Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Utilities / AWR
American States Water Company · Utilities
AWR US listed · USD美股 · 美元
American States Water Co. is an American water and electricity utility company.美国州立水务公司（American States Water Co.）是一家美国水电公用事业企业。
Mid cap中盘 · $3B
Utilities
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
$88.73
+$0.78 · +0.89%
52w low52周低 $68.28high高 $90.17
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
The daily turn is in off a real pullback, but the cycle count is stretched well past its usual window — so this is an UNCONFIRMED new cycle, not a fresh low…日线已在一次真实回调后转向，但周期天数已远超通常窗口——因此这是未确认的新周期，尚非全新低点。请在确认后买入（更高的低点 + 周线转向），而非此处。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
63
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+6.6% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+16.5% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
43th percentile第43百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Mixed — beat 1 of last 3 quarters表现不稳 — 近 3 季中 1 季超预期
Post-earnings drift: -2.3% (20d)财报后漂移：-2.3%（20日）
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 -0.6%
Valuation估值
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵| Multiple指标 | AWR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 26.58x | 21.78 | |
| P/B市净率 | 3.32x | 2.00 | |
| P/S市销率 | 5.27x | 2.97 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.76% | 4.59 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -0.20% | -3.07 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 16.86x | 12.45 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$658.1M2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 6.2%
Earnings per share每股收益
$3.372025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 7.7%
Free cash flow自由现金流
-$7.1M2025
20202025
Operating margin营业利润率
30.9%
Net margin净利率
19.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
34.9%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 6/9
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Return on equity股本回报率 12%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.04
Current ratio流动比率1.32
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$3.6M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+2.4%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$0.1M net (1 buyers, 2 sellers)-$0.1M 净值（1 买家，2 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. A new cycle low likely formed 24 day(s) ago (2026-07-10 @ 84.51): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial买入预备。新的周期低点可能已在 24 天前形成 （2026-07-10 @ 84.51）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——但周线周期尚未转向，因此信心仅为部分
Aug 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Aug 7, 2026
AWR StochRSI turned up from oversoldAWR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $87.39.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$87.39。
Jul 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 28, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 24, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 24, 2026
AWR daily MACD crossed downAWR 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $86.41.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$86.41。
Jul 22, 2026
AWR took relative-strength leadershipAWR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $87.03.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$87.03。
Jul 21, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 16, 2026
AWR took relative-strength leadershipAWR 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $87.93.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$87.93。
Jul 16, 2026
AWR made a new 52-week highAWR 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $87.93.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$87.93。
Jul 16, 2026
AWR RSI reached overboughtAWR RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $87.93.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$87.93。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 263 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
American States Water Co. is an American water and electricity utility company.美国州立水务公司（American States Water Co.）是一家美国水电公用事业企业。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 26.6× | 21.8× | 10% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 3.3× | 2.0× | 6% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 5.3× | 3.0× | 6% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 16.9× | 12.4× | 15% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 3.8% | 4.6% | 14% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.6% | 10.3% | 10% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
43/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
61/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
75/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
47/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#30 / 62
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.6% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +4.4% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +18.0% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +20.1% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +24.5% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +19.6% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +7.7% | +79.7% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
-0.27
Volatility rank波动率分位
43th pctile
Short interest空头占比
2.5% of float
Market cap市值
$3B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$3.34
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-0.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $488M | $499M | $492M | $596M | $595M | $658M |
| EPS每股收益 | $2.33 | $2.55 | $2.11 | $3.36 | $3.17 | $3.37 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $-8M | $-29M | $-48M | $-121M | $-33M | $-7M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 87.2% | 88.6% | 89.2% | 90.3% | 90.8% | 90.8% |
| Net margin净利率 | 17.7% | 18.9% | 15.9% | 21.0% | 20.0% | 19.8% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | -1.7% | -5.8% | -9.9% | -20.3% | -5.6% | -1.1% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$658M
Net income净利润
$130M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$230M
Total assets总资产
$2.7B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$1.0B
Long-term debt长期负债
$783M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.04B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
12.5%
Return on assets资产回报率
4.8%
Debt / assets负债/资产
28.8%
Profit growth利润增速
+9.4%
Asset growth资产增速
+8.6%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Pricing power: gross margin +3.6pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年上升 3.6 个百分点
- Capital discipline: share count +5.9% over 6 years (dilution)资本纪律：股本 6 年增加 5.9%（稀释）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 2.08 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 2.08——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
63
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
92
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+2.1%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+6.6%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+16.5%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
33/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $0.76 | $0.77 | -1.3% |
| Sep 2025 | $1.06 | $1.01 | +5.0% |
| Jun 2025 | $0.87 | $0.92 | -5.4% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
1
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-0.5%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+1
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$0.1M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
1 : 2
Short interest空头占流通盘
2.5%
Days to cover回补天数
3.0
Short interest change空头变化
-8.1%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Mar · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Oct · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 33% | -3.9% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 67% | +3.0% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 100% | +1.7% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -0.0% | 3 |
| May5月 | 67% | +3.3% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 33% | -1.3% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 75% | +4.9% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 50% | +2.1% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -1.6% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 0% | -0.9% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +4.1% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -1.7% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。