Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / TSLA

Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Disc.

TSLA US listed · USD美股 · 美元

Tesla, Inc. is an American multinational automotive and clean energy company.Tesla, Inc. 是一家美国 multinational 汽车和清洁能源公司。

Mega cap超大盘 · $1386B Speculative / unprofitable投机/未盈利 Consumer Disc. S&P 500标普500
$369.57
-$11.27 · -2.96%
52w low52周低 $298high $499
Hold off — timing against you暂缓 — 时机不利 Downtrend — stand aside until a new cycle low forms and confirms.下跌趋势——观望,直至新的周期低点形成并确认。 Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21

Price chart价格图表

daily · interactive日线 · 可交互 Open in Terminal打开终端
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。 Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。 MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动

Technicals技术面

daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量(RSI 14) 39
Depressed偏低
vs 50-day average相对50日均线 -9.7% below下方 Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线 -11.3% below下方 Long trend down长期向下
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 12 No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility波动率 98th percentile第98百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源,每晚更新。

Earnings财务业绩

next report下次财报 2026-07-22
2days to go天后公布

Estimates being cut预期下调

Post-earnings drift: -10.7% (20d)财报后漂移:-10.7%(20日)

Valuation估值

Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Multiple指标TSLA Sector median行业中位Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) 365.38x 19.97 0%
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 144.7x
P/B市净率 16.88x 2.89 8%
P/S市销率 14.62x 1.21 1%
Earnings yield盈利收益率 0.27% 4.57 11%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 0.45% 5.73 9%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 146.82x 11.39 0%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 222.87x 16.57 2%
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。

Financials财务数据

fiscal years财年
Revenue营业收入
$31.5B2020
$53.8B2021
$81.5B2022
$96.8B2023
$97.7B2024
$94.8B2025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 24.6%
Earnings per share每股收益
$0.642020
$4.902021
$3.622022
$4.302023
$2.042024
$1.082025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 11.0%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$2.8B2020
$5.0B2021
$7.6B2022
$4.4B2023
$3.6B2024
$6.2B2025
Gross margin毛利率
18.0%
Operating margin营业利润率
4.6%
Net margin净利率
4.0%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
15.6%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/9 Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险:安全区 Return on equity股本回报率 5% Watch关注

Leverage杠杆

Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.89
Current ratio流动比率2.16

Capital allocation资本配置

Stock-based comp股权薪酬$2.8B
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+16.6%

Why is it moving为何波动

6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
News新闻 4 recent stories — mixed4 篇最新报道,多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题 Magnificent Seven theme — #18 of 46 themes「七巨头」主题 — 46 个主题中第 18 位
Macro宏观 Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓 Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面 TOPPING → UNCONFIRMED TURN做顶中 → 未确认转向

Options positioning期权持仓

as of last close截至上一收盘

Market makers are net short gamma — price moves may amplify做市商净持有负伽玛,价格波动可能被放大

Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.11%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±6.96%
IV rankIV历史分位
100%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$387
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
2.1%

Flow:资金流向: $1.3B premium traded; 61% 0DTE; 386 fresh positions; P/C 0.97; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1.3B;0DTE占61%;386个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.97;≈偏看涨(方向近似)

Skew: greed偏斜:贪婪
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →

Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱

13F

Insider activity:内部人动向: -$65.1M net (0 buyers, 4 sellers)-$65.1M 净值(0 买家,4 卖家)

Concentrated ownership集中持仓

Fund基金Grade评级 Latest move最新动作% of book组合占比As of截至
Viking Global (Halvorsen) B Adding加仓 2.6% 2026-03-31
Soros Fund Management B Holding持有 0.3% 2026-03-31
Corvex Management A Holding持有 0.0% 2026-03-31
Polen Capital Management B Holding持有 0.0% 2026-03-31
Greenlea Lane Capital B trimtrim 5.9% 2026-03-31
Coatue Management A trimtrim 0.1% 2026-03-31

Signal history信号历史

engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → DOWNTREND未确认转向 → 下跌趋势 AVOID. Failed cycle — price broke below the low that started this cycle, which historically means the larger trend is rolling over (~80% of cases)回避。失败周期——价格跌破了启动本周期的低点,历史上这通常意味着更大的趋势正在掉头向下(约 80% 的情形)
Jul 17, 2026
TOPPING → UNCONFIRMED TURN做顶中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 15, 2026
NEARING A LOW → TOPPING接近低点 → 做顶中
SELL SETUP卖出预备
Jul 15, 2026
TSLA broke down vs the marketTSLA 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $394.46.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$394.46。
Jul 14, 2026
TSLA daily MACD crossed downTSLA 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $396.18.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$396.18。
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 7, 2026
BOTTOMING → UNCONFIRMED TURN筑底中 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 7, 2026
TSLA lost its 200-day averageTSLA 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $402.90.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$402.90。
Jul 6, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BOTTOMING未确认转向 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 6, 2026
TSLA reclaimed its 200-day averageTSLA 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $419.77.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$419.77。
Jul 2, 2026
BUY ZONE → UNCONFIRMED TURN买入区 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 2, 2026
TSLA lost its 200-day averageTSLA 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $393.45.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$393.45。
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Company profile公司档案

Tesla, Inc. is an American multinational automotive and clean energy company.Tesla, Inc. 是一家美国 multinational 汽车和清洁能源公司。

Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场

Recent news最新动态

The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。

Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。

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Research context only — not investment advice. Past patterns do not guarantee future results.仅供研究参考,不构成投资建议。历史规律不代表未来表现。

Data through数据截至 2026-07-21 · regenerated nightly每晚更新 · Generated生成于 2026-07-21 02:08 UTC · All coverage所有股票 · Analyzer分析器