Stocks股票 / Tech / AAPL
AAPL US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Apple Inc. is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Cupertino, California, in Silicon Valley, and known for consumer electronics, software and online services.苹果公司是一家美国跨国科技公司,总部位于加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的硅谷,以消费电子产品、软件和在线服务闻名。
Price chart价格图表
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-07-30Estimates being raised — 9 analysts预期上调 — 9 位分析师
Beat expectations 4 quarters in a row连续 4 季度超预期
Post-earnings drift: +6.8% (20d)财报后漂移:+6.8%(20日)
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度(近几个季度) · average平均 7.3%
Valuation估值
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵| Multiple指标 | AAPL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 42.87x | 40.25 | |
| P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) | 33.9x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 54.45x | 5.91 | |
| P/S市销率 | 11.54x | 4.85 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.33% | 2.18 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.06% | 3.07 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.89% | 2.14 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 33.55x | 28.83 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 48.62x | 29.15 |
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Leverage杠杆
Capital allocation资本配置
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Flow:资金流向: $827M premium traded; 63% 0DTE; 265 fresh positions; P/C 0.78; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $827M;0DTE占63%;265个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.78;≈偏看涨(方向近似)
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向: -$58.6M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$58.6M 净值(0 买家,5 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | New position新建仓 | 2.5% | 2026-03-31 |
| Whale Rock Capital | A | New position新建仓 | 0.3% | 2026-03-31 |
| Soros Fund Management | B | Adding加仓 | 1.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | Holding持有 | 22.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Himalaya Capital (Li Lu) | D | Holding持有 | 0.9% | 2026-03-31 |
| Giverny Capital | C | Holding持有 | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| Fairholme Capital (Berkowitz) | A | Holding持有 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | trimtrim | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件Company profile公司档案
Apple Inc. is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Cupertino, California, in Silicon Valley, and known for consumer electronics, software and online services.苹果公司是一家美国跨国科技公司,总部位于加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的硅谷,以消费电子产品、软件和在线服务闻名。
- Receivables stretch
- Capital intensity rising
Recent news最新动态
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(静态) | 42.9× | 40.2× | 46% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) | 33.9× | — | — |
| Price / Book市净率 | 54.5× | 5.9× | 3% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 11.5× | 4.8× | 15% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 33.5× | 28.8× | 44% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.3% | 2.2% | 54% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.3% | 4.2% | 28% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 1.9% | 2.1% | 46% |
Relative strength相对强度
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +2.9% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +9.6% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +22.8% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +32.1% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +20.7% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +55.3% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +72.5% | +69.9% |
| 5 Years近5年 | +130.4% | +82.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $274.5B | $365.8B | $394.3B | $383.3B | $391.0B | $416.2B |
| EPS每股收益 | $3.28 | $5.61 | $6.11 | $6.13 | $6.08 | $7.46 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $73.4B | $93.0B | $111.4B | $99.6B | $108.8B | $98.8B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 38.2% | 41.8% | 43.3% | 44.1% | 46.2% | 46.9% |
| Net margin净利率 | 20.9% | 25.9% | 25.3% | 25.3% | 24.0% | 26.9% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 26.7% | 25.4% | 28.3% | 26.0% | 27.8% | 23.7% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Returns & growth回报与增长
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量:应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: receivables +147% vs sales +52% — receivables outpacing sales, revenue-quality risk营运资本:应收 +147% 对销售 +52%——应收快于销售,营收质量风险
- Pricing power: gross margin +8.7pts over 6 years定价能力:毛利率 6 年上升 8.7 个百分点
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律:投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 12.36 — safe zone资产负债表:Altman Z 12.36——安全区
Indicator readings指标读数
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Volatility regime波动状态
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 9d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 79d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 305d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 31d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 130d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 466d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 24d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 39d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 30d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 22d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 112d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 253d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 22d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 45d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 22d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 45d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 101d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 78d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 78d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 11d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 22d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Long-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 298d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 25d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 127d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 16d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 101d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 2d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | quiet静默 | 3d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 10d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 15d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 44d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 16d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 25d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 91d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 597d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 141d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 13205d |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 128d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 10885d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 595d |
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $2.01 | $1.92 | +4.7% |
| Dec 2025 | $2.84 | $2.65 | +7.2% |
| Sep 2025 | $1.85 | $1.73 | +6.9% |
| Jun 2025 | $1.57 | $1.42 | +10.6% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analyst view分析师观点
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | New position新建仓 | 2.5% | $912M |
| Whale Rock Capital | A | New position新建仓 | 0.3% | $25M |
| Soros Fund Management | B | Adding增持 | 1.7% | $127M |
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | Holding持有 | 22.0% | $57.8B |
| Himalaya Capital (Li Lu) | D | Holding持有 | 0.9% | $28M |
| Giverny Capital | C | Holding持有 | 0.1% | $4M |
| Fairholme Capital (Berkowitz) | A | Holding持有 | 0.0% | $609,096 |
| Polen Capital Management | B | Trimming减持 | 0.0% | $1M |
| Light Street Capital | B | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $3M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 20% | -4.1% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 60% | +2.3% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 40% | -3.9% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 40% | -0.4% | 5 |
| May5月 | 50% | +4.7% | 6 |
| Jun6月 | 67% | +9.1% | 6 |
| Jul7月 | 100% | +6.5% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 60% | +3.4% | 5 |
| Sep9月 | 40% | -6.9% | 5 |
| Oct10月 | 60% | +5.8% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 80% | +5.1% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 60% | +1.4% | 5 |
- Jul: +3.3% avg, up 63% of years (n=46)7月:平均 +3.3%,63% 的年份上涨(n=46)