Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Energy / MUR
Murphy Oil · Energy
MUR US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Murphy Oil Corporation is an American energy company engaged in hydrocarbon exploration headquartered in Houston, Texas.墨菲石油公司是一家从事碳氢化合物勘探的美国能源公司，总部位于德克萨斯州休斯顿。
Mid cap中盘 · $5B
Energy
S&P 400标普400中盘
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
$34.79
-$0.47 · -1.33%
52w low52周低 $21.05high高 $43.32
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 33.04.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 33.04 下方。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-3.7% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+1.0% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
90th percentile第90百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | MUR | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 47.66x | 21.37 | |
| P/B市净率 | 0.97x | 1.93 | |
| P/S市销率 | 1.83x | 2.14 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.10% | 4.13 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 5.81% | 2.83 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 4.58x | 9.07 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$2.7B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 6.7%
Earnings per share每股收益
$0.722025
20202025
Operating margin营业利润率
11.1%
Net margin净利率
3.8%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 6/9
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Return on equity股本回报率 2%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.70
Current ratio流动比率0.77
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$102.6M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$50.1M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-2.1%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
MUR StochRSI turned up from oversoldMUR StochRSI自超卖区上行
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$1.9M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$1.9M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; 3-day crossed down; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为负；3 日线向下交叉；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Aug 11, 2026
MUR StochRSI turned up from oversoldMUR StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $35.72.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$35.72。
Aug 10, 2026
MUR reclaimed its 200-day averageMUR 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $35.49.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$35.49。
Aug 6, 2026
MUR lost its 200-day averageMUR 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $33.04.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$33.04。
Aug 6, 2026
MUR broke down vs the marketMUR 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $33.04.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$33.04。
Aug 6, 2026
MUR daily MACD crossed downMUR 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $33.04.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$33.04。
Jul 31, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 29, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 27, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 24, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 247 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Murphy Oil Corporation is an American energy company engaged in hydrocarbon exploration headquartered in Houston, Texas.墨菲石油公司是一家从事碳氢化合物勘探的美国能源公司，总部位于德克萨斯州休斯顿。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 47.7× | 21.4× | 15% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 1.0× | 1.9× | 92% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 1.8× | 2.1× | 56% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 4.6× | 9.1× | 93% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.1% | 4.1% | 25% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 5.8% | 2.8% | 87% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
75/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
17/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
50/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
82/100 — stronger than most强于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#43 / 78
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +5.3% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -0.5% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -13.7% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +5.5% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +9.1% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +56.4% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -11.9% | +79.7% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
-0.39
Volatility rank波动率分位
90th pctile
Short interest空头占比
6.9% of float
Market cap市值
$5B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$0.73
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-17.9%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $2.0B | $2.3B | $3.9B | $3.5B | $3.0B | $2.7B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-7.48 | $-0.48 | $6.13 | $4.22 | $2.70 | $0.72 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | 95.6% | 98.5% | 99.9% | 100.0% |
| Net margin净利率 | -58.4% | -3.2% | 24.5% | 19.1% | 13.4% | 3.8% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$2.7B
Net income净利润
$104M
Total assets总资产
$9.8B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$5.1B
Dividends paid股息支出
$186M
Buybacks股票回购
$103M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.14B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
2.0%
Return on assets资产回报率
1.1%
Profit growth利润增速
-74.4%
Asset growth资产增速
+1.7%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Pricing power: gross margin +4.4pts over 4 years定价能力：毛利率 4 年上升 4.4 个百分点
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 1.95 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 1.95——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
45
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
29
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-5.9%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-3.7%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+1.0%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
73/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
11
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-19.1%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-7
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$1.9M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 2
Short interest空头占流通盘
6.9%
Days to cover回补天数
6.9
Short interest change空头变化
+1.4%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
SPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&PSPDR S&P Oil & Gas E&P
trimming减持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Feb · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Jan · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 0% | -9.5% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 100% | +3.5% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 100% | +14.5% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -2.1% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -3.4% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 33% | -3.3% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 100% | +11.0% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 50% | +2.2% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 67% | +0.2% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 33% | -0.6% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +4.4% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -2.1% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。