Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / SHAK
Shake Shack, Inc. · Consumer Disc.
SHAK US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Shake Shack is an American multinational fast casual restaurant chain based in New York City. It started out as a hot dog cart inside Madison Square Park in 2001, and its popularity steadily grew.Shake Shack 是一家总部位于纽约市的美国跨国快餐连锁餐厅，2001年以麦迪逊广场公园内的热狗摊起家，人气稳步增长。
High-beta momentum高贝塔动量
Consumer Disc.
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
$56.97
-$1.03 · -1.78%
52w low52周低 $49.91high高 $143
Lagging — relative weakness落后 — 相对弱势
The bottoming setup is not yet confirmed (price still below the 10-day average) and oscillators are already extended/overbought — not a safe entry. Wait for…筑底形态尚未确认（价格仍位于 10 日均线下方），且摆动指标已过热——此处入场风险较高。等待价格收复 10 日均线且动量趋于稳定后再考虑建仓。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
46
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-3.5% below下方
Below trend跌破趋势
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-31.7% below下方
Long trend down长期向下
Volatility波动率
63th percentile第63百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-07-3010days to go天后公布
Estimates being cut预期下调
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 22.6%
Earnings per share每股收益
Free cash flow自由现金流
Operating margin营业利润率
4.3%
Net margin净利率
3.4%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
15.4%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 6/7
Return on equity股本回报率 10%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.66
Current ratio流动比率1.76
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -15.3%空头仓位变动 -15.3%
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$0.1M net (0 buyers, 1 sellers)-$0.1M 净值（0 买家，1 卖家）
Concentrated ownership集中持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | As of截至 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.0% | 2026-03-31 |
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. Buyers rejected the 2026-06-23 low (swing low printed) but price hasn't reclaimed its 10-day average — first box ticked, not all. Last cycle was left-translated (topped early) — a bearish structural tell买入预备。买方拒绝了 2026-06-23 的低点（摆动低点已现），但价格尚未收复 10 日均线——第一项条件达成，并非全部。 上一周期为左移结构（见顶偏早）——属于看空的结构性信号
Jul 16, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 15, 2026
BUY ZONE → NEARING A HIGH买入区 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 13, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → BUY ZONE未确认转向 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 6, 2026
SHAK broke down vs the marketSHAK 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $54.18.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$54.18。
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UPTREND接近低点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Jun 29, 2026
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY高风险 · 仅限灵活操作
Jun 29, 2026
SHAK broke down vs the marketSHAK 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $54.79.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$54.79。
Jun 22, 2026
UNCONFIRMED TURN → NEARING A LOW未确认转向 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Jun 22, 2026
SHAK broke down vs the marketSHAK 相对市场走弱
Relative strength vs SPY crossed below the 10th percentile of the last 90 days — weakness often leads price. $55.71.相对标普500的强弱下穿近90日的第10百分位 — 走弱常先于价格。$55.71。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 236 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Shake Shack is an American multinational fast casual restaurant chain based in New York City. It started out as a hot dog cart inside Madison Square Park in 2001, and its popularity steadily grew.Shake Shack 是一家总部位于纽约市的美国跨国快餐连锁餐厅，2001年以麦迪逊广场公园内的热狗摊起家，人气稳步增长。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Quality质量
Above market高于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
4/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
1/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
4/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
2/100 — weaker than most弱于多数
Rank in sector行业内排名
#186 / 192
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -8.4% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -3.6% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | -44.0% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | -39.9% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | -31.7% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | -57.8% | +19.2% |
| 3 Years近3年 | -26.9% | +69.9% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.38
Volatility rank波动率分位
63th pctile
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-59.6%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $523M | $740M | $900M | $1.1B | $1.3B | $1.4B |
| EPS每股收益 | $-1.14 | $-0.22 | $-0.61 | $0.48 | $0.24 | $1.09 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $-32M | $-43M | $-66M | $-14M | $36M | $57M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Net margin净利率 | -8.1% | -1.2% | -2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 3.2% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | -6.1% | -5.8% | -7.3% | -1.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$1.4B
Net income净利润
$50M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$222M
Total assets总资产
$1.9B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$525M
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
9.5%
Return on assets资产回报率
2.6%
Profit growth利润增速
+359.4%
Asset growth资产增速
+11.7%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: earnings cash-backed盈利质量：盈利有现金支撑
- Working capital: receivables +248% vs sales +176% — receivables outpacing sales, revenue-quality risk营运资本：应收 +248% 对销售 +176%——应收快于销售，营收质量风险
- Capital discipline: investment near the peer median资本纪律：投资力度接近同业中位
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
46
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
8
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
+0.3%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
-3.5%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
-31.7%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
not in effect未生效
MACDMACD
above signal位于信号线上方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum up动能向上
3-day3日线
momentum up — fresh upturn动能向上——刚刚转强
Weekly周线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
44/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
17
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly cutting多数下调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
-14.1%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
-17
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Tracked funds holding it跟踪基金持仓
| Fund基金 | Grade评级 | Latest move最新动作 | % of book组合占比 | Position市值 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polen Capital Management | B | New position新建仓 | 0.0% | $2M |
Fund positioning基金持仓概览
Tracked funds in the name持有该股的跟踪基金
1
Buying vs selling买入vs卖出
1 : 0
Quarterly trend季度趋势
{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0]}{'direction': 'distributing', 'n_quarters': 14, 'holders_first': 1, 'holders_last': 0, 'holders_delta': -1, 'value_change_pct': -100.0, 'from_period': '2023-03-31', 'to_period': '2026-06-30', 'available_on': '', 'available_on_first': '2023-05-15', 'holders_series': [1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0]}
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$0.1M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 1
Days to cover回补天数
2.0
Short interest change空头变化
-15.3%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Apr · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Mar · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +2.8% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 67% | +9.3% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 0% | -7.1% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 100% | +2.3% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -10.7% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 50% | +8.4% | 4 |
| Jul7月 | 50% | +0.1% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 33% | -9.8% | 3 |
| Sep9月 | 33% | -11.9% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 67% | +3.8% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | +8.6% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -2.6% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。