Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Energy / BTU
Peabody Energy, Inc. · Energy
BTU US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Peabody Energy is an American coal mining company headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.Peabody Energy 是一家美国煤炭开采公司，总部位于密苏里州圣路易斯。
Mid cap中盘 · $3B
Energy
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
Cyclical周期股
$25.44
-$0.24 · -0.93%
52w low52周低 $20.15high高 $40.51
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
As of 2026-09-29截至 2026-09-29
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-09-29
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-0.8% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-11.9% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
40th percentile第40百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-10-2930
Estimates being cut预期下调
Mixed — beat 0 of last 4 quarters表现不稳 — 近 4 季中 0 季超预期
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 -716.0%
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | BTU | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 0.88x | 2.11 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.80x | 2.05 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -2.51% | 4.41 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.18% | 2.89 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 8.29x | 9.11 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$3.9B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 6.0%
Earnings per share每股收益
$-0.432025
20202025
Free cash flow自由现金流
-$77.7M2025
20202025
Operating margin营业利润率
-2.1%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
8.6%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 2/6
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-1.89
Current ratio流动比率1.85
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$13.8M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.1%
Debt coming due到期债务
FY2015 10-KIn the 12-month bucket following fiscal period end 2015-12-31, it reported $5.9B due — about 94% of its disclosed principal.在财年期末 2015-12-31 之后12个月的区间内，已披露到期本金为 $5.9B，约占其披露本金的 94%。
All maturity buckets are measured from fiscal period end 2015-12-31, not from today.所有到期区间均从财年期末 2015-12-31 起算，而非从今天起算。
First 12 months after period end报告期末之后首12个月
$5.9B
Year 2第2年
$0
Year 3第3年
$0
Year 4第4年
$0
Year 5第5年
$0
After year 55年以后
$385.2M
Cash reported at 2025-12-31: $575300000.截至 2025-12-31 披露的现金：$575300000。 At the cash-burn pace reported over 2025-01-01 to 2025-12-31, that cash represented about 88.8 months. This scenario excludes debt payments and future financing.按 2025-01-01 至 2025-12-31 期间披露的现金消耗速度，该现金约对应 88.8 个月。此情景不包括债务偿还与未来融资。
Capital-need coverage is partial; incomplete or incompatible filing inputs are not combined.资本需求覆盖信息不完整；不会合并不完整或不兼容的报告数据。
Any available cash-flow scenario is context only. Missing or incompatible inputs are not replaced with zero or a financing forecast.可用现金流情景仅供参考；缺失或不兼容的输入不以零值或融资预测替代。
Sources and cash-flow calculation来源与现金流计算
Figures are XBRL facts from one filing — no two years are mixed. Filing数据取自同一份文件中的 XBRL 事实，不跨文件拼接。文件
0001064728-16-000157, period ending报告期截至 2015-12-31, unit单位 USD.
Cache acquired缓存获取时间: 2026-09-22T07:58:46.928850+00:00.
6/6 buckets reported.个区间有披露。
LongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInNextTwelveMonthsLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearTwoLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearThreeLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearFourLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearFiveLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalAfterYearFive
Annual period年度区间 2025-01-01 — 2025-12-31 · USD · 10-K · 0001064728-26-000006 · Filed提交日期 2026-02-19.
Cache acquired缓存获取时间: 2026-09-22T07:58:46.928850+00:00 · Evaluated as of评估截至 2026-09-29.
- Reported operating cash flow已披露经营活动现金流: $333700000
- Reported equipment spending (capex outflow)已披露设备支出（资本开支流出）: $411400000
- Derived free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex)计算所得自由现金流（经营现金流减资本开支）: $-77700000
Cash is the reported balance at period end. The runway scenario holds this annual cash-flow pace constant and excludes debt payments, restricted-cash adjustments and future financing.现金为期末已披露余额。现金跑道情景假设本年度现金流速度保持不变，不包括债务偿还、受限现金调整与未来融资。
Research context only — reported figures from SEC filings, not a rating, a signal or investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 数据摘自 SEC 文件披露口径，不构成评级、信号或投资建议。
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$1.8M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$1.8M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-09-21 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-09-21 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Sep 23, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Sep 23, 2026
BTU StochRSI turned up from oversoldBTU StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $26.41.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$26.41。
Sep 21, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Sep 11, 2026
BTU lost its 200-day averageBTU 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $28.21.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$28.21。
Sep 10, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Sep 10, 2026
BTU daily MACD crossed downBTU 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $29.03.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$29.03。
Sep 8, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Sep 8, 2026
BTU reclaimed its 200-day averageBTU 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $29.45.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$29.45。
Sep 8, 2026
BTU took relative-strength leadershipBTU 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $29.45.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$29.45。
Sep 4, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Sep 3, 2026
BTU lost its 200-day averageBTU 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $27.64.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$27.64。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 259 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Peabody Energy is an American coal mining company headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.Peabody Energy 是一家美国煤炭开采公司，总部位于密苏里州圣路易斯。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / Book市净率 | 0.9× | 2.1× | 97% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.8× | 2.0× | 89% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 8.3× | 9.1× | 57% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 10.8% | 12.2% | 45% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 1.2% | 2.9% | 21% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
87/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
79/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
5/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
53/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#14 / 78
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.9% | +1.3% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -6.9% | +0.9% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +8.2% | +6.1% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -35.4% | +22.3% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -16.6% | +13.8% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +4.5% | +18.5% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +13.1% | +87.8% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.40
Volatility rank波动率分位
40th pctile
Short interest空头占比
10.0% of float
Market cap市值
$3B
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-35.4%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $2.9B | $3.3B | $5.0B | $4.9B | $4.2B | $3.9B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-19.14 | $3.22 | $8.31 | $5.00 | $2.70 | $-0.43 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $-201M | $237M | $952M | $687M | $205M | $-78M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | -65.0% | 11.2% | 26.5% | 16.5% | 9.5% | -1.1% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | -7.0% | 7.1% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 4.8% | -2.0% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$3.9B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$334M
Total assets总资产
$5.8B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$3.5B
Dividends paid股息支出
$36M
Buybacks股票回购
$0
Shares outstanding总股本
0.12B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Asset growth资产增速
-2.5%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Capital discipline: share count +31.6% over 4 years (dilution)资本纪律：股本 4 年增加 31.6%（稀释）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 1.93 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 1.93——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
43
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
22
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-8.0%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-0.8%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-11.9%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
50/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $-0.74 | $-0.31 | -138.7% |
| Mar 2026 | $-0.26 | $-0.01 | -2500.0% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.08 | $0.10 | -20.0% |
| Sep 2025 | $-0.58 | $-0.19 | -205.3% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
3
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-27.9%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-3
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$1.8M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 4
Short interest空头占流通盘
10.0%
Days to cover回补天数
5.4
Short interest change空头变化
+0.9%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
SPDR S&P Metals & MiningSPDR S&P Metals & Mining
trimming减持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
May · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Feb · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +10.1% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 0% | -9.8% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 33% | -0.3% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 0% | -9.6% | 3 |
| May5月 | 100% | +8.3% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 33% | -10.9% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 67% | +0.9% | 3 |
| Aug8月 | 75% | +8.5% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 75% | +19.2% | 4 |
| Oct10月 | 33% | -0.5% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +0.6% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 67% | +2.3% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。