Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / DFH
Dream Finders Homes, Inc. · Consumer Disc.
DFH US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
Consumer Disc.
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
$14.88
-$0.96 · -6.06%
52w low52周低 $12.09high高 $31.70
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
Setup almost complete — likely buy trigger in ~1–3 trading days if it closes back above its 10-day average.形态接近完成——若收盘重新站上 10 日均线，预计将在约 1–3 个交易日内出现买入触发。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
43
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-1.7% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-15.3% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
88th percentile第88百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-07-3010days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 22.4%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 13.9%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Net margin净利率
5.0%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
-2.3%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 1/5
Return on equity股本回报率 15%
Watch关注
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$41.7M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$24.9M
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
DFH StochRSI turned up from oversoldDFH StochRSI自超卖区上行
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$6.0M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$6.0M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giverny Capital | C | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-06-22 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-06-22 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 16, 2026
DFH StochRSI turned up from oversoldDFH StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $16.52.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$16.52。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 8, 2026
DFH daily MACD crossed downDFH 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $15.65.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$15.65。
Jul 6, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 2, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jun 30, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 237 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
9/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
51/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
10/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
5/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#165 / 192
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.2% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -4.6% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -4.1% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -24.8% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -13.2% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -41.6% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -40.0% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.35
Volatility rank波动率分位
88th pctile
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-52.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $1.9B | $3.3B | $3.7B | $4.5B | $4.3B |
| EPS每股收益 | $1.27 | $2.45 | $2.79 | $3.34 | $2.14 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $62M | $-33M | $369M | $-282M | $-126M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 16.3% | 18.6% | 19.7% | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 3.2% | -1.0% | 9.9% | -6.3% | -2.9% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$4.3B
Net income净利润
$217M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$-101M
Total assets总资产
$3.7B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$1.4B
Buybacks股票回购
$42M
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
15.3%
Return on assets资产回报率
5.8%
Profit growth利润增速
-36.2%
Asset growth资产增速
+12.0%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 5 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 5 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Pricing power: gross margin +3.4pts over 3 years定价能力：毛利率 3 年上升 3.4 个百分点
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
43
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
11
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-7.7%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-1.7%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-15.3%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
47/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
3
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-14.8%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-3
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giverny Capital | C | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $550,654 |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 1
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 9, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2024-06-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2024-08-14', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 9, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2024-06-30', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2024-08-14', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$6.0M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 2
Days to cover回补天数
8.3
Short interest change空头变化
-5.5%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
SPDR S&P HomebuildersSPDR S&P Homebuilders
trimming减持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Aug · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Oct · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 33% | -0.2% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 67% | +5.8% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 33% | -4.8% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 67% | +1.9% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -7.4% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 75% | +12.9% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 75% | +4.9% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 100% | +10.8% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -6.2% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 0% | -18.5% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 100% | +12.2% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -13.8% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。