Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Financials / ABR
Arbor Realty Trust · Financials
ABR US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Small cap小盘 · $1B
Financials
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
Financial金融股
$5.26
+$0.04 · +0.77%
52w low52周低 $4.70high高 $11.40
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 4.79.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 4.79 下方。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+2.1% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-24.1% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
60th percentile第60百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -18.0% (20d)财报后漂移：-18.0%（20日）
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | ABR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 0.35x | 1.56 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 31.31% | 3.75 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Earnings per share每股收益
$0.562025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -16.9%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 3/6
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA53.01
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$2.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$13.8M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+3.3%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
ABR weekly MACD crossed upABR 周线MACD上穿
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： +$0.0M net (2 buyers, 2 sellers)+$0.0M 净值（2 买家，2 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coatue Management | A | New position新建仓 | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum just crossed up; investor cycle failed (broke its start low); last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量刚刚向上交叉；投资者周期失败（跌破起始低点）；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Aug 7, 2026
ABR weekly MACD crossed upABR 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Aug 6, 2026
ABR broke down vs the marketABR 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $5.13.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$5.13。
Jul 31, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 30, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 30, 2026
ABR printed a daily-cycle lowABR 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $4.79.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$4.79。
Jul 30, 2026
ABR broke down vs the marketABR 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $4.79.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$4.79。
Jul 30, 2026
ABR made a new 52-week lowABR 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $4.79.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$4.79。
Jul 27, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 22, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 22, 2026
ABR broke down vs the marketABR 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $5.04.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$5.04。
Jul 20, 2026
ABR broke down vs the marketABR 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $5.03.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$5.03。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 246 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / Book市净率 | 0.3× | 1.6× | 100% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 36.2% | 8.1% | 96% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 31.3% | 3.8% | 100% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
4/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
16/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
7/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
2/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#254 / 262
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.5% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +5.2% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -6.5% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -27.3% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -29.4% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -50.7% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -53.9% | +79.7% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.80
Volatility rank波动率分位
60th pctile
Short interest空头占比
22.6% of float
Market cap市值
$1B
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-53.4%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| EPS每股收益 | $1.41 | $2.28 | $1.67 | $1.75 | $1.18 | $0.56 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$372M
Total assets总资产
$14.5B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$3.0B
Dividends paid股息支出
$320M
Buybacks股票回购
$2M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.20B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Asset growth资产增速
+7.4%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Capital discipline: share count +58.7% over 6 years (dilution)资本纪律：股本 6 年增加 58.7%（稀释）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
53
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
45
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+2.5%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+2.1%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-24.1%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
47/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
2
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-43.7%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+0
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coatue Management | A | New position新建仓 | 0.1% | $32M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
1 : 0
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
+$0.0M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
2 : 2
Short interest空头占流通盘
22.6%
Days to cover回补天数
11.2
Short interest change空头变化
-2.5%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Aug · 75%
Weakest month最弱月份
Jan · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 0% | -3.1% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 67% | +1.6% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 67% | +1.9% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -0.8% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -14.4% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 67% | +5.1% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +4.6% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 75% | +5.1% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 67% | +2.4% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 0% | -17.8% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +2.5% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -5.6% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。