Stocks股票 / Industrials / NOC
Northrop Grumman · Industrials
NOC US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Northrop Grumman Corporation, headquartered in West Falls Church, Virginia, is an American aerospace and defense company that designs and manufactures systems for aeronautics, defense, missions, and space.诺斯罗普·格鲁曼公司（Northrop Grumman Corporation）总部位于弗吉尼亚州西福尔斯彻奇，是一家美国航空航天与防务公司，设计并制造航空、防务、任务及太空领域的系统。
Large cap大盘 · $74B
Cyclical周期股
Industrials
S&P 500标普500
$523.96
+$2.39 · +0.46%
52w low52周低 $489high高 $778
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
A normal mid-cycle dip below the 10-day average — the real cycle low isn't due for ~9+ trading days. Wait for support to hold, or for the next low to set up.这是跌破 10 日均线的正常周期中段回调——真正的周期低点要到约 9+ 个交易日后才会到来。等待支撑站稳，或等下一个低点构筑成形。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-2.5% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-13.6% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
65th percentile第65百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-07-288days to go天后公布
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | NOC | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 17.79x | 29.54 | |
| P/B市净率 | 4.46x | 3.88 | |
| P/S市销率 | 1.77x | 2.19 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.62% | 3.14 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.44% | 3.85 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.92% | 2.33 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 14.32x | 16.30 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 22.50x | 24.91 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 2.7%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 8.9%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
10.8%
Net margin净利率
10.0%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
11.3%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 6/8
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Return on equity股本回报率 25%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.89
Current ratio流动比率1.10
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$1.6B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$119.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-2.0%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Industrials (Equal-Weight) theme — #15 of 46 themes「工业（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 15 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +10.1%空头仓位变动 +10.1%
Technical技术面
NOC broke down vs the marketNOC 相对市场走弱
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.19%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.90%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$555
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.7%
Flow:资金流向： $2M premium traded; 19% 0DTE; 10 fresh positions; P/C 1.14; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $2M；0DTE占19%；10个新建仓；看跌看涨比 1.14；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$26.2M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$26.2M 净值（0 买家，6 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY. Mixed structure. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell准备。结构混合。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 15, 2026
NOC broke down vs the marketNOC 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $525.22.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$525.22。
Jul 9, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
NOC daily MACD crossed upNOC 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $549.01.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$549.01。
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UPTREND下跌趋势 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
NOC StochRSI turned up from oversoldNOC StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $519.95.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$519.95。
Jun 29, 2026
NOC printed a daily-cycle lowNOC 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $496.02.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$496.02。
Jun 29, 2026
NOC RSI reached oversoldNOC RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $496.02.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$496.02。
Jun 22, 2026
NOC daily MACD crossed downNOC 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $507.33.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$507.33。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 86 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Northrop Grumman Corporation, headquartered in West Falls Church, Virginia, is an American aerospace and defense company that designs and manufactures systems for aeronautics, defense, missions, and space.诺斯罗普·格鲁曼公司（Northrop Grumman Corporation）总部位于弗吉尼亚州西福尔斯彻奇，是一家美国航空航天与防务公司，设计并制造航空、防务、任务及太空领域的系统。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 17.8× | 29.5× | 81% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 4.5× | 3.9× | 44% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 1.8× | 2.2× | 60% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 14.3× | 16.3× | 60% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 5.6% | 3.1% | 83% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 6.4% | 5.6% | 59% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 3.9% | 2.3% | 68% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
43/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
6/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
12/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
31/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#161 / 250
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -3.3% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +0.5% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -13.9% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -20.5% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -9.9% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +2.5% | +19.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.03
Volatility rank波动率分位
65th pctile
Short interest空头占比
1.7% of float
Market cap市值
$74B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$29.45
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-31.5%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $36.8B | $35.7B | $36.6B | $39.3B | $41.0B | $42.0B |
| EPS每股收益 | $19.03 | $43.54 | $31.47 | $13.53 | $28.34 | $29.08 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $2.9B | $2.2B | $1.5B | $2.1B | $2.6B | $3.3B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 8.7% | 19.6% | 13.4% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$42.0B
Net income净利润
$4.2B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$4.8B
Total assets总资产
$51.4B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$16.7B
Long-term debt长期负债
$15.2B
Dividends paid股息支出
$1.3B
Buybacks股票回购
$1.6B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.14B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
25.1%
Return on assets资产回报率
8.1%
Debt / assets负债/资产
29.5%
Profit growth利润增速
+0.2%
Asset growth资产增速
+4.1%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals elevated vs peers (earnings lean on non-cash items)盈利质量：应计利润高于同业（盈利依赖非现金项目）
- Working capital: inventory +72% vs sales +14% — inventory building, demand risk营运资本：存货 +72% 对销售 +14%——存货积压，需求风险
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 2.88 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 2.88——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
45
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
57
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+0.1%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-2.5%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-13.6%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
66/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
1
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+0.2%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+1
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$580
Put wall看跌期权墙
$500
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$555
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$600
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$500
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
-5.0%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-0.7%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
+0.0pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soros Fund Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.1% | $7M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
1 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 6, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2025-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2025-05-15', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 6, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2025-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2025-05-15', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$26.2M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 6
Short interest空头占流通盘
1.7%
Days to cover回补天数
2.0
Short interest change空头变化
+10.1%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
Invesco Aerospace & DefenseInvesco Aerospace & Defense
accumulating持续增持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。