Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / LAD
Lithia Motors · Consumer Disc.
LAD US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Lithia Motors, Inc. is an American nationwide automotive dealership group headquartered in Medford, Oregon.Lithia Motors, Inc. 是一家总部位于俄勒冈州梅德福的美国全国性汽车经销商集团。
Mid cap中盘 · $9B
Consumer Disc.
S&P 400标普400中盘
Cyclical周期股
$378.66
+$0.11 · +0.03%
52w low52周低 $239high高 $437
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸／晚期——保护利润，不要新开仓；先等下一个低点构筑成形。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
61
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+15.3% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+24.0% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
96th percentile第96百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | LAD | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 10.86x | 20.35 | |
| P/B市净率 | 1.35x | 3.13 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.24x | 1.37 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 9.21% | 4.65 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 0.07% | 5.43 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 10.80% | 4.06 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 4.43x | 11.90 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 1534.23x | 16.77 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$37.6B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 23.5%
Earnings per share每股收益
$32.322025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 10.6%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$5.8M2025
20202025
Gross margin毛利率
15.2%
Operating margin营业利润率
4.2%
Net margin净利率
2.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
0.9%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 3/8
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Return on equity股本回报率 12%
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.20
Current ratio流动比率1.17
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$960.9M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$60.3M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-11.0%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -16.5%空头仓位变动 -16.5%
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$0.2M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$0.2M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. Late in the daily cycle (day 30 of ~23-44) — odds favor a dip into the next cycle low from here even with the trend intact止盈。处于日线周期晚期（约 23-44 天中的第 30 天）——即便趋势完好，从此处概率上仍倾向于回落至下一个周期低点
Aug 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Aug 7, 2026
LAD daily MACD crossed downLAD 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $375.63.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$375.63。
Jul 28, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 28, 2026
LAD made a new 52-week highLAD 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $357.64.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$357.64。
Jul 28, 2026
LAD RSI reached overboughtLAD RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $357.64.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$357.64。
Jul 24, 2026
Golden cross on LADLAD 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $340.31.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$340.31。
Jul 24, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 21, 2026
BOTTOMING → UPTREND筑底中 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 17, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 15, 2026
LAD RSI reached overboughtLAD RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $330.75.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$330.75。
Jul 9, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 9, 2026
LAD took relative-strength leadershipLAD 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $311.40.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$311.40。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 254 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Lithia Motors, Inc. is an American nationwide automotive dealership group headquartered in Medford, Oregon.Lithia Motors, Inc. 是一家总部位于俄勒冈州梅德福的美国全国性汽车经销商集团。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 10.9× | 20.4× | 85% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 1.4× | 3.1× | 80% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.2× | 1.4× | 95% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 4.4× | 11.9× | 92% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 9.2% | 4.7% | 87% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.0% | 7.9% | 14% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 10.8% | 4.1% | 91% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
26/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
91/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
70/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
60/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#143 / 212
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +1.0% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +18.8% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +44.6% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +26.2% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +14.4% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +20.9% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +21.8% | +79.7% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.68
Volatility rank波动率分位
96th pctile
Short interest空头占比
9.2% of float
Market cap市值
$9B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$34.88
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-11.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $13.1B | $22.8B | $28.2B | $31.0B | $36.2B | $37.6B |
| EPS每股收益 | $19.53 | $36.54 | $44.17 | $36.29 | $29.65 | $32.32 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $374M | $1.5B | $-913M | $-703M | $74M | $6M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 17.0% | 18.7% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 15.4% | 15.2% |
| Net margin净利率 | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 2.9% | 6.7% | -3.2% | -2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$37.6B
Gross profit毛利润
$5.7B
Net income净利润
$820M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$357M
Total assets总资产
$25.1B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$6.6B
Buybacks股票回购
$961M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.02B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
12.4%
Return on assets资产回报率
3.3%
Profit growth利润增速
+2.9%
Asset growth资产增速
+8.6%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals elevated vs peers (earnings lean on non-cash items)盈利质量：应计利润高于同业（盈利依赖非现金项目）
- Working capital: inventory & receivables lean vs sales营运资本：存货与应收相对销售保持精简
- Pricing power: gross margin −1.8pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年下降 1.8 个百分点
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 2.42 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 2.42——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
61
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
65
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+3.7%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+15.3%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+24.0%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
94/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
10
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+3.8%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-2
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$0.2M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 3
Short interest空头占流通盘
9.2%
Days to cover回补天数
4.8
Short interest change空头变化
-16.5%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
SPDR S&P RetailSPDR S&P Retail
trimming减持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
May · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Jan · 33%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 33% | -2.5% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 33% | -8.5% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 33% | -10.7% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 67% | +1.3% | 3 |
| May5月 | 100% | +1.1% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 100% | +0.2% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +9.7% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 50% | +9.5% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -3.8% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 33% | -0.1% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +10.6% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 67% | +4.5% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。