Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Industrials / AMTM
Amentum · Industrials
AMTM US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Amentum Holdings, Inc. is an American government and commercial services contractor based in Chantilly, Virginia.Amentum控股公司是一家美国政府和商业服务承包商，总部位于弗吉尼亚州尚蒂利。
Mid cap中盘 · $5B
Industrials
S&P 600标普600小盘
Cyclical周期股
$21.67
-$0.85 · -3.77%
52w low52周低 $19.69high高 $38.07
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling over — momentum is fading before the…筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-1.0% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-18.3% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
83th percentile第83百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Beat expectations 4 quarters in a row连续 4 季度超预期
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 4.6%
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | AMTM | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 80.04x | 30.23 | |
| P/B市净率 | 1.16x | 4.41 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.37x | 2.24 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.25% | 3.11 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 9.77% | 3.73 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 16.90x | 16.47 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 10.24x | 24.95 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$14.4B2025
20242025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 71.6%
Earnings per share每股收益
$0.272025
20242025
Free cash flow自由现金流
$516.0M2025
20242025
Operating margin营业利润率
3.3%
Net margin净利率
0.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
3.8%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 7/9
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Return on equity股本回报率 1%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA6.74
Current ratio流动比率1.32
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$21.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.2%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
AMTM daily MACD crossed downAMTM 日线MACD下穿
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FConcentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | Holding持有 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-07-13 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-07-13 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Aug 13, 2026
AMTM daily MACD crossed downAMTM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $21.67.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$21.67。
Aug 7, 2026
AMTM weekly MACD crossed upAMTM 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Aug 6, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 28, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 24, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 17, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 169 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Amentum Holdings, Inc. is an American government and commercial services contractor based in Chantilly, Virginia.Amentum控股公司是一家美国政府和商业服务承包商，总部位于弗吉尼亚州尚蒂利。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 80.0× | 30.2× | 7% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 1.2× | 4.4× | 96% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.4× | 2.2× | 97% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 16.9× | 16.5× | 47% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 1.2% | 3.1% | 15% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 10.3% | 5.5% | 84% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
22/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
19/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
5/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
18/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#202 / 262
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -9.1% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +5.8% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -5.7% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -30.1% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -28.9% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -18.3% | +21.6% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.17
Volatility rank波动率分位
83th pctile
Short interest空头占比
5.1% of float
Market cap市值
$5B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$0.27
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-42.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $8.4B | $14.4B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-0.90 | $0.27 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $36M | $516M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 9.5% | 10.5% |
| Net margin净利率 | -1.0% | 0.5% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 0.4% | 3.6% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$14.4B
Net income净利润
$66M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$543M
Total assets总资产
$11.2B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$4.6B
Long-term debt长期负债
$3.9B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.24B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
1.4%
Return on assets资产回报率
0.6%
Debt / assets负债/资产
34.8%
Asset growth资产增速
-6.0%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Capital discipline: disciplined growth, returning cash资本纪律：增长克制、回报股东
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 1.88 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 1.88——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
45
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
8
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-4.0%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-1.0%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-18.3%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
65/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $0.58 | $0.55 | +5.5% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.51 | $0.50 | +2.0% |
| Sep 2025 | $0.60 | $0.57 | +5.3% |
| Jun 2025 | $0.54 | $0.51 | +5.9% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
7
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mixed分歧
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+3
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | Holding持有 | 0.0% | $3M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'accumulating', 'n_quarters': 7, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': 222.3, 'from_period': '2024-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-03-31', 'available_on': '2026-05-16', 'available_on_first': '2024-11-15', 'holders_series': [1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1]}{'direction': 'accumulating', 'n_quarters': 7, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': 222.3, 'from_period': '2024-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-03-31', 'available_on': '2026-05-16', 'available_on_first': '2024-11-15', 'holders_series': [1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Short interest空头占流通盘
5.1%
Days to cover回补天数
7.1
Short interest change空头变化
-7.9%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。