Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / M
Macy's · Consumer Disc.
M US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Macy's IP Holdings, LLC doing business as Macy's, is an American department store chain founded in 1858 by Rowland Hussey Macy. The first store was located in Manhattan on Sixth Avenue between 13th and 14th Streets, south of the present-day...Macy's IP Holdings, LLC以Macy's品牌经营，是一家美国连锁百货公司，由罗兰·哈西·梅西于1858年创立。首家门店位于曼哈顿第六大道13街至14街之间，早于1902年开设的位于西34街先驱广场的现旗舰店。
Mid cap中盘 · $6B
Cyclical周期股
Consumer Disc.
S&P 400标普400中盘
$23.31
-$0.37 · -1.56%
52w low52周低 $11.27high高 $26.53
Extended — don't chase; wait for a pullback过度拉升 — 勿追高；等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸／晚期——保护利润，不要新开仓；先等下一个低点构筑成形。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+4.5% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+13.5% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
46th percentile第46百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 9 analysts预期上调 — 9 位分析师
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | M | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 9.55x | 19.97 | |
| P/B市净率 | 1.26x | 2.89 | |
| P/S市销率 | 0.27x | 1.21 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 10.47% | 4.57 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 17.24% | 5.73 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 7.29% | 4.27 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 2.54x | 11.39 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 5.80x | 16.57 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 5.5%
Earnings per share每股收益
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
4.6%
Net margin净利率
2.8%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
6.3%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 7/8
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Return on equity股本回报率 13%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.65
Current ratio流动比率1.49
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$250.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$59.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-5.3%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -17.0%空头仓位变动 -17.0%
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$4.3M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$4.3M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | New position新建仓 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. Late in the daily cycle (day 44 of ~23-44) — odds favor a dip into the next cycle low from here even with the trend intact止盈。处于日线周期晚期（约 23-44 天中的第 44 天）——即便趋势完好，从此处概率上仍倾向于回落至下一个周期低点
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 15, 2026
M StochRSI turned up from oversoldM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $23.76.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$23.76。
Jun 30, 2026
M daily MACD crossed downM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $23.55.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$23.55。
Jun 25, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 24, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 24, 2026
M made a new 52-week highM 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $25.34.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$25.34。
Jun 24, 2026
M StochRSI turned up from oversoldM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $25.34.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$25.34。
Jun 23, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 23, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 17, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 15, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 247 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Macy's IP Holdings, LLC doing business as Macy's, is an American department store chain founded in 1858 by Rowland Hussey Macy. The first store was located in Manhattan on Sixth Avenue between 13th and 14th Streets, south of the present-day...Macy's IP Holdings, LLC以Macy's品牌经营，是一家美国连锁百货公司，由罗兰·哈西·梅西于1858年创立。首家门店位于曼哈顿第六大道13街至14街之间，早于1902年开设的位于西34街先驱广场的现旗舰店。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 9.6× | 20.0× | 85% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 1.3× | 2.9× | 82% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 0.3× | 1.2× | 92% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 2.5× | 11.4× | 98% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 10.5% | 4.6% | 87% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 23.3% | 8.6% | 94% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 7.3% | 4.3% | 78% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
91/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
82/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
58/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
92/100 — stronger than most强于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#8 / 192
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.3% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -3.4% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +15.2% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +11.1% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +3.6% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +100.9% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +63.8% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.15
Volatility rank波动率分位
46th pctile
Short interest空头占比
11.1% of float
Market cap市值
$6B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$2.44
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-10.2%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $17.3B | $24.5B | $24.4B | $23.9B | $23.0B | $22.6B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-12.68 | $4.55 | $4.19 | $0.38 | $2.07 | $2.32 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $311M | $2.4B | $727M | $674M | $760M | $1.1B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 29.2% | 38.9% | 37.4% | 40.7% | 40.3% | 40.3% |
| Net margin净利率 | -22.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 0.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 1.8% | 9.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$22.6B
Net income净利润
$642M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$1.4B
Total assets总资产
$16.2B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$4.9B
Dividends paid股息支出
$197M
Buybacks股票回购
$250M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.26B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
13.2%
Return on assets资产回报率
4.0%
Profit growth利润增速
+10.3%
Asset growth资产增速
-1.0%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Pricing power: gross margin +11.1pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年上升 11.1 个百分点
- Capital discipline: disciplined growth, returning cash资本纪律：增长克制、回报股东
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 2.69 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 2.69——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
50
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
24
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-2.1%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+4.5%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+13.5%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
47/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
9
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+6.0%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+7
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | New position新建仓 | 0.0% | $55M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
1 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 2, 1, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 2, 1, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$4.3M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 5
Short interest空头占流通盘
11.1%
Days to cover回补天数
4.3
Short interest change空头变化
-17.0%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
SPDR S&P RetailSPDR S&P Retail
trimming减持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
May · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Jan · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 0% | -9.0% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 0% | -4.0% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 33% | -7.1% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -6.3% | 3 |
| May5月 | 100% | +6.1% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 75% | +1.4% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +3.6% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 33% | -8.6% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 67% | +2.2% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 67% | +5.2% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +14.8% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 67% | +6.1% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。