Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / NKE
Nike, Inc. · Consumer Disc.
NKE US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Nike, Inc. is an American athletic footwear and apparel corporation headquartered near Beaverton, Oregon.耐克公司是一家美国运动鞋服企业，总部位于俄勒冈州比弗顿附近。
Mixed profile混合特征
Consumer Disc.
Dow 30道琼斯30S&P 500标普500
$43.47
-$0.29 · -0.66%
52w low52周低 $40.00high高 $78.03
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 40.75.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 40.75 下方。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21Long-term Falling TrendIchimoku — Price Below Cloud
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-0.1% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-21.1% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
12
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility波动率
75th percentile第75百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-06-30Estimates being cut预期下调
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 4.4%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 6.2%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 3/8
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Current ratio流动比率2.21
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$3.0B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$709.0M
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
News新闻
1 recent stories — mixed1 篇最新报道，多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Discretionary (Equal-Weight) theme — #34 of 46 themes「非必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 34 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +26.7%空头仓位变动 +26.7%
Technical技术面
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.35%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.25%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$43
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.4%
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$1.1M net (4 buyers, 3 sellers)-$1.1M 净值（4 买家，3 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum positive; investor cycle failed (broke its start low); investor cycle overdue; last cycle left-translated (topped early)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为正；投资者周期失败（跌破起始低点）；投资者周期已逾期；上一周期左移（见顶偏早））。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 16, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 15, 2026
NKE broke down vs the marketNKE 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $42.77.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$42.77。
Jul 14, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
NKE daily MACD crossed upNKE 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $43.34.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$43.34。
Jul 1, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 1, 2026
NKE StochRSI turned up from oversoldNKE StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $43.06.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$43.06。
Jun 26, 2026
NKE printed a daily-cycle lowNKE 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $40.75.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$40.75。
Jun 25, 2026
TOPPING → DOWNTREND做顶中 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 25, 2026
NKE made a new 52-week lowNKE 创52周新低
Price reached a fresh 52-week low — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $40.90.价格创出52周新低 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$40.90。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 3742 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Nike, Inc. is an American athletic footwear and apparel corporation headquartered near Beaverton, Oregon.耐克公司是一家美国运动鞋服企业，总部位于俄勒冈州比弗顿附近。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
Recent news最新动态
Activewear Market to Reach USD 650.97 Billion by 2032, Expanding at a 6.59% CAGR
GlobeNewswire Inc. · 2026-07-20
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
12/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
27/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
6/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
5/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#187 / 192
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.7% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -3.8% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -5.5% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -32.5% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -30.2% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -38.4% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -57.6% | +69.9% |
| 5 Years近5年 | -70.7% | +82.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.79
Volatility rank波动率分位
75th pctile
Dividend yield股息率
3.75%
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-43.6%
Volume vs normal成交量相对平常
0.4×
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $37.4B | $44.5B | $46.7B | $51.2B | $51.4B | $46.3B |
| EPS每股收益 | $1.60 | $3.56 | $3.75 | $3.23 | $3.73 | $2.16 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $1.4B | $6.0B | $4.4B | $4.9B | $6.6B | $3.3B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 43.4% | 44.8% | 46.0% | 43.5% | 44.6% | 42.7% |
| Net margin净利率 | 6.8% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 7.0% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 3.7% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 7.1% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Total assets总资产
$37.8B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$14.1B
Long-term debt长期负债
$7.0B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Debt / assets负债/资产
18.6%
Revenue growth营收增速
-1.1%
Asset growth资产增速
-0.5%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Working capital: receivables +72% vs sales +24% — receivables outpacing sales, revenue-quality risk营运资本：应收 +72% 对销售 +24%——应收快于销售，营收质量风险
- Pricing power: gross margin −0.7pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年下降 0.7 个百分点
- Capital discipline: disciplined growth, returning cash资本纪律：增长克制、回报股东
- Balance sheet: leverage unremarkable资产负债表：杠杆水平一般
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
50
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
38
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
12
Average daily range平均日波幅
3.4%
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+1.5%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-0.1%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-21.1%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
Monthly月线
momentum down动能向下
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
34/100
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 36d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 375d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 339d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 22d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 276d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 240d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 150d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 4d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 144d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 458d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 975d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 107d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 50d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 67d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 326d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 11d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 199d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 29d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 156d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 51d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 22d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Falling Trend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 939d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | quiet静默 | — |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 23d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 141d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 385d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 49d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 16d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 11d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 25d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 18d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 84d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1072d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 7424d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 3735d |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 563d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 900d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 864d |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 1071d |
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
14
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-9.7%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-14
Analyst view分析师观点
Forward P/E预测市盈率
18.7×
Profit margin净利率
6.7%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$45
Put wall看跌期权墙
$40
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$43
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$45
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$40
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+0.9%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-0.4%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$1.1M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
4 : 3
Days to cover回补天数
2.2
Short interest change空头变化
+26.7%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Nov · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Mar · 20%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 40% | -2.8% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 60% | +1.1% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 20% | -9.3% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 20% | -6.9% | 5 |
| May5月 | 67% | +3.1% | 6 |
| Jun6月 | 50% | +5.5% | 6 |
| Jul7月 | 83% | +6.1% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 40% | -1.4% | 5 |
| Sep9月 | 20% | -9.7% | 5 |
| Oct10月 | 60% | +7.5% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +2.4% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 40% | -0.3% | 5 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
- Jul: +2.0% avg, up 59% of years (n=46)7月：平均 +2.0%，59% 的年份上涨（n=46）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。