JPM Software Industry Thoughts and Rank Order AI Disruption Concerns Present Compelling Opportunities in Relation to Both Growth and Inexpensive Valuation
- **AI Cost Structure Disruption**: Maintenance costs (80% vs 20% deployment) and token cost pressures are underappreciated disruption drivers impacting budget decisions and valuation.
- **Sector Valuation Discount**: Software sector trades at ~4x EV/Revenue (vs.
- ~20x pandemic highs), signaling limited optimism and creating a critical re-rating opportunity.
- **Infrastructure vs Application Divergence**: Infrastructure software outperformed application software (YTD: +18% vs -12%), with infrastructure shares rising 18% vs application software’s 11% decline in 2025.