Stocks股票 / Industrials / ITW
Illinois Tool Works · Industrials
ITW US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) is an American Fortune 500 company that produces engineered fasteners and components, equipment and consumable systems, and specialty products.伊利诺伊工具制造公司（ITW）是一家美国《财富》500强企业，生产工程紧固件和组件、设备和耗材系统以及特种产品。
Large cap大盘 · $78B
Cyclical周期股
Industrials
S&P 500标普500
$271.69
-$4.36 · -1.58%
52w low52周低 $236high高 $301
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~24 days ago at $255.88 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's missing is the weekly timeframe…日线转向已经完成——低点于约 24 天前形成，价位255.88，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
55
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+4.9% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+4.8% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
91th percentile第91百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-07-299days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Post-earnings drift: -7.9% (20d)财报后漂移：-7.9%（20日）
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | ITW | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/S市销率 | 4.89x | 2.19 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.45% | 3.85 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 4.19% | 2.33 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 18.80x | 16.30 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 28.97x | 24.91 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 5.0%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 9.6%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
26.3%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
19.5%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/9
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.51
Current ratio流动比率1.21
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$1.5B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$69.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-1.8%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.62%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.63%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$223
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.7%
Flow:资金流向： $0M premium traded; 10% 0DTE; 3 fresh positions; P/C 0.09; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $0M；0DTE占10%；3个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.09；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: fear偏斜：避险
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$53.6M net (1 buyers, 4 sellers)-$53.6M 净值（1 买家，4 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. A new cycle low likely formed 24 day(s) ago (2026-06-12 @ 255.88): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。新的周期低点可能已在 24 天前形成 （2026-06-12 @ 255.88）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——但周线周期尚未转向，因此信心仅为部分。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 17, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 15, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 13, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 13, 2026
ITW daily MACD crossed upITW 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $271.50.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$271.50。
Jul 13, 2026
ITW StochRSI turned up from oversoldITW StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $271.50.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$271.50。
Jul 10, 2026
ITW daily MACD crossed downITW 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $268.81.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$268.81。
Jul 8, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 7, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 93 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) is an American Fortune 500 company that produces engineered fasteners and components, equipment and consumable systems, and specialty products.伊利诺伊工具制造公司（ITW）是一家美国《财富》500强企业，生产工程紧固件和组件、设备和耗材系统以及特种产品。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / Sales市销率 | 4.9× | 2.2× | 16% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 18.8× | 16.3× | 35% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.0% | 5.6% | 28% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 4.2% | 2.3% | 71% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
38/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
35/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
41/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
35/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#195 / 250
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +0.1% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +3.5% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +0.2% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +5.2% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +9.6% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +8.5% | +19.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.56
Volatility rank波动率分位
91th pctile
Short interest空头占比
3.5% of float
Market cap市值
$78B
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-8.7%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $12.6B | $14.5B | $15.9B | $16.1B | $15.9B | $16.0B |
| EPS每股收益 | $6.63 | $8.51 | $9.77 | $9.74 | $11.71 | $10.49 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $2.6B | $2.3B | $1.9B | $3.1B | $2.8B | $2.7B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 41.3% | 41.3% | 40.8% | 42.2% | 44.3% | 44.1% |
| Net margin净利率 | 16.8% | 18.6% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 21.9% | 19.1% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 20.4% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 16.9% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$16.0B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$3.1B
Total assets总资产
$16.1B
Long-term debt长期负债
$6.7B
Dividends paid股息支出
$1.8B
Buybacks股票回购
$1.5B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.29B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Debt / assets负债/资产
41.4%
Asset growth资产增速
+7.2%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Pricing power: gross margin +2.8pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年上升 2.8 个百分点
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 8.19 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 8.19——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
55
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
28
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+0.8%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+4.9%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+4.8%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
54/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
2
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+0.7%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+0
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$280
Put wall看跌期权墙
$260
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$223
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$280
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$270
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+19.2%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-3.7%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
+0.0pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$53.6M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
1 : 4
Short interest空头占流通盘
3.5%
Days to cover回补天数
6.0
Short interest change空头变化
+6.5%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。