Stocks股票 / Materials / MOS
Mosaic Company (The) · Materials
MOS US listed · USD美股 · 美元
The Mosaic Company is an American chemical company based in Tampa, Florida, which mines phosphate, potash, and collects urea used for fertilizer, through various international distribution networks and Mosaic Fertilizantes. It is the largest U.S. producer of potash and phosphate...美盛公司是一家美国化学公司，总部位于佛罗里达州坦帕市，通过多个国际分销网络和Mosaic Fertilizantes业务开采磷矿、钾盐并收集用于肥料的尿素。它是美国最大的钾盐和磷肥生产商。
Mid cap中盘 · $7B
Cyclical周期股
Materials
S&P 500标普500
$22.41
+$0.28 · +1.27%
52w low52周低 $19.34high高 $36.62
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 20.65.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 20.65 则明确离场。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+1.5% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-11.0% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
58th percentile第58百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0415days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -3.6% (20d)财报后漂移：-3.6%（20日）
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | MOS | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 13.15x | 28.02 | |
| P/B市净率 | 0.59x | 2.74 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.59x | 1.63 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 7.61% | 2.96 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | -7.52% | 3.31 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.94% | 2.72 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 3.65x | 12.17 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 6.8%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -0.6%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Gross margin毛利率
15.8%
Operating margin营业利润率
6.8%
Net margin净利率
4.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
6.8%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 7/8
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Return on equity股本回报率 4%
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.15
Current ratio流动比率1.32
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$30.7M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+0.2%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Materials (Equal-Weight) theme — #27 of 46 themes「材料（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 27 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +24.5%空头仓位变动 +24.5%
Technical技术面
MOS weekly MACD crossed upMOS 周线MACD上穿
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.26%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.28%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$23
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.4%
Skew: fear偏斜：避险
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： +$0.0M net (1 buyers, 0 sellers)+$0.0M 净值（1 买家，0 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY. A new cycle low likely formed 8 day(s) ago (2026-07-08 @ 20.65): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — and the weekly timeframe agrees. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入。新的周期低点可能已在 8 天前形成 （2026-07-08 @ 20.65）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——且周线周期也一致确认。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 24, 2026
MOS weekly MACD crossed upMOS 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 17, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 13, 2026
MOS daily MACD crossed upMOS 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $22.31.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$22.31。
Jul 10, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 10, 2026
MOS StochRSI turned up from oversoldMOS StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $21.51.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$21.51。
Jul 2, 2026
TOPPING → UNCONFIRMED TURN做顶中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 1, 2026
MOS daily MACD crossed downMOS 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $21.30.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$21.30。
Jun 30, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A LOW买入区 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 30, 2026
MOS broke down vs the marketMOS 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $21.19.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$21.19。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 108 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
The Mosaic Company is an American chemical company based in Tampa, Florida, which mines phosphate, potash, and collects urea used for fertilizer, through various international distribution networks and Mosaic Fertilizantes. It is the largest U.S. producer of potash and phosphate...美盛公司是一家美国化学公司，总部位于佛罗里达州坦帕市，通过多个国际分销网络和Mosaic Fertilizantes业务开采磷矿、钾盐并收集用于肥料的尿素。它是美国最大的钾盐和磷肥生产商。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Inventory build
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 13.2× | 28.0× | 90% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 0.6× | 2.7× | 99% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.6× | 1.6× | 83% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 3.6× | 12.2× | 96% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 7.6% | 3.0% | 94% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 11.6% | 7.5% | 81% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 3.9% | 2.7% | 73% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
9/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
21/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
17/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
8/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#69 / 75
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.4% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -2.1% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -6.5% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -17.4% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -8.8% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -36.0% | +19.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.72
Volatility rank波动率分位
58th pctile
Short interest空头占比
9.3% of float
Market cap市值
$7B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$1.70
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-38.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $8.7B | $12.4B | $19.1B | $13.7B | $11.1B | $12.1B |
| EPS每股收益 | $1.75 | $4.27 | $10.06 | $3.50 | $0.55 | $1.70 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $412M | $898M | $2.7B | $1.0B | $47M | $-535M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 12.3% | 25.9% | 30.1% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 15.8% |
| Net margin净利率 | 7.7% | 13.2% | 18.7% | 8.5% | 1.6% | 4.5% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 4.7% | 7.3% | 14.1% | 7.3% | 0.4% | -4.4% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$12.1B
Gross profit毛利润
$1.9B
Net income净利润
$541M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$825M
Total assets总资产
$24.5B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$12.1B
Dividends paid股息支出
$280M
Buybacks股票回购
$0
Shares outstanding总股本
0.32B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
4.5%
Return on assets资产回报率
2.2%
Profit growth利润增速
+209.1%
Asset growth资产增速
+6.8%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: inventory +93% vs sales +39% — inventory building, demand risk营运资本：存货 +93% 对销售 +39%——存货积压，需求风险
- Pricing power: soft gross profitability vs peers定价能力：毛利能力弱于同业
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 1.82 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 1.82——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
53
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
53
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+3.1%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+1.5%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-11.0%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
Weekly周线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
35/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
4
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-23.0%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+0
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$23
Put wall看跌期权墙
$20
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$23
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$25
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$20
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
-1.4%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
1%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-3.4%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
+$0.0M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
1 : 0
Short interest空头占流通盘
9.3%
Days to cover回补天数
2.6
Short interest change空头变化
+24.5%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。