Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Financials / TRV
Travelers Companies (The) · Financials
TRV US listed · USD美股 · 美元
The Travelers Companies, Inc., commonly known as Travelers, is an American multinational insurance company. It is the second-largest writer of U.S. commercial property and casualty insurance, and the sixth-largest writer of U.S. personal insurance through independent agents.The Travelers Companies, Inc.（通常称为 Travelers）是一家美国跨国保险公司。它是美国商业财产和意外险的第二大承保商，并通过独立代理机构成为美国个人保险的第六大承保商。
Large cap大盘 · $80B
Financials
Dow 30道琼斯30
Financial金融股
$370.00
-$0.16 · -0.04%
52w low52周低 $256high高 $403
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and the 3-day/weekly momentum is rolling over — momentum is fading before the…筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且3 日/周线动量已开始掉头向下——动量在形态完成前已开始衰竭。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+7.8% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+21.5% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
96th percentile第96百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being cut预期下调
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | TRV | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 12.80x | 15.11 | |
| P/B市净率 | 2.45x | 1.56 | |
| P/S市销率 | 1.65x | 3.12 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 7.81% | 6.54 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 4.95% | 3.75 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$48.8B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 8.8%
Earnings per share每股收益
$27.432025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 21.1%
Net margin净利率
12.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
21.7%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/6
Return on equity股本回报率 19%
Clean稳健
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$3.0B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$256.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-4.0%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Financials (Equal-Weight) theme — #24 of 49 themes「金融（等权）」主题 — 49 个主题中第 24 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +13.6%空头仓位变动 +13.6%
Technical技术面
TRV StochRSI turned up from oversoldTRV StochRSI自超卖区上行
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.36%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.05%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$360
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.3%
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$60.5M net (0 buyers, 13 sellers)-$60.5M 净值（0 买家，13 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-07-15 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-07-15 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部
Aug 7, 2026
TRV StochRSI turned up from oversoldTRV StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $384.31.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$384.31。
Aug 5, 2026
TOPPING → NEARING A HIGH做顶中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Aug 5, 2026
TRV took relative-strength leadershipTRV 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $382.45.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$382.45。
Aug 3, 2026
TRV daily MACD crossed downTRV 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $373.82.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$373.82。
Jul 30, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → NEARING A LOW接近高点 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 21, 2026
TRV made a new 52-week highTRV 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $369.63.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$369.63。
Jul 17, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 17, 2026
TRV took relative-strength leadershipTRV 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $368.98.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$368.98。
Jul 17, 2026
TRV made a new 52-week highTRV 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $368.98.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$368.98。
Jul 17, 2026
TRV daily MACD crossed upTRV 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $368.98.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$368.98。
Jul 17, 2026
TRV StochRSI turned up from oversoldTRV StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $368.98.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$368.98。
Jul 17, 2026
TRV RSI reached overboughtTRV RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $368.98.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$368.98。
Jul 15, 2026
TRV printed a daily-cycle lowTRV 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $329.19.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$329.19。
Jul 15, 2026
TRV daily MACD crossed downTRV 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $329.19.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$329.19。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 109 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
The Travelers Companies, Inc., commonly known as Travelers, is an American multinational insurance company. It is the second-largest writer of U.S. commercial property and casualty insurance, and the sixth-largest writer of U.S. personal insurance through independent agents.The Travelers Companies, Inc.（通常称为 Travelers）是一家美国跨国保险公司。它是美国商业财产和意外险的第二大承保商，并通过独立代理机构成为美国个人保险的第六大承保商。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 12.8× | 15.1× | 72% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 2.5× | 1.6× | 30% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 1.6× | 3.1× | 69% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 7.8% | 6.5% | 73% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 13.2% | 8.1% | 81% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 5.0% | 3.8% | 64% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
60/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
79/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
72/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
68/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#76 / 262
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.1% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +9.8% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +23.9% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +26.2% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +30.2% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +39.0% | +21.6% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
-0.10
Volatility rank波动率分位
96th pctile
Short interest空头占比
3.4% of float
Market cap市值
$80B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$28.91
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-6.9%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $32.0B | $34.8B | $36.9B | $41.4B | $46.4B | $48.8B |
| EPS每股收益 | $10.52 | $14.49 | $11.77 | $12.79 | $21.47 | $27.43 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 8.4% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 12.9% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$48.8B
Net income净利润
$6.3B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$10.6B
Total assets总资产
$143.7B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$32.9B
Dividends paid股息支出
$979M
Buybacks股票回购
$3.0B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.22B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
19.1%
Return on assets资产回报率
4.4%
Profit growth利润增速
+25.8%
Asset growth资产增速
+7.9%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
53
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
5
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-2.2%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+7.8%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+21.5%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
62/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
3
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+5.8%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+1
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$380
Put wall看跌期权墙
$350
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$360
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$380
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$350
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+2.8%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-2.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$60.5M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 13
Short interest空头占流通盘
3.4%
Days to cover回补天数
2.9
Short interest change空头变化
+13.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。