Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Industrials / AMTM
Amentum · Industrials
AMTM US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Amentum Holdings, Inc. is an American government and commercial services contractor based in Chantilly, Virginia.Amentum控股公司是一家美国政府和商业服务承包商，总部位于弗吉尼亚州尚蒂利。
Mid cap中盘 · $5B
Industrials
S&P 600标普600小盘
Cyclical周期股
$19.19
-$0.21 · -1.08%
52w low52周低 $18.86high高 $38.07
Avoid — downtrend回避 — 下行趋势
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
As of 2026-09-28截至 2026-09-28
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
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The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-09-28
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
39
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-9.0% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-25.7% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
3th percentile第3百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Beat expectations 4 quarters in a row连续 4 季度超预期
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 4.6%
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | AMTM | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 70.88x | 27.93 | |
| P/B市净率 | 1.03x | 3.86 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.33x | 2.07 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.41% | 3.38 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 11.03% | 4.12 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 15.74x | 15.24 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 9.07x | 22.19 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$14.4B2025
20242025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 71.6%
Earnings per share每股收益
$0.272025
20242025
Free cash flow自由现金流
$516.0M2025
20242025
Operating margin营业利润率
3.3%
Net margin净利率
0.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
3.8%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 7/9
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Return on equity股本回报率 1%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA6.74
Current ratio流动比率1.32
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$21.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.2%
Debt coming due到期债务
FY2025 10-KIn the 12-month bucket following fiscal period end 2025-10-03, it reported $43.0M due — about 1% of its disclosed principal.在财年期末 2025-10-03 之后12个月的区间内，已披露到期本金为 $43.0M，约占其披露本金的 1%。
All maturity buckets are measured from fiscal period end 2025-10-03, not from today.所有到期区间均从财年期末 2025-10-03 起算，而非从今天起算。
First 12 months after period end报告期末之后首12个月
$43.0M
Year 2第2年
$39.0M
Year 3第3年
$38.0M
Year 4第4年
$38.0M
Year 5第5年
$38.0M
After year 55年以后
$3.8B
Cash reported at 2025-10-03: $437000000.截至 2025-10-03 披露的现金：$437000000。 Operating cash flow exceeded or equaled equipment spending over 2024-09-28 to 2025-10-03; no cash burn to measure.在 2024-09-28 至 2025-10-03 期间，经营现金流不低于设备支出，无可衡量的现金消耗。
Cash reported at 2025-10-03 covers 1016% of issuer-reported principal in the 12-month bucket following that fiscal period end.截至 2025-10-03 披露的现金可覆盖该财年期末之后12个月区间内发行人已披露到期本金的 1016%。
Cash shortfall against that reported principal: $0相对该已披露本金的现金缺口：$0。
Sources and cash-flow calculation来源与现金流计算
Figures are XBRL facts from one filing — no two years are mixed. Filing数据取自同一份文件中的 XBRL 事实，不跨文件拼接。文件
0001628280-25-053993, period ending报告期截至 2025-10-03, unit单位 USD.
Cache acquired缓存获取时间: 2026-09-20T09:37:52.275299+00:00.
6/6 buckets reported.个区间有披露。
LongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInNextTwelveMonthsLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearTwoLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearThreeLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearFourLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearFiveLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalAfterYearFive
Annual period年度区间 2024-09-28 — 2025-10-03 · USD · 10-K · 0001628280-25-053993 · Filed提交日期 2025-11-25.
Cache acquired缓存获取时间: 2026-09-20T09:37:52.275299+00:00 · Evaluated as of评估截至 2026-09-29.
- Reported operating cash flow已披露经营活动现金流: $543000000
- Reported equipment spending (capex outflow)已披露设备支出（资本开支流出）: $27000000
- Derived free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex)计算所得自由现金流（经营现金流减资本开支）: $516000000
Cash is the reported balance at period end. The runway scenario holds this annual cash-flow pace constant and excludes debt payments, restricted-cash adjustments and future financing.现金为期末已披露余额。现金跑道情景假设本年度现金流速度保持不变，不包括债务偿还、受限现金调整与未来融资。
Research context only — reported figures from SEC filings, not a rating, a signal or investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 数据摘自 SEC 文件披露口径，不构成评级、信号或投资建议。
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
AMTM made a new 52-week lowAMTM 创52周新低
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FConcentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | Holding持有 | 0.0% | 2026-06-30 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases)回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）
Sep 25, 2026
AMTM made a new 52-week lowAMTM 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $19.19.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$19.19。
Sep 24, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Sep 23, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Sep 21, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Sep 18, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Sep 18, 2026
AMTM broke down vs the marketAMTM 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $19.60.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$19.60。
Sep 15, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Sep 15, 2026
AMTM daily MACD crossed upAMTM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $20.14.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$20.14。
Sep 14, 2026
AMTM StochRSI turned up from oversoldAMTM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $19.74.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$19.74。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 197 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Amentum Holdings, Inc. is an American government and commercial services contractor based in Chantilly, Virginia.Amentum控股公司是一家美国政府和商业服务承包商，总部位于弗吉尼亚州尚蒂利。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 70.9× | 27.9× | 7% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 1.0× | 3.9× | 96% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.3× | 2.1× | 97% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 15.7× | 15.2× | 48% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.4% | 3.4% | 16% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 11.6% | 6.0% | 85% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
18/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
50/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
6/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
27/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#210 / 263
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.1% | +1.3% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -6.9% | +0.9% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -5.2% | +6.1% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -25.7% | +22.3% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -37.0% | +13.8% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -14.2% | +18.5% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.19
Volatility rank波动率分位
3th pctile
Short interest空头占比
5.0% of float
Market cap市值
$5B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$0.27
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-48.9%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $8.4B | $14.4B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-0.90 | $0.27 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $36M | $516M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 9.5% | 10.5% |
| Net margin净利率 | -1.0% | 0.5% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 0.4% | 3.6% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$14.4B
Net income净利润
$66M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$543M
Total assets总资产
$11.2B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$4.6B
Long-term debt长期负债
$3.9B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.24B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
1.4%
Return on assets资产回报率
0.6%
Debt / assets负债/资产
34.8%
Asset growth资产增速
-6.0%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Capital discipline: disciplined growth, returning cash资本纪律：增长克制、回报股东
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 1.83 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 1.83——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
39
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
6
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-3.1%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-9.0%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-25.7%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
CompressedCOMPRESSED
Days compressed已压缩天数
4
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
2/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $0.58 | $0.55 | +5.5% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.51 | $0.50 | +2.0% |
| Sep 2025 | $0.60 | $0.57 | +5.3% |
| Jun 2025 | $0.54 | $0.51 | +5.9% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
10
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-4.9%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-8
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | Holding持有 | 0.0% | $2M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'accumulating', 'n_quarters': 8, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': 180.8, 'from_period': '2024-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '2026-08-15', 'available_on_first': '2024-11-15', 'holders_series': [1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1]}{'direction': 'accumulating', 'n_quarters': 8, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': 180.8, 'from_period': '2024-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '2026-08-15', 'available_on_first': '2024-11-15', 'holders_series': [1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Short interest空头占流通盘
5.0%
Days to cover回补天数
7.3
Short interest change空头变化
+1.1%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
Range Nuclear RenaissanceRange Nuclear Renaissance
accumulating持续增持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。