In Charts: Countdown to the October election: Campaigning begins
Brazil | In Charts 18 Aug 2026
IN CHARTS: COUNTDOWN TO THE OCTOBER ELECTION: CAMPAIGNING BEGINS Elizabeth Johnson / João Pedro Oliveira Fachetti
• With just under 50 days to go until the election, Lula remains the favourite. His approval rating recovered in May, June and July but has since stabilized.
• The approval of legislation that would introduce a five-day, 40-hour working week has been stuck in the Senate but could advance in the weeks leading up to the election, giving Lula a boost.
• Flávio Bolsonaro remains the strongest opposition candidate and has seen his poll numbers recover slightly; while the deck is stacked against him, he could still eke out a victory.
• Both Lula and Flávio are vulnerable to scandals that could swing the election either way. Flávio and Lula are in a technical tie in runoff polls
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