Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Industrials / CXW
CoreCivic · Industrials
CXW US listed · USD美股 · 美元
CoreCivic, Inc. is an American private prison operator and one of the largest for-profit prison, jail and detention contractors in the United States.CoreCivic公司是一家美国私营监狱运营商，也是美国最大的盈利性监狱、拘留所和看守所承包商之一。
Mid cap中盘 · $3B
Industrials
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
Distressed困境股
$31.60
-$2.00 · -5.95%
52w low52周低 $15.75high高 $34.43
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum has crossed down — momentum is fading before the…筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已向下交叉——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+6.0% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+44.9% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
61th percentile第61百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Beat in 3 of last 4 quarters近 4 季中 3 季超预期
Post-earnings drift: +2.5% (20d)财报后漂移：+2.5%（20日）
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 18.6%
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | CXW | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 2.25x | 4.41 | |
| P/S市销率 | 1.43x | 2.24 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.67% | 3.73 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 7.24% | 2.22 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 59.89x | 24.95 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$2.2B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 3.0%
Earnings per share每股收益
$1.082025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 19.1%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$52.8M2025
20202025
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
8.8%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 7/8
Bankruptcy risk: distress zone破产风险：警戒区
Warning警示
Leverage杠杆
Current ratio流动比率1.66
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$229.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$27.7M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-8.9%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +65.8%空头仓位变动 +65.8%
Technical技术面
CXW RSI reached overboughtCXW RSI进入超买
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$1.2M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$1.2M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-07-29 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-07-29 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部
Aug 11, 2026
CXW RSI reached overboughtCXW RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $33.92.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$33.92。
Aug 10, 2026
CXW took relative-strength leadershipCXW 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $33.00.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$33.00。
Aug 10, 2026
CXW daily MACD crossed upCXW 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $33.00.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$33.00。
Aug 6, 2026
CXW took relative-strength leadershipCXW 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $32.24.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$32.24。
Aug 6, 2026
CXW made a new 52-week highCXW 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $32.24.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$32.24。
Aug 5, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Aug 5, 2026
CXW StochRSI turned up from oversoldCXW StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $31.23.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$31.23。
Jul 28, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 24, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 21, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 21, 2026
CXW made a new 52-week highCXW 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $32.08.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$32.08。
Jul 21, 2026
CXW StochRSI turned up from oversoldCXW StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $32.08.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$32.08。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 252 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
CoreCivic, Inc. is an American private prison operator and one of the largest for-profit prison, jail and detention contractors in the United States.CoreCivic公司是一家美国私营监狱运营商，也是美国最大的盈利性监狱、拘留所和看守所承包商之一。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / Book市净率 | 2.2× | 4.4× | 78% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 1.4× | 2.2× | 68% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.2% | 5.5% | 58% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 7.2% | 2.2% | 90% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
73/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
94/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
93/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
78/100 — stronger than most强于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#75 / 262
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.0% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +0.8% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +52.4% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +67.0% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +66.1% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +53.0% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +202.1% | +79.7% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.53
Volatility rank波动率分位
61th pctile
Short interest空头占比
3.6% of float
Market cap市值
$3B
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-6.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $1.9B | $1.9B | $1.8B | $1.9B | $2.0B | $2.2B |
| EPS每股收益 | $0.45 | $-0.43 | $1.03 | $0.59 | $0.62 | $1.08 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $196M | $182M | $70M | $164M | $199M | $53M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 2.8% | -2.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 10.3% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 2.4% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$2.2B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$195M
Total assets总资产
$3.3B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$1.4B
Long-term debt长期负债
$1.2B
Buybacks股票回购
$229M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.10B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Debt / assets负债/资产
37.0%
Asset growth资产增速
+11.1%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: receivables +67% vs sales +16% — receivables outpacing sales, revenue-quality risk营运资本：应收 +67% 对销售 +16%——应收快于销售，营收质量风险
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 1.74 — distress zone资产负债表：Altman Z 1.74——困境区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
53
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
15
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+0.4%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+6.0%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+44.9%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
61/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $0.65 | $0.56 | +16.1% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.52 | $0.43 | +20.9% |
| Sep 2025 | $0.48 | $0.48 | 0.0% |
| Jun 2025 | $0.59 | $0.43 | +37.2% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
1
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+14.4%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+1
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$1.2M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 2
Short interest空头占流通盘
3.6%
Days to cover回补天数
3.8
Short interest change空头变化
+65.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Mar · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Jan · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 0% | -2.5% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 33% | -3.7% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 100% | +7.3% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 67% | +8.3% | 3 |
| May5月 | 67% | +4.1% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 33% | -3.9% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +5.6% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 75% | +5.9% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 67% | +0.8% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 67% | +9.2% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +13.5% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 67% | +0.6% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。