Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Materials / BALL
Ball Corporation · Materials
BALL US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Ball Corporation is an American aluminum manufacturing company headquartered in Westminster, Colorado, United States. It is best known for its early production of glass jars, lids, and related products used for home canning.鲍尔公司是一家美国铝制品制造公司，总部位于美国科罗拉多州威斯敏斯特。以其早期生产的家用罐装玻璃罐、瓶盖及相关产品而闻名。
Large cap大盘 · $17B
Materials
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
$61.93
-$0.21 · -0.34%
52w low52周低 $45.27high高 $68.19
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
45
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+1.8% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+7.4% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
31th percentile第31百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Post-earnings drift: -12.6% (20d)财报后漂移：-12.6%（20日）
Valuation估值
Looks cheap vs sector相对行业偏便宜| Multiple指标 | BALL | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/B市净率 | 3.06x | 2.82 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 4.75% | 3.14 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 9.29% | 2.33 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 21.06x | 26.46 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$13.2B2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 2.2%
Earnings per share每股收益
$3.302025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 13.4%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$788.0M2025
20202025
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 5/6
Bankruptcy risk: grey zone破产风险：灰色区
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Current ratio流动比率1.11
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$1.3B
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$28.0M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-10.2%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Materials (Equal-Weight) theme — #34 of 49 themes「材料（等权）」主题 — 49 个主题中第 34 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -13.9%空头仓位变动 -13.9%
Technical技术面
BALL daily MACD crossed downBALL 日线MACD下穿
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±1.78%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±3.99%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$59
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-2.8%
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$1.3M net (1 buyers, 2 sellers)-$1.3M 净值（1 买家，2 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appaloosa (Tepper) | A | trimtrim | 0.8% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-07-14 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-07-14 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部
Aug 4, 2026
BALL daily MACD crossed downBALL 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $63.75.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$63.75。
Jul 30, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 29, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 28, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 28, 2026
BALL RSI reached overboughtBALL RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $66.89.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$66.89。
Jul 27, 2026
BALL daily MACD crossed upBALL 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $64.67.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$64.67。
Jul 20, 2026
BUY ZONE → UPTREND买入区 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jul 17, 2026
UPTREND → BUY ZONE上涨趋势 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 17, 2026
BALL StochRSI turned up from oversoldBALL StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $62.71.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$62.71。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 102 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Ball Corporation is an American aluminum manufacturing company headquartered in Westminster, Colorado, United States. It is best known for its early production of glass jars, lids, and related products used for home canning.鲍尔公司是一家美国铝制品制造公司，总部位于美国科罗拉多州威斯敏斯特。以其早期生产的家用罐装玻璃罐、瓶盖及相关产品而闻名。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Above market高于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Inventory build
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Price / Book市净率 | 3.1× | 2.8× | 46% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 7.6% | 6.7% | 60% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 9.3% | 2.3% | 95% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
36/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
52/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
21/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
46/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#24 / 107
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -1.9% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +2.4% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +12.6% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -7.4% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +16.9% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +14.5% | +21.6% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.21
Volatility rank波动率分位
31th pctile
Short interest空头占比
2.5% of float
Market cap市值
$17B
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-8.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $11.8B | $13.8B | $15.3B | $14.0B | $11.8B | $13.2B |
| EPS每股收益 | $1.76 | $2.65 | $2.25 | $2.23 | $13.00 | $3.30 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $319M | $34M | $-1.4B | $818M | $-369M | $788M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 34.0% | 7.0% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 2.7% | 0.2% | -8.8% | 5.8% | -3.1% | 6.0% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$1.3B
Total assets总资产
$19.5B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$5.4B
Dividends paid股息支出
$220M
Buybacks股票回购
$1.3B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.27B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Asset growth资产增速
+10.8%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Working capital: inventory +49% vs sales +12%; receivables +53% vs sales +12% — demand & revenue-quality risk营运资本：存货 +49% 对销售 +12%；应收 +53% 对销售 +12%——需求与营收质量风险
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 2.29 — grey zone资产负债表：Altman Z 2.29——灰色区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
45
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
12
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-2.6%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+1.8%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+7.4%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
24/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
4
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mixed分歧
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+2
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$68
Put wall看跌期权墙
$55
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$59
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$62
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$60
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+4.5%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-2.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Appaloosa (Tepper) | A | Trimming减持 | 0.8% | $49M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 1
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 2, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': -22.2, 'from_period': '2025-12-31', 'to_period': '2026-03-31', 'available_on': '2026-05-16', 'available_on_first': '2026-02-18', 'holders_series': [1, 1]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 2, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 1, 'holders_delta': 0, 'value_change_pct': -22.2, 'from_period': '2025-12-31', 'to_period': '2026-03-31', 'available_on': '2026-05-16', 'available_on_first': '2026-02-18', 'holders_series': [1, 1]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$1.3M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
1 : 2
Short interest空头占流通盘
2.5%
Days to cover回补天数
3.5
Short interest change空头变化
-13.9%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。