Positive context积极背景
Stocks股票 / Comm. Services / WLY
John Wiley & Sons · Comm. Services
WLY US listed · USD美股 · 美元
John Wiley & Sons, Inc., commonly known as Wiley, is an American multinational publishing company which focuses on academic publishing and instructional materials.John Wiley & Sons, Inc.，通常称为Wiley，是一家专注于学术出版和教学材料的美国跨国出版公司。
Comm. Services
S&P 600标普600小盘Russell 2000罗素2000
Rate-sensitive利率敏感
$51.82
+$1.88 · +3.76%
52w low52周低 $28.05high高 $56.80
Extended — wait for a pullback过度拉伸 — 等待回撤
Daily low forming, but the bigger trend is still bearish. Small size only; stop below 48.72.日线低点正在形成，但大趋势仍偏空。只适合小仓位；止损设于 48.72 下方。
Live实时
Company intelligence公司情报
The latest call, in context把最新财报放回历史脉络
A synthesized event record across management commentary and recorded metrics. Read as context; verify exact wording in the transcript before relying.综合管理层表述与记录指标形成事件档案。仅供参考；使用前请在电话会原文中核对准确措辞。
Live company record实时公司记录
JavaScript loads the source-bounded event record here. Open Terminal if the live module does not start.JavaScript 会在此加载受来源约束的事件记录。如实时模块未启动，请打开终端。
Continue with full transcript history继续查看完整电话会历史 ↗Pressure context压力背景
History mode历史模式
Context only仅供参考 · not a signal or recommendation不构成信号或建议
Narrative claims may await line-level citation; verify in the transcript.叙述性内容可能仍待逐行引用，请在电话会原文中核对。
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
Open in Terminal打开终端 ↗
Loading chart…图表加载中…
The interactive chart could not load here.互动图表暂时无法在此加载。
Open the live chart in Terminal在终端中打开实时图表 ↗
Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
MMastermind Terminal — live & interactiveMastermind 终端 — 实时互动 ↗
Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-08-14
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+6.0% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+34.6% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
85th percentile第85百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
next report下次财报 2026-09-0320
Estimates being raised — 1 analysts预期上调 — 1 位分析师
Beat expectations 2 quarters in a row连续 2 季度超预期
EPS surprise vs consensus, last quarters每股收益相对预期的超预期幅度（近几个季度） · average平均 7.0%
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
$1.7B2025
20212025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -3.6%
Earnings per share每股收益
$1.532025
20212025
5-yr growth5年复合增速 -12.7%
Free cash flow自由现金流
$141.1M2025
20212025
Operating margin营业利润率
13.2%
Net margin净利率
13.2%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
15.5%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 6/8
Return on equity股本回报率 30%
Clean稳健
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA1.94
Current ratio流动比率0.54
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Macro宏观
Rate risk runs through its market / growth beta, not a distinct duration leg.其利率风险通过市场／成长beta体现，并无独立的久期暴露。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed +10.1%空头仓位变动 +10.1%
Technical技术面
TOPPING → NEARING A LOW做顶中 → 接近低点
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
NEARING A LOW → UNCONFIRMED TURN接近低点 → 未确认转向
HIGH-RISK · NIMBLE ONLY. A daily bottoming setup is forming (swing low in, momentum turned up) — but the higher timeframes haven't confirmed it: the bigger picture is still bearish (weekly momentum positive; but rolling toward a weekly cross-down; 3-day crossed down; investor cycle overdue). This is an UNCONFIRMED TURN, not a confirmed buy. Weekly confirmation lags price, so this exact reading covers BOTH bounces that fail AND the first leg of a genuine new cycle — you can't tell which in real time, so treat it as a risk/size signal, not a direction call. Measured: weekly-unconfirmed bottoming setups held the low ~49% of the time vs ~68% once the weekly turns up高风险 · 仅限灵活操作。正在形成日线筑底形态（摆动低点已现、动量转向上行）——但更高周期尚未确认：大局仍偏空（周线动量为正；但正趋向周线向下交叉；3 日线向下交叉；投资者周期已逾期）。这是「未确认转向」，并非已确认的买入。周线确认滞后于价格，因此同样的读数既涵盖最终失败的反弹，也涵盖真正新周期的第一段——实时无法判定属于哪一种，故应将其视为风险/仓位信号，而非方向判断。实测：周线未确认的筑底形态约 49% 守住低点，周线转向后升至约 68%
Aug 12, 2026
TOPPING → NEARING A LOW做顶中 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Aug 7, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → NEARING A LOW接近高点 → 接近低点
GET READY准备
Aug 7, 2026
WLY daily MACD crossed downWLY 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $52.33.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$52.33。
Jul 31, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 29, 2026
WLY daily MACD crossed upWLY 日线MACD上穿
The daily MACD histogram turned positive — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $55.72.日线MACD柱状图转正 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$55.72。
Jul 29, 2026
WLY RSI reached overboughtWLY RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $55.72.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$55.72。
Jul 28, 2026
WLY made a new 52-week highWLY 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $54.30.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$54.30。
Jul 27, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 27, 2026
WLY took relative-strength leadershipWLY 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $51.01.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$51.01。
Jul 27, 2026
WLY StochRSI turned up from oversoldWLY StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $51.01.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$51.01。
Jul 23, 2026
WLY printed a daily-cycle lowWLY 打出日线周期低点
A confirmed local low — in this cycle framework the highest-odds long-entry window. $48.72.一个已确认的局部低点 — 在本周期框架中做多胜率最高的入场窗口。$48.72。
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 285 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
John Wiley & Sons, Inc., commonly known as Wiley, is an American multinational publishing company which focuses on academic publishing and instructional materials.John Wiley & Sons, Inc.，通常称为Wiley，是一家专注于学术出版和教学材料的美国跨国出版公司。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Above market高于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Above market高于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Above market高于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Above market高于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Receivables stretch
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
55/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
85/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
94/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
68/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#13 / 56
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | -3.4% | +1.2% |
| 1 Month近1月 | +5.2% | +3.5% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +29.9% | +5.2% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +77.7% | +14.4% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +77.3% | +14.2% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +32.4% | +21.6% |
| 3 Years近3年 | +58.8% | +79.7% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
0.15
Volatility rank波动率分位
85th pctile
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-7.0%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $1.9B | $2.1B | $2.0B | $1.9B | $1.7B |
| EPS每股收益 | $2.63 | $2.62 | $0.31 | $-3.65 | $1.53 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $283M | $250M | $196M | $132M | $141M |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 67.8% | 66.4% | 65.7% | 69.0% | 74.3% |
| Net margin净利率 | 7.6% | 7.1% | 0.9% | -10.7% | 5.0% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 14.6% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$1.7B
Net income净利润
$222M
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$261M
Total assets总资产
$2.6B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$750M
Long-term debt长期负债
$796M
Dividends paid股息支出
$74M
Buybacks股票回购
$100M
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
29.5%
Return on assets资产回报率
8.7%
Debt / assets负债/资产
31.1%
Profit growth利润增速
+163.2%
Asset growth资产增速
-1.5%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals near the peer median盈利质量：应计利润接近同业中位
- Working capital: working capital roughly in line with sales营运资本：营运资本与销售大致同步
- Pricing power: gross margin +6.5pts over 5 years定价能力：毛利率 5 年上升 6.5 个百分点
- Capital discipline: disciplined growth, returning cash资本纪律：增长克制、回报股东
- Balance sheet: leverage unremarkable资产负债表：杠杆水平一般
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
53
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
74
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
0.0%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+6.0%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+34.6%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down动能向下
3-day3日线
momentum down — fresh downturn动能向下——刚刚转弱
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range state波幅状态
expanding — range opening up扩张中 — 波幅放大
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
72/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Surprise history超预期历史
| Quarter季度 | Reported实际 | Expected预期 | Surprise超预期 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2026 | $1.67 | $1.65 | +1.2% |
| Jan 2026 | $0.97 | $0.86 | +12.8% |
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
1
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mostly raising多数上调
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+3.9%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+1
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Days to cover回补天数
9.3
Short interest change空头变化
+10.1%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Seasonality — full detail季节性 — 完整明细
Strongest month最强月份
Mar · 100%
Weakest month最弱月份
Feb · 0%
Month by month逐月统计
| Month月份 | Closed higher收涨占比 | Median move中位涨跌 | Years年数 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan1月 | 67% | +2.3% | 3 |
| Feb2月 | 0% | -1.2% | 3 |
| Mar3月 | 100% | +14.2% | 3 |
| Apr4月 | 33% | -0.3% | 3 |
| May5月 | 33% | -2.8% | 3 |
| Jun6月 | 100% | +14.0% | 3 |
| Jul7月 | 75% | +8.9% | 4 |
| Aug8月 | 75% | +5.2% | 4 |
| Sep9月 | 100% | +0.2% | 3 |
| Oct10月 | 33% | -8.1% | 3 |
| Nov11月 | 67% | 0.0% | 3 |
| Dec12月 | 33% | -15.1% | 3 |
History is a tendency, not a promise — small samples wobble.历史规律只是倾向而非保证 — 样本少时波动大。
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。