Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Tech / STX
Seagate Technology · Tech
STX US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Seagate Technology Holdings plc is an Irish-domiciled data storage company. It was incorporated in 1978 as Shugart Technology and commenced business in 1979.希捷科技控股有限公司是一家注册地在爱尔兰的数据存储公司。该公司于1978年以舒加特科技的名义成立，并于1979年开始运营。
Large cap大盘 · $138B
Tech
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
$630.49
Regular quote常规时段报价
-$11.65 · -1.81%
Extended quote unavailable. Showing the regular quote.盘前盘后报价暂不可用，现显示常规时段报价。
Pre-market盘前
·
52w low52周低 $214high高 $1,144
Strong name · wrong tape — wait for a base强势个股 · 趋势不利 — 等待筑底
Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望，直至新的周期低点形成并确认。
As of 2026-10-26截至 2026-10-26
Company news公司新闻
The latest reporting最新报道
One story, with the reporting behind it.将同一事件汇总，保留各来源报道。
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-10-26Long-term Rising TrendIchimoku — Price Below CloudTrend Ribbon — Downtrend State
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
32
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-23.4% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-7.7% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
29
Trending趋势中
Volatility波动率
53th percentile第53百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-10-272
Estimates being raised — 2 analysts预期上调 — 2 位分析师
Beat expectations 4 quarters in a row连续 4 季度超预期
Post-earnings drift: +2.5% (20d)财报后漂移：+2.5%（20日）
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 15.5%
Valuation估值
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵| Multiple指标 | STX | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 299.59x | 5.30 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 0.59% | 3.19 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 66.15x | 27.70 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 168.11x | 28.07 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$9.1B2027
20212027
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -3.9%
Earnings per share每股收益
$6.772027
20212027
5-yr growth5年复合增速 6.0%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$818.0M2027
20212027
Operating margin营业利润率
20.8%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 7/9
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.92
Current ratio流动比率1.38
Capital allocation资本配置
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$200.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）+3.0%
Debt coming due到期债务
FY2026 10-KIn the 12-month bucket following fiscal period end 2026-07-03, it reported $0 due — about 0% of its disclosed principal.在财年期末 2026-07-03 之后12个月的区间内，已披露到期本金为 $0，约占其披露本金的 0%。
All maturity buckets are measured from fiscal period end 2026-07-03, not from today.所有到期区间均从财年期末 2026-07-03 起算，而非从今天起算。
First 12 months after period end报告期末之后首12个月
$0
Year 2第2年
$186.0M
Year 3第3年
$381.0M
Year 4第4年
$636.0M
Year 5第5年
$599.0M
After year 55年以后
$1.8B
Cash reported at 2026-07-03: $1704000000.截至 2026-07-03 披露的现金：$1704000000。 Operating cash flow exceeded or equaled equipment spending over 2025-06-28 to 2026-07-03; no cash burn to measure.在 2025-06-28 至 2026-07-03 期间，经营现金流不低于设备支出，无可衡量的现金消耗。
The filing reports zero principal in the 12-month bucket following 2026-07-03; a cash coverage ratio does not apply.文件披露 2026-07-03 之后12个月区间的到期本金为零，因此现金覆盖比率不适用。
Sources and cash-flow calculation来源与现金流计算
Figures are XBRL facts from one filing — no two years are mixed. Filing数据取自同一份文件中的 XBRL 事实，不跨文件拼接。文件
0001137789-26-000159, period ending报告期截至 2026-07-03, unit单位 USD.
Cache acquired缓存获取时间: 2026-10-03T08:38:16.732872+00:00.
6/6 buckets reported.个区间有披露。
LongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInNextTwelveMonthsLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearTwoLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearThreeLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearFourLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearFiveLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalAfterYearFive
Annual period年度区间 2025-06-28 — 2026-07-03 · USD · 10-K · 0001137789-26-000159 · Filed提交日期 2026-08-04.
Cache acquired缓存获取时间: 2026-10-03T08:38:16.732872+00:00 · Evaluated as of评估截至 2026-10-26.
- Reported operating cash flow已披露经营活动现金流: $3674000000
- Reported equipment spending (capex outflow)已披露设备支出（资本开支流出）: $569000000
- Derived free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex)计算所得自由现金流（经营现金流减资本开支）: $3105000000
Cash is the reported balance at period end. The runway scenario holds this annual cash-flow pace constant and excludes debt payments, restricted-cash adjustments and future financing.现金为期末已披露余额。现金跑道情景假设本年度现金流速度保持不变，不包括债务偿还、受限现金调整与未来融资。
Research context only — reported figures from SEC filings, not a rating, a signal or investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 数据摘自 SEC 文件披露口径，不构成评级、信号或投资建议。
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 49 themes「信息技术（等权）」主题 — 49 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -23.6%空头仓位变动 -23.6%
Technical技术面
STX lost its 200-day averageSTX 跌破200日均线
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛，价格波动可能被放大
Expected daily move预期日波动
±4.41%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±9.87%
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.0%
Flow:资金流向： $96M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 120 fresh positions; P/C 0.99; net new CALL positioning (bullish lean) (ΔOI +8,471); ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $96M；0DTE占0%；120个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.99；净新增看涨持仓（偏多）（ΔOI +8,471）；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: fear偏斜：避险
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$486.3M net (0 buyers, 9 sellers)-$486.3M 净值（0 买家，9 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势
AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases)回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点，历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下（约 80% 的情形）
Oct 22, 2026
STX lost its 200-day averageSTX 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $642.14.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$642.14。
Oct 21, 2026
STX reclaimed its 200-day averageSTX 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $696.89.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$696.89。
Oct 21, 2026
STX StochRSI turned up from oversoldSTX StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $696.89.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$696.89。
Oct 16, 2026
STX lost its 200-day averageSTX 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $639.01.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$639.01。
Oct 16, 2026
STX RSI reached oversoldSTX RSI进入超卖
RSI(14) crossed below 30 — washed out; context, not a timing trigger alone. $639.01.RSI(14)下穿30 — 超卖；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$639.01。
Oct 6, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Oct 6, 2026
STX broke down vs the marketSTX 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $805.63.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$805.63。
Oct 6, 2026
STX daily MACD crossed downSTX 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $805.63.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$805.63。
Oct 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Sep 30, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Sep 21, 2026
STX daily MACD crossed upSTX 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $876.63.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$876.63。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 1975 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Seagate Technology Holdings plc is an Irish-domiciled data storage company. It was incorporated in 1978 as Shugart Technology and commenced business in 1979.希捷科技控股有限公司是一家注册地在爱尔兰的数据存储公司。该公司于1978年以舒加特科技的名义成立，并于1979年开始运营。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Inventory build
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / Book市净率 | 299.6× | 5.3× | 0% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 66.2× | 27.7× | 20% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
98/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
16/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
79/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
99/100 — stronger than most强于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#7 / 220
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.3% | -0.4% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -31.7% | -1.0% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -26.0% | +3.1% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +7.6% | +7.0% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +119.8% | +12.1% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +179.9% | +14.4% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +882.0% | +86.0% |
| 5 Years近5年 | +732.2% | +79.3% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
2.37
Volatility rank波动率分位
53th pctile
Short interest空头占比
3.2% of float
Market cap市值
$138B
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-42.3%
Volume vs normal成交量相对平常
1.1×
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20272027 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $10.7B | $11.7B | $7.4B | $6.6B | $9.1B |
| EPS每股收益 | $5.36 | $7.36 | $-2.56 | $1.58 | $6.77 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $1.1B | $1.3B | $626M | $664M | $818M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 27.3% | 29.7% | 18.3% | 23.4% | 35.2% |
| Net margin净利率 | 12.3% | 14.1% | -7.2% | 5.1% | 16.1% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Total assets总资产
$8.7B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$459M
Long-term debt长期负债
$3.5B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.22B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Debt / assets负债/资产
40.2%
Asset growth资产增速
+9.4%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 5 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 5 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: inventory +20% vs sales +-15% — inventory building, demand risk营运资本：存货 +20% 对销售 +-15%——存货积压，需求风险
- Pricing power: gross margin +7.9pts over 5 years定价能力：毛利率 5 年上升 7.9 个百分点
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 10.37 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 10.37——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
32
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
17
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
29
Average daily range平均日波幅
7.8%
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-18.4%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-23.4%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-7.7%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum down动能向下
Monthly月线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
92/100
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 29d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 18d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 497d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 658d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 18d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 18d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 18d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 556d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 158d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 17d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 165d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 17d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 168d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 31d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 512d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 23d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 31d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Long-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 123d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | quiet静默 | — |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 25d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 9d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 23d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 18d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 11d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 4d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 32d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 8d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 32d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 17d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 18d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 4d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 189d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 119d |
| Directional Indicator Bullish Cross (+DI above -DI) | quiet静默 | 35d |
| Directional Indicator Bearish Cross (-DI above +DI) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| ADX Trend Ignition — Bullish (ADX crosses above 25 while price rising) | quiet静默 | 189d |
| ADX Trend Ignition — Bearish (ADX crosses above 25 while price falling) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| ADX Trending (ADX ≥ 25 and rising — strong, accelerating trend) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| ADX Weak Trend (ADX < 20 — market ranging, no directional conviction) | quiet静默 | — |
| Aroon Bullish Cross (recent highs dominating — uptrend beginning) | quiet静默 | 29d |
| Aroon Bearish Cross (recent lows dominating — downtrend beginning) | quiet静默 | 11d |
| Aroon Strong Uptrend (recent highs near current bar, lows far away) | quiet静默 | — |
| Aroon Strong Downtrend (recent lows near current bar, highs far away) | quiet静默 | — |
| Vortex Bullish Cross (VI+ above VI- with separation — upward momentum) | quiet静默 | 32d |
| Vortex Bearish Cross (VI- above VI+ with separation — downward momentum) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Elder Ray Bullish Setup (bear power negative but improving, price trend up) | quiet静默 | 18d |
| Elder Ray Bearish Setup (bull power positive but falling, price trend down) | quiet静默 | 56d |
| Elder Ray Bulls Dominant (bull power positive, bear power near zero) | quiet静默 | — |
| Elder Ray Bears Dominant (bear power negative, bull power near zero) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Volatility Squeeze Active (Bollinger inside Keltner) | quiet静默 | — |
| Squeeze Release — Upside Breakout | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Squeeze Release — Downside Breakout | quiet静默 | 232d |
| Trending Market Regime (Choppiness below 38.2) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ranging Market Regime (Choppiness above 61.8) | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Onset (Choppiness drops below 38.2) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Trending Regime by Efficiency (VHF above median) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Donchian Channel Upside Breakout (20-day high exceeded) | quiet静默 | 22d |
| Donchian Channel Downside Breakdown (20-day low breached) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Failed Upside Breakout (Price retreats below channel within 5 bars) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Failed Downside Breakdown (Price recovers above channel within 5 bars) | quiet静默 | 4d |
| Wide Channel (Donchian width in top 20% of trailing year) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| NR7 Coiling Pattern Active (Narrowest range in 7 bars, within last 3) | quiet静默 | — |
| Upside Range Expansion (True range > 2×ATR, strong close) | quiet静默 | 268d |
| Downside Range Expansion (True range > 2×ATR, weak close) | quiet静默 | 266d |
| Money Flow turns positive (CMF crosses above zero) | quiet静默 | 36d |
| Money Flow turns negative (CMF crosses below zero) | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Sustained buying pressure (CMF above +0.05 for 10+ bars) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Sustained selling pressure (CMF below -0.05 for 10+ bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volume backing the move up (OBV rising over 20 days) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volume backing the move down (OBV falling over 20 days) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| OBV breaks to new 60-day high (accumulation surge) | quiet静默 | 23d |
| OBV breaks to new 60-day low (distribution surge) | quiet静默 | 568d |
| Volume surge (relative volume doubles its 20-day average) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Volume drying up (5-day average below 60% of normal) | quiet静默 | — |
| Oversold money flow recovering (MFI crosses back above 20) | quiet静默 | 919d |
| Overbought money flow retreating (MFI crosses back below 80) | quiet静默 | 122d |
| Money flow momentum turns bullish (MFI crosses above 50) | quiet静默 | 32d |
| Money flow momentum turns bearish (MFI crosses below 50) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Price crosses above adaptive moving average in trending market | quiet静默 | 45d |
| Price crosses below adaptive moving average in trending market | quiet静默 | 394d |
| Adaptive moving average rising in trending market | quiet静默 | — |
| Adaptive moving average falling in trending market | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Market moving efficiently — trend-following conditions present | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Market choppy — trend signals unreliable | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend turns bullish — price breaks above resistance band | quiet静默 | 22d |
| Trend turns bearish — price breaks below support band | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Price above trend support — bullish regime | quiet静默 | — |
| Price below trend resistance — bearish regime | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Price pulls back to trend support then recovers — continuation setup | quiet静默 | 39d |
| Connors RSI deep oversold arrival (crosses below 10) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Connors RSI oversold exit (crosses back above 10) | quiet静默 | 4d |
| Connors RSI overbought exit (crosses back below 90) | quiet静默 | 67d |
| Spearman trend turns positive (smoothed rank correlation crosses above zero) | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Spearman trend turns negative (smoothed rank correlation crosses below zero) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Spearman strong uptrend (raw rank correlation above 80) | quiet静默 | — |
| Spearman strong downtrend (raw rank correlation below -80) | quiet静默 | — |
| Low Drawdown Stress (Ulcer Index below 25th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| Elevated Drawdown Stress (Ulcer Index above 75th percentile) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Drawdown Stress Spike (Ulcer Index doubles in 21 bars, above 5) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Drawdown Stress Easing (Ulcer Index crosses below median after stress period) | quiet静默 | 28d |
| Low Relative Volatility (nATR below 25th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| High Relative Volatility (nATR above 75th percentile) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Volatility Compression (short-window vol well below long-window vol) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volatility Expansion Breakout (short-window vol crosses above long-window vol) | quiet静默 | 85d |
| Mass Index Bulge Reversal (range expansion then contraction setup) | quiet静默 | 101d |
| 12-1 Momentum Positive (medium-term uptrend, reversal-adjusted) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| 12-1 Momentum Negative (medium-term downtrend, reversal-adjusted) | quiet静默 | — |
| Momentum Acceleration Up (3-month crosses above 6-month, both improving) | quiet静默 | 483d |
| Momentum Deceleration Down (3-month crosses below 6-month, both weakening) | quiet静默 | 444d |
| New 52-Week Closing High | quiet静默 | 123d |
| New 52-Week Closing Low | quiet静默 | 563d |
| Relative Strength Recovery (stock outpaces benchmark over 3 months) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength Deterioration (stock falls behind benchmark over 3 months) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength at 6-Month High (stock/benchmark ratio at new peak) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength at 6-Month Low (stock/benchmark ratio at new trough) | quiet静默 | — |
| BBTrend Crosses Above Zero (channel expanding in favor of buyers) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| BBTrend Crosses Below Zero (channel expanding in favor of sellers) | quiet静默 | 16d |
| Inside Bar — price range compressed within prior bar | quiet静默 | — |
| Outside Bar — price range expands beyond prior bar on both sides | quiet静默 | — |
| Outside-Inside Bar Coil — outside bar followed by inside bar compression | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Three Consecutive Inside Bars — prolonged compression coil | quiet静默 | 28d |
| Bullish 2-1-2 Continuation — higher high bar, inside bar, upside break | quiet静默 | 22d |
| Bearish 2-1-2 Continuation — lower low bar, inside bar, downside break | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Bullish 2-1-2 Reversal — lower low bar, inside bar, upside break | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Bearish 2-1-2 Reversal — higher high bar, inside bar, downside break | quiet静默 | 22d |
| Bullish 3-1-2 — outside bar, inside bar coil, upside break | quiet静默 | 134d |
| Bearish 3-1-2 — outside bar, inside bar coil, downside break | quiet静默 | 53d |
| Fractal Low Confirmed (swing low locked in) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Fractal High Confirmed (swing high locked in) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Swing Uptrend (higher highs and higher lows) | quiet静默 | — |
| Swing Downtrend (lower lows and lower highs) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Fractal High Break (close rises above confirmed swing high) | quiet静默 | 22d |
| Fractal Low Break (close falls below confirmed swing low) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| KST crosses above signal line (negative territory) | quiet静默 | 31d |
| KST crosses below signal line (positive territory) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| True Strength Index crosses above signal (below zero) | quiet静默 | 32d |
| True Strength Index crosses below signal (above zero) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Coppock curve turns up from a trough (below zero) | quiet静默 | 1261d |
| Ultimate Oscillator exits oversold zone (crosses above 30) | quiet静默 | 373d |
| Ultimate Oscillator exits overbought zone (crosses below 70) | quiet静默 | 164d |
| Fisher Transform crosses above prior bar (below -1) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Fisher Transform crosses below prior bar (above +1) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| QQE smoothed RSI crosses above adaptive band (below 50) | quiet静默 | 557d |
| QQE smoothed RSI crosses below adaptive band (above 50) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Schaff Trend Cycle crosses above 25 (bullish turn) | quiet静默 | 32d |
| Schaff Trend Cycle crosses below 75 (bearish turn) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Bullish price gap forms (3-candle imbalance zone) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Bearish price gap forms (3-candle imbalance zone) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Bullish gap zone filled (price returns to imbalance area) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Bearish gap zone filled (price returns to imbalance area) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Price reclaims AVWAP from earnings-proxy anchor (quarter's top-volume session) | quiet静默 | 35d |
| Price loses AVWAP from earnings-proxy anchor (quarter's top-volume session) | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Close above week-anchored VWAP | quiet静默 | — |
| Close below week-anchored VWAP | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| POC retest holds (price defends the point of control) | quiet静默 | 71d |
| POC retest fails (rejected at the point of control) | quiet静默 | 49d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 213d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 1891d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 56d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 2291d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 212d |
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $5.48 | $4.89 | +12.1% |
| Mar 2026 | $3.92 | $3.26 | +20.2% |
| Dec 2025 | $2.90 | $2.62 | +10.7% |
| Sep 2025 | $2.51 | $2.11 | +19.0% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
2
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+25.5%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+2
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$680
Put wall看跌期权墙
$600
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$700
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$600
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
-$0.0B
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
1%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-3.0%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
-0.1pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$486.3M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 9
Short interest空头占流通盘
3.2%
Days to cover回补天数
1.8
Short interest change空头变化
-23.6%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
Roundhill MEMERoundhill MEME
trimming减持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
May · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Aug · 33%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 80% | +11.7% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 60% | +1.5% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 40% | -1.3% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 40% | -7.7% | 5 |
| May5月 | 100% | +8.6% | 5 |
| Jun6月 | 80% | +11.2% | 5 |
| Jul7月 | 60% | +3.0% | 5 |
| Aug8月 | 33% | -1.5% | 6 |
| Sep9月 | 50% | +10.6% | 6 |
| Oct10月 | 50% | +3.8% | 6 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +9.7% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 80% | +1.1% | 5 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
- Oct: -1.5% avg, up 42% of years (n=24)10月：平均 -1.5%，42% 的年份上涨（n=24）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。