Stocks股票 / Tech / AVGO
AVGO US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Broadcom Inc. is an American multinational designer, developer, manufacturer, and global supplier of a wide range of semiconductor and infrastructure software products.博通公司是一家美国跨国半导体和基础设施软件产品的设计商、开发商、制造商和全球供应商。
Price chart价格图表
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 39 analysts预期上调 — 39 位分析师
Post-earnings drift: -12.4% (20d)财报后漂移:-12.4%(20日)
Valuation估值
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵| Multiple指标 | AVGO | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) | 19.5x | — | — |
| P/S市销率 | 28.03x | 4.85 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.50% | 3.07 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.76% | 2.14 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 68.23x | 28.83 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 66.54x | 29.15 |
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Leverage杠杆
Capital allocation资本配置
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Flow:资金流向: $244M premium traded; 39% 0DTE; 266 fresh positions; P/C 0.93; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $244M;0DTE占39%;266个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.93;≈偏看涨(方向近似)
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向: -$622.3M net (1 buyers, 7 sellers)-$622.3M 净值(1 买家,7 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) | C | New position新建仓 | 1.8% | 2026-03-31 |
| Third Point (Loeb) | B | New position新建仓 | 0.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| Tiger Global (Coleman) | B | Adding加仓 | 4.9% | 2026-03-31 |
| D1 Capital Partners | A | Adding加仓 | 2.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| Soros Fund Management | B | Adding加仓 | 0.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| Altimeter Capital | A | Adding加仓 | 0.4% | 2026-03-31 |
| Light Street Capital | B | Holding持有 | 8.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| Coatue Management | A | Holding持有 | 5.9% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件Company profile公司档案
Broadcom Inc. is an American multinational designer, developer, manufacturer, and global supplier of a wide range of semiconductor and infrastructure software products.博通公司是一家美国跨国半导体和基础设施软件产品的设计商、开发商、制造商和全球供应商。
Demand chain:需求链: Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for AI accelerator / compute silicon云厂商资本开支加速(同比+69%,约 $379B)——AI 加速器/算力芯片的需求来源
- Receivables stretch
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) | 19.5× | — | — |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 28.0× | 4.8× | 2% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 68.2× | 28.8× | 19% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.5% | 4.2% | 16% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 0.8% | 2.1% | 26% |
Relative strength相对强度
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.5% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -7.9% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -6.0% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +15.3% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +9.0% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +34.2% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +336.5% | +69.9% |
| 5 Years近5年 | +765.8% | +82.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $23.9B | $27.4B | $33.2B | $35.8B | $51.6B | $63.9B |
| EPS每股收益 | $6.33 | $15.00 | $26.53 | $32.98 | $1.23 | $4.77 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $11.6B | $13.3B | $16.3B | $17.6B | $19.4B | $26.9B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 56.6% | 61.4% | 66.5% | 68.9% | 63.0% | 67.8% |
| Net margin净利率 | 12.4% | 24.5% | 34.6% | 39.3% | 11.4% | 36.2% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 48.6% | 48.5% | 49.1% | 49.2% | 37.6% | 42.1% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Returns & growth回报与增长
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量:应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: receivables +211% vs sales +167% — receivables outpacing sales, revenue-quality risk营运资本:应收 +211% 对销售 +167%——应收快于销售,营收质量风险
- Pricing power: gross margin +11.2pts over 6 years定价能力:毛利率 6 年上升 11.2 个百分点
- Capital discipline: share count +1064.9% over 6 years (dilution)资本纪律:股本 6 年增加 1064.9%(稀释)
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 13.0 — safe zone资产负债表:Altman Z 13.0——安全区
Indicator readings指标读数
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Volatility regime波动状态
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 99d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 87d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 91d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 37d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 186d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 108d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 11d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 9d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 8d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 9d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 4d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 2919d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 303d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 15d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 45d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 16d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 45d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 49d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 109d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 44d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | quiet静默 | — |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 95d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 31d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 29d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 95d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 3d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 8d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 38d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 9d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 42d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 2d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 10d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 4d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 112d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 518d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 987d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 2927d |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 116d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 2802d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 2776d |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 514d |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analyst view分析师观点
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) | C | New position新建仓 | 1.8% | $60,650 |
| Third Point (Loeb) | B | New position新建仓 | 0.7% | $15M |
| Tiger Global (Coleman) | B | Adding增持 | 4.9% | $1.1B |
| D1 Capital Partners | A | Adding增持 | 2.7% | $304M |
| Soros Fund Management | B | Adding增持 | 0.7% | $48M |
| Altimeter Capital | A | Adding增持 | 0.4% | $21M |
| Light Street Capital | B | Holding持有 | 8.7% | $46M |
| Coatue Management | A | Holding持有 | 5.9% | $1.7B |
| Polen Capital Management | B | Trimming减持 | 5.8% | $835M |
| Whale Rock Capital | A | Trimming减持 | 3.0% | $228M |
| Lone Pine Capital | B | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $599M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 40% | -2.6% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 60% | +0.7% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 60% | +3.3% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 40% | -1.3% | 5 |
| May5月 | 100% | +7.2% | 6 |
| Jun6月 | 67% | +8.1% | 6 |
| Jul7月 | 100% | +3.7% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 80% | +2.5% | 5 |
| Sep9月 | 40% | -1.6% | 5 |
| Oct10月 | 80% | +6.4% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 80% | +9.7% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 80% | +19.7% | 5 |
- Jul: +0.5% avg, up 71% of years (n=17)7月:平均 +0.5%,71% 的年份上涨(n=17)