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Broadcom · Tech

AVGO US listed · USD美股 · 美元

Broadcom Inc. is an American multinational designer, developer, manufacturer, and global supplier of a wide range of semiconductor and infrastructure software products.博通公司是一家美国跨国半导体和基础设施软件产品的设计商、开发商、制造商和全球供应商。

Mega cap超大盘 · $1791B Rate-sensitive利率敏感 Tech S&P 500标普500
$378.16
+$7.33 · +1.98%
52w low52周低 $271high $494
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底 A normal mid-cycle dip below the 10-day average — the real cycle low isn't due for ~12+ trading days. Wait for support to hold, or for the next low to set up.这是跌破 10 日均线的正常周期中段回调——真正的周期低点要到约 12+ 个交易日后才会到来。等待支撑站稳,或等下一个低点构筑成形。 Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21

Price chart价格图表

daily · interactive日线 · 可交互 Open in Terminal打开终端
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。 Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。 MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动

Technicals技术面

daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Ichimoku — Price Below CloudTrend Ribbon — Downtrend State
Momentum (RSI 14)动量(RSI 14) 47
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线 -5.9% below下方 Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线 +4.1% above上方 Long trend up长期向上
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度(ADX) 17 No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility波动率 56th percentile第56百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源,每晚更新。

Earnings财务业绩

Estimates being raised — 39 analysts预期上调 — 39 位分析师

Post-earnings drift: -12.4% (20d)财报后漂移:-12.4%(20日)

Valuation估值

Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵
Multiple指标AVGO Sector median行业中位Cheaper than相对便宜
P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) 19.5x
P/S市销率 28.03x 4.85 2%
FCF yield自由现金流收益率 1.50% 3.07 27%
Shareholder yield股东收益率 0.76% 2.14 26%
EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA 68.23x 28.83 19%
P/FCF市值/自由现金流 66.54x 29.15 20%
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。

Financials财务数据

fiscal years财年
Revenue营业收入
$23.9B2020
$27.4B2021
$33.2B2022
$35.8B2023
$51.6B2024
$63.9B2025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 21.7%
Earnings per share每股收益
$6.332020
$15.002021
$26.532022
$32.982023
$1.232024
$4.772025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -5.5%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$11.6B2020
$13.3B2021
$16.3B2022
$17.6B2023
$19.4B2024
$26.9B2025
Gross margin毛利率
67.8%
Operating margin营业利润率
39.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
43.1%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 7/8 Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险:安全区 Watch关注

Leverage杠杆

Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.50
Current ratio流动比率1.71

Capital allocation资本配置

Buybacks (TTM)回购(TTM)$2.5B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$7.6B
Share count change (1y)股数变化(1年)+0.7%

Why is it moving为何波动

6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题 Technology (Equal-Weight) theme — #23 of 46 themes「信息技术(等权)」主题 — 46 个主题中第 23 位
Macro宏观 Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场/成长beta体现,并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓 Short interest changed +14.1%空头仓位变动 +14.1%
Technical技术面 DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向

Options positioning期权持仓

as of last close截至上一收盘

Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡

Expected daily move预期日波动
±3.28%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±7.33%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$374
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-4.9%

Flow:资金流向: $244M premium traded; 39% 0DTE; 266 fresh positions; P/C 0.93; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $244M;0DTE占39%;266个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.93;≈偏看涨(方向近似)

Skew: fear偏斜:避险
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →

Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱

13F

Insider activity:内部人动向: -$622.3M net (1 buyers, 7 sellers)-$622.3M 净值(1 买家,7 卖家)

Concentrated ownership集中持仓

Fund基金Grade评级 Latest move最新动作% of book组合占比As of截至
Duquesne Family Office (Druckenmiller) C New position新建仓 1.8% 2026-03-31
Third Point (Loeb) B New position新建仓 0.7% 2026-03-31
Tiger Global (Coleman) B Adding加仓 4.9% 2026-03-31
D1 Capital Partners A Adding加仓 2.7% 2026-03-31
Soros Fund Management B Adding加仓 0.7% 2026-03-31
Altimeter Capital A Adding加仓 0.4% 2026-03-31
Light Street Capital B Holding持有 8.7% 2026-03-31
Coatue Management A Holding持有 5.9% 2026-03-31

Signal history信号历史

engine events引擎事件
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点 GET READY. Mixed structure准备。结构混合
Jul 8, 2026
DOWNTREND → UNCONFIRMED TURN下跌趋势 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jul 8, 2026
AVGO daily MACD crossed upAVGO 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $388.69.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂,仅作背景。$388.69。
Jul 7, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jul 6, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jul 6, 2026
AVGO reclaimed its 200-day averageAVGO 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $373.90.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$373.90。
Jul 2, 2026
AVGO lost its 200-day averageAVGO 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $360.45.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$360.45。
Jul 2, 2026
AVGO printed a daily-cycle lowAVGO 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $360.45.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$360.45。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 29, 2026
DOWNTREND → NEARING A LOW下跌趋势 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 26, 2026
NEARING A LOW → DOWNTREND接近低点 → 下跌趋势
AVOID回避
Jun 26, 2026
AVGO weekly MACD crossed downAVGO 周线MACD下穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned negative — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转负 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条,共 1535 signals条信号

Company profile公司档案

Broadcom Inc. is an American multinational designer, developer, manufacturer, and global supplier of a wide range of semiconductor and infrastructure software products.博通公司是一家美国跨国半导体和基础设施软件产品的设计商、开发商、制造商和全球供应商。

Demand chain:需求链: Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for AI accelerator / compute silicon云厂商资本开支加速(同比+69%,约 $379B)——AI 加速器/算力芯片的需求来源

Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
  • Receivables stretch

The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。

Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。

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Research context only — not investment advice. Past patterns do not guarantee future results.仅供研究参考,不构成投资建议。历史规律不代表未来表现。

Data through数据截至 2026-07-21 · regenerated nightly每晚更新 · Generated生成于 2026-07-21 02:08 UTC · All coverage所有股票 · Analyzer分析器