Stocks股票 / Tech / NVDA
NVDA US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Nvidia Corporation is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Santa Clara, California.英伟达公司是一家美国跨国科技公司,总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉。
Price chart价格图表
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-08-26Estimates being raised — 43 analysts预期上调 — 43 位分析师
Beat expectations 4 quarters in a row连续 4 季度超预期
Post-earnings drift: -4.7% (20d)财报后漂移:-4.7%(20日)
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度(近几个季度) · average平均 7.2%
Valuation估值
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵| Multiple指标 | NVDA | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(历史) | 41.15x | 40.25 | |
| P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) | 15.8x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 31.41x | 5.91 | |
| P/S市销率 | 22.88x | 4.85 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.43% | 2.18 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.96% | 3.07 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 0.81% | 2.14 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 37.07x | 28.83 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 51.10x | 29.15 |
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Leverage杠杆
Capital allocation资本配置
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛,价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Flow:资金流向: $1.0B premium traded; 56% 0DTE; 240 fresh positions; P/C 0.6; ~leans bearish (direction approx)成交权利金 $1.0B;0DTE占56%;240个新建仓;看跌看涨比 0.6;≈偏看跌/对冲(方向近似)
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向: -$787.3M net (0 buyers, 10 sellers)-$787.3M 净值(0 买家,10 卖家)
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scion Asset Mgmt (Burry) | A | New position新建仓 | 13.5% | 2025-09-30 |
| Egerton Capital | C | New position新建仓 | 5.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| Altimeter Capital | A | Adding加仓 | 28.6% | 2026-03-31 |
| Dragoneer Investment Group | C | Adding加仓 | 21.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| Soros Fund Management | B | Adding加仓 | 2.5% | 2026-03-31 |
| D1 Capital Partners | A | Adding加仓 | 2.4% | 2026-03-31 |
| Tiger Global (Coleman) | B | Holding持有 | 9.2% | 2026-03-31 |
| Corvex Management | A | Holding持有 | 0.1% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件Company profile公司档案
Nvidia Corporation is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Santa Clara, California.英伟达公司是一家美国跨国科技公司,总部位于加利福尼亚州圣克拉拉。
Demand chain:需求链: Hyperscaler capex accelerating (+69% YoY to ~$379B) — the demand pool for AI accelerator / compute silicon云厂商资本开支加速(同比+69%,约 $379B)——AI 加速器/算力芯片的需求来源
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Inventory build
- Capital intensity rising
Recent news最新动态
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率(静态) | 41.1× | 40.2× | 49% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率(预测) | 15.8× | — | — |
| Price / Book市净率 | 31.4× | 5.9× | 6% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 22.9× | 4.8× | 6% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 37.1× | 28.8× | 40% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.4% | 2.2% | 56% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 2.1% | 4.2% | 23% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 0.8% | 2.1% | 28% |
Relative strength相对强度
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.1% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -3.5% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +1.8% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +11.0% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +7.8% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +18.1% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +359.7% | +69.9% |
| 5 Years近5年 | +950.9% | +82.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | 20262026 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $16.7B | $26.9B | $27.0B | $60.9B | $130.5B | $215.9B |
| EPS每股收益 | $6.90 | $3.85 | $1.74 | $11.93 | $2.94 | $4.90 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | — | — | — | $27.0B | $60.9B | $96.7B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 62.3% | 64.9% | 56.9% | 72.7% | 75.0% | 71.1% |
| Net margin净利率 | 26.0% | 36.2% | 16.2% | 48.8% | 55.8% | 55.6% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | — | — | — | 44.4% | 46.6% | 44.8% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Returns & growth回报与增长
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量:应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: receivables +1484% vs sales +1195% — receivables outpacing sales, revenue-quality risk营运资本:应收 +1484% 对销售 +1195%——应收快于销售,营收质量风险
- Pricing power: gross margin +8.8pts over 6 years定价能力:毛利率 6 年上升 8.8 个百分点
- Capital discipline: share count +3820.0% over 6 years (dilution)资本纪律:股本 6 年增加 3820.0%(稀释)
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 64.53 — safe zone资产负债表:Altman Z 64.53——安全区
Indicator readings指标读数
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Volatility regime波动状态
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 86d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 385d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 37d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 128d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 484d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 10d |
| MA Buy (21) | quiet静默 | 9d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 9d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 42d |
| MA Sell (35) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 2531d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 855d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 15d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 65d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 16d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 64d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 11d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 101d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 24d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 24d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 65d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 37d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 261d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 37d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 98d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 24d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 4d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 3d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 66d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 9d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 57d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 3d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 18d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 98d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 148d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 143d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 542d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 5223d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | — |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 147d |
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $1.87 | $1.70 | +10.0% |
| Jan 2026 | $1.57 | $1.45 | +8.3% |
| Oct 2025 | $1.24 | $1.18 | +5.1% |
| Jul 2025 | $0.99 | $0.94 | +5.3% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analyst view分析师观点
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scion Asset Mgmt (Burry) | A | New position新建仓 | 13.5% | $187M |
| Egerton Capital | C | New position新建仓 | 5.2% | $467M |
| Altimeter Capital | A | Adding增持 | 28.6% | $1.6B |
| Dragoneer Investment Group | C | Adding增持 | 21.7% | $650M |
| Soros Fund Management | B | Adding增持 | 2.5% | $187M |
| D1 Capital Partners | A | Adding增持 | 2.4% | $274M |
| Tiger Global (Coleman) | B | Holding持有 | 9.2% | $2.1B |
| Corvex Management | A | Holding持有 | 0.1% | $3M |
| Light Street Capital | B | Trimming减持 | 8.9% | $47M |
| Polen Capital Management | B | Trimming减持 | 5.0% | $716M |
| Appaloosa (Tepper) | A | Trimming减持 | 4.3% | $257M |
| Coatue Management | A | Trimming减持 | 3.8% | $1.1B |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 60% | +2.7% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 80% | +5.0% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 60% | +13.4% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 60% | +0.2% | 5 |
| May5月 | 100% | +22.2% | 6 |
| Jun6月 | 67% | +13.0% | 6 |
| Jul7月 | 67% | +10.3% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 60% | +3.8% | 5 |
| Sep9月 | 40% | -7.4% | 5 |
| Oct10月 | 80% | +9.6% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 80% | +14.1% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 40% | -2.5% | 5 |
- Jul: -1.4% avg, up 54% of years (n=28)7月:平均 -1.4%,54% 的年份上涨(n=28)