Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Industrials / PH
Parker Hannifin · Industrials
PH US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Parker-Hannifin Corporation, originally Parker Appliance Company, is an American multinational industrial manufacturing company specializing in motion and control technologies. Its corporate headquarters are in Mayfield Heights, Ohio, in Greater Cleveland.派克汉尼汾公司（Parker-Hannifin Corporation），前身为派克器具公司（Parker Appliance…
Large cap大盘 · $134B
Industrials
Cyclical周期股
$1058.87
-$10.65 · -1.00%
52w low52周低 $711high高 $1,100
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 950.79.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 950.79 则明确离场。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
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Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14Short-term Rising TrendLong-term Rising Trend
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
67
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+9.9% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+15.3% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
27
Trending趋势中
Volatility波动率
87th percentile第87百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Beat expectations 4 quarters in a row连续 4 季度超预期
Post-earnings drift: -8.7% (20d)财报后漂移：-8.7%（20日）
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 7.0%
Valuation估值
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵| Multiple指标 | PH | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 27.7x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 9.34x | 4.41 | |
| P/S市销率 | 6.73x | 2.24 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.50% | 3.73 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.32% | 2.22 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 29.93x | 16.47 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 40.00x | 24.95 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$19.9B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 7.7%
Earnings per share每股收益
$27.122025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 23.9%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$3.3B2025
20202025
Operating margin营业利润率
21.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
19.0%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 7/8
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.50
Current ratio流动比率1.19
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$1.8B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$159.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-2.0%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Robotics & Automation theme — #7 of 49 themes「机器人与自动化」主题 — 49 个主题中第 7 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
PH took relative-strength leadershipPH 取得相对强弱领先
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.61%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.60%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$911
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
0.4%
Flow:资金流向： $1M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 3 fresh positions; P/C 0.78; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1M；0DTE占0%；3个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.78；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$24.4M net (0 buyers, 11 sellers)-$24.4M 净值（0 买家，11 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY. A new cycle low likely formed 18 day(s) ago (2026-07-20 @ 950.79): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — and the weekly timeframe agrees买入。新的周期低点可能已在 18 天前形成 （2026-07-20 @ 950.79）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——且周线周期也一致确认
Aug 12, 2026
PH took relative-strength leadershipPH 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $1,069.52.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$1,069.52。
Aug 12, 2026
PH RSI reached overboughtPH RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $1,069.52.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$1,069.52。
Aug 11, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Aug 6, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Aug 6, 2026
PH took relative-strength leadershipPH 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $1,069.80.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$1,069.80。
Aug 6, 2026
PH made a new 52-week highPH 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $1,069.80.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$1,069.80。
Aug 6, 2026
PH RSI reached overboughtPH RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $1,069.80.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$1,069.80。
Aug 4, 2026
PH daily MACD crossed upPH 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $992.65.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$992.65。
Aug 3, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 31, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 29, 2026
UPTREND → BOTTOMING上涨趋势 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 29, 2026
PH daily MACD crossed downPH 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $951.07.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$951.07。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 3857 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Parker-Hannifin Corporation, originally Parker Appliance Company, is an American multinational industrial manufacturing company specializing in motion and control technologies. Its corporate headquarters are in Mayfield Heights, Ohio, in Greater Cleveland.派克汉尼汾公司（Parker-Hannifin Corporation），前身为派克器具公司（Parker Appliance…
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 27.7× | — | — |
| Price / Book市净率 | 9.3× | 4.4× | 19% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 6.7× | 2.2× | 10% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 29.9× | 16.5× | 16% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.8% | 5.5% | 18% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 1.3% | 2.2% | 31% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
66/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
71/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
48/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
69/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#85 / 262
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.0% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +9.8% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +22.7% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +5.9% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +18.9% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +40.2% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +164.2% | +79.7% |
| 5 Years近5年 | +285.4% | +86.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.85
Volatility rank波动率分位
87th pctile
Short interest空头占比
1.2% of float
Market cap市值
$134B
Dividend yield股息率
0.75%
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-1.4%
Volume vs normal成交量相对平常
0.7×
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $13.7B | $14.3B | $15.9B | $19.1B | $19.9B | $19.9B |
| EPS每股收益 | $9.29 | $13.35 | $10.09 | $16.04 | $21.84 | $27.12 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $1.8B | $2.4B | $2.2B | $2.6B | $3.0B | $3.3B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 24.9% | 27.2% | 28.2% | 33.7% | 35.8% | 36.9% |
| Net margin净利率 | 8.8% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 17.8% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 13.4% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 16.8% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$19.9B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$3.8B
Total assets总资产
$30.5B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$14.3B
Buybacks股票回购
$1.8B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.13B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Revenue growth营收增速
+9.8%
Asset growth资产增速
+7.9%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Pricing power: gross margin +12.0pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年上升 12.0 个百分点
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 7.31 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 7.31——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
67
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
36
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
27
Average daily range平均日波幅
2.5%
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+5.6%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+9.9%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+15.3%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
Monthly月线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
87/100
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 62d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 412d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 101d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 93d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 478d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 10d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 13d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 58d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 105d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 94d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 679d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 78d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 105d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 8d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 29d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 23d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 23d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 73d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Long-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 20d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 22d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 57d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 105d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 52d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 64d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 2d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 27d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 9d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 15d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 14d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 23d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 48d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 160d |
| Directional Indicator Bullish Cross (+DI above -DI) | quiet静默 | 13d |
| Directional Indicator Bearish Cross (-DI above +DI) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| ADX Trend Ignition — Bullish (ADX crosses above 25 while price rising) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| ADX Trend Ignition — Bearish (ADX crosses above 25 while price falling) | quiet静默 | 73d |
| ADX Trending (ADX ≥ 25 and rising — strong, accelerating trend) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| ADX Weak Trend (ADX < 20 — market ranging, no directional conviction) | quiet静默 | — |
| Aroon Bullish Cross (recent highs dominating — uptrend beginning) | quiet静默 | 10d |
| Aroon Bearish Cross (recent lows dominating — downtrend beginning) | quiet静默 | 20d |
| Aroon Strong Uptrend (recent highs near current bar, lows far away) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Aroon Strong Downtrend (recent lows near current bar, highs far away) | quiet静默 | — |
| Vortex Bullish Cross (VI+ above VI- with separation — upward momentum) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Vortex Bearish Cross (VI- above VI+ with separation — downward momentum) | quiet静默 | 223d |
| Elder Ray Bullish Setup (bear power negative but improving, price trend up) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Elder Ray Bearish Setup (bull power positive but falling, price trend down) | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Elder Ray Bulls Dominant (bull power positive, bear power near zero) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Elder Ray Bears Dominant (bear power negative, bull power near zero) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volatility Squeeze Active (Bollinger inside Keltner) | quiet静默 | — |
| Squeeze Release — Upside Breakout | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Squeeze Release — Downside Breakout | quiet静默 | 71d |
| Trending Market Regime (Choppiness below 38.2) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ranging Market Regime (Choppiness above 61.8) | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Onset (Choppiness drops below 38.2) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Trending Regime by Efficiency (VHF above median) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Donchian Channel Upside Breakout (20-day high exceeded) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Donchian Channel Downside Breakdown (20-day low breached) | quiet静默 | 73d |
| Failed Upside Breakout (Price retreats below channel within 5 bars) | quiet静默 | 48d |
| Failed Downside Breakdown (Price recovers above channel within 5 bars) | quiet静默 | 71d |
| Wide Channel (Donchian width in top 20% of trailing year) | quiet静默 | — |
| NR7 Coiling Pattern Active (Narrowest range in 7 bars, within last 3) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Upside Range Expansion (True range > 2×ATR, strong close) | quiet静默 | 371d |
| Downside Range Expansion (True range > 2×ATR, weak close) | quiet静默 | 497d |
| Money Flow turns positive (CMF crosses above zero) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Money Flow turns negative (CMF crosses below zero) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Sustained buying pressure (CMF above +0.05 for 10+ bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Sustained selling pressure (CMF below -0.05 for 10+ bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volume backing the move up (OBV rising over 20 days) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Volume backing the move down (OBV falling over 20 days) | quiet静默 | — |
| OBV breaks to new 60-day high (accumulation surge) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| OBV breaks to new 60-day low (distribution surge) | quiet静默 | 73d |
| Volume surge (relative volume doubles its 20-day average) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Volume drying up (5-day average below 60% of normal) | quiet静默 | — |
| Oversold money flow recovering (MFI crosses back above 20) | quiet静默 | 100d |
| Overbought money flow retreating (MFI crosses back below 80) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Money flow momentum turns bullish (MFI crosses above 50) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Money flow momentum turns bearish (MFI crosses below 50) | quiet静默 | 36d |
| Price crosses above adaptive moving average in trending market | quiet静默 | 246d |
| Price crosses below adaptive moving average in trending market | quiet静默 | 247d |
| Adaptive moving average rising in trending market | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Adaptive moving average falling in trending market | quiet静默 | — |
| Market moving efficiently — trend-following conditions present | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Market choppy — trend signals unreliable | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend turns bullish — price breaks above resistance band | quiet静默 | 65d |
| Trend turns bearish — price breaks below support band | quiet静默 | 105d |
| Price above trend support — bullish regime | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Price below trend resistance — bearish regime | quiet静默 | — |
| Price pulls back to trend support then recovers — continuation setup | quiet静默 | 161d |
| Connors RSI deep oversold arrival (crosses below 10) | quiet静默 | 73d |
| Connors RSI oversold exit (crosses back above 10) | quiet静默 | 72d |
| Connors RSI overbought exit (crosses back below 90) | quiet静默 | 64d |
| Spearman trend turns positive (smoothed rank correlation crosses above zero) | quiet静默 | 23d |
| Spearman trend turns negative (smoothed rank correlation crosses below zero) | quiet静默 | 35d |
| Spearman strong uptrend (raw rank correlation above 80) | quiet静默 | — |
| Spearman strong downtrend (raw rank correlation below -80) | quiet静默 | — |
| Low Drawdown Stress (Ulcer Index below 25th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| Elevated Drawdown Stress (Ulcer Index above 75th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| Drawdown Stress Spike (Ulcer Index doubles in 21 bars, above 5) | quiet静默 | 76d |
| Drawdown Stress Easing (Ulcer Index crosses below median after stress period) | quiet静默 | 52d |
| Low Relative Volatility (nATR below 25th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| High Relative Volatility (nATR above 75th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volatility Compression (short-window vol well below long-window vol) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volatility Expansion Breakout (short-window vol crosses above long-window vol) | quiet静默 | 104d |
| Mass Index Bulge Reversal (range expansion then contraction setup) | quiet静默 | 479d |
| 12-1 Momentum Positive (medium-term uptrend, reversal-adjusted) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| 12-1 Momentum Negative (medium-term downtrend, reversal-adjusted) | quiet静默 | — |
| Momentum Acceleration Up (3-month crosses above 6-month, both improving) | quiet静默 | 44d |
| Momentum Deceleration Down (3-month crosses below 6-month, both weakening) | quiet静默 | 486d |
| New 52-Week Closing High | quiet静默 | 6d |
| New 52-Week Closing Low | quiet静默 | 1518d |
| Relative Strength Recovery (stock outpaces benchmark over 3 months) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength Deterioration (stock falls behind benchmark over 3 months) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength at 6-Month High (stock/benchmark ratio at new peak) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength at 6-Month Low (stock/benchmark ratio at new trough) | quiet静默 | — |
| BBTrend Crosses Above Zero (channel expanding in favor of buyers) | quiet静默 | 45d |
| BBTrend Crosses Below Zero (channel expanding in favor of sellers) | quiet静默 | 48d |
| Inside Bar — price range compressed within prior bar | quiet静默 | — |
| Outside Bar — price range expands beyond prior bar on both sides | quiet静默 | — |
| Outside-Inside Bar Coil — outside bar followed by inside bar compression | quiet静默 | 63d |
| Three Consecutive Inside Bars — prolonged compression coil | quiet静默 | 9641d |
| Bullish 2-1-2 Continuation — higher high bar, inside bar, upside break | quiet静默 | 65d |
| Bearish 2-1-2 Continuation — lower low bar, inside bar, downside break | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Bullish 2-1-2 Reversal — lower low bar, inside bar, upside break | quiet静默 | 13d |
| Bearish 2-1-2 Reversal — higher high bar, inside bar, downside break | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Bullish 3-1-2 — outside bar, inside bar coil, upside break | quiet静默 | 62d |
| Bearish 3-1-2 — outside bar, inside bar coil, downside break | quiet静默 | 79d |
| Fractal Low Confirmed (swing low locked in) | quiet静默 | 13d |
| Fractal High Confirmed (swing high locked in) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Swing Uptrend (higher highs and higher lows) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Swing Downtrend (lower lows and lower highs) | quiet静默 | — |
| Fractal High Break (close rises above confirmed swing high) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Fractal Low Break (close falls below confirmed swing low) | quiet静默 | 36d |
| KST crosses above signal line (negative territory) | quiet静默 | 70d |
| KST crosses below signal line (positive territory) | quiet静默 | 34d |
| True Strength Index crosses above signal (below zero) | quiet静默 | 70d |
| True Strength Index crosses below signal (above zero) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Coppock curve turns up from a trough (below zero) | quiet静默 | 1385d |
| Ultimate Oscillator exits oversold zone (crosses above 30) | quiet静默 | 304d |
| Ultimate Oscillator exits overbought zone (crosses below 70) | quiet静默 | 639d |
| Fisher Transform crosses above prior bar (below -1) | quiet静默 | 71d |
| Fisher Transform crosses below prior bar (above +1) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| QQE smoothed RSI crosses above adaptive band (below 50) | quiet静默 | 70d |
| QQE smoothed RSI crosses below adaptive band (above 50) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Schaff Trend Cycle crosses above 25 (bullish turn) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Schaff Trend Cycle crosses below 75 (bearish turn) | quiet静默 | 13d |
| Bullish price gap forms (3-candle imbalance zone) | quiet静默 | 6d |
| Bearish price gap forms (3-candle imbalance zone) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Bullish gap zone filled (price returns to imbalance area) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Bearish gap zone filled (price returns to imbalance area) | quiet静默 | 13d |
| Price reclaims AVWAP from earnings-proxy anchor (quarter's top-volume session) | quiet静默 | 70d |
| Price loses AVWAP from earnings-proxy anchor (quarter's top-volume session) | quiet静默 | 133d |
| Close above week-anchored VWAP | quiet静默 | — |
| Close below week-anchored VWAP | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| POC retest holds (price defends the point of control) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| POC retest fails (rejected at the point of control) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 820d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1171d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 2213d |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1655d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 4068d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 819d |
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $8.17 | $7.85 | +4.1% |
| Dec 2025 | $7.65 | $7.15 | +7.0% |
| Sep 2025 | $7.22 | $6.67 | +8.2% |
| Jun 2025 | $7.69 | $7.08 | +8.6% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
3
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+0.1%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-3
Analyst view分析师观点
Forward P/E预测市盈率
27.7×
Profit margin净利率
17.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$1,100
Put wall看跌期权墙
$930
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$911
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$1,100
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$1,040
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+13.6%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
+0.4%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
+0.0pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$24.4M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 11
Short interest空头占流通盘
1.2%
Days to cover回补天数
2.7
Short interest change空头变化
+6.5%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jul · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Mar · 20%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 80% | +6.5% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 60% | +7.9% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 20% | -4.0% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 40% | -1.9% | 5 |
| May5月 | 40% | -0.6% | 5 |
| Jun6月 | 67% | +5.1% | 6 |
| Jul7月 | 100% | +5.2% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 67% | +4.0% | 6 |
| Sep9月 | 40% | -5.7% | 5 |
| Oct10月 | 80% | +2.2% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +11.0% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 60% | +2.1% | 5 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
- Aug: +1.4% avg, up 51% of years (n=47)8月：平均 +1.4%，51% 的年份上涨（n=47）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。