Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Financials / GSHD
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. · Financials
GSHD US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Financials
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
Financial金融股
$67.40
+$1.85 · +2.82%
52w low52周低 $32.93high高 $92.88
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸／晚期——保护利润，不要新开仓；先等下一个低点构筑成形。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
63
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+30.2% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+21.2% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
87th percentile第87百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$365.3M2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 25.6%
Earnings per share每股收益
$1.042025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 15.3%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$86.1M2025
20202025
Operating margin营业利润率
20.4%
Net margin净利率
7.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
25.1%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/7
Return on equity股本回报率 -29%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.01
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$81.7M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$23.4M
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -14.0%空头仓位变动 -14.0%
Technical技术面
GSHD daily MACD crossed downGSHD 日线MACD下穿
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$8.1M net (6 buyers, 3 sellers)-$8.1M 净值（6 买家，3 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akre Capital Management | C | Adding加仓 | 0.3% | 2026-03-31 |
| Durable Capital Partners | B | Holding持有 | 0.7% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. Late in the daily cycle (day 49 of ~23-44) — odds favor a dip into the next cycle low from here even with the trend intact. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell止盈。处于日线周期晚期（约 23-44 天中的第 49 天）——即便趋势完好，从此处概率上仍倾向于回落至下一个周期低点。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Aug 10, 2026
GSHD daily MACD crossed downGSHD 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $64.55.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$64.55。
Aug 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 31, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 28, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 28, 2026
GSHD RSI reached overboughtGSHD RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $68.82.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$68.82。
Jul 27, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 27, 2026
GSHD daily MACD crossed upGSHD 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $62.00.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$62.00。
Jul 27, 2026
GSHD StochRSI turned up from oversoldGSHD StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $62.00.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$62.00。
Jul 24, 2026
GSHD reclaimed its 200-day averageGSHD 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $58.75.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$58.75。
Jul 23, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 23, 2026
GSHD took relative-strength leadershipGSHD 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $53.90.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$53.90。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 241 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
5/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
98/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
88/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
18/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#227 / 262
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.1% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +34.0% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +79.0% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +38.4% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -3.9% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -25.7% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +13.4% | +79.7% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
-0.34
Volatility rank波动率分位
87th pctile
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-25.7%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $117M | $151M | $209M | $261M | $315M | $365M |
| EPS每股收益 | $0.51 | $0.26 | $0.26 | $0.55 | $1.16 | $1.04 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $15M | $23M | $26M | $46M | $71M | $86M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 7.9% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 12.5% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 22.4% | 23.6% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$365M
Net income净利润
$28M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$92M
Total assets总资产
$415M
Shareholder equity股东权益
$-96M
Long-term debt长期负债
$289M
Buybacks股票回购
$82M
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
-29.1%
Return on assets资产回报率
6.7%
Debt / assets负债/资产
69.8%
Profit growth利润增速
-8.5%
Asset growth资产增速
+4.3%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: high leverage (LT debt 70% of assets)资产负债表：杠杆偏高（长期债务占资产 70%）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
63
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
91
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+7.6%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+30.2%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+21.2%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
80/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
9
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-1.2%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-5
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akre Capital Management | C | Adding增持 | 0.3% | $19M |
| Durable Capital Partners | B | Holding持有 | 0.7% | $67M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
2
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
1 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 11, 'holders_first': 3, 'holders_last': 2, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -6.8, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-03-31', 'available_on': '2026-05-16', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-14', 'holders_series': [3, 3, 3, 3, 2, 2, 2, 3, 2, 2, 2]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 11, 'holders_first': 3, 'holders_last': 2, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -6.8, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-03-31', 'available_on': '2026-05-16', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-14', 'holders_series': [3, 3, 3, 3, 2, 2, 2, 3, 2, 2, 2]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$8.1M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
6 : 3
Days to cover回补天数
2.4
Short interest change空头变化
-14.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Nov · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Mar · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +2.4% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 67% | +0.4% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 0% | -11.6% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -14.4% | 3 |
| May5月 | 67% | +11.2% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 33% | -1.9% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 75% | +28.0% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 50% | +5.7% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 67% | +6.3% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 33% | -6.8% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +12.9% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 67% | +3.6% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。