Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Financials / ABR
Arbor Realty Trust · Financials
ABR US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Small cap小盘 · $790M
Financials
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
Financial金融股
$4.03
-$0.04 · -0.98%
52w low52周低 $3.94high高 $11.40
Avoid — downtrend回避 — 下行趋势
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
As of 2026-09-28截至 2026-09-28
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-09-28
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
24
Oversold超卖区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-17.4% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-36.4% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
44th percentile第44百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-10-3032
Estimates being cut预期下调
Mixed — beat 2 of last 4 quarters表现不稳 — 近 4 季中 2 季超预期
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 0.7%
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | ABR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 0.27x | 1.43 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 40.87% | 4.13 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Earnings per share每股收益
$0.562025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -16.9%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 3/6
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA53.01
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$2.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$13.8M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+3.3%
Debt coming due到期债务
FY2025 10-KIn the 12-month bucket following fiscal period end 2025-12-31, it reported $4.9B due — about 45% of its disclosed principal.在财年期末 2025-12-31 之后12个月的区间内，已披露到期本金为 $4.9B，约占其披露本金的 45%。
All maturity buckets are measured from fiscal period end 2025-12-31, not from today.所有到期区间均从财年期末 2025-12-31 起算，而非从今天起算。
First 12 months after period end报告期末之后首12个月
$4.9B
Year 2第2年
$3.1B
Year 3第3年
$2.4B
Year 4第4年
$53.6M
Year 5第5年
$500.0M
After year 55年以后
$154.3M
A cash-flow scenario is unavailable until the filing inputs are verified.报告数据核实前，现金流情景暂不可用。
Capital-need coverage is partial; incomplete or incompatible filing inputs are not combined.资本需求覆盖信息不完整；不会合并不完整或不兼容的报告数据。
Any available cash-flow scenario is context only. Missing or incompatible inputs are not replaced with zero or a financing forecast.可用现金流情景仅供参考；缺失或不兼容的输入不以零值或融资预测替代。
Sources and cash-flow calculation来源与现金流计算
Figures are XBRL facts from one filing — no two years are mixed. Filing数据取自同一份文件中的 XBRL 事实，不跨文件拼接。文件
0001253986-26-000019, period ending报告期截至 2025-12-31, unit单位 USD.
Cache acquired缓存获取时间: 2026-09-20T09:35:18.619797+00:00.
6/6 buckets reported.个区间有披露。
LongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInNextTwelveMonthsLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearTwoLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearThreeLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearFourLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearFiveLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalAfterYearFive
Research context only — reported figures from SEC filings, not a rating, a signal or investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 数据摘自 SEC 文件披露口径，不构成评级、信号或投资建议。
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
ABR made a new 52-week lowABR 创52周新低
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： +$0.0M net (2 buyers, 2 sellers)+$0.0M 净值（2 买家，2 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coatue Management | A | Holding持有 | 0.1% | 2026-06-30 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases). Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Sep 23, 2026
ABR made a new 52-week lowABR 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $4.19.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$4.19。
Sep 23, 2026
ABR RSI reached oversoldABR RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $4.19.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$4.19。
Sep 18, 2026
ABR RSI reached oversoldABR RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $4.28.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$4.28。
Sep 15, 2026
ABR made a new 52-week lowABR 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $4.52.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$4.52。
Sep 10, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Sep 9, 2026
ABR broke down vs the marketABR 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $4.92.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$4.92。
Sep 9, 2026
ABR daily MACD crossed downABR 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $4.92.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$4.92。
Sep 8, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Sep 3, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Sep 3, 2026
ABR daily MACD crossed upABR 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $5.19.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$5.19。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 256 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / Book市净率 | 0.3× | 1.4× | 100% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 47.3% | 8.7% | 98% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 40.9% | 4.1% | 100% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
2/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
8/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
1/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
2/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#259 / 261
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -5.8% | +1.3% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -20.4% | +0.9% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -25.4% | +6.1% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -43.5% | +22.3% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -45.9% | +13.8% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -62.8% | +18.5% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -61.5% | +87.8% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.81
Volatility rank波动率分位
44th pctile
Short interest空头占比
21.5% of float
Market cap市值
$790M
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-64.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EPS每股收益 | $1.41 | $2.28 | $1.67 | $1.75 | $1.18 | $0.56 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$372M
Total assets总资产
$14.5B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$3.0B
Dividends paid股息支出
$320M
Buybacks股票回购
$2M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.20B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Asset growth资产增速
+7.4%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Capital discipline: share count +58.7% over 6 years (dilution)资本纪律：股本 6 年增加 58.7%（稀释）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
24
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
6
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-13.8%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-17.4%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-36.4%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
88/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $0.08 | $0.05 | +60.0% |
| Mar 2026 | $0.04 | $0.15 | -73.3% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.18 | $0.20 | -10.0% |
| Sep 2025 | $0.34 | $0.27 | +25.9% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
4
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-43.7%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-2
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coatue Management | A | Holding持有 | 0.1% | $23M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 2, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': -29.7, 'from_period': '2026-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '2026-08-15', 'available_on_first': '2026-05-16', 'holders_series': [1, 1]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 2, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': -29.7, 'from_period': '2026-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '2026-08-15', 'available_on_first': '2026-05-16', 'holders_series': [1, 1]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
+$0.0M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
2 : 2
Short interest空头占流通盘
21.5%
Days to cover回补天数
11.2
Short interest change空头变化
-3.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Aug · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Jan · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 0% | -3.1% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 67% | +1.6% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 67% | +1.9% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -0.8% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -14.4% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 67% | +5.1% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 33% | -4.1% | 3 |
| Aug8月 | 100% | +5.9% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 50% | +2.4% | 4 |
| Oct10月 | 0% | -17.8% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +2.5% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -5.6% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。