Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Comm. Services / CARG
CarGurus · Comm. Services
CARG US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Comm. Services
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
Quality compounder优质复利股
$37.94
+$1.06 · +2.87%
52w low52周低 $26.42high高 $39.77
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Stretched/late — protect gains and don't start new positions; let the next low set up first.已拉伸／晚期——保护利润，不要新开仓；先等下一个低点构筑成形。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
60
Elevated偏高
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+13.8% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+12.0% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
90th percentile第90百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates being raised — 3 analysts预期上调 — 3 位分析师
Beat expectations 4 quarters in a row连续 4 季度超预期
Post-earnings drift: -20.8% (20d)财报后漂移：-20.8%（20日）
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 7.6%
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$907.0M2025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 10.5%
Earnings per share每股收益
$1.552025
20202025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 17.9%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$288.9M2025
20202025
Gross margin毛利率
92.8%
Operating margin营业利润率
27.0%
Net margin净利率
17.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
32.6%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 6/8
Return on equity股本回报率 42%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.70
Current ratio流动比率2.81
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$351.9M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$50.4M
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$0.3M net (1 buyers, 5 sellers)-$0.3M 净值（1 买家，5 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS. Late in the daily cycle (day 15 of ~23-44) — odds favor a dip into the next cycle low from here even with the trend intact止盈。处于日线周期晚期（约 23-44 天中的第 15 天）——即便趋势完好，从此处概率上仍倾向于回落至下一个周期低点
Aug 12, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Aug 12, 2026
CARG daily MACD crossed downCARG 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $36.88.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$36.88。
Aug 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 29, 2026
CARG daily MACD crossed upCARG 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $37.07.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$37.07。
Jul 28, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 27, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 27, 2026
CARG reclaimed its 200-day averageCARG 收复200日均线
Price closed back above the 200-day moving average — the classic bull dividing line. $34.96.收盘重回200日均线 — 经典的多头分界线。$34.96。
Jul 27, 2026
CARG StochRSI turned up from oversoldCARG StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $34.96.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$34.96。
Jul 23, 2026
CARG printed a daily-cycle lowCARG 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $32.96.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$32.96。
Jul 22, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 22, 2026
CARG lost its 200-day averageCARG 跌破200日均线
Price closed below the 200-day moving average — the classic bear dividing line. $33.67.收盘跌破200日均线 — 经典的空头分界线。$33.67。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 284 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Profitability盈利能力
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
38/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
76/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
85/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
57/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#22 / 56
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +4.3% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +11.4% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +32.3% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +38.8% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +0.8% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +18.2% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +109.7% | +79.7% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.56
Volatility rank波动率分位
90th pctile
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-2.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $551M | $951M | $1.7B | $914M | $894M | $907M |
| EPS每股收益 | $0.68 | $0.00 | $0.62 | $0.19 | $0.20 | $1.55 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $154M | $91M | $250M | $100M | $180M | $289M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 92.3% | 69.1% | 39.7% | 71.3% | 82.6% | 92.8% |
| Net margin净利率 | 14.1% | 11.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 17.2% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 27.9% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 10.9% | 20.2% | 31.9% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$907M
Gross profit毛利润
$842M
Net income净利润
$156M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$295M
Total assets总资产
$662M
Shareholder equity股东权益
$374M
Buybacks股票回购
$352M
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
41.7%
Return on assets资产回报率
23.6%
Profit growth利润增速
+643.4%
Asset growth资产增速
-19.7%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: receivables +130% vs sales +64% — receivables outpacing sales, revenue-quality risk营运资本：应收 +130% 对销售 +64%——应收快于销售，营收质量风险
- Pricing power: strong gross profitability vs peers定价能力：毛利能力强于同业
- Capital discipline: disciplined growth, returning cash资本纪律：增长克制、回报股东
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
60
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
75
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+5.4%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+13.8%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+12.0%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
57/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $0.47 | $0.46 | +2.2% |
| Dec 2025 | $0.56 | $0.51 | +9.8% |
| Sep 2025 | $0.48 | $0.44 | +9.1% |
| Jun 2025 | $0.47 | $0.43 | +9.3% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
3
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+2.3%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+3
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$0.3M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
1 : 5
Days to cover回补天数
7.1
Short interest change空头变化
-4.8%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Jun · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Feb · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 33% | -3.6% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 0% | -4.2% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 67% | +4.5% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -2.3% | 3 |
| May5月 | 67% | +8.2% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 100% | +8.2% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +0.9% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 75% | +6.1% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 67% | +4.0% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 33% | -1.4% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +20.3% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 67% | +8.5% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。