Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / RARE
Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical Inc
RARE US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Russell 2000罗素2000
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
$26.86
-$0.10 · -0.37%
52w low52周低 $17.88high高 $37.42
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The daily turn is in off a real pullback, but the cycle count is stretched well past its usual window — so this is an UNCONFIRMED new cycle, not a fresh low…日线已在一次真实回调后转向，但周期天数已远超通常窗口——因此这是未确认的新周期，尚非全新低点。请在确认后买入（更高的低点 + 周线转向），而非此处。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
47
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-3.5% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+0.5% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
34th percentile第34百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年
Net margin净利率
-85.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
-69.2%
Return on equity股本回报率 719%
Clean稳健
Capital allocation资本配置
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+4.4%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
RARE daily MACD crossed upRARE 日线MACD上穿
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$3.0M net (0 buyers, 7 sellers)-$3.0M 净值（0 买家，7 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RTW Investments | B | Adding加仓 | 0.8% | 2026-03-31 |
| Baker Bros. Advisors | A | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. A new cycle low likely formed 8 day(s) ago (2026-07-31 @ 24.91): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial买入预备。新的周期低点可能已在 8 天前形成 （2026-07-31 @ 24.91）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——但周线周期尚未转向，因此信心仅为部分
Aug 11, 2026
RARE daily MACD crossed upRARE 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $26.96.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$26.96。
Aug 10, 2026
RARE reclaimed its 200-day averageRARE 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $26.80.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$26.80。
Aug 6, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Aug 4, 2026
RARE StochRSI turned up from oversoldRARE StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $25.81.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$25.81。
Jul 31, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → BOTTOMING接近低点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 24, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 167 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +7.7% | +0.4% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -19.1% | +3.1% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +4.1% | +3.3% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +30.9% | +13.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +13.8% | +13.4% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -4.4% | +21.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Volatility rank波动率分位
34th pctile
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$-5.95
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-26.5%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$673M
Net income净利润
$-575M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$-466M
Total assets总资产
$1.5B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$-80M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.10B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
718.8%
Return on assets资产回报率
-37.5%
Asset growth资产增速
+1.9%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
47
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
74
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+0.4%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-3.5%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+0.5%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
60/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RTW Investments | B | Adding增持 | 0.8% | $76M |
| Baker Bros. Advisors | A | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $64M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
2
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
1 : 1
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 11, 'holders_first': 2, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -68.3, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-03-31', 'available_on': '2026-05-15', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-15', 'holders_series': [2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, 2, 2, 1]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 11, 'holders_first': 2, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -68.3, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-03-31', 'available_on': '2026-05-15', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-15', 'holders_series': [2, 2, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3, 3, 2, 2, 1]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$3.0M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 7
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
SPDR S&P BiotechSPDR S&P Biotech
trimming减持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。