Stocks股票 / Materials / CE
Celanese · Materials
CE US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Celanese Corporation, formerly known as Hoechst Celanese, is an American technology and specialty materials company headquartered in Irving, Texas. It is a Fortune 500 corporation.Celanese Corporation（原名Hoechst Celanese）是一家美国技术与特种材料公司，总部位于德克萨斯州欧文，名列《财富》500强。
Mid cap中盘 · $5B
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
Materials
S&P 600标普600小盘
$44.56
-$1.14 · -2.49%
52w low52周低 $34.41high高 $70.78
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
34
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-13.2% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-10.8% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
13th percentile第13百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-1021days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | CE | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 1.21x | 2.74 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.51x | 1.63 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -23.88% | 2.96 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 16.46% | 3.31 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.27% | 2.72 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 6.08x | 24.46 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 11.0%
Earnings per share每股收益
Free cash flow自由现金流
Gross margin毛利率
20.5%
Operating margin营业利润率
-8.2%
Net margin净利率
-12.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
12.0%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/8
Bankruptcy risk: distress zone破产风险：警戒区
Return on equity股本回报率 -29%
Warning警示
Leverage杠杆
Current ratio流动比率1.55
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$24.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.2%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： +$0.4M net (2 buyers, 0 sellers)+$0.4M 净值（2 买家，0 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases). Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 16, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 15, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 13, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 8, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 7, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
CE daily MACD crossed upCE 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $48.68.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$48.68。
Jul 2, 2026
CE StochRSI turned up from oversoldCE StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $47.68.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$47.68。
Jul 1, 2026
CE printed a daily-cycle lowCE 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $45.20.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$45.20。
Jul 1, 2026
CE RSI reached oversoldCE RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $45.20.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$45.20。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 218 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Celanese Corporation, formerly known as Hoechst Celanese, is an American technology and specialty materials company headquartered in Irving, Texas. It is a Fortune 500 corporation.Celanese Corporation（原名Hoechst Celanese）是一家美国技术与特种材料公司，总部位于德克萨斯州欧文，名列《财富》500强。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / Book市净率 | 1.2× | 2.7× | 87% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.5× | 1.6× | 87% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | -23.9% | 3.0% | 4% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 23.5% | 7.5% | 97% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 0.3% | 2.7% | 8% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
33/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
4/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
36/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
16/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#53 / 75
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -7.0% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -12.9% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -32.2% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -7.3% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +5.8% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -22.1% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -61.9% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.69
Volatility rank波动率分位
13th pctile
Short interest空头占比
7.2% of float
Market cap市值
$5B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$-10.64
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-35.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $5.7B | $8.5B | $9.7B | $10.9B | $10.3B | $9.5B |
| EPS每股收益 | $16.75 | $16.86 | $17.34 | $17.92 | $-13.93 | $-10.64 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $979M | $1.3B | $1.3B | $1.3B | $531M | $803M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 22.9% | 31.4% | 24.6% | 23.8% | 22.9% | 20.5% |
| Net margin净利率 | 35.1% | 22.1% | 19.6% | 17.9% | -14.8% | -12.2% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 17.3% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 5.2% | 8.4% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$9.5B
Gross profit毛利润
$2.0B
Net income净利润
$-1.2B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$1.1B
Total assets总资产
$21.7B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$4.0B
Dividends paid股息支出
$13M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.11B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
-28.8%
Return on assets资产回报率
-5.4%
Asset growth资产增速
-5.0%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: inventory +127% vs sales +69% — inventory building, demand risk营运资本：存货 +127% 对销售 +69%——存货积压，需求风险
- Pricing power: soft gross profitability vs peers定价能力：毛利能力弱于同业
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 1.23 — distress zone资产负债表：Altman Z 1.23——困境区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
34
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
2
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-5.7%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-13.2%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-10.8%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
CompressedCOMPRESSED
Days compressed已压缩天数
4
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
11/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
3
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+1.0%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-3
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
+$0.4M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
2 : 0
Short interest空头占流通盘
7.2%
Days to cover回补天数
4.4
Short interest change空头变化
+5.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Mar · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Oct · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +3.0% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 67% | +4.5% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 100% | +12.5% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -10.5% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -0.8% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 50% | +1.7% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +5.4% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 33% | -7.3% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -0.4% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 0% | -7.7% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +9.8% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 67% | +2.2% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。