Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Energy / BTU
Peabody Energy, Inc. · Energy
BTU US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Peabody Energy is an American coal mining company headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.Peabody Energy 是一家美国煤炭开采公司，总部位于密苏里州圣路易斯。
Mid cap中盘 · $3B
Energy
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
Cyclical周期股
$24.09
-$0.57 · -2.31%
52w low52周低 $15.42high高 $40.51
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed at $20.76 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's missing is the weekly timeframe confirming, so this is a…日线转向已经完成——低点于近期形成，价位20.76，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+-0.0% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-16.8% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
42th percentile第42百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: +18.5% (20d)财报后漂移：+18.5%（20日）
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | BTU | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 0.83x | 1.93 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.76x | 2.14 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -2.65% | 4.33 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.24% | 2.83 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 7.75x | 9.07 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$3.9B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 6.0%
Earnings per share每股收益
$-0.432025
20202025
Free cash flow自由现金流
-$77.7M2025
20202025
Operating margin营业利润率
-2.1%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
8.6%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 2/6
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.89
Current ratio流动比率1.85
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$13.8M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.1%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$1.8M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$1.8M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. New daily cycle, day 11: swing low in, price back above the 10-day average, daily momentum positive — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。新的日线周期，第 11 天：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线，日线动量为正——但周线周期尚未转向，因此信心仅为部分。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Aug 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Aug 5, 2026
BTU daily MACD crossed upBTU 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $22.73.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$22.73。
Aug 3, 2026
BTU StochRSI turned up from oversoldBTU StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $21.72.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$21.72。
Jul 29, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 29, 2026
BTU printed a daily-cycle lowBTU 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $20.76.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$20.76。
Jul 29, 2026
BTU broke down vs the marketBTU 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $20.76.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$20.76。
Jul 29, 2026
BTU daily MACD crossed downBTU 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $20.76.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$20.76。
Jul 24, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 24, 2026
BTU broke down vs the marketBTU 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $22.73.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$22.73。
Jul 16, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 15, 2026
BTU broke down vs the marketBTU 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $23.48.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$23.48。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 251 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Peabody Energy is an American coal mining company headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.Peabody Energy 是一家美国煤炭开采公司，总部位于密苏里州圣路易斯。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / Book市净率 | 0.8× | 1.9× | 97% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.8× | 2.1× | 89% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 7.8× | 9.1× | 55% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 11.4% | 11.2% | 52% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 1.2% | 2.8% | 26% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
86/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
36/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
4/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
75/100 — stronger than most强于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#17 / 78
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.7% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +0.5% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +1.7% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -29.7% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -21.1% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +33.1% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +11.6% | +79.7% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.51
Volatility rank波动率分位
42th pctile
Short interest空头占比
10.6% of float
Market cap市值
$3B
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-38.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $2.9B | $3.3B | $5.0B | $4.9B | $4.2B | $3.9B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-19.14 | $3.22 | $8.31 | $5.00 | $2.70 | $-0.43 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $-201M | $237M | $952M | $687M | $205M | $-78M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | -65.0% | 11.2% | 26.5% | 16.5% | 9.5% | -1.1% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | -7.0% | 7.1% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 4.8% | -2.0% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$3.9B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$334M
Total assets总资产
$5.8B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$3.5B
Dividends paid股息支出
$36M
Buybacks股票回购
$0
Shares outstanding总股本
0.12B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Asset growth资产增速
-2.5%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Capital discipline: share count +31.6% over 4 years (dilution)资本纪律：股本 4 年增加 31.6%（稀释）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 1.89 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 1.89——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
55
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
34
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+4.8%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-0.0%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-16.8%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
Weekly周线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
37/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
3
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-22.1%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-3
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$1.8M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 4
Short interest空头占流通盘
10.6%
Days to cover回补天数
4.8
Short interest change空头变化
+2.9%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
May · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Feb · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +10.1% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 0% | -9.8% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 33% | -0.3% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 0% | -9.6% | 3 |
| May5月 | 100% | +8.3% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 33% | -10.9% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 75% | +3.4% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 75% | +8.5% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 100% | +19.2% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 33% | -0.5% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +0.6% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 67% | +2.3% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。