Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Comm. Services / WMG
Warner Music Group · Comm. Services
WMG US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Warner Music Group Corp., commonly abbreviated as WMG, is an American multinational entertainment and record label conglomerate headquartered in New York City.华纳音乐集团股份有限公司，通常缩写为WMG，是一家美国跨国娱乐和唱片公司集团，总部位于纽约市。
Comm. Services
S&P 400标普400中盘
Mixed profile混合特征
$30.86
Regular quote常规时段报价
-$0.83 · -2.62%
Extended quote unavailable. Showing the regular quote.盘前盘后报价暂不可用，现显示常规时段报价。
Pre-market盘前
·
52w low52周低 $22.97high高 $35.10
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~15 days ago at $26.82 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's missing is the weekly timeframe…日线转向已经完成——低点于约 15 天前形成，价位26.82，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
As of 2026-10-26截至 2026-10-26
Company news公司新闻
The latest reporting最新报道
One story, with the reporting behind it.将同一事件汇总，保留各来源报道。
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-10-26
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
64
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+9.0% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+8.4% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
45th percentile第45百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-11-1925
Estimates being cut预期下调
Mixed — beat 2 of last 4 quarters表现不稳 — 近 4 季中 2 季超预期
Post-earnings drift: +8.5% (20d)财报后漂移：+8.5%（20日）
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 5.8%
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$6.7B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 8.5%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$539.0M2025
20202025
Operating margin营业利润率
10.3%
Net margin净利率
5.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
10.1%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/8
Return on equity股本回报率 51%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA3.30
Current ratio流动比率0.66
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$16.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$54.0M
Debt coming due到期债务
FY2012 10-KThe 12-month bucket following fiscal period end 2012-09-30 is not reported. The years below are what the filing did report.文件未披露财年期末 2012-09-30 之后12个月区间的到期金额；下方为其确实披露的年度。
All maturity buckets are measured from fiscal period end 2012-09-30, not from today.所有到期区间均从财年期末 2012-09-30 起算，而非从今天起算。
First 12 months after period end报告期末之后首12个月
not reported未披露
Year 2第2年
not reported未披露
Year 3第3年
not reported未披露
Year 4第4年
not reported未披露
Year 5第5年
$1.2B
After year 55年以后
not reported未披露
Cash reported at 2025-09-30: $532000000.截至 2025-09-30 披露的现金：$532000000。 Operating cash flow exceeded or equaled equipment spending over 2024-10-01 to 2025-09-30; no cash burn to measure.在 2024-10-01 至 2025-09-30 期间，经营现金流不低于设备支出，无可衡量的现金消耗。
Capital-need coverage is partial; incomplete or incompatible filing inputs are not combined.资本需求覆盖信息不完整；不会合并不完整或不兼容的报告数据。
Any available cash-flow scenario is context only. Missing or incompatible inputs are not replaced with zero or a financing forecast.可用现金流情景仅供参考；缺失或不兼容的输入不以零值或融资预测替代。
Sources and cash-flow calculation来源与现金流计算
Figures are XBRL facts from one filing — no two years are mixed. Filing数据取自同一份文件中的 XBRL 事实，不跨文件拼接。文件
0001193125-12-500884, period ending报告期截至 2012-09-30, unit单位 USD.
Cache acquired缓存获取时间: 2026-10-05T09:40:40.284020+00:00.
1/6 buckets reported.个区间有披露。
LongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInNextTwelveMonths— absentLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearTwo— absentLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearThree— absentLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearFour— absentLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalInYearFiveLongTermDebtMaturitiesRepaymentsOfPrincipalAfterYearFive— absent
Annual period年度区间 2024-10-01 — 2025-09-30 · USD · 10-K · 0001319161-25-000034 · Filed提交日期 2025-11-20.
Cache acquired缓存获取时间: 2026-10-05T09:40:40.284020+00:00 · Evaluated as of评估截至 2026-10-26.
- Reported operating cash flow已披露经营活动现金流: $678000000
- Reported equipment spending (capex outflow)已披露设备支出（资本开支流出）: $139000000
- Derived free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex)计算所得自由现金流（经营现金流减资本开支）: $539000000
Cash is the reported balance at period end. The runway scenario holds this annual cash-flow pace constant and excludes debt payments, restricted-cash adjustments and future financing.现金为期末已披露余额。现金跑道情景假设本年度现金流速度保持不变，不包括债务偿还、受限现金调整与未来融资。
Research context only — reported figures from SEC filings, not a rating, a signal or investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 数据摘自 SEC 文件披露口径，不构成评级、信号或投资建议。
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Quiet — no confirmed driver平静 — 无明确驱动
Technical技术面
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. A new cycle low likely formed 15 day(s) ago (2026-10-02 @ 26.82): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。新的周期低点可能已在 15 天前形成 （2026-10-02 @ 26.82）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——但周线周期尚未转向，因此信心仅为部分。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Oct 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Oct 15, 2026
WMG took relative-strength leadershipWMG 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $30.69.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$30.69。
Oct 15, 2026
WMG RSI reached overboughtWMG RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $30.69.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$30.69。
Oct 8, 2026
WMG reclaimed its 200-day averageWMG 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $28.91.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$28.91。
Oct 7, 2026
WMG daily MACD crossed upWMG 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $28.16.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$28.16。
Oct 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Oct 5, 2026
NEARING A LOW → NEARING A HIGH接近低点 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Oct 5, 2026
WMG StochRSI turned up from oversoldWMG StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $27.63.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$27.63。
Oct 2, 2026
WMG printed a daily-cycle lowWMG 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $26.82.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$26.82。
Oct 1, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A LOW筑底中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 283 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Warner Music Group Corp., commonly abbreviated as WMG, is an American multinational entertainment and record label conglomerate headquartered in New York City.华纳音乐集团股份有限公司，通常缩写为WMG，是一家美国跨国娱乐和唱片公司集团，总部位于纽约市。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
22/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
82/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
63/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
31/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#32 / 52
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.7% | -0.4% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +13.6% | -1.0% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +17.1% | +3.1% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +7.2% | +7.0% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +2.6% | +12.1% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -5.8% | +14.4% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +1.8% | +86.0% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.48
Volatility rank波动率分位
45th pctile
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-10.7%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $4.5B | $5.3B | $5.9B | $6.0B | $6.4B | $6.7B |
| EPS每股收益 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $378M | $545M | $607M | $560M | $638M | $539M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 47.7% | 48.3% | 48.0% | 47.4% | 47.8% | 45.8% |
| Net margin净利率 | -10.6% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$6.7B
Net income净利润
$365M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$678M
Total assets总资产
$10.0B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$720M
Long-term debt长期负债
$4.1B
Buybacks股票回购
$16M
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
50.7%
Return on assets资产回报率
3.6%
Debt / assets负债/资产
40.6%
Profit growth利润增速
-16.1%
Asset growth资产增速
+9.5%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Pricing power: gross margin −1.9pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年下降 1.9 个百分点
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: leverage unremarkable资产负债表：杠杆水平一般
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
64
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
22
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+6.0%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+9.0%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+8.4%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
82/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $0.51 | $0.38 | +34.2% |
| Mar 2026 | $0.44 | $0.30 | +46.7% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.33 | $0.40 | -17.5% |
| Sep 2025 | $0.21 | $0.35 | -40.0% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
2
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+0.4%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-2
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Days to cover回补天数
4.7
Short interest change空头变化
+5.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jan · 67%
Weakest month最弱月份
Mar · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +2.2% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 33% | -3.2% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 0% | -7.0% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 67% | +0.5% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -9.0% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 67% | +3.2% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 33% | -1.7% | 3 |
| Aug8月 | 67% | +9.5% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 50% | +2.2% | 4 |
| Oct10月 | 50% | +2.2% | 4 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +2.7% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 67% | +8.0% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。