Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Industrials / FLY
Firefly Aerospace Inc · Industrials
FLY US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Industrials
Russell 2000罗素2000
Speculative / unprofitable投机／未盈利
$25.28
-$0.86 · -3.29%
52w low52周低 $15.52high高 $61.49
Neutral — no clear edge中性 — 无明显优势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and oscillators are already extended/overbought — not a safe entry. Wait for…筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且摆动指标已过热——此处入场风险较高。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-20
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
52
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-0.6% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-8.0% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
14th percentile第14百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Beat in 3 of last 4 quarters近 4 季中 3 季超预期
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 -277.9%
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年
Gross margin毛利率
19.2%
Net margin净利率
-186.6%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
-128.2%
Clean稳健
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Space Economy theme — #25 of 49 themes「太空经济」主题 — 49 个主题中第 25 位
Positioning持仓
Insider cluster activity内部人集中交易
Technical技术面
Signal: LIMITED信号：历史不足
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±5.80%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±12.97%
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
0.7%
Skew: balanced偏斜：balanced
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$384.3M net (0 buyers, 2 sellers)-$384.3M 净值（0 买家，2 卖家）
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | C | exitexit | 0.0% | 2026-06-30 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
Now: BOTTOMING当前：筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-07-29 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-07-29 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Aug 18, 2026
Signal: LIMITED信号：历史不足
Aug 17, 2026
Signal: LIMITED信号：历史不足
Aug 13, 2026
Signal: LIMITED信号：历史不足
Aug 12, 2026
Signal: LIMITED信号：历史不足
Aug 11, 2026
Death cross on FLYFLY 死叉
The 50-day average crossed below the 200-day — a slow, widely-watched bearish trend signal. $26.36.50日均线下穿200日均线 — 一个滞后但广受关注的看空趋势信号。$26.36。
Aug 7, 2026
Signal: LIMITED信号：历史不足
Jul 31, 2026
Signal: LIMITED信号：历史不足
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 79 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -4.7% | -0.4% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +28.5% | +3.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -41.0% | +3.8% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +26.5% | +11.9% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +6.4% | +12.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -44.4% | +21.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Volatility rank波动率分位
14th pctile
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$-1.87
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-57.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$160M
Gross profit毛利润
$31M
Net income净利润
$-298M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$-205M
Total assets总资产
$1.8B
Shares outstanding总股本
0.16B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on assets资产回报率
-16.3%
Asset growth资产增速
+348.0%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Capital discipline: assets +348.0% (aggressive expansion)资本纪律：资产 +348.0%（扩张激进）
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
52
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
11
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+8.1%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-0.6%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-8.0%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
62/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | $-0.46 | $-0.50 | +8.0% |
| Dec 2025 | $-0.38 | $-0.48 | +20.8% |
| Sep 2025 | $-0.33 | $-0.42 | +21.4% |
| Jun 2025 | $-5.30 | $-0.42 | -1161.9% |
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$27
Put wall看跌期权墙
$24
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$30
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$25
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
1%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
+0.7%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | C | Exited清仓 | 0.0% | $725,957 |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
0 : 1
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 2, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2026-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2026-05-14', 'holders_series': [1, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 2, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2026-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2026-05-14', 'holders_series': [1, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$384.3M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 2
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
SPDR S&P Aerospace & DefenseSPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense
accumulating持续增持
Roundhill SpaceRoundhill Space
trimming减持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。