Stocks股票 / Financials / FOUR
Shift4 · Financials
FOUR US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Shift4 Payments, Inc. is an American payment processing company based in Allentown, Pennsylvania.Shift4 Payments, Inc.是一家美国支付处理公司，总部位于宾夕法尼亚州阿伦敦。
Financial金融股
Financials
S&P 400标普400中盘
$50.87
+$0.56 · +1.11%
52w low52周低 $34.39high高 $108
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
You missed the bottoming entry — the low already formed and price is now extended (momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over). Don't…已错过筑底入场——低点已经形成，目前价格已拉伸（动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下）。不要追高；等待回调至 10 日均线或下一个周期低点。若已持有则继续持有。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
60
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+15.4% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-9.3% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
68th percentile第68百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-0415days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 40.4%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
8.4%
Net margin净利率
3.5%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
15.2%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/7
Return on equity股本回报率 10%
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA4.57
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$453.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$82.0M
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Payments & Fintech theme — #9 of 46 themes「支付与金融科技」主题 — 46 个主题中第 9 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±4.85%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±10.84%
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.7%
Flow:资金流向： $1M premium traded; 53% 0DTE; 2 fresh positions; P/C 0.14; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占53%；2个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.14；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： +$16.4M net (1 buyers, 3 sellers)+$16.4M 净值（1 买家，3 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durable Capital Partners | B | Holding持有 | 2.8% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. A daily bottoming setup did fire (swing low in, momentum turned up), but it's LATE — price is already extended above the cycle low (formed ~19 day(s) ago @ 38.57) and momentum is fading — the daily momentum is already rolling over. A momentum cross is a LAGGING confirmation: after a vertical run it only triggers once the move is mature, so the bottoming entry has already passed. This is a chase, not a fresh buy止盈。日线筑底形态确实已经触发（摆动低点出现、动量转向上行），但为时已晚——价格已显著高于周期低点（约 19 天前形成 @ 38.57）且动量正在衰竭——日线动量已开始掉头向下。动量交叉属于滞后确认：在垂直拉升之后，只有当走势已经成熟时才会触发，因此筑底入场早已错过。这是追高，而非新的买入
Jul 13, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 6, 2026
FOUR RSI reached overboughtFOUR RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $51.38.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$51.38。
Jul 2, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 24, 2026
DOWNTREND → BOTTOMING下跌趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 277 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Shift4 Payments, Inc. is an American payment processing company based in Allentown, Pennsylvania.Shift4 Payments, Inc.是一家美国支付处理公司，总部位于宾夕法尼亚州阿伦敦。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Receivables stretch
- Inventory build
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
3/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
57/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
17/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
3/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#240 / 252
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.3% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +29.1% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +4.6% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -20.5% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -18.8% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -52.3% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -24.6% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.45
Volatility rank波动率分位
68th pctile
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-52.4%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $767M | $1.4B | $2.0B | $2.6B | $3.3B | $4.2B |
| EPS每股收益 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $19M | $-5M | $267M | $375M | $493M | $624M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 23.2% | 20.4% | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | -2.4% | -3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 2.4% | -0.4% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 14.9% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$4.2B
Net income净利润
$147M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$634M
Total assets总资产
$8.7B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$1.4B
Long-term debt长期负债
$4.5B
Buybacks股票回购
$453M
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
10.2%
Return on assets资产回报率
1.7%
Debt / assets负债/资产
52.1%
Profit growth利润增速
-50.1%
Asset growth资产增速
+72.8%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: inventory +493% vs sales +334%; receivables +700% vs sales +445% — demand & revenue-quality risk营运资本：存货 +493% 对销售 +334%；应收 +700% 对销售 +445%——需求与营收质量风险
- Capital discipline: assets +72.8% (aggressive expansion)资本纪律：资产 +72.8%（扩张激进）
- Balance sheet: leverage unremarkable资产负债表：杠杆水平一般
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
60
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
56
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+5.6%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+15.4%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-9.3%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
84/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
2
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-0.9%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+0
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$55
Put wall看跌期权墙
$45
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$55
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$50
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
1%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-0.7%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
-0.0pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durable Capital Partners | B | Holding持有 | 2.8% | $270M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 2, 2, 1, 2, 2, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
+$16.4M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
1 : 3
Days to cover回补天数
7.5
Short interest change空头变化
-5.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
May · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Jan · 33%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 33% | -3.0% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 33% | -17.2% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 33% | -18.2% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 67% | +2.5% | 3 |
| May5月 | 100% | +15.2% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 100% | +9.0% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 75% | +4.1% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 33% | -11.2% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -1.7% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 33% | -10.5% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +24.3% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -8.2% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。