Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Tech / MSFT
Microsoft · Tech
MSFT US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Microsoft Corporation is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Redmond, Washington.Microsoft Corporation 是一家美国跨国科技公司，总部位于华盛顿州雷德蒙德。
Mega cap超大盘 · $3682B
Tech
Dow 30道琼斯30
Quality compounder优质复利股
$495.63
+$3.19 · +0.65%
52w low52周低 $349high高 $549
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Some sources unavailable部分来源不可用
As of 2026-09-14截至 2026-09-14
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Security state证券状态
8 panels8 个面板The panels below — what each one rests on, and how old it is. Use it to check the rest of the page. Not a buy or sell signal, and never blended into a score.以下面板 — 每项的依据来源与时效。可用于核对本页其余内容。不构成买卖信号，也不会合并为任何评分。
Overview概览Some sources unavailable部分来源不可用
What this security looks like right now, at a glance.这只证券当前状况的一目了然总览。
Ladder state: TURN SIGNALED (up).阶梯状态：TURN SIGNALED（上行）。
Reads available可用读数
1 of 2 required reads are current.2 项必需读数中，1 项为当前数据。
2 of 5 optional reads are current.5 项可选读数中，2 项为当前数据。
Your position你的持仓This does not apply to you right now.这暂不适用于你。
Where it stands当前位置Current当前
Ladder state: TURN SIGNALED (up).阶梯状态：TURN SIGNALED（上行）。
Direction方向pointing up向上
What changed有何变化Not available暂不可用
No current earnings-change event is published for this security yet.该证券当前尚无已发布的财报变动事件。
The owner of this read returned nothing. No substitute value is shown.该读数的负责来源没有返回结果，此处不使用任何替代数值。
Opportunity context机会背景Current当前
Some context reads are missing部分背景读数缺失
The rest of the page is unaffected: no rank, score or stand-in value is put where a missing read would go.本页其余内容不受影响：缺失的读数不会被任何排名、评分或替代数值填补。
Reads behind this构成这项的读数
Prophet outlookProphet 前瞻Not available暂不可用Entry read入场读数Current当前Priced-in read定价程度读数Not covered未覆盖Mispricing read错价读数Not covered未覆盖
What could go wrong风险Current当前
No checks failed无未通过的检查
What to watch next接下来关注Not available暂不可用
Not available暂不可用
The owner of this read returned nothing. No substitute value is shown.该读数的负责来源没有返回结果，此处不使用任何替代数值。
Evidence证据
3 current当前2 not available暂不可用
counted here本页统计
Owner & model receipts所有者与模型凭证Identity confirmed身份已确认
Who read this, when, and the exact fingerprint of what was read.谁读取了这些数据、何时读取，以及所读内容的确切指纹。
R1
passed通过
This security record exists and has not been replaced.该证券记录存在，且未被替换。
R2
passed通过
This security is tied to its resolved issuer.该证券已绑定到已解析的发行主体。
R3
passed通过
Exactly one active issuer record binds this company and its identifier.恰好一条有效的发行主体记录绑定了该公司及其识别码。
R4
passed通过
This issuer currently has exactly this one security.该发行主体当前仅有这一只证券。
R5
passed通过
The listing identifier maps back to this same security.上市标识可回映射到同一只证券。
R6
passed通过
No issuer or security migration is on file for this name.该名称没有发行主体或证券迁移记录。
R7
passed通过
Workspace events and disclosures, when present, bind to the same company identifier.若有工作区，其事件与披露均绑定同一公司识别码。
R8
passed通过
The master company identifier matches the owner read; if a workspace is present, it agrees too.主数据中的公司识别码与所有者读数一致；若有工作区，工作区亦一致。
R9
not checked未核对
No workspace listing was available to compare this cycle.本周期没有可比对的工作区上市记录。
Generated生成时间2026-09-14 08:25Z
Compiled编排时间2026-09-14 08:25Z
Content fingerprint内容指纹4e2b0004aba80edfc09345d7bd48df54b3cafe5eb87caff4f87c2ca3c685463f
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-09-14MA Buy (21)Short-term Rising Trend
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
57
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+9.4% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+15.4% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
34
Strong trend趋势强劲
Volatility波动率
34th percentile第34百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-11-0451
Estimates being raised — 22 analysts预期上调 — 22 位分析师
Beat expectations 4 quarters in a row连续 4 季度超预期
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 9.3%
Valuation估值
Roughly fair vs sector相对行业估值合理| Multiple指标 | MSFT | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 36.16x | 40.90 | |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 21.0x | — | — |
| P/B市净率 | 9.42x | 5.73 | |
| P/S市销率 | 13.07x | 4.81 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.77% | 1.95 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 1.94% | 3.10 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 1.15% | 2.14 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 24.55x | 26.87 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 51.42x | 28.99 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$281.7B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 14.5%
Earnings per share每股收益
$13.642025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 18.8%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$71.6B2025
20202025
Gross margin毛利率
68.8%
Operating margin营业利润率
45.6%
Net margin净利率
36.1%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
48.3%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/9
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Return on equity股本回报率 26%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA0.09
Current ratio流动比率1.35
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$18.4B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$12.0B
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-0.1%
Debt coming due到期债务
SEC filingsSEC 文件We do not have an SEC filing record for this listing.我们目前没有该证券的 SEC 备案记录。
This panel only reads filings an issuer makes with the SEC, and this listing has not been matched to one.本面板仅读取发行人向 SEC 提交的文件，该证券尚未匹配到对应的备案主体。
Research context only — reported figures from SEC filings, not a rating, a signal or investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 数据摘自 SEC 文件披露口径，不构成评级、信号或投资建议。
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
News新闻
4 recent stories — mixed4 篇最新报道，多空参半
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Magnificent Seven theme — #3 of 49 themes「七巨头」主题 — 49 个主题中第 3 位
Macro宏观
Short-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate tailwind.短久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率顺风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
MSFT took relative-strength leadershipMSFT 取得相对强弱领先
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.52%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.39%
IV rankIV历史分位
5%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$377
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-0.4%
Flow:资金流向： $391M premium traded; 0% 0DTE; 158 fresh positions; P/C 0.53; ~leans bullish (direction approx)成交权利金 $391M；0DTE占0%；158个新建仓；看跌看涨比 0.53；≈偏看涨（方向近似）
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$13.6M net (1 buyers, 4 sellers)-$13.6M 净值（1 买家，4 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AltaRock Partners | C | Adding加仓 | 20.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Coatue Management | A | Adding加仓 | 2.2% | 2026-06-30 |
| Altimeter Capital | A | Holding持有 | 4.8% | 2026-06-30 |
| Tiger Global (Coleman) | B | Holding持有 | 3.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Corvex Management | A | Holding持有 | 1.5% | 2026-06-30 |
| Giverny Capital | C | Holding持有 | 0.0% | 2026-06-30 |
| Polen Capital Management | C | trimtrim | 6.7% | 2026-06-30 |
| AKO Capital | B | trimtrim | 5.5% | 2026-06-30 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-08-17 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-08-17 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部
Sep 10, 2026
MSFT took relative-strength leadershipMSFT 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $492.44.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$492.44。
Sep 1, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Aug 31, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Aug 28, 2026
Golden cross on MSFTMSFT 金叉
The 50-day average crossed above the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bullish trend signal. $513.53.50日均线上穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看多趋势信号。$513.53。
Aug 27, 2026
MSFT RSI reached overboughtMSFT RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $505.06.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$505.06。
Aug 26, 2026
MSFT StochRSI turned up from oversoldMSFT StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $496.37.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$496.37。
Aug 25, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 3424 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Microsoft Corporation is an American multinational technology company headquartered in Redmond, Washington.Microsoft Corporation 是一家美国跨国科技公司，总部位于华盛顿州雷德蒙德。
Demand chain:需求链： Contracted bookings (RPO) accelerating (+36% YoY to ~$375B, 1.3× revenue) — signed demand locked in ahead of recognition已签约订单（RPO）加速（同比+36%，约 $375B，覆盖营收 1.3 倍）——已锁定、尚未确认的需求
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Below market低于市场
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Margin compression despite revenue growth
- Capital intensity rising
Recent news最新动态
Microsoft CEO says superintelligence must remain 'under human control'
Fox Business · 2026-09-14
Slow Down AI? Microsoft CEO, President Trump Line Up Against Anthropic's Call — Big Tech's Divide Is Now Out In The Open
Yahoo · 2026-09-14
Amazon, Alphabet, and Microsoft: Which 2 to Buy and Which 1 to Avoid
Yahoo · 2026-09-13
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Where it stands当前位置
What this read says这项读数说了什么
Ladder state: TURN SIGNALED (up).阶梯状态：TURN SIGNALED（上行）。
Where it comes from来源与时间
Field status字段状态Current当前
Correction state更正状态None recorded无记录
Fields read, exactly as recorded按原样读取的字段
- ladder.state
- —
- ladder.dir
- —
- tech.chg_1d
- 0.6
- ladder_state
- TURN SIGNALED
- ladder_direction
- up
Recorded as记录原文: Ladder state: TURN SIGNALED (up).阶梯状态：TURN SIGNALED（上行）。
Can you act on this是否可据此行动
Usable as it stands, within the clocks above.在上述时间戳范围内可直接使用。
Most lines here are quoted — copied as recorded from the source named beside them. Lines tagged “worked out here” are produced by Mastermind from those quoted values under a fixed rule, never by judgement. The plain wording of a source's own status is ours; the status itself is the source's, and a missing source stays missing.本面板多数内容为引用 — 按记录原样复制自旁注来源。标注「本页推算」的内容由 Mastermind 依据这些引用值按固定规则得出，不含主观判断。来源状态的通俗措辞由本页给出，状态本身来自来源；缺失的来源仍按缺失呈现。
What changed有何变化
What this read says这项读数说了什么
No current earnings-change event is published for this security yet.该证券当前尚无已发布的财报变动事件。
The owner of this read returned nothing. No substitute value is shown.该读数的负责来源没有返回结果，此处不使用任何替代数值。
Where it comes from来源与时间
Field status字段状态Not available暂不可用
Correction state更正状态None recorded无记录
Can you act on this是否可据此行动
Nothing is claimed here, so there is nothing to act on.此处未作任何结论，因此没有可据以行动的内容。
Most lines here are quoted — copied as recorded from the source named beside them. Lines tagged “worked out here” are produced by Mastermind from those quoted values under a fixed rule, never by judgement. The plain wording of a source's own status is ours; the status itself is the source's, and a missing source stays missing.本面板多数内容为引用 — 按记录原样复制自旁注来源。标注「本页推算」的内容由 Mastermind 依据这些引用值按固定规则得出，不含主观判断。来源状态的通俗措辞由本页给出，状态本身来自来源；缺失的来源仍按缺失呈现。
Opportunity context机会背景
What this read says这项读数说了什么
Some context reads are missing部分背景读数缺失
The rest of the page is unaffected: no rank, score or stand-in value is put where a missing read would go.本页其余内容不受影响：缺失的读数不会被任何排名、评分或替代数值填补。
This sentence is our plain wording of the values in this panel. The values themselves are quoted.此表述为本页对本面板数值的通俗措辞；数值本身为原样引用。
Where it comes from来源与时间
Field status字段状态Current当前
Correction state更正状态None recorded无记录
Reads behind this构成这项的读数
Prophet outlookProphet 前瞻Not available暂不可用
Entry read入场读数Current当前
Priced-in read定价程度读数Not covered未覆盖
Mispricing read错价读数Not covered未覆盖
Prophet outlookProphet 前瞻 — No owner output is published for this security this cycle.本周期没有发布该证券的所有者输出。
A read that is not available is left out. No rank, score or stand-in value is put in its place.不可用的读数即留空，不会以任何排名、评分或替代数值填补。
Can you act on this是否可据此行动
Usable as it stands, within the clocks above.在上述时间戳范围内可直接使用。
Most lines here are quoted — copied as recorded from the source named beside them. Lines tagged “worked out here” are produced by Mastermind from those quoted values under a fixed rule, never by judgement. The plain wording of a source's own status is ours; the status itself is the source's, and a missing source stays missing.本面板多数内容为引用 — 按记录原样复制自旁注来源。标注「本页推算」的内容由 Mastermind 依据这些引用值按固定规则得出，不含主观判断。来源状态的通俗措辞由本页给出，状态本身来自来源；缺失的来源仍按缺失呈现。
What could go wrong风险
What this read says这项读数说了什么
No checks failed无未通过的检查
This sentence is our plain wording of the values in this panel. The values themselves are quoted.此表述为本页对本面板数值的通俗措辞；数值本身为原样引用。
Where it comes from来源与时间
Field status字段状态Current当前
Correction state更正状态None recorded无记录
Supported claims受支持的依据
- The broad tape is under stress. Size down, or wait for confirmation.
- alerts_n_recent:47
- alerts_n_total:3424
Can you act on this是否可据此行动
Usable as it stands, within the clocks above.在上述时间戳范围内可直接使用。
Most lines here are quoted — copied as recorded from the source named beside them. Lines tagged “worked out here” are produced by Mastermind from those quoted values under a fixed rule, never by judgement. The plain wording of a source's own status is ours; the status itself is the source's, and a missing source stays missing.本面板多数内容为引用 — 按记录原样复制自旁注来源。标注「本页推算」的内容由 Mastermind 依据这些引用值按固定规则得出，不含主观判断。来源状态的通俗措辞由本页给出，状态本身来自来源；缺失的来源仍按缺失呈现。
What to watch next接下来关注
What this read says这项读数说了什么
Not available暂不可用
The owner of this read returned nothing. No substitute value is shown.该读数的负责来源没有返回结果，此处不使用任何替代数值。
Where it comes from来源与时间
Field status字段状态Not available暂不可用
Correction state更正状态None recorded无记录
Can you act on this是否可据此行动
Nothing is claimed here, so there is nothing to act on.此处未作任何结论，因此没有可据以行动的内容。
Most lines here are quoted — copied as recorded from the source named beside them. Lines tagged “worked out here” are produced by Mastermind from those quoted values under a fixed rule, never by judgement. The plain wording of a source's own status is ours; the status itself is the source's, and a missing source stays missing.本面板多数内容为引用 — 按记录原样复制自旁注来源。标注「本页推算」的内容由 Mastermind 依据这些引用值按固定规则得出，不含主观判断。来源状态的通俗措辞由本页给出，状态本身来自来源；缺失的来源仍按缺失呈现。
Your position你的持仓
What this read says这项读数说了什么
This does not apply to you right now.这暂不适用于你。
Where it comes from来源与时间
Field status字段状态Does not apply不适用
Correction state更正状态None recorded无记录
Fields read, exactly as recorded按原样读取的字段
- state
- NO_USER_CONTEXT
Can you act on this是否可据此行动
Nothing is claimed here, so there is nothing to act on.此处未作任何结论，因此没有可据以行动的内容。
Most lines here are quoted — copied as recorded from the source named beside them. Lines tagged “worked out here” are produced by Mastermind from those quoted values under a fixed rule, never by judgement. The plain wording of a source's own status is ours; the status itself is the source's, and a missing source stays missing.本面板多数内容为引用 — 按记录原样复制自旁注来源。标注「本页推算」的内容由 Mastermind 依据这些引用值按固定规则得出，不含主观判断。来源状态的通俗措辞由本页给出，状态本身来自来源；缺失的来源仍按缺失呈现。
Evidence & receipts证据与凭证
Coverage of these reads这些读数的覆盖情况counted here本页统计
Current当前3 / 5
Not available暂不可用2 / 5
Required and optional reads必需与可选读数
Required reads, current必需读数：当前1 / 2
Required reads, not in the way必需读数：不构成阻碍1 / 2
Optional reads, current可选读数：当前2 / 5
Optional reads, not in the way可选读数：不构成阻碍3 / 5
"Current" counts only reads that came back current. "Not in the way" also counts a read that does not apply to this listing, or sits outside its coverage — which is not the same as current. These counts include the evidence read, which has its own panel below rather than a card above.「当前」仅统计返回为当前的读数；「不构成阻碍」还包括不适用于该证券或不在覆盖范围内的读数 — 与「当前」并不相同。以上计数包含证据读数，该读数在下方独立面板中呈现，而非上方卡片。
How this was put together生成过程
Recipe配方erp_0ffb30689d2f33c7b3da192d86c0700c76ee0269c38fb6454138d0316bb5803c
Schema数据结构security_state.v1
Listing上市代码US-XNAS-MSFT
Security证券标识SEC:US-XNAS-MSFT
Issuer发行人标识ISS:US-XNAS-MSFT
Content fingerprint内容指纹4e2b0004aba80edfc09345d7bd48df54b3cafe5eb87caff4f87c2ca3c685463f
Market data through行情数据截至2026-09-11
Compiled编排时间2026-09-14 08:25Z
Identity confirmed身份已确认 · 9 source checks项来源核对 · 8 matches项一致
What went into the evidence证据的构成counted here本页统计
Evidence compiled证据编排结果Refused已拒绝
Records asked for请求的记录1
Records used已采用的记录0
Records left out已排除的记录1
Records missing缺失的记录1
Records older than policy超出时效的记录0
Records not licensed here此处无授权的记录0
Records from a fallback来自备用来源的记录0
Records not tied to this listing未与该证券对应的记录0
Identity checks身份核对
R1
passed通过
This security record exists and has not been replaced.该证券记录存在，且未被替换。
the security master reference table证券主档参考表
read by读取方 this page's identity reader本页的身份读取程序
- Master row found已找到主数据行
- yes是
- Security status证券状态
- ——
- Replaced by被替换为
- ——
- Alias reader别名读取方
- the vendor alias table供应商别名表
- Registration-number reader注册编号读取方
- the issuer master's registration-number lookup发行人主档的注册编号查询
- Owner decision date所有者判定日期
- 2026-09-142026-09-14
- Issuer reader发行人读取方
- the issuer master's issuer lookup发行人主档的发行人查询
- owner_listing_reader
- ——
R2
passed通过
This security is tied to its resolved issuer.该证券已绑定到已解析的发行主体。
the security master reference table证券主档参考表
read by读取方 this page's identity reader本页的身份读取程序
- Issuer identifier发行人标识
- ISS:US-XNAS-MSFTISS:US-XNAS-MSFT
- Issuer status发行人状态
- resolved已确定
R3
passed通过
Exactly one active issuer record binds this company and its identifier.恰好一条有效的发行主体记录绑定了该公司及其识别码。
the issuer master reference table发行人主档参考表
read by读取方 this page's identity reader本页的身份读取程序
- Registration number注册编号
- 00007890190000789019
- Matching record count匹配记录数
- 11
- Issuer identifier发行人标识
- ISS:US-XNAS-MSFTISS:US-XNAS-MSFT
- Record status记录状态
- active有效
R4
passed通过
This issuer currently has exactly this one security.该发行主体当前仅有这一只证券。
the security master reference table证券主档参考表
read by读取方 this page's identity reader本页的身份读取程序
- Security list证券列表
- SEC:US-XNAS-MSFTSEC:US-XNAS-MSFT
- Count数量
- 11
R5
passed通过
The listing identifier maps back to this same security.上市标识可回映射到同一只证券。
the security master reference table证券主档参考表
read by读取方 this page's listing-code reader本页的上市代码读取程序
- Listing code上市代码
- US-XNAS-MSFTUS-XNAS-MSFT
- Derived security identifier推导出的证券标识
- SEC:US-XNAS-MSFTSEC:US-XNAS-MSFT
R6
passed通过
No issuer or security migration is on file for this name.该名称没有发行主体或证券迁移记录。
the issuer and security migration tables发行人与证券迁移表
read by读取方 this page's identity reader本页的身份读取程序
- Issuer migration matches发行人迁移匹配数
- 00
- Security migration matches证券迁移匹配数
- 00
R7
passed通过
Workspace events and disclosures, when present, bind to the same company identifier.若有工作区，其事件与披露均绑定同一公司识别码。
this cycle's event workspace本周期的事件工作区
read by读取方 this page's workspace reader本页的工作区读取程序
- Workspace available工作区可用
- no否
- Event identifier事件标识
- ——
- Company identifier公司标识
- ——
- Filing registration number披露文件注册编号
- ——
R8
passed通过
The master company identifier matches the owner read; if a workspace is present, it agrees too.主数据中的公司识别码与所有者读数一致；若有工作区，工作区亦一致。
the security master reference table and this cycle's event workspace证券主档参考表与本周期的事件工作区
read by读取方 this page's identity reader本页的身份读取程序
- Workspace available工作区可用
- no否
- Master registration number主数据注册编号
- 00007890190000789019
- Subject registration number标的注册编号
- 00007890190000789019
- Workspace registration number工作区注册编号
- ——
R9
not checked未核对
No workspace listing was available to compare this cycle.本周期没有可比对的工作区上市记录。
this cycle's workspace listings本周期工作区中的上市记录
read by读取方 this page's workspace reader本页的工作区读取程序
- Corroboration旁证状态
- not available暂不可用
- Issuer identifier发行人标识: ISS:US-XNAS-MSFTISS:US-XNAS-MSFT = ISS:US-XNAS-MSFTISS:US-XNAS-MSFT — match一致
- Issuer record count发行人记录数: 11 = 11 — match一致
- Issuer security set发行人证券集合: SEC:US-XNAS-MSFTSEC:US-XNAS-MSFT = SEC:US-XNAS-MSFTSEC:US-XNAS-MSFT — match一致
- Listing key round-trip上市代码回环核对: SEC:US-XNAS-MSFTSEC:US-XNAS-MSFT = SEC:US-XNAS-MSFTSEC:US-XNAS-MSFT — match一致
- Event identifier事件标识: no否 = yes是 — differ不一致
- Company identifier公司标识: —— = cik:0000789019cik:0000789019 — differ不一致
- Registration number on the filing披露文件上的注册编号: —— = 00007890190000789019 — differ不一致
- Issuer registration number发行人注册编号: 00007890190000789019 = 00007890190000789019 — match一致
The issuer's registration number reflects only its current owner of record, not its full history.发行人的注册编号仅反映当前登记的所有者，不含完整历史沿革。 CIK_LEG_OWNER_BACKED_CURRENT_ONLY
This security's identity was built from the current reference data, read at one point in time.该证券的身份信息基于某一时点读取的当前参考数据构建。 OWNER_COMPOSED_SUBJECT_CURRENT_ONLY
No dated ownership history was checked; this proof covers current identity only.未核对带日期的历史所有权记录；本证明仅覆盖当前身份。 ISSUERMASTER_CURRENT_IDENTITY_ONLY
The starting date used to cross-check this identity is a placeholder floor, not confirmed evidence.用于交叉核对该身份的起始日期为占位下限，并非已确认的证据。 ALIAS_EPOCH_VALID_FROM
This security's identity was built from the current reference data, read at one point in time.该证券的身份信息基于某一时点读取的当前参考数据构建。 OWNER_COMPOSED_SUBJECT_CURRENT_ONLY
No dated ownership history was checked; this proof covers current identity only.未核对带日期的历史所有权记录；本证明仅覆盖当前身份。 ISSUERMASTER_CURRENT_IDENTITY_ONLY
The starting date used to cross-check this identity is a placeholder floor, not confirmed evidence.用于交叉核对该身份的起始日期为占位下限，并非已确认的证据。 ALIAS_EPOCH_VALID_FROM
This panel is a receipt. Anything untagged is quoted from the owner named beside it. The tagged lines — the counts, the pick of the biggest open question, and the estimated window — are worked out here from those quotes under a fixed rule. Nothing is estimated to cover a gap, and no missing source is replaced by a neutral value.本面板为凭证。未加标注的内容均引用自旁注来源方；标注项 — 各项计数、最大未决问题的选取，以及预计窗口 — 由本页依据上述引用按固定规则得出。缺失的来源不会被推算填补，也不会以中性数值替代。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 36.2× | 40.9× | 53% |
| P/E (forward)市盈率（预测） | 21.0× | — | — |
| Price / Book市净率 | 9.4× | 5.7× | 29% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 13.1× | 4.8× | 16% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 24.6× | 26.9× | 54% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 2.8% | 1.9% | 60% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.7% | 3.9% | 47% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 1.1% | 2.1% | 35% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
22/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
90/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
70/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
35/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#166 / 222
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -0.8% | -0.8% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +0.8% | -1.1% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +27.1% | +3.3% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +25.8% | +15.7% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +5.5% | +12.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -0.3% | +17.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +52.9% | +77.4% |
| 5 Years近5年 | +74.6% | +83.1% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.96
Volatility rank波动率分位
34th pctile
Short interest空头占比
1.0% of float
Market cap市值
$3682B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$13.71
Dividend yield股息率
0.73%
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-7.8%
Volume vs normal成交量相对平常
0.7×
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $143.0B | $168.1B | $198.3B | $211.9B | $245.1B | $281.7B |
| EPS每股收益 | $5.76 | $8.05 | $9.65 | $9.68 | $11.80 | $13.64 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $45.2B | $56.1B | $65.1B | $59.5B | $74.1B | $71.6B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 67.8% | 68.9% | 68.4% | 68.9% | 69.8% | 68.8% |
| Net margin净利率 | 31.0% | 36.5% | 36.7% | 34.1% | 36.0% | 36.1% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 31.6% | 33.4% | 32.9% | 28.1% | 30.2% | 25.4% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$281.7B
Gross profit毛利润
$193.9B
Net income净利润
$101.8B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$136.2B
Total assets总资产
$665.3B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$390.9B
Long-term debt长期负债
$35.4B
Dividends paid股息支出
$24.1B
Buybacks股票回购
$18.4B
Shares outstanding总股本
7.43B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
26.1%
Return on assets资产回报率
15.3%
Debt / assets负债/资产
5.3%
Revenue growth营收增速
+17.7%
Profit growth利润增速
+15.5%
Asset growth资产增速
+24.6%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Pricing power: gross margin +1.0pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年上升 1.0 个百分点
- Capital discipline: assets +24.6% (aggressive expansion)资本纪律：资产 +24.6%（扩张激进）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 9.79 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 9.79——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
57
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
66
Trend strength (ADX)趋势强度（ADX）
34
Average daily range平均日波幅
2.1%
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+0.3%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+9.4%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+15.4%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
Monthly月线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
37/100
All tracked signals全部跟踪信号
| Signal信号 | State状态 | Age距今 |
|---|---|---|
| Golden Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 52d |
| Golden Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 39d |
| Golden Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Death Cross (7/35) | quiet静默 | 93d |
| Death Cross (21/100) | quiet静默 | 74d |
| Death Cross (50/200) | quiet静默 | 232d |
| MA Buy (7) | quiet静默 | 8d |
| MA Buy (21) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| MA Buy (35) | quiet静默 | 46d |
| MA Buy (100) | quiet静默 | 43d |
| MA Sell (7) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| MA Sell (21) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| MA Sell (35) | quiet静默 | 51d |
| MA Sell (100) | quiet静默 | 52d |
| Pivot Bottom | quiet静默 | 158d |
| Pivot Top | quiet静默 | 1838d |
| RSI-14 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 79d |
| RSI-14 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 18d |
| RSI-21 Oversold Entry | quiet静默 | 78d |
| RSI-21 Overbought Entry | quiet静默 | 8d |
| Double Bottom (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 71d |
| Double Bottom (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 18d |
| Double Top (Short-term) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Double Top (Long-term) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Bollinger Breakout Up | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Bollinger Breakout Down | quiet静默 | 171d |
| Short-term Rising Trend | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Short-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Rising Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Long-term Falling Trend | quiet静默 | — |
| Possible Runner (Momentum Breakout) | quiet静默 | 469d |
| 1-Day Return (cross-sectional rank → top/bottom gainers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Strong 1-Day Move Flag | quiet静默 | — |
| Valuation cheapness percentile (0–1, higher = cheaper vs peers) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Undervalued — composite multiples in cheapest decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Overvalued — composite multiples in most expensive decile vs universe | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Power (0–100) — quality-weighted Form-4 open-market trades (role × size × recency); 50 = neutral | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Insider Buy signal — fires when Insider Power ≥ 60 (net buying on quality-weighted basis) | quiet静默 | — |
| Insider Sell signal — fires when Insider Power ≤ 40 (net selling on quality-weighted basis) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Above Cloud | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Ichimoku — Price Below Cloud | quiet静默 | — |
| Ichimoku — Bullish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses above Kijun) | quiet静默 | 58d |
| Ichimoku — Bearish TK Cross (Tenkan crosses below Kijun) | quiet静默 | 91d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakout Up (Price crosses above Kumo) | quiet静默 | 43d |
| Ichimoku — Cloud Breakdown (Price crosses below Kumo) | quiet静默 | 87d |
| Trend Ribbon — Uptrend State | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Trend Ribbon — Downtrend State | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Uptrend | quiet静默 | 42d |
| Trend Ribbon — Flip to Downtrend | quiet静默 | 51d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Up | quiet静默 | 1d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three Curling Down | quiet静默 | 7d |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Below 30 | quiet静默 | — |
| RSI Stack (7/14/21) — All Three at or Above 80 (reference band) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Upper Band Rejection (Wick above, Close below) | quiet静默 | 37d |
| Bollinger Lower Band Reclaim (Wick below, Close above) | quiet静默 | 91d |
| Bollinger Band Walk Up (Close above upper band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Bollinger Band Walk Down (Close below lower band ≥ 3 of last 5 bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| MACD bullish cross | quiet静默 | 71d |
| MACD bearish cross | quiet静默 | 24d |
| RSI crosses above 50 | quiet静默 | 45d |
| RSI crosses below 50 | quiet静默 | 51d |
| Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bullish cross | quiet静默 | 147d |
| Bi-weekly Stochastic-RSI bearish cross | quiet静默 | 77d |
| Directional Indicator Bullish Cross (+DI above -DI) | quiet静默 | 45d |
| Directional Indicator Bearish Cross (-DI above +DI) | quiet静默 | 51d |
| ADX Trend Ignition — Bullish (ADX crosses above 25 while price rising) | quiet静默 | 36d |
| ADX Trend Ignition — Bearish (ADX crosses above 25 while price falling) | quiet静默 | 171d |
| ADX Trending (ADX ≥ 25 and rising — strong, accelerating trend) | quiet静默 | — |
| ADX Weak Trend (ADX < 20 — market ranging, no directional conviction) | quiet静默 | — |
| Aroon Bullish Cross (recent highs dominating — uptrend beginning) | quiet静默 | 56d |
| Aroon Bearish Cross (recent lows dominating — downtrend beginning) | quiet静默 | 94d |
| Aroon Strong Uptrend (recent highs near current bar, lows far away) | quiet静默 | — |
| Aroon Strong Downtrend (recent lows near current bar, highs far away) | quiet静默 | — |
| Vortex Bullish Cross (VI+ above VI- with separation — upward momentum) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Vortex Bearish Cross (VI- above VI+ with separation — downward momentum) | quiet静默 | 123d |
| Elder Ray Bullish Setup (bear power negative but improving, price trend up) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Elder Ray Bearish Setup (bull power positive but falling, price trend down) | quiet静默 | 129d |
| Elder Ray Bulls Dominant (bull power positive, bear power near zero) | quiet静默 | — |
| Elder Ray Bears Dominant (bear power negative, bull power near zero) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volatility Squeeze Active (Bollinger inside Keltner) | quiet静默 | — |
| Squeeze Release — Upside Breakout | quiet静默 | 11d |
| Squeeze Release — Downside Breakout | quiet静默 | 176d |
| Trending Market Regime (Choppiness below 38.2) | quiet静默 | — |
| Ranging Market Regime (Choppiness above 61.8) | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend Onset (Choppiness drops below 38.2) | quiet静默 | 43d |
| Trending Regime by Efficiency (VHF above median) | quiet静默 | — |
| Donchian Channel Upside Breakout (20-day high exceeded) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Donchian Channel Downside Breakdown (20-day low breached) | quiet静默 | 78d |
| Failed Upside Breakout (Price retreats below channel within 5 bars) | quiet静默 | 11d |
| Failed Downside Breakdown (Price recovers above channel within 5 bars) | quiet静默 | 77d |
| Wide Channel (Donchian width in top 20% of trailing year) | quiet静默 | — |
| NR7 Coiling Pattern Active (Narrowest range in 7 bars, within last 3) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Upside Range Expansion (True range > 2×ATR, strong close) | quiet静默 | 149d |
| Downside Range Expansion (True range > 2×ATR, weak close) | quiet静默 | 371d |
| Money Flow turns positive (CMF crosses above zero) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Money Flow turns negative (CMF crosses below zero) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Sustained buying pressure (CMF above +0.05 for 10+ bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Sustained selling pressure (CMF below -0.05 for 10+ bars) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volume backing the move up (OBV rising over 20 days) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Volume backing the move down (OBV falling over 20 days) | quiet静默 | — |
| OBV breaks to new 60-day high (accumulation surge) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| OBV breaks to new 60-day low (distribution surge) | quiet静默 | 78d |
| Volume surge (relative volume doubles its 20-day average) | quiet静默 | 43d |
| Volume drying up (5-day average below 60% of normal) | quiet静默 | — |
| Oversold money flow recovering (MFI crosses back above 20) | quiet静默 | 77d |
| Overbought money flow retreating (MFI crosses back below 80) | quiet静默 | 56d |
| Money flow momentum turns bullish (MFI crosses above 50) | quiet静默 | 72d |
| Money flow momentum turns bearish (MFI crosses below 50) | quiet静默 | 95d |
| Price crosses above adaptive moving average in trending market | quiet静默 | 29d |
| Price crosses below adaptive moving average in trending market | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Adaptive moving average rising in trending market | quiet静默 | — |
| Adaptive moving average falling in trending market | quiet静默 | — |
| Market moving efficiently — trend-following conditions present | quiet静默 | — |
| Market choppy — trend signals unreliable | quiet静默 | — |
| Trend turns bullish — price breaks above resistance band | quiet静默 | 58d |
| Trend turns bearish — price breaks below support band | quiet静默 | 98d |
| Price above trend support — bullish regime | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Price below trend resistance — bearish regime | quiet静默 | — |
| Price pulls back to trend support then recovers — continuation setup | quiet静默 | 99d |
| Connors RSI deep oversold arrival (crosses below 10) | quiet静默 | 92d |
| Connors RSI oversold exit (crosses back above 10) | quiet静默 | 91d |
| Connors RSI overbought exit (crosses back below 90) | quiet静默 | 11d |
| Spearman trend turns positive (smoothed rank correlation crosses above zero) | quiet静默 | 15d |
| Spearman trend turns negative (smoothed rank correlation crosses below zero) | quiet静默 | 1d |
| Spearman strong uptrend (raw rank correlation above 80) | quiet静默 | — |
| Spearman strong downtrend (raw rank correlation below -80) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Low Drawdown Stress (Ulcer Index below 25th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| Elevated Drawdown Stress (Ulcer Index above 75th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| Drawdown Stress Spike (Ulcer Index doubles in 21 bars, above 5) | quiet静默 | 64d |
| Drawdown Stress Easing (Ulcer Index crosses below median after stress period) | quiet静默 | 56d |
| Low Relative Volatility (nATR below 25th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| High Relative Volatility (nATR above 75th percentile) | quiet静默 | — |
| Volatility Compression (short-window vol well below long-window vol) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Volatility Expansion Breakout (short-window vol crosses above long-window vol) | quiet静默 | 43d |
| Mass Index Bulge Reversal (range expansion then contraction setup) | quiet静默 | 204d |
| 12-1 Momentum Positive (medium-term uptrend, reversal-adjusted) | quiet静默 | — |
| 12-1 Momentum Negative (medium-term downtrend, reversal-adjusted) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Momentum Acceleration Up (3-month crosses above 6-month, both improving) | quiet静默 | 30d |
| Momentum Deceleration Down (3-month crosses below 6-month, both weakening) | quiet静默 | 526d |
| New 52-Week Closing High | quiet静默 | 318d |
| New 52-Week Closing Low | quiet静默 | 78d |
| Relative Strength Recovery (stock outpaces benchmark over 3 months) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength Deterioration (stock falls behind benchmark over 3 months) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength at 6-Month High (stock/benchmark ratio at new peak) | quiet静默 | — |
| Relative Strength at 6-Month Low (stock/benchmark ratio at new trough) | quiet静默 | — |
| BBTrend Crosses Above Zero (channel expanding in favor of buyers) | quiet静默 | 23d |
| BBTrend Crosses Below Zero (channel expanding in favor of sellers) | quiet静默 | 72d |
| Inside Bar — price range compressed within prior bar | quiet静默 | — |
| Outside Bar — price range expands beyond prior bar on both sides | quiet静默 | — |
| Outside-Inside Bar Coil — outside bar followed by inside bar compression | quiet静默 | 80d |
| Three Consecutive Inside Bars — prolonged compression coil | quiet静默 | 3013d |
| Bullish 2-1-2 Continuation — higher high bar, inside bar, upside break | quiet静默 | 21d |
| Bearish 2-1-2 Continuation — lower low bar, inside bar, downside break | quiet静默 | 98d |
| Bullish 2-1-2 Reversal — lower low bar, inside bar, upside break | quiet静默 | 46d |
| Bearish 2-1-2 Reversal — higher high bar, inside bar, downside break | quiet静默 | 10d |
| Bullish 3-1-2 — outside bar, inside bar coil, upside break | quiet静默 | 79d |
| Bearish 3-1-2 — outside bar, inside bar coil, downside break | quiet静默 | 79d |
| Fractal Low Confirmed (swing low locked in) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Fractal High Confirmed (swing high locked in) | quiet静默 | 3d |
| Swing Uptrend (higher highs and higher lows) | quiet静默 | — |
| Swing Downtrend (lower lows and lower highs) | quiet静默 | — |
| Fractal High Break (close rises above confirmed swing high) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Fractal Low Break (close falls below confirmed swing low) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| KST crosses above signal line (negative territory) | quiet静默 | 66d |
| KST crosses below signal line (positive territory) | quiet静默 | 18d |
| True Strength Index crosses above signal (below zero) | quiet静默 | 67d |
| True Strength Index crosses below signal (above zero) | quiet静默 | 9d |
| Coppock curve turns up from a trough (below zero) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Ultimate Oscillator exits oversold zone (crosses above 30) | quiet静默 | 77d |
| Ultimate Oscillator exits overbought zone (crosses below 70) | quiet静默 | 32d |
| Fisher Transform crosses above prior bar (below -1) | quiet静默 | 17d |
| Fisher Transform crosses below prior bar (above +1) | quiet静默 | 31d |
| QQE smoothed RSI crosses above adaptive band (below 50) | quiet静默 | 72d |
| QQE smoothed RSI crosses below adaptive band (above 50) | quiet静默 | 25d |
| Schaff Trend Cycle crosses above 25 (bullish turn) | quiet静默 | 16d |
| Schaff Trend Cycle crosses below 75 (bearish turn) | quiet静默 | 10d |
| Bullish price gap forms (3-candle imbalance zone) | quiet静默 | 14d |
| Bearish price gap forms (3-candle imbalance zone) | quiet静默 | 2d |
| Bullish gap zone filled (price returns to imbalance area) | quiet静默 | 7d |
| Bearish gap zone filled (price returns to imbalance area) | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Price reclaims AVWAP from earnings-proxy anchor (quarter's top-volume session) | quiet静默 | 46d |
| Price loses AVWAP from earnings-proxy anchor (quarter's top-volume session) | quiet静默 | 50d |
| Close above week-anchored VWAP | ● active● 活跃 | 0d |
| Close below week-anchored VWAP | quiet静默 | — |
| POC retest holds (price defends the point of control) | quiet静默 | 94d |
| POC retest fails (rejected at the point of control) | quiet静默 | 46d |
| Golden Star (7/35) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 591d |
| Golden Star (21/100) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 3816d |
| Golden Star (50/200) — three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 8437d |
| Death Star (7/35) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 655d |
| Death Star (21/100) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 5072d |
| Death Star (50/200) — bearish three-entity cross with price gate | quiet静默 | 8955d |
| New Golden Star — freshly fired Golden Star (7/35), age ≤ 1 trading day | quiet静默 | 590d |
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | $4.74 | $4.21 | +12.6% |
| Mar 2026 | $4.27 | $4.07 | +4.9% |
| Dec 2025 | $4.14 | $3.88 | +6.7% |
| Sep 2025 | $4.13 | $3.65 | +13.2% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
22
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+4.2%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+16
Analyst view分析师观点
Forward P/E预测市盈率
21.0×
Profit margin净利率
40.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$510
Put wall看跌期权墙
$475
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$377
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$500
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$480
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$1.3B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+23.9%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
IV rank (1 year)IV历史分位
5/100
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-0.4%
Call-put IV spread看涨-看跌IV价差
+0.0pp
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AltaRock Partners | C | Adding增持 | 20.5% | $871M |
| Coatue Management | A | Adding增持 | 2.2% | $1.1B |
| Altimeter Capital | A | Holding持有 | 4.8% | $473M |
| Tiger Global (Coleman) | B | Holding持有 | 3.5% | $846M |
| Corvex Management | A | Holding持有 | 1.5% | $49M |
| Giverny Capital | C | Holding持有 | 0.0% | $666,587 |
| Polen Capital Management | C | Trimming减持 | 6.7% | $783M |
| AKO Capital | B | Trimming减持 | 5.5% | $234M |
| Viking Global (Halvorsen) | B | Trimming减持 | 1.6% | $544M |
| Soros Fund Management | B | Trimming减持 | 1.1% | $71M |
| Appaloosa (Tepper) | A | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $33M |
| TCI Fund Management | D | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $1.0B |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
13
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
2 : 7
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 12, 'holders_first': 19, 'holders_last': 10, 'holders_delta': -9, 'value_change_pct': -79.2, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '2026-08-17', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-15', 'holders_series': [19, 19, 19, 18, 18, 17, 16, 17, 17, 16, 13, 10]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 12, 'holders_first': 19, 'holders_last': 10, 'holders_delta': -9, 'value_change_pct': -79.2, 'from_period': '2023-09-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '2026-08-17', 'available_on_first': '2023-11-15', 'holders_series': [19, 19, 19, 18, 18, 17, 16, 17, 17, 16, 13, 10]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$13.6M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
1 : 4
Short interest空头占流通盘
1.0%
Days to cover回补天数
3.2
Short interest change空头变化
+8.6%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
Roundhill Generative AI & TechRoundhill Generative AI & Tech
accumulating持续增持
Global X AI & TechnologyGlobal X AI & Technology
accumulating持续增持
Global X Autonomous & Electric VehiclesGlobal X Autonomous & Electric Vehicles
trimming减持
First Trust Nasdaq AI & RoboticsFirst Trust Nasdaq AI & Robotics
trimming减持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
May · 80%
Weakest month最弱月份
Dec · 20%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 40% | -1.1% | 5 |
| Feb2月 | 40% | -3.3% | 5 |
| Mar3月 | 60% | +1.9% | 5 |
| Apr4月 | 60% | +6.0% | 5 |
| May5月 | 80% | +7.0% | 5 |
| Jun6月 | 60% | +3.9% | 5 |
| Jul7月 | 67% | +7.1% | 6 |
| Aug8月 | 50% | 0.0% | 6 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -2.2% | 6 |
| Oct10月 | 80% | +0.6% | 5 |
| Nov11月 | 60% | +4.5% | 5 |
| Dec12月 | 20% | -0.7% | 5 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
- Sep: +0.6% avg, up 56% of years (n=41)9月：平均 +0.6%，56% 的年份上涨（n=41）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。