Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / RL
Ralph Lauren Corporation · Consumer Disc.
RL US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Ralph Lauren Corporation is a publicly traded American fashion and lifestyle brand founded in 1967 by Ralph Lauren in New York City. The company markets products in apparel, home, accessories, and fragrances, and is most known for its flagship brand,...拉尔夫·劳伦公司是一家公开上市的美国时尚和生活方式品牌，由拉尔夫·劳伦于1967年在纽约市创立。该公司营销服装、家居、配饰和香水产品，以其旗舰品牌Polo Ralph Lauren最为知名。
Large cap大盘 · $23B
Consumer Disc.
Cyclical周期股
$387.39
-$8.96 · -2.26%
52w low52周低 $278high高 $421
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 368.97.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 368.97 下方。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
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Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
50
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-0.4% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+6.8% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
38th percentile第38百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Beat expectations 4 quarters in a row连续 4 季度超预期
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 9.1%
Valuation估值
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵| Multiple指标 | RL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 24.53x | 20.35 | |
| P/B市净率 | 7.99x | 3.13 | |
| P/S市销率 | 2.84x | 1.37 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.08% | 4.65 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 3.64% | 4.06 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 15.81x | 11.90 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$8.1B2026
20212026
5-yr growth5年复合增速 13.0%
Earnings per share每股收益
$15.112026
20212026
Free cash flow自由现金流
$1.0B2025
20212026
Gross margin毛利率
69.9%
Operating margin营业利润率
14.5%
Net margin净利率
11.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
14.2%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 7/8
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Return on equity股本回报率 33%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.53
Current ratio流动比率2.13
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Discretionary (Equal-Weight) theme — #44 of 49 themes「非必需消费（等权）」主题 — 49 个主题中第 44 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -10.2%空头仓位变动 -10.2%
Technical技术面
RL daily MACD crossed upRL 日线MACD上穿
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.90%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±4.25%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$400
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-1.7%
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$119.1M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$119.1M 净值（0 买家，4 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BUY ZONE → UNCONFIRMED TURN买入区 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum negative). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为负）。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%
Aug 5, 2026
RL daily MACD crossed upRL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $380.78.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$380.78。
Aug 4, 2026
UPTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN上涨趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 30, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 28, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → NEARING A LOW接近高点 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 27, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A HIGH未确认转向 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 24, 2026
RL weekly MACD crossed downRL 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Jul 23, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 103 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Ralph Lauren Corporation is a publicly traded American fashion and lifestyle brand founded in 1967 by Ralph Lauren in New York City. The company markets products in apparel, home, accessories, and fragrances, and is most known for its flagship brand,...拉尔夫·劳伦公司是一家公开上市的美国时尚和生活方式品牌，由拉尔夫·劳伦于1967年在纽约市创立。该公司营销服装、家居、配饰和香水产品，以其旗舰品牌Polo Ralph Lauren最为知名。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 24.5× | 20.4× | 36% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 8.0× | 3.1× | 23% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 2.8× | 1.4× | 20% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 15.8× | 11.9× | 30% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.1% | 4.7% | 43% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.0% | 7.9% | 25% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 3.6% | 4.1% | 43% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
66/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
69/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
54/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
62/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#42 / 212
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -2.1% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +5.0% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +18.5% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +5.2% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +7.2% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +29.3% | +21.6% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.28
Volatility rank波动率分位
38th pctile
Market cap市值
$23B
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-6.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | 20262026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $4.4B | $6.2B | $6.4B | $6.6B | $7.1B | $8.1B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-1.65 | $8.07 | $7.58 | $9.71 | $11.61 | $15.11 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $273M | $549M | $194M | $905M | $1.0B | — |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 65.0% | 66.7% | 64.7% | 66.8% | 68.6% | 69.9% |
| Net margin净利率 | -2.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.6% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 6.2% | 8.8% | 3.0% | 13.6% | 14.4% | — |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$8.1B
Gross profit毛利润
$5.7B
Net income净利润
$941M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$1.2B
Total assets总资产
$7.8B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$2.9B
Long-term debt长期负债
$1.2B
Dividends paid股息支出
$216M
Buybacks股票回购
$624M
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
32.6%
Return on assets资产回报率
12.0%
Debt / assets负债/资产
15.8%
Profit growth利润增速
+26.7%
Asset growth资产增速
+10.4%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: inventory & receivables lean vs sales营运资本：存货与应收相对销售保持精简
- Pricing power: gross margin +4.9pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年上升 4.9 个百分点
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 6.2 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 6.2——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
50
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
14
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+0.7%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-0.4%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+6.8%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
35/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $2.80 | $2.52 | +11.1% |
| Dec 2025 | $6.22 | $5.80 | +7.2% |
| Sep 2025 | $3.79 | $3.45 | +9.9% |
| Jun 2025 | $3.77 | $3.48 | +8.3% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
2
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+1.9%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+2
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$410
Put wall看跌期权墙
$370
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$400
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$390
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$370
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
-3.3%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-1.7%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$119.1M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 4
Days to cover回补天数
5.9
Short interest change空头变化
-10.2%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。