commodities N N Spot price Spot Return WTI ($/bbl) N N Brent ($/bbl) N N Copper ($/mt) N N 14,576 13,700 13,800 13, Gold ($/troy oz) N OW 4,392 4,840 5,005 5, FX - - Spot rate Spot Return EUR/USD - - USD/JPY - - GBP/USD - - AUD/USD - - USD/BRL - - USD/INR - - USD/CNY - - Cash N N Spot rate Total Return US 3-month Tbill - - - - - - Germany 3-month Bubills - - - - - - Source: Bloomberg, Datastream, Bloomberg-Barclays, ICE-BAML, iBoxx, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

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