Stocks股票 / Staples / COST

Costco · Staples

COST US listed · USD美股 · 美元

Costco Wholesale Corporation is an American multinational corporation that operates a chain of membership-only big-box warehouse club retail stores.好市多批发公司(Costco Wholesale Corporation)是一家美国跨国公司,经营连锁会员制大型仓储式零售卖场。

Mega cap超大盘 · $415B Mixed profile混合特征 Staples S&P 500标普500
$935.80
-$5.07 · -0.54%
52w low52周低 $842high $1,096
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势 Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 912.97.日线低点正在形成,但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位;止损设于 912.97 下方。 Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21

Price chart价格图表

daily · interactive日线 · 可交互 Open in Terminal打开终端
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。 Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。 MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动

Technicals技术面

daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
MA Sell (21)
Momentum (RSI 14)动量(RSI 14) 46
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线 -4.1% below下方 Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线 -2.0% below下方 Long trend down长期向下
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 14 No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility波动率 94th percentile第94百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源,每晚更新。

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being cut预期下调

Valuation估值

Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Multiple指标COST Sector median行业中位Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 51.29x 24.24 12%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 41.3x
P/B市净率 13.71x 3.39 5%
P/S市销率 1.51x 1.27 44%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 1.95% 3.75 22%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 1.89% 4.72 14%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 0.74% 2.47 35%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 31.78x 12.38 6%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 53.01x 21.16 10%
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。

Financials财务数据

fiscal years财年
Revenue营业收入
$166.8B2020
$195.9B2021
$227.0B2022
$242.3B2023
$254.5B2024
$275.2B2025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 10.5%
Earnings per share每股收益
$9.022020
$11.272021
$13.142022
$14.162023
$16.562024
$18.212025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 15.1%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$6.1B2020
$5.4B2021
$3.5B2022
$6.7B2023
$6.6B2024
$7.8B2025
Operating margin营业利润率
3.8%
Net margin净利率
2.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
4.8%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 6/9 Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险:安全区 Return on equity股本回报率 27% Clean稳健

Leverage杠杆

Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.65
Current ratio流动比率1.03

Capital allocation资本配置

Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$903.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$860.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)-0.0%

Why is it moving为何波动

6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题 Consumer Staples (Equal-Weight) theme — #13 of 46 themes「必需消费(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 13 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 COST daily MACD crossed upCOST 日线MACD上穿

Options positioning期权持仓

as of last close截至上一收盘

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.45%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.24%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$941
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
1.8%

Flow:资金流向: $35M premium traded; 34% 0DTE; 113 fresh positions; P/C 0.91; ~leans bearish (direction approx)成交权利金 $35M;0DTE占34%;113个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.91;≈偏看跌/对冲(方向近似)

Skew: greed偏斜:贪婪
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →

Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱

13F

Insider activity:内部人动向: -$16.1M net (0 buyers, 8 sellers)-$16.1M 净值(0 买家,8 卖家)

Fund基金Grade评级 Latest move最新动作% of book组合占比As of截至
Giverny Capital C exitexit 0.0% 2026-03-31

Signal history信号历史

engine events引擎事件
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向 HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative; investor cycle failed (broke its start low)). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up. The daily cycle has also failed (broke its own start low), which tilts the odds toward failure here高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态(摆动低点已现、动量转向上行)——但更高周期尚未确认:大局仍偏空(周线动量为负;投资者周期失败(跌破起始低点))。这是「未确认转向」,并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格,因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹,也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种,故应将其视为风险/仓位信号,而非方向判断。实测:周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点,周线转向后升至约 68%。日线周期同样已经失败(跌破其自身起始低点),此处概率更偏向失败
Jul 16, 2026
COST daily MACD crossed upCOST 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $945.57.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$945.57。
Jul 9, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 9, 2026
COST broke down vs the marketCOST 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $912.97.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$912.97。
Jul 9, 2026
COST daily MACD crossed downCOST 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $912.97.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$912.97。
Jul 7, 2026
COST daily MACD crossed upCOST 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $947.50.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$947.50。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近高点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A HIGH下跌趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 2, 2026
COST StochRSI turned up from oversoldCOST StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $951.67.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$951.67。
Jun 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 29, 2026
COST broke down vs the marketCOST 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $946.68.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$946.68。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条,共 3474 signals条信号

Company profile公司档案

Costco Wholesale Corporation is an American multinational corporation that operates a chain of membership-only big-box warehouse club retail stores.好市多批发公司(Costco Wholesale Corporation)是一家美国跨国公司,经营连锁会员制大型仓储式零售卖场。

Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场

The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。

Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。

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Research context only — not investment advice. Past patterns do not guarantee future results.仅供研究参考,不构成投资建议。历史规律不代表未来表现。

Data through数据截至 2026-07-21 · regenerated nightly每晚更新 · Generated生成于 2026-07-21 02:08 UTC · All coverage所有股票 · Analyzer分析器