Stocks股票 / Staples / PM

Philip Morris International · Staples

PM US listed · USD美股 · 美元

Philip Morris International Inc. (PMI) is a tobacco company, with products sold in over 180 countries.菲利普莫里斯国际公司(PMI)是一家烟草企业,产品销往全球超过180个国家。

Mega cap超大盘 · $300B Mixed profile混合特征 Staples S&P 500标普500
$192.72
-$0.26 · -0.13%
52w low52周低 $138high $195
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势 Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 171.75.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启,若收盘重新跌破 171.75 则明确离场。 Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21

Price chart价格图表

daily · interactive日线 · 可交互 Open in Terminal打开终端
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。 Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。 MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动

Technicals技术面

daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Short-term Rising Trend
Momentum (RSI 14)动量(RSI 14) 63
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day average相对50日均线 +6.5% above上方 Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线 +16.2% above上方 Long trend up长期向上
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 15 No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility波动率 78th percentile第78百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源,每晚更新。

Earnings财务业绩

next report下次财报 2026-07-28
8days to go天后公布

Estimates being cut预期下调

Valuation估值

Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Multiple指标PM Sector median行业中位Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 26.44x 24.24 44%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 21.1x
P/S市销率 7.38x 1.27 2%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 3.78% 3.75 52%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 3.55% 4.72 29%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 17.48x 12.38 21%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 28.13x 21.16 25%
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。

Financials财务数据

fiscal years财年
Revenue营业收入
$28.7B2020
$31.4B2021
$31.8B2022
$35.2B2023
$37.9B2024
$40.6B2025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 7.2%
Earnings per share每股收益
$5.162020
$5.832021
$5.812022
$5.022023
$4.522024
$7.262025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 7.1%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$9.2B2020
$11.2B2021
$9.7B2022
$7.9B2023
$10.8B2024
$10.7B2025
Gross margin毛利率
67.1%
Operating margin营业利润率
36.6%
Net margin净利率
27.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
30.1%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 6/7 Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险:安全区 Return on equity股本回报率 -114% Clean稳健

Leverage杠杆

Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.29
Current ratio流动比率0.96

Capital allocation资本配置

Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+0.1%

Why is it moving为何波动

6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题 Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 PM took relative-strength leadershipPM 取得相对强弱领先

Options positioning期权持仓

as of last close截至上一收盘

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.28%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.10%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$177
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.4%

Flow:资金流向: $6M premium traded; 18% 0DTE; 28 fresh positions; P/C 0.56; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $6M;0DTE占18%;28个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.56;≈偏看涨(方向近似)

Skew: fear偏斜:避险
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →

Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱

13F

Insider activity:内部人动向: -$28.8M net (0 buyers, 6 sellers)-$28.8M 净值(0 买家,6 卖家)

Concentrated ownership集中持仓

Fund基金Grade评级 Latest move最新动作% of book组合占比As of截至
Soros Fund Management B New position新建仓 0.2% 2026-03-31
Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) C exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31
Lone Pine Capital B exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal history信号历史

engine events引擎事件
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区 BUY. A new cycle low likely formed 19 day(s) ago (2026-06-22 @ 171.75): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — and the weekly timeframe agrees买入。新的周期低点可能已在 19 天前形成 (2026-06-22 @ 171.75):摆动低点已现,价格重新站上 10 日均线——且周线周期也一致确认
Jul 17, 2026
PM took relative-strength leadershipPM 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $192.98.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$192.98。
Jul 17, 2026
PM made a new 52-week highPM 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $192.98.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$192.98。
Jul 16, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 16, 2026
PM daily MACD crossed upPM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $189.84.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$189.84。
Jul 16, 2026
PM StochRSI turned up from oversoldPM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $189.84.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$189.84。
Jul 13, 2026
PM daily MACD crossed downPM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $180.19.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$180.19。
Jul 9, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 2, 2026
PM daily MACD crossed upPM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $182.27.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$182.27。
Jul 1, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A LOW上涨趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 1, 2026
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
PM daily MACD crossed downPM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $177.69.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$177.69。
Jun 29, 2026
PM daily MACD crossed upPM 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $182.87.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$182.87。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条,共 1640 signals条信号

Company profile公司档案

Philip Morris International Inc. (PMI) is a tobacco company, with products sold in over 180 countries.菲利普莫里斯国际公司(PMI)是一家烟草企业,产品销往全球超过180个国家。

Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
  • Receivables stretch

The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。

Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。

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Research context only — not investment advice. Past patterns do not guarantee future results.仅供研究参考,不构成投资建议。历史规律不代表未来表现。

Data through数据截至 2026-07-21 · regenerated nightly每晚更新 · Generated生成于 2026-07-21 02:08 UTC · All coverage所有股票 · Analyzer分析器