Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Financials / RYAN
$37.89
+$1.15 · +3.13%
52w low52周低 $28.38high高 $58.62
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
As of 2026-09-29截至 2026-09-29
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-09-29
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
40
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-9.2% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-6.0% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
54th percentile第54百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-10-2931
Estimates being raised — 17 analysts预期上调 — 17 位分析师
Mixed — beat 2 of last 4 quarters表现不稳 — 近 4 季中 2 季超预期
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 5.2%
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$3.1B2025
20212025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 20.8%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$640.7M2025
20212025
Operating margin营业利润率
16.2%
Net margin净利率
2.1%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
21.1%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/7
Return on equity股本回报率 10%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA6.30
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$40.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$69.5M
Debt coming due到期债务
SEC filingsSEC 文件Debt schedule not loaded yet.到期债务尚未加载。
This panel is still catching up to the SEC filings for this listing. Check back soon — nothing is being estimated in its place.本面板仍在同步该证券的 SEC 文件，请稍后再查看；此处不作任何估算替代。
A cash-flow scenario is unavailable until the filing inputs are verified.报告数据核实前，现金流情景暂不可用。
Capital-need coverage is not available for this issuer yet.该发行人的资本需求覆盖信息暂不可用。
Reported facts remain separate from the cash-flow scenario until identity and filing provenance are confirmed.在确认身份与报告来源之前，已披露事实与现金流情景保持分离。
Research context only — reported figures from SEC filings, not a rating, a signal or investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 数据摘自 SEC 文件披露口径，不构成评级、信号或投资建议。
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -10.7%空头仓位变动 -10.7%
Technical技术面
RYAN StochRSI turned up from oversoldRYAN StochRSI自超卖区上行
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： +$5.6M net (6 buyers, 0 sellers)+$5.6M 净值（6 买家，0 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases). Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Sep 25, 2026
RYAN StochRSI turned up from oversoldRYAN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $37.89.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$37.89。
Sep 23, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Sep 23, 2026
RYAN RSI reached oversoldRYAN RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $36.17.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$36.17。
Sep 18, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Sep 17, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Sep 16, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Sep 15, 2026
RYAN StochRSI turned up from oversoldRYAN StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $39.20.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$39.20。
Sep 8, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Sep 8, 2026
RYAN lost its 200-day averageRYAN 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $40.87.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$40.87。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 253 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
11/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
56/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
67/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
12/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#220 / 261
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -5.9% | +1.3% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -12.4% | +0.9% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -2.5% | +6.1% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +19.9% | +22.3% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -24.6% | +13.8% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -29.9% | +18.5% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -20.4% | +87.8% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
-0.26
Volatility rank波动率分位
54th pctile
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-34.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $1.4B | $1.7B | $2.1B | $2.5B | $3.1B |
| EPS每股收益 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $-70M | $328M | $477M | $515M | $641M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | -4.9% | 19.0% | 23.0% | 20.5% | 21.0% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$3.1B
Net income净利润
$63M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$644M
Total assets总资产
$10.6B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$648M
Long-term debt长期负债
$3.3B
Dividends paid股息支出
$62M
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
9.8%
Return on assets资产回报率
0.6%
Debt / assets负债/资产
31.2%
Profit growth利润增速
-33.0%
Asset growth资产增速
+9.5%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: leverage unremarkable资产负债表：杠杆水平一般
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
40
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
65
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-5.4%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-9.2%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-6.0%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
75/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $0.74 | $0.61 | +21.3% |
| Mar 2026 | $0.47 | $0.43 | +9.3% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.45 | $0.50 | -10.0% |
| Sep 2025 | $0.47 | $0.47 | 0.0% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
17
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+3.1%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+13
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
+$5.6M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
6 : 0
Days to cover回补天数
6.5
Short interest change空头变化
-10.7%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Nov · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Oct · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +0.8% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 67% | +5.3% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 67% | +5.7% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -11.0% | 3 |
| May5月 | 67% | +9.3% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 67% | +4.8% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 67% | +6.4% | 3 |
| Aug8月 | 50% | +5.6% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 25% | -0.1% | 4 |
| Oct10月 | 0% | -1.9% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +6.2% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 0% | -11.4% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。