Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Tech / AAPL
Apple Inc. · Tech
AAPL US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Apple Inc. is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Cupertino, California, in Silicon Valley, and known for consumer electronics, software and online services.苹果公司是一家美国跨国科技公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的硅谷，以消费电子产品、软件和在线服务闻名。
Mega cap超大盘 · $4885B
Tech
Dow 30道琼斯30
Quality compounder优质复利股
$332.27
+$5.70 · +1.75%
52w low52周低 $226high高 $344
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Confirmed cycle low — the entry window is open now, with a clear exit if it closes back below 302.25.周期低点已确认——入场窗口现已开启，若收盘重新跌破 302.25 则明确离场。
Partly covered部分覆盖
As of 2026-09-14截至 2026-09-14
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Security state证券状态
8 panels8 个面板The panels below — what each one rests on, and how old it is. Use it to check the rest of the page. Not a buy or sell signal, and never blended into a score.以下面板 — 每项的依据来源与时效。可用于核对本页其余内容。不构成买卖信号，也不会合并为任何评分。
Overview概览Partly covered部分覆盖
What this security looks like right now, at a glance.这只证券当前状况的一目了然总览。
Ladder state: FRESH BUY (up).阶梯状态：FRESH BUY（上行）。
Reads available可用读数
2 of 2 required reads are current.2 项必需读数中，2 项为当前数据。
2 of 5 optional reads are current.5 项可选读数中，2 项为当前数据。
Your position你的持仓This does not apply to you right now.这暂不适用于你。
Where it stands当前位置Current当前
Ladder state: FRESH BUY (up).阶梯状态：FRESH BUY（上行）。
Direction方向pointing up向上
What changed有何变化Current当前
Q3 2026 results workspace is complete: 1 fact, 1 delta, 1 guidance items.Q3 2026 财报工作区状态为已完成：1 项事实、1 项变动、1 项指引。
Noted while building生成过程中的提示
- The filing could not be matched to this release.该披露文件未能与本次发布匹配。
- Analyst consensus is not licensed for this page.分析师一致预期在本页无发布授权。
Opportunity context机会背景Current当前
Some context reads are missing部分背景读数缺失
The rest of the page is unaffected: no rank, score or stand-in value is put where a missing read would go.本页其余内容不受影响：缺失的读数不会被任何排名、评分或替代数值填补。
Reads behind this构成这项的读数
Prophet outlookProphet 前瞻Not available暂不可用Entry read入场读数Current当前Priced-in read定价程度读数Not covered未覆盖Mispricing read错价读数Not covered未覆盖
What could go wrong风险Current当前
No checks failed无未通过的检查
Biggest open question最大未决问题worked out here本页推算Market reaction data has not been joined to this release yet.市场反应数据尚未与此次发布关联。
What to watch next接下来关注Partly covered部分覆盖
No announced dates yet尚无已公布的日期
Some of the sources this read needs are missing, so it is narrower than usual.该读数所需的部分来源缺失，覆盖面较平时更窄。
Next observable下一个可观测点
- Next earnings report下次财报 · 2026-09-12 – 2026-10-10Estimated window — not an announced date预计窗口 — 并非官方公布日期
Evidence证据
4 current当前1 partly covered部分覆盖
counted here本页统计
sources through来源截至 2026-07-30 20:30Z
Owner & model receipts所有者与模型凭证Identity confirmed身份已确认
Who read this, when, and the exact fingerprint of what was read.谁读取了这些数据、何时读取，以及所读内容的确切指纹。
R1
passed通过
This security record exists and has not been replaced.该证券记录存在，且未被替换。
R2
passed通过
This security is tied to its resolved issuer.该证券已绑定到已解析的发行主体。
R3
passed通过
Exactly one active issuer record binds this company and its identifier.恰好一条有效的发行主体记录绑定了该公司及其识别码。
R4
passed通过
This issuer currently has exactly this one security.该发行主体当前仅有这一只证券。
R5
passed通过
The listing identifier maps back to this same security.上市标识可回映射到同一只证券。
R6
passed通过
No issuer or security migration is on file for this name.该名称没有发行主体或证券迁移记录。
R7
passed通过
Workspace events and disclosures, when present, bind to the same company identifier.若有工作区，其事件与披露均绑定同一公司识别码。
R8
passed通过
The master company identifier matches the owner read; if a workspace is present, it agrees too.主数据中的公司识别码与所有者读数一致；若有工作区，工作区亦一致。
R9
passed通过
The workspace primary listing agrees with this security's current ticker and venue.工作区主上市记录与该证券当前代码及交易场所一致。
Generated生成时间2026-09-14 08:25Z
Compiled编排时间2026-09-14 08:25Z
Content fingerprint内容指纹d8351a79705ad6e4b4f163072f0aa4834495dfe356596bf0c09c1fec6d010945
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-09-14Bollinger Breakout UpLong-term Rising Trend
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
63
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+4.5% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+16.8% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
14
No clear trend无明显趋势
Volatility波动率
48th percentile第48百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-10-2945
Estimates being cut预期下调
Beat expectations 4 quarters in a row连续 4 季度超预期
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 5.1%
Valuation估值
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵| Multiple指标 | AAPL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 43.61x | 40.90 | |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 34.7x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 55.39x | 5.73 | |
| P/S市销率 | 11.74x | 4.81 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.29% | 1.95 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.02% | 3.10 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.86% | 2.14 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 34.13x | 26.87 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 49.46x | 28.99 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
What could it be worth?可能值多少？
reported SEC figures · FY2025SEC披露数据 · 2025财年Three sets of assumptions applied to AAPL's last reported year. Change the assumption, change the answer.把三组假设套在AAPL最近一个披露财年上。假设变，答案就变。
Cautious保守$98
Base基准$141
Upbeat乐观$188
Today's price当前股价
Cautious保守
$98.23
Sales fall 2% next year, margins narrow, valued at 14× the resulting earnings.销售明年下滑2%，利润率收窄，按14倍计算后的净利润估值。
Vs base: growth -5pp, margin -1.5pp, multiple -4x — $140.57 to $98.23 (-30.1%).相对基准：增速-5个百分点，利润率-1.5个百分点，倍数-4倍——$140.57 变为 $98.23（-30.1%）。
Base基准
$140.57
Sales grow 3% next year, margins hold, valued at 18× the resulting earnings.销售明年增长3%，利润率不变，按18倍计算后的净利润估值。
Upbeat乐观
$188.43
Sales grow 7% next year, margins widen, valued at 22× the resulting earnings.销售明年增长7%，利润率扩大，按22倍计算后的净利润估值。
Vs base: growth +4pp, margin +1.5pp, multiple +4x — $140.57 to $188.43 (+34.0%).相对基准：增速+4个百分点，利润率+1.5个百分点，倍数+4倍——$140.57 变为 $188.43（+34.0%）。
Revenue营业收入FY2025 · Source: SEC filings来源：SEC披露文件
$416.2B
Operating income营业利润FY2025 · Source: SEC filings来源：SEC披露文件
$133.1B
Net income净利润FY2025 · Source: SEC filings来源：SEC披露文件
$112.0B
Share count股数FY2025 · Source: SEC filings来源：SEC披露文件
14.77BShares outstanding, as reported披露的流通股数
Net cash / debt净现金／净负债FY2025 · Source: SEC filings来源：SEC披露文件
Net debt净负债 $54.7B
This app does not license Wall Street's outside stock-picking research, so that layer is left empty here — shown honestly as missing, not filled in with a guess.本应用未购买华尔街第三方研究机构的选股研究授权，因此这一层留空——如实标注为缺失，而不是用猜测填补。
Research display only — not advice.仅供研究展示，非投资建议。
Try your own assumptions试试你自己的假设
same reported figures · FY2025同一批披露数据 · 2025财年Interactive controls need JavaScript. The three cases above are computed on the server and always shown.交互控件需要启用 JavaScript。上方三个情景由服务器计算，始终显示。
Move the three inputs below. The per-share number updates as you move them. Nothing you set here is saved or sent anywhere.调整下面三项输入，每股数值会随之更新。你在这里设置的内容不会被保存，也不会被发送到任何地方。
+3.0%
0.0
percentage points个百分点
18×
Per share, on your assumptions按你的假设计算的每股价值
$140.57
Margins are too thin at this setting to produce a number.在该设置下利润率过低，无法算出数值。
Base case is $140.57. Your assumptions give $140.57 (0.0%).基准情景为 $140.57，你的假设得出 $140.57（0.0%）。
Applied to FY2025 as disclosed to the SEC — revenue, net income and share count come straight from the disclosure, and are not editable here.套用在按 SEC 披露的2025财年数据上——营业收入、净利润与股数均直接取自披露文件，此处不可修改。
Sales growth -10% to +20%; margin change -3.0 to +3.0 percentage points; earnings multiple 8× to 35×.销售增长 -10% 至 +20%；利润率变化 -3.0 至 +3.0 个百分点；市盈率倍数 8 倍至 35 倍。
Research display only — not advice.仅供研究展示，非投资建议。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$416.2B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 8.7%
Earnings per share每股收益
$7.462025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 17.9%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$98.8B2025
20202025
Gross margin毛利率
46.9%
Operating margin营业利润率
32.0%
Net margin净利率
26.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
26.8%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 8/9
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Return on equity股本回报率 127%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.38
Current ratio流动比率0.89
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$90.7B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$12.9B
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-2.2%
Debt coming due到期债务
SEC filingsSEC 文件We do not have an SEC filing record for this listing.我们目前没有该证券的 SEC 备案记录。
This panel only reads filings an issuer makes with the SEC, and this listing has not been matched to one.本面板仅读取发行人向 SEC 提交的文件，该证券尚未匹配到对应的备案主体。
Research context only — reported figures from SEC filings, not a rating, a signal or investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 数据摘自 SEC 文件披露口径，不构成评级、信号或投资建议。
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
News新闻
4 recent stories — mixed4 篇最新报道，多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Magnificent Seven theme — #3 of 49 themes「七巨头」主题 — 49 个主题中第 3 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +20.1%空头仓位变动 +20.1%
Technical技术面
AAPL weekly MACD crossed upAAPL 周线MACD上穿
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.53%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.42%
IV rankIV历史分位
22%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$296
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.1%
Flow:资金流向： $339M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 143 fresh positions; P/C 0.42; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $339M；0DTE占0%；143个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.42；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$111.7M net (0 buyers, 5 sellers)-$111.7M 净值（0 买家，5 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appaloosa (Tepper) | A | New position新建仓 | 3.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | Holding持有 | 22.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Soros Fund Management | B | Holding持有 | 2.3% | 2026-06-30 |
| Himalaya Capital (Li Lu) | D | Holding持有 | 0.9% | 2026-06-30 |
| Whale Rock Capital | A | Holding持有 | 0.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| Fairholme Capital (Berkowitz) | A | Holding持有 | 0.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| Giverny Capital | C | trimtrim | 0.1% | 2026-06-30 |
| Polen Capital Management | C | trimtrim | 0.0% | 2026-06-30 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY. A new cycle low likely formed 21 day(s) ago (2026-08-12 @ 302.25): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — and the weekly timeframe agrees买入。新的周期低点可能已在 21 天前形成 （2026-08-12 @ 302.25）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——且周线周期也一致确认
Sep 11, 2026
AAPL weekly MACD crossed upAAPL 周线MACD上穿
The weekly MACD histogram turned positive — the slower, less-whippy momentum read.周线MACD柱状图转正 — 更慢、更少来回的动量信号。
Sep 8, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Sep 4, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Sep 3, 2026
BOTTOMING → BUY ZONE筑底中 → 买入区
BUY买入
Aug 31, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → UPTREND未确认转向 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Aug 26, 2026
AAPL daily MACD crossed upAAPL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $313.45.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$313.45。
Aug 18, 2026
AAPL StochRSI turned up from oversoldAAPL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $310.03.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$310.03。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 3638 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Apple Inc. is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Cupertino, California, in Silicon Valley, and known for consumer electronics, software and online services.苹果公司是一家美国跨国科技公司，总部位于加利福尼亚州库比蒂诺的硅谷，以消费电子产品、软件和在线服务闻名。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
- Capital intensity rising
Recent news最新动态
Futures Fall; AI Leaders' Call For Slowdown Hits These Stocks
Investor's Business Daily · 2026-09-14
Apple CEO rejects biggest fear over iPhone Duo launch
thestreet.com · 2026-09-13
Dow Jones Futures: Fed Rate Hike Seen As Oil, Yields Pressure Stocks; Apple, Moderna Are New Buys
Investor's Business Daily · 2026-09-13
Apple wants AI to listen all day without creeping people out
thestreet.com · 2026-09-13
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Where it stands当前位置
What this read says这项读数说了什么
Ladder state: FRESH BUY (up).阶梯状态：FRESH BUY（上行）。
Where it comes from来源与时间
Field status字段状态Current当前
Correction state更正状态None recorded无记录
Fields read, exactly as recorded按原样读取的字段
- ladder.state
- —
- ladder.dir
- —
- tech.chg_1d
- 1.7
- ladder_state
- FRESH BUY
- ladder_direction
- up
Recorded as记录原文: Ladder state: FRESH BUY (up).阶梯状态：FRESH BUY（上行）。
Can you act on this是否可据此行动
Usable as it stands, within the clocks above.在上述时间戳范围内可直接使用。
Most lines here are quoted — copied as recorded from the source named beside them. Lines tagged “worked out here” are produced by Mastermind from those quoted values under a fixed rule, never by judgement. The plain wording of a source's own status is ours; the status itself is the source's, and a missing source stays missing.本面板多数内容为引用 — 按记录原样复制自旁注来源。标注「本页推算」的内容由 Mastermind 依据这些引用值按固定规则得出，不含主观判断。来源状态的通俗措辞由本页给出，状态本身来自来源；缺失的来源仍按缺失呈现。
What changed有何变化
What this read says这项读数说了什么
Q3 2026 results workspace is complete: 1 fact, 1 delta, 1 guidance items.Q3 2026 财报工作区状态为已完成：1 项事实、1 项变动、1 项指引。
Where it comes from来源与时间
Field status字段状态Current当前
Generation生成批次5517b178afbab673bc8c7c5f
Available可获取时间2026-07-30 20:30Z
Observed采集时间2026-07-30 20:30Z
Correction state更正状态None recorded无记录
Noted while building生成过程中的提示
The filing could not be matched to this release.该披露文件未能与本次发布匹配。collector_filing_unjoinable
Analyst consensus is not licensed for this page.分析师一致预期在本页无发布授权。consensus_unlicensed
Market reaction has not been linked to this release yet.市场反应尚未与本次发布关联。reaction_not_joined
No slide deck was published with this release.本次发布未附幻灯片。slides_absent
No newswire record was found for this release.未找到本次发布的新闻通稿记录。wire_record_not_found
Supported claims受支持的依据
- evt_cik0000320193_2026q3_results
Can you act on this是否可据此行动
Usable as it stands, within the clocks above.在上述时间戳范围内可直接使用。
Most lines here are quoted — copied as recorded from the source named beside them. Lines tagged “worked out here” are produced by Mastermind from those quoted values under a fixed rule, never by judgement. The plain wording of a source's own status is ours; the status itself is the source's, and a missing source stays missing.本面板多数内容为引用 — 按记录原样复制自旁注来源。标注「本页推算」的内容由 Mastermind 依据这些引用值按固定规则得出，不含主观判断。来源状态的通俗措辞由本页给出，状态本身来自来源；缺失的来源仍按缺失呈现。
Opportunity context机会背景
What this read says这项读数说了什么
Some context reads are missing部分背景读数缺失
The rest of the page is unaffected: no rank, score or stand-in value is put where a missing read would go.本页其余内容不受影响：缺失的读数不会被任何排名、评分或替代数值填补。
This sentence is our plain wording of the values in this panel. The values themselves are quoted.此表述为本页对本面板数值的通俗措辞；数值本身为原样引用。
Where it comes from来源与时间
Field status字段状态Current当前
Correction state更正状态None recorded无记录
Reads behind this构成这项的读数
Prophet outlookProphet 前瞻Not available暂不可用
Entry read入场读数Current当前
Priced-in read定价程度读数Not covered未覆盖
Mispricing read错价读数Not covered未覆盖
Prophet outlookProphet 前瞻 — No owner output is published for this security this cycle.本周期没有发布该证券的所有者输出。
A read that is not available is left out. No rank, score or stand-in value is put in its place.不可用的读数即留空，不会以任何排名、评分或替代数值填补。
Can you act on this是否可据此行动
Usable as it stands, within the clocks above.在上述时间戳范围内可直接使用。
Most lines here are quoted — copied as recorded from the source named beside them. Lines tagged “worked out here” are produced by Mastermind from those quoted values under a fixed rule, never by judgement. The plain wording of a source's own status is ours; the status itself is the source's, and a missing source stays missing.本面板多数内容为引用 — 按记录原样复制自旁注来源。标注「本页推算」的内容由 Mastermind 依据这些引用值按固定规则得出，不含主观判断。来源状态的通俗措辞由本页给出，状态本身来自来源；缺失的来源仍按缺失呈现。
What could go wrong风险
What this read says这项读数说了什么
No checks failed无未通过的检查
This sentence is our plain wording of the values in this panel. The values themselves are quoted.此表述为本页对本面板数值的通俗措辞；数值本身为原样引用。
Where it comes from来源与时间
Field status字段状态Current当前
Correction state更正状态None recorded无记录
Biggest open question最大未决问题
Market reaction data has not been joined to this release yet.市场反应数据尚未与此次发布关联。
Supported claims受支持的依据
- alerts_n_recent:45
- alerts_n_total:3638
Can you act on this是否可据此行动
Usable as it stands, within the clocks above.在上述时间戳范围内可直接使用。
Most lines here are quoted — copied as recorded from the source named beside them. Lines tagged “worked out here” are produced by Mastermind from those quoted values under a fixed rule, never by judgement. The plain wording of a source's own status is ours; the status itself is the source's, and a missing source stays missing.本面板多数内容为引用 — 按记录原样复制自旁注来源。标注「本页推算」的内容由 Mastermind 依据这些引用值按固定规则得出，不含主观判断。来源状态的通俗措辞由本页给出，状态本身来自来源；缺失的来源仍按缺失呈现。
What to watch next接下来关注
What this read says这项读数说了什么
No announced dates yet尚无已公布的日期
Some of the sources this read needs are missing, so it is narrower than usual.该读数所需的部分来源缺失，覆盖面较平时更窄。
This sentence is our plain wording of the values in this panel. The values themselves are quoted.此表述为本页对本面板数值的通俗措辞；数值本身为原样引用。
Where it comes from来源与时间
Field status字段状态Partly covered部分覆盖
Correction state更正状态None recorded无记录
What to watch next接下来关注什么worked out here本页推算
Next earnings report下次财报2026-09-12 – 2026-10-10
Estimated window — not an announced date预计窗口 — 并非官方公布日期
Worked out from推算依据: deterministic Mastermind estimate: fiscal_period.calendar_end + ~1 fiscal quarter; no canonical earnings-calendar owner exists
Can you act on this是否可据此行动
Read it together with its age and correction state — not as a current value.需结合其时效与更正状态阅读，不能当作当前数值使用。
Most lines here are quoted — copied as recorded from the source named beside them. Lines tagged “worked out here” are produced by Mastermind from those quoted values under a fixed rule, never by judgement. The plain wording of a source's own status is ours; the status itself is the source's, and a missing source stays missing.本面板多数内容为引用 — 按记录原样复制自旁注来源。标注「本页推算」的内容由 Mastermind 依据这些引用值按固定规则得出，不含主观判断。来源状态的通俗措辞由本页给出，状态本身来自来源；缺失的来源仍按缺失呈现。
Your position你的持仓
What this read says这项读数说了什么
This does not apply to you right now.这暂不适用于你。
Where it comes from来源与时间
Field status字段状态Does not apply不适用
Correction state更正状态None recorded无记录
Fields read, exactly as recorded按原样读取的字段
- state
- NO_USER_CONTEXT
Can you act on this是否可据此行动
Nothing is claimed here, so there is nothing to act on.此处未作任何结论，因此没有可据以行动的内容。
Most lines here are quoted — copied as recorded from the source named beside them. Lines tagged “worked out here” are produced by Mastermind from those quoted values under a fixed rule, never by judgement. The plain wording of a source's own status is ours; the status itself is the source's, and a missing source stays missing.本面板多数内容为引用 — 按记录原样复制自旁注来源。标注「本页推算」的内容由 Mastermind 依据这些引用值按固定规则得出，不含主观判断。来源状态的通俗措辞由本页给出，状态本身来自来源；缺失的来源仍按缺失呈现。
Evidence & receipts证据与凭证
Coverage of these reads这些读数的覆盖情况counted here本页统计
Current当前4 / 5
Partly covered部分覆盖1 / 5
Required and optional reads必需与可选读数
Required reads, current必需读数：当前2 / 2
Required reads, not in the way必需读数：不构成阻碍2 / 2
Optional reads, current可选读数：当前2 / 5
Optional reads, not in the way可选读数：不构成阻碍3 / 5
"Current" counts only reads that came back current. "Not in the way" also counts a read that does not apply to this listing, or sits outside its coverage — which is not the same as current. These counts include the evidence read, which has its own panel below rather than a card above.「当前」仅统计返回为当前的读数；「不构成阻碍」还包括不适用于该证券或不在覆盖范围内的读数 — 与「当前」并不相同。以上计数包含证据读数，该读数在下方独立面板中呈现，而非上方卡片。
Supported claims受支持的依据
- ebl_8b8ecb8957b15a00d8286ef38ccba7661f85bcab28f038b01b4f7bf46cb7c6ab
How this was put together生成过程
Recipe配方erp_5687f42d2acac8826110a5952a4d0ba0d662453577258fe8145214ab98b90d19
Schema数据结构security_state.v1
Listing上市代码US-XNAS-AAPL
Security证券标识SEC:US-XNAS-AAPL
Issuer发行人标识ISS:US-XNAS-AAPL
Content fingerprint内容指纹d8351a79705ad6e4b4f163072f0aa4834495dfe356596bf0c09c1fec6d010945
Market data through行情数据截至2026-09-11
Sources through来源截至2026-07-30 20:30Z
Compiled编排时间2026-09-14 08:25Z
Identity confirmed身份已确认 · 9 source checks项来源核对 · 9 matches项一致
What went into the evidence证据的构成counted here本页统计
Evidence compiled证据编排结果Partly compiled部分编排
Records asked for请求的记录1
Records used已采用的记录1
Records left out已排除的记录0
Records missing缺失的记录0
Records older than policy超出时效的记录0
Records not licensed here此处无授权的记录0
Records from a fallback来自备用来源的记录0
Records not tied to this listing未与该证券对应的记录0
Identity checks身份核对
R1
passed通过
This security record exists and has not been replaced.该证券记录存在，且未被替换。
the security master reference table证券主档参考表
read by读取方 this page's identity reader本页的身份读取程序
- Master row found已找到主数据行
- yes是
- Security status证券状态
- ——
- Replaced by被替换为
- ——
- Alias reader别名读取方
- the vendor alias table供应商别名表
- Registration-number reader注册编号读取方
- the issuer master's registration-number lookup发行人主档的注册编号查询
- Owner decision date所有者判定日期
- 2026-09-142026-09-14
- Issuer reader发行人读取方
- the issuer master's issuer lookup发行人主档的发行人查询
- owner_listing_reader
- ——
R2
passed通过
This security is tied to its resolved issuer.该证券已绑定到已解析的发行主体。
the security master reference table证券主档参考表
read by读取方 this page's identity reader本页的身份读取程序
- Issuer identifier发行人标识
- ISS:US-XNAS-AAPLISS:US-XNAS-AAPL
- Issuer status发行人状态
- resolved已确定
R3
passed通过
Exactly one active issuer record binds this company and its identifier.恰好一条有效的发行主体记录绑定了该公司及其识别码。
the issuer master reference table发行人主档参考表
read by读取方 this page's identity reader本页的身份读取程序
- Registration number注册编号
- 00003201930000320193
- Matching record count匹配记录数
- 11
- Issuer identifier发行人标识
- ISS:US-XNAS-AAPLISS:US-XNAS-AAPL
- Record status记录状态
- active有效
R4
passed通过
This issuer currently has exactly this one security.该发行主体当前仅有这一只证券。
the security master reference table证券主档参考表
read by读取方 this page's identity reader本页的身份读取程序
- Security list证券列表
- SEC:US-XNAS-AAPLSEC:US-XNAS-AAPL
- Count数量
- 11
R5
passed通过
The listing identifier maps back to this same security.上市标识可回映射到同一只证券。
the security master reference table证券主档参考表
read by读取方 this page's listing-code reader本页的上市代码读取程序
- Listing code上市代码
- US-XNAS-AAPLUS-XNAS-AAPL
- Derived security identifier推导出的证券标识
- SEC:US-XNAS-AAPLSEC:US-XNAS-AAPL
R6
passed通过
No issuer or security migration is on file for this name.该名称没有发行主体或证券迁移记录。
the issuer and security migration tables发行人与证券迁移表
read by读取方 this page's identity reader本页的身份读取程序
- Issuer migration matches发行人迁移匹配数
- 00
- Security migration matches证券迁移匹配数
- 00
R7
passed通过
Workspace events and disclosures, when present, bind to the same company identifier.若有工作区，其事件与披露均绑定同一公司识别码。
this cycle's event workspace本周期的事件工作区
read by读取方 this page's workspace reader本页的工作区读取程序
- Workspace available工作区可用
- yes是
- Event identifier事件标识
- evt_cik0000320193_2026q3_resultsevt_cik0000320193_2026q3_results
- Company identifier公司标识
- cik:0000320193cik:0000320193
- Filing registration number披露文件注册编号
- 00003201930000320193
R8
passed通过
The master company identifier matches the owner read; if a workspace is present, it agrees too.主数据中的公司识别码与所有者读数一致；若有工作区，工作区亦一致。
the security master reference table and this cycle's event workspace证券主档参考表与本周期的事件工作区
read by读取方 this page's identity reader本页的身份读取程序
- Workspace available工作区可用
- yes是
- Master registration number主数据注册编号
- 00003201930000320193
- Subject registration number标的注册编号
- 00003201930000320193
- Workspace registration number工作区注册编号
- 00003201930000320193
R9
passed通过
The workspace primary listing agrees with this security's current ticker and venue.工作区主上市记录与该证券当前代码及交易场所一致。
this cycle's workspace listings本周期工作区中的上市记录
read by读取方 this page's workspace reader本页的工作区读取程序
- Corroboration旁证状态
- available可用
- Issuer identifier发行人标识: ISS:US-XNAS-AAPLISS:US-XNAS-AAPL = ISS:US-XNAS-AAPLISS:US-XNAS-AAPL — match一致
- Issuer record count发行人记录数: 11 = 11 — match一致
- Issuer security set发行人证券集合: SEC:US-XNAS-AAPLSEC:US-XNAS-AAPL = SEC:US-XNAS-AAPLSEC:US-XNAS-AAPL — match一致
- Listing key round-trip上市代码回环核对: SEC:US-XNAS-AAPLSEC:US-XNAS-AAPL = SEC:US-XNAS-AAPLSEC:US-XNAS-AAPL — match一致
- Event identifier事件标识: yes是 = yes是 — match一致
- Company identifier公司标识: cik:0000320193cik:0000320193 = cik:0000320193cik:0000320193 — match一致
- Registration number on the filing披露文件上的注册编号: 00003201930000320193 = 00003201930000320193 — match一致
- Issuer registration number发行人注册编号: 00003201930000320193 = 00003201930000320193 — match一致
- Primary ticker alias主要股票代码别名: XNAS:AAPLXNAS:AAPL = XNAS:AAPLXNAS:AAPL — match一致
The issuer's registration number reflects only its current owner of record, not its full history.发行人的注册编号仅反映当前登记的所有者，不含完整历史沿革。 CIK_LEG_OWNER_BACKED_CURRENT_ONLY
This security's identity was built from the current reference data, read at one point in time.该证券的身份信息基于某一时点读取的当前参考数据构建。 OWNER_COMPOSED_SUBJECT_CURRENT_ONLY
No dated ownership history was checked; this proof covers current identity only.未核对带日期的历史所有权记录；本证明仅覆盖当前身份。 ISSUERMASTER_CURRENT_IDENTITY_ONLY
The starting date used to cross-check this identity is a placeholder floor, not confirmed evidence.用于交叉核对该身份的起始日期为占位下限，并非已确认的证据。 ALIAS_EPOCH_VALID_FROM
This security's identity was built from the current reference data, read at one point in time.该证券的身份信息基于某一时点读取的当前参考数据构建。 OWNER_COMPOSED_SUBJECT_CURRENT_ONLY
No dated ownership history was checked; this proof covers current identity only.未核对带日期的历史所有权记录；本证明仅覆盖当前身份。 ISSUERMASTER_CURRENT_IDENTITY_ONLY
The starting date used to cross-check this identity is a placeholder floor, not confirmed evidence.用于交叉核对该身份的起始日期为占位下限，并非已确认的证据。 ALIAS_EPOCH_VALID_FROM
This panel is a receipt. Anything untagged is quoted from the owner named beside it. The tagged lines — the counts, the pick of the biggest open question, and the estimated window — are worked out here from those quotes under a fixed rule. Nothing is estimated to cover a gap, and no missing source is replaced by a neutral value.本面板为凭证。未加标注的内容均引用自旁注来源方；标注项 — 各项计数、最大未决问题的选取，以及预计窗口 — 由本页依据上述引用按固定规则得出。缺失的来源不会被推算填补，也不会以中性数值替代。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 43.6× | 40.9× | 45% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 34.7× | — | — |
| Price / Book市净率 | 55.4× | 5.7× | 2% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 11.7× | 4.8× | 18% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 34.1× | 26.9× | 43% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.3% | 1.9% | 54% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.3% | 3.9% | 28% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 1.9% | 2.1% | 45% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
58/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
76/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
75/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
77/100 — stronger than most强于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#100 / 222
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.8% | -0.8% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +9.9% | -1.1% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +14.2% | +3.3% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +33.1% | +15.7% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +22.9% | +12.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +45.0% | +17.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +91.0% | +77.4% |
| 5 Years近5年 | +128.7% | +83.1% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.68
Volatility rank波动率分位
48th pctile
Short interest空头占比
0.9% of float
Market cap市值
$4885B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$7.62
Dividend yield股息率
0.33%
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-2.2%
Volume vs normal成交量相对平常
1.2×
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $274.5B | $365.8B | $394.3B | $383.3B | $391.0B | $416.2B |
| EPS每股收益 | $3.28 | $5.61 | $6.11 | $6.13 | $6.08 | $7.46 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $73.4B | $93.0B | $111.4B | $99.6B | $108.8B | $98.8B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 38.2% | 41.8% | 43.3% | 44.1% | 46.2% | 46.9% |
| Net margin净利率 | 20.9% | 25.9% | 25.3% | 25.3% | 24.0% | 26.9% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 26.7% | 25.4% | 28.3% | 26.0% | 27.8% | 23.7% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$416.2B
Gross profit毛利润
$195.2B
Net income净利润
$112.0B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$111.5B
Total assets总资产
$379.3B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$88.2B
Long-term debt长期负债
$76.7B
Buybacks股票回购
$90.7B
Shares outstanding总股本
14.70B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
127.0%
Return on assets资产回报率
29.5%
Debt / assets负债/资产
20.2%
Revenue growth营收增速
+16.4%
Profit growth利润增速
+19.5%
Asset growth资产增速
+10.2%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: receivables +147% vs sales +52% — receivables outpacing sales, revenue-quality risk营运资本：应收 +147% 对销售 +52%——应收快于销售，营收质量风险
- Pricing power: gross margin +8.7pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年上升 8.7 个百分点
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 12.53 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 12.53——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
How this was worked out计算方式说明
Basis计算依据
Fiscal year财年
2025
Period end期末日期
2025-09-27
Source来源
SEC filingsSEC披露文件
Tier层级
Research display only, not advice仅供研究展示，非投资建议
Formula计算公式
adjusted net income x earnings multiple / share count (as reported)调整后净利润 x 市盈率倍数 / 披露股数
Net debt / cash净负债／净现金
Shown as a reported fact only — not applied to the per-share math (a P/E multiple already yields equity value)仅作为披露事实展示，不参与每股计算（市盈率倍数本身已是股权价值）
Cautious保守
Sales growth销售增长
-2%
Margin change利润率变化
-1.5pp
Earnings multiple市盈率倍数
14x
Per-share (computed)每股价值（计算值）
$98.23
Base基准
Sales growth销售增长
3%
Margin change利润率变化
0pp
Earnings multiple市盈率倍数
18x
Per-share (computed)每股价值（计算值）
$140.57
Upbeat乐观
Sales growth销售增长
7%
Margin change利润率变化
1.5pp
Earnings multiple市盈率倍数
22x
Per-share (computed)每股价值（计算值）
$188.43
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
63
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
90
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
14
Average daily range平均日波幅
2.4%
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+4.9%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+4.5%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+16.8%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum down动能向下
Weekly周线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
Monthly月线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
40/100
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 9d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 135d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 361d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 32d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 186d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 522d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 16d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 77d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 22d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 78d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 168d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 309d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 78d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 101d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 78d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 101d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 157d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 71d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 16d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 134d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 78d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Long-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 354d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 8d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 31d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 183d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 16d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 157d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | quiet静默 | 7d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 38d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 16d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 42d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 28d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 147d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Directional Indicator Bullish Cross (+DI above -DI) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Directional Indicator Bearish Cross (-DI above +DI) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| ADX Trend Ignition — Bullish (ADX crosses above 25 while price rising) | quiet静默 | 57d |
| ADX Trend Ignition — Bearish (ADX crosses above 25 while price falling) | quiet静默 | 74d |
| ADX Trending (ADX ≥ 25 and rising — strong, accelerating trend) | quiet静默 | — |
| ADX Weak Trend (ADX < 20 — market ranging, no directional conviction) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Aroon Bullish Cross (recent highs dominating — uptrend beginning) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Aroon Bearish Cross (recent lows dominating — downtrend beginning) | quiet静默 | 185d |
| Aroon Strong Uptrend (recent highs near current bar, lows far away) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Aroon Strong Downtrend (recent lows near current bar, highs far away) | quiet静默 | — |
| Vortex Bullish Cross (VI+ above VI- with separation — upward momentum) | quiet静默 | 23d |
| Vortex Bearish Cross (VI- above VI+ with separation — downward momentum) | quiet静默 | 28d |
| Elder Ray Bullish Setup (bear power negative but improving, price trend up) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Elder Ray Bearish Setup (bull power positive but falling, price trend down) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Elder Ray Bulls Dominant (bull power positive, bear power near zero) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Elder Ray Bears Dominant (bear power negative, bull power near zero) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volatility Squeeze Active (Bollinger inside Keltner) | quiet静默 | — |
| Squeeze Release — Upside Breakout | quiet静默 | 9d |
| Squeeze Release — Downside Breakout | quiet静默 | 248d |
| Trending Market Regime (Choppiness below 38.2) | quiet静默 | — |
| Ranging Market Regime (Choppiness above 61.8) | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Onset (Choppiness drops below 38.2) | quiet静默 | 28d |
| Trending Regime by Efficiency (VHF above median) | quiet静默 | — |
| Donchian Channel Upside Breakout (20-day high exceeded) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Donchian Channel Downside Breakdown (20-day low breached) | quiet静默 | 78d |
| Failed Upside Breakout (Price retreats below channel within 5 bars) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Failed Downside Breakdown (Price recovers above channel within 5 bars) | quiet静默 | 73d |
| Wide Channel (Donchian width in top 20% of trailing year) | quiet静默 | — |
| NR7 Coiling Pattern Active (Narrowest range in 7 bars, within last 3) | quiet静默 | — |
| Upside Range Expansion (True range > 2×ATR, strong close) | quiet静默 | 326d |
| Downside Range Expansion (True range > 2×ATR, weak close) | quiet静默 | 78d |
| Money Flow turns positive (CMF crosses above zero) | quiet静默 | 65d |
| Money Flow turns negative (CMF crosses below zero) | quiet静默 | 95d |
| Sustained buying pressure (CMF above +0.05 for 10+ bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Sustained selling pressure (CMF below -0.05 for 10+ bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volume backing the move up (OBV rising over 20 days) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Volume backing the move down (OBV falling over 20 days) | quiet静默 | — |
| OBV breaks to new 60-day high (accumulation surge) | quiet静默 | 46d |
| OBV breaks to new 60-day low (distribution surge) | quiet静默 | 234d |
| Volume surge (relative volume doubles its 20-day average) | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Volume drying up (5-day average below 60% of normal) | quiet静默 | — |
| Oversold money flow recovering (MFI crosses back above 20) | quiet静默 | 597d |
| Overbought money flow retreating (MFI crosses back below 80) | quiet静默 | 52d |
| Money flow momentum turns bullish (MFI crosses above 50) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Money flow momentum turns bearish (MFI crosses below 50) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Price crosses above adaptive moving average in trending market | quiet静默 | 16d |
| Price crosses below adaptive moving average in trending market | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Adaptive moving average rising in trending market | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Adaptive moving average falling in trending market | quiet静默 | — |
| Market moving efficiently — trend-following conditions present | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Market choppy — trend signals unreliable | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend turns bullish — price breaks above resistance band | quiet静默 | 8d |
| Trend turns bearish — price breaks below support band | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Price above trend support — bullish regime | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Price below trend resistance — bearish regime | quiet静默 | — |
| Price pulls back to trend support then recovers — continuation setup | quiet静默 | 211d |
| Connors RSI deep oversold arrival (crosses below 10) | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Connors RSI oversold exit (crosses back above 10) | quiet静默 | 38d |
| Connors RSI overbought exit (crosses back below 90) | quiet静默 | 67d |
| Spearman trend turns positive (smoothed rank correlation crosses above zero) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Spearman trend turns negative (smoothed rank correlation crosses below zero) | quiet静默 | 38d |
| Spearman strong uptrend (raw rank correlation above 80) | quiet静默 | — |
| Spearman strong downtrend (raw rank correlation below -80) | quiet静默 | — |
| Low Drawdown Stress (Ulcer Index below 25th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| Elevated Drawdown Stress (Ulcer Index above 75th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| Drawdown Stress Spike (Ulcer Index doubles in 21 bars, above 5) | quiet静默 | 11d |
| Drawdown Stress Easing (Ulcer Index crosses below median after stress period) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Low Relative Volatility (nATR below 25th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| High Relative Volatility (nATR above 75th percentile) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Volatility Compression (short-window vol well below long-window vol) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volatility Expansion Breakout (short-window vol crosses above long-window vol) | quiet静默 | 22d |
| Mass Index Bulge Reversal (range expansion then contraction setup) | quiet静默 | 59d |
| 12-1 Momentum Positive (medium-term uptrend, reversal-adjusted) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| 12-1 Momentum Negative (medium-term downtrend, reversal-adjusted) | quiet静默 | — |
| Momentum Acceleration Up (3-month crosses above 6-month, both improving) | quiet静默 | 58d |
| Momentum Deceleration Down (3-month crosses below 6-month, both weakening) | quiet静默 | 603d |
| New 52-Week Closing High | quiet静默 | 45d |
| New 52-Week Closing Low | quiet静默 | 1345d |
| Relative Strength Recovery (stock outpaces benchmark over 3 months) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength Deterioration (stock falls behind benchmark over 3 months) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength at 6-Month High (stock/benchmark ratio at new peak) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength at 6-Month Low (stock/benchmark ratio at new trough) | quiet静默 | — |
| BBTrend Crosses Above Zero (channel expanding in favor of buyers) | quiet静默 | 45d |
| BBTrend Crosses Below Zero (channel expanding in favor of sellers) | quiet静默 | 16d |
| Inside Bar — price range compressed within prior bar | quiet静默 | — |
| Outside Bar — price range expands beyond prior bar on both sides | quiet静默 | — |
| Outside-Inside Bar Coil — outside bar followed by inside bar compression | quiet静默 | 239d |
| Three Consecutive Inside Bars — prolonged compression coil | quiet静默 | 9801d |
| Bullish 2-1-2 Continuation — higher high bar, inside bar, upside break | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Bearish 2-1-2 Continuation — lower low bar, inside bar, downside break | quiet静默 | 50d |
| Bullish 2-1-2 Reversal — lower low bar, inside bar, upside break | quiet静默 | 74d |
| Bearish 2-1-2 Reversal — higher high bar, inside bar, downside break | quiet静默 | 32d |
| Bullish 3-1-2 — outside bar, inside bar coil, upside break | quiet静默 | 457d |
| Bearish 3-1-2 — outside bar, inside bar coil, downside break | quiet静默 | 238d |
| Fractal Low Confirmed (swing low locked in) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Fractal High Confirmed (swing high locked in) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Swing Uptrend (higher highs and higher lows) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Swing Downtrend (lower lows and lower highs) | quiet静默 | — |
| Fractal High Break (close rises above confirmed swing high) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Fractal Low Break (close falls below confirmed swing low) | quiet静默 | 42d |
| KST crosses above signal line (negative territory) | quiet静默 | 11d |
| KST crosses below signal line (positive territory) | quiet静默 | 39d |
| True Strength Index crosses above signal (below zero) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| True Strength Index crosses below signal (above zero) | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Coppock curve turns up from a trough (below zero) | quiet静默 | 1267d |
| Ultimate Oscillator exits oversold zone (crosses above 30) | quiet静默 | 73d |
| Ultimate Oscillator exits overbought zone (crosses below 70) | quiet静默 | 371d |
| Fisher Transform crosses above prior bar (below -1) | quiet静默 | 28d |
| Fisher Transform crosses below prior bar (above +1) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| QQE smoothed RSI crosses above adaptive band (below 50) | quiet静默 | 162d |
| QQE smoothed RSI crosses below adaptive band (above 50) | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Schaff Trend Cycle crosses above 25 (bullish turn) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Schaff Trend Cycle crosses below 75 (bearish turn) | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Bullish price gap forms (3-candle imbalance zone) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Bearish price gap forms (3-candle imbalance zone) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Bullish gap zone filled (price returns to imbalance area) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Bearish gap zone filled (price returns to imbalance area) | quiet静默 | 24d |
| Price reclaims AVWAP from earnings-proxy anchor (quarter's top-volume session) | quiet静默 | 16d |
| Price loses AVWAP from earnings-proxy anchor (quarter's top-volume session) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Close above week-anchored VWAP | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Close below week-anchored VWAP | quiet静默 | — |
| POC retest holds (price defends the point of control) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| POC retest fails (rejected at the point of control) | quiet静默 | 136d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 197d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 13261d |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 184d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 10941d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 3d |
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $1.91 | $1.88 | +1.6% |
| Mar 2026 | $2.01 | $1.92 | +4.7% |
| Dec 2025 | $2.84 | $2.65 | +7.2% |
| Sep 2025 | $1.85 | $1.73 | +6.9% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
30
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-1.0%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-18
Analyst view分析师观点
Forward P/E预测市盈率
34.7×
Profit margin净利率
27.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$340
Put wall看跌期权墙
$295
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$296
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$340
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$330
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$1.7B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+10.8%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
IV rank (1 year)IV历史分位
22/100
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-0.1%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
+0.0pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appaloosa (Tepper) | A | New position新建仓 | 3.1% | $242M |
| Berkshire Hathaway (Buffett) | B | Holding持有 | 22.0% | $66.0B |
| Soros Fund Management | B | Holding持有 | 2.3% | $153M |
| Himalaya Capital (Li Lu) | D | Holding持有 | 0.9% | $32M |
| Whale Rock Capital | A | Holding持有 | 0.2% | $29M |
| Fairholme Capital (Berkowitz) | A | Holding持有 | 0.1% | $694,464 |
| Giverny Capital | C | Trimming减持 | 0.1% | $4M |
| Polen Capital Management | C | Trimming减持 | 0.0% | $836,742 |
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $912M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
9
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
1 : 3
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 12, 'holders_first': 8, 'holders_last': 8, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': -57.7, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '2026-08-15', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-15', 'holders_series': [8, 6, 6, 11, 9, 8, 8, 7, 7, 7, 8, 8]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 12, 'holders_first': 8, 'holders_last': 8, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': -57.7, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '2026-08-15', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-15', 'holders_series': [8, 6, 6, 11, 9, 8, 8, 7, 7, 7, 8, 8]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$111.7M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 5
Short interest空头占流通盘
0.9%
Days to cover回补天数
3.5
Short interest change空头变化
+20.1%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
Global X AI & TechnologyGlobal X AI & Technology
trimming减持
First Trust Nasdaq AI & RoboticsFirst Trust Nasdaq AI & Robotics
trimming减持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jul · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Jan · 20%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 20% | -4.1% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 60% | +2.3% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 40% | -3.9% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 40% | -0.4% | 5 |
| May5月 | 60% | +4.7% | 5 |
| Jun6月 | 60% | +2.3% | 5 |
| Jul7月 | 100% | +5.6% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 67% | +3.4% | 6 |
| Sep9月 | 50% | +1.9% | 6 |
| Oct10月 | 60% | +5.8% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 80% | +5.1% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 60% | +1.4% | 5 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
- Sep: -3.7% avg, up 37% of years (n=46)9月：平均 -3.7%，37% 的年份上涨（n=46）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。