Stocks股票 / Consumer Disc. / WSM
Williams-Sonoma, Inc. · Consumer Disc.
WSM US listed · USD美股 · 美元
Williams-Sonoma, Inc., is an American publicly traded consumer retail company that sells kitchenware and home furnishings. It is headquartered in San Francisco, California, United States.Williams-Sonoma, Inc. 是一家美国上市零售公司，销售厨房用品和家居装饰品，总部位于美国加利福尼亚州旧金山。
Large cap大盘 · $27B
Cyclical周期股
Consumer Disc.
S&P 500标普500
$223.34
-$5.07 · -2.22%
52w low52周低 $165high高 $243
Constructive — building a base建设性 — 正在筑底
The daily turn is already in — a low formed ~5 days ago at $215.93 and price is back above the 10-day average. What's missing is the weekly timeframe…日线转向已经完成——低点于约 5 天前形成，价位215.93，且价格已重新站上 10 日均线。尚缺的是周线周期的确认，因此这是当下可用的部分信心入场，而非待触发信号：可在此建半仓，或等待周线转向。
Engine read引擎解读 · 2026-07-21
Price chart价格图表
daily · interactive日线 · 可交互
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Candles, volume and moving averages — pan and zoom inside the chart.蜡烛图、成交量与均线 — 图内可缩放拖动。
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Technicals技术面
daily bars日线数据 · 2026-07-21
Momentum (RSI 14)动量（RSI 14）
53
Neutral zone中性区域
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+6.7% above上方
Uptrend intact趋势完好
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+14.0% above上方
Long trend up长期向上
Volatility波动率
9th percentile第9百分位
These readings feed the stance at the top — one source per number, refreshed nightly.以上读数构成页首的引擎立场 — 每个数字只有一个来源，每晚更新。
Earnings财务业绩
Estimates roughly stable预期基本稳定
Valuation估值
Expensive vs sector相对行业偏贵| Multiple指标 | WSM | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（历史） | 24.38x | 19.97 | |
| P/B市净率 | 12.74x | 2.89 | |
| P/S市销率 | 3.40x | 1.21 | |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.10% | 4.57 | |
| FCF yield自由现金流收益率 | 3.98% | 5.73 | |
| Shareholder yield股东收益率 | 4.41% | 4.27 | |
| EV/EBITDA企业价值/EBITDA | 15.48x | 11.39 | |
| P/FCF市值/自由现金流 | 25.13x | 16.57 |
"Cheaper than" = share of sector peers trading richer on that multiple.「相对便宜」= 行业中该指标估值更高的同行占比。
Financials财务数据
fiscal years财年Revenue营业收入
5-yr growth5年复合增速 2.9%
Earnings per share每股收益
5-yr growth5年复合增速 0.5%
Free cash flow自由现金流
Gross margin毛利率
46.2%
Operating margin营业利润率
18.1%
Net margin净利率
13.9%
FCF margin自由现金流利润率
16.8%
Balance-sheet quality财务体质 4/8
Bankruptcy risk: safe zone破产风险：安全区
Return on equity股本回报率 52%
Watch关注
Leverage杠杆
Net debt / EBITDA净债务/EBITDA-0.62
Current ratio流动比率1.39
Capital allocation资本配置
Buybacks (TTM)回购（TTM）$854.0M
Stock-based comp股权薪酬$106.5M
Share count change (1y)股数变化（1年）-3.5%
Why is it moving为何波动
6 checks · nightly六项检查 · 每晚
Sector / Theme行业/主题
Consumer Discretionary (Equal-Weight) theme — #34 of 46 themes「非必需消费（等权）」主题 — 46 个主题中第 34 位
Macro宏观
Long-duration name into a restrictive, rising-real-rate regime → rate headwind.长久期标的进入偏紧、实际利率上行的环境→利率逆风。
Positioning持仓
Short interest changed -11.9%空头仓位变动 -11.9%
Technical技术面
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
Options positioning期权持仓
as of last close截至上一收盘Market makers are net long gamma — price pinned near current level做市商净持有正伽玛，价格倾向于在当前水平附近震荡
Expected daily move预期日波动
±2.36%
Expected weekly move预期周波动
±5.28%
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$218
25d risk reversal25d风险逆转
-3.7%
Skew: fear偏斜：避险
Call and put walls are plotted on the Trade levels ladder →看涨/看跌期权墙已标注在「交易点位」阶梯上 →
Ownership & smart money持仓与聪明钱
13FInsider activity:内部人动向： -$22.4M net (0 buyers, 3 sellers)-$22.4M 净值（0 买家，3 卖家）
Signal history信号历史
engine events引擎事件
BUY ZONE → BOTTOMING买入区 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP. A new cycle low likely formed 5 day(s) ago (2026-07-13 @ 215.93): swing low in, price back above the 10-day average — but the weekly timeframe hasn't turned yet, so conviction is partial买入预备。新的周期低点可能已在 5 天前形成 （2026-07-13 @ 215.93）：摆动低点已现，价格重新站上 10 日均线——但周线周期尚未转向，因此信心仅为部分
Jul 16, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BUY ZONE接近高点 → 买入区
BUY买入
Jul 16, 2026
WSM took relative-strength leadershipWSM 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $227.62.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$227.62。
Jul 16, 2026
WSM StochRSI turned up from oversoldWSM StochRSI自超卖区上行
StochRSI popped back above 20 — the earliest oscillator heads-up that downside momentum is easing. $227.62.StochRSI重回20上方 — 下行动量趋缓的最早预警。$227.62。
Jul 15, 2026
BOTTOMING → NEARING A HIGH筑底中 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jul 1, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → BOTTOMING接近高点 → 筑底中
BUY SETUP买入预备
Jul 1, 2026
WSM daily MACD crossed downWSM 日线MACD下穿
The daily MACD histogram turned negative — fast and noisy, context rather than a standalone trigger. $227.39.日线MACD柱状图转负 — 快速且嘈杂，仅作背景。$227.39。
Jun 29, 2026
WSM made a new 52-week highWSM 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $239.37.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$239.37。
Jun 24, 2026
UPTREND → NEARING A HIGH上涨趋势 → 接近高点
TAKE PROFITS止盈
Jun 24, 2026
WSM made a new 52-week highWSM 创52周新高
Price reached a fresh 52-week high — a momentum / trend extreme the whole market watches. $234.88.价格创出52周新高 — 全市场关注的动量/趋势极值。$234.88。
Jun 24, 2026
WSM RSI reached overboughtWSM RSI进入超买
RSI(14) crossed above 70 — stretched to the upside; context, not a timing trigger alone. $234.88.RSI(14)上穿70 — 上行过度；仅作背景，单独不构成择时。$234.88。
Jun 23, 2026
WSM took relative-strength leadershipWSM 取得相对强弱领先
Relative strength vs SPY crossed above the 90th percentile of the last 90 days — leadership tends to persist. $225.39.相对标普500的强弱上穿近90日的第90百分位 — 领先往往延续。$225.39。
Jun 17, 2026
NEARING A HIGH → UPTREND接近高点 → 上涨趋势
HOLD持有
Showing the last 15 of显示最近15条，共 102 signals条信号
Company profile公司档案
Williams-Sonoma, Inc., is an American publicly traded consumer retail company that sells kitchenware and home furnishings. It is headquartered in San Francisco, California, United States.Williams-Sonoma, Inc. 是一家美国上市零售公司，销售厨房用品和家居装饰品，总部位于美国加利福尼亚州旧金山。
Style DNA — how it trades vs the market风格基因 — 相对市场的交易特征
Value价值
Below market低于市场
Profitability盈利能力
Above market高于市场
Quality质量
Below market低于市场
Investment资本投入
Below market低于市场
Shareholder payout股东回报
Below market低于市场
Low volatility低波动
Below market低于市场
Low market beta低市场敏感度
Below market低于市场
Earnings quality盈利质量
Below market低于市场
Short interest空头兴趣
Below market低于市场
Watch items — what could change the story关注项 — 可能改变故事的因素
- Capital intensity rising
The whole US universe — S&P 1500 and Russell 2000 — read nightly.覆盖标普1500与罗素2000全部成分股 — 每晚更新解读。
Signals, options positioning, smart-money moves and factor DNA — the same engine that wrote this page covers 2,700+ US stocks.信号、期权持仓、聪明钱动向与因子基因 — 撰写本页的引擎覆盖2700多只美股。
Statistics — full detail统计数据 — 完整明细
Valuation vs sector估值对比行业
| Multiple指标 | This stock本股 | Sector median行业中位 | Cheaper than相对便宜 |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (trailing)市盈率（静态） | 24.4× | 20.0× | 34% |
| Price / Book市净率 | 12.7× | 2.9× | 10% |
| Price / Sales市销率 | 3.4× | 1.2× | 11% |
| EV / EBITDAEV/EBITDA | 15.5× | 11.4× | 27% |
| Earnings yield盈利收益率 | 4.1% | 4.6% | 41% |
| Free-cash-flow yield自由现金流收益率 | 5.0% | 8.6% | 19% |
| Shareholder yield股东综合回报率 | 4.4% | 4.3% | 51% |
Relative strength相对强度
vs market, 1 month相对大盘（1个月）
73/100 — stronger than most强于多数
vs market, 3 months相对大盘（3个月）
69/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 6 months相对大盘（6个月）
51/100 — middle of the pack居中
vs market, 12 months相对大盘（12个月）
68/100 — middle of the pack居中
Rank in sector行业内排名
#44 / 192
0–100 percentile of total return vs all covered stocks.总回报在全部覆盖股票中的百分位（0–100）。
Price history价格历史
| Period周期 | This stock本股 | S&P 500标普500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Week近1周 | +3.4% | -0.9% |
| 1 Month近1月 | -1.2% | -0.6% |
| 3 Months近3月 | +10.4% | +5.4% |
| 6 Months近6月 | +4.0% | +8.6% |
| Year to date年初至今 | +19.7% | +8.9% |
| 1 Year近1年 | +32.5% | +19.2% |
Trading information交易信息
Beta vs market贝塔
1.24
Volatility rank波动率分位
9th pctile
Short interest空头占比
5.4% of float
Market cap市值
$27B
EPS (trailing)每股收益
$9.16
Off 52-week high距52周高点
-6.7%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Financials — full detail财务数据 — 完整明细
Multi-year record多年财务记录
| 20202020 | 20212021 | 20222022 | 20232023 | 20242024 | 20252025 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue营业收入 | $6.8B | $8.2B | $8.7B | $7.8B | $7.7B | $7.8B |
| EPS每股收益 | $8.61 | $14.75 | $16.32 | $14.55 | $8.79 | $8.84 |
| Free cash flow自由现金流 | $1.1B | $1.1B | $699M | $1.5B | $1.1B | $1.1B |
| Gross margin毛利率 | 38.9% | 44.0% | 42.4% | 42.6% | 46.5% | 46.2% |
| Net margin净利率 | 10.0% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 13.9% |
| FCF margin自由现金流利润率 | 16.3% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 19.2% | 14.8% | 13.5% |
Latest fiscal year最近财年
Revenue (FY)营业收入（财年）
$7.8B
Gross profit毛利润
$3.6B
Net income净利润
$1.1B
Operating cash flow经营现金流
$1.3B
Total assets总资产
$5.4B
Shareholder equity股东权益
$2.1B
Dividends paid股息支出
$316M
Buybacks股票回购
$854M
Shares outstanding总股本
0.12B
Returns & growth回报与增长
Return on equity股本回报率
52.2%
Return on assets资产回报率
20.1%
Profit growth利润增速
-3.3%
Asset growth资产增速
+2.1%
Accounting quality checks会计质量检查
- Earnings quality: accruals trending up over 6 fiscal years — earnings increasingly not cash-backed盈利质量：应计利润在 6 个财年间走高——盈利的现金支撑减弱
- Working capital: inventory +45% vs sales +15% — inventory building, demand risk营运资本：存货 +45% 对销售 +15%——存货积压，需求风险
- Pricing power: gross margin +7.3pts over 6 years定价能力：毛利率 6 年上升 7.3 个百分点
- Capital discipline: share count +55.6% over 6 years (dilution)资本纪律：股本 6 年增加 55.6%（稀释）
- Balance sheet: Altman Z 7.64 — safe zone资产负债表：Altman Z 7.64——安全区
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Technicals — full detail技术面 — 完整明细
Indicator readings指标读数
RSI (14-day)RSI（14日）
53
RSI (2-day)RSI（2日）
31
vs 20-day average相对20日均线
-1.4%
vs 50-day average相对50日均线
+6.7%
vs 200-day average相对200日均线
+14.0%
Golden cross (50>200)金叉（50>200）
in effect生效中
MACDMACD
below signal位于信号线下方
Timeframe alignment多周期共振
Daily日线
momentum down — turning up soon动能向下——接近转强
3-day3日线
momentum up动能向上
Weekly周线
momentum up动能向上
When daily through monthly point the same way, moves carry further.当日线到月线方向一致时，行情往往更有延续性。
Volatility regime波动状态
Range width percentile波幅宽度分位
47/100
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Earnings — full detail财务业绩 — 完整明细
Estimate revisions预期修正
Analysts covering覆盖分析师
11
Estimate direction预期调整方向
mixed分歧
Estimate change, 90 days预期变化（90天）
+0.8%
Net upgrades, 30 days净上调（30天）
+5
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Options — full detail期权持仓 — 完整明细
Dealer positioning map做市商持仓地图
Call wall看涨期权墙
$240
Put wall看跌期权墙
$220
Gamma flip伽玛翻转位
$218
Upside magnet上方磁吸位
$230
Downside magnet下方磁吸位
$220
Net dealer gamma做市商净伽玛
+$0.0B
Distance to flip距翻转位
+4.4%
Walls and magnets are strikes with heavy open interest — price often slows or gravitates there.期权墙与磁吸位是未平仓集中的行权价 — 价格常在附近减速或被吸引。
Volatility pricing波动率定价
Implied volatility (30d)隐含波动率（30天）
0%
25-delta risk reversal25-delta风险逆转
-3.7%
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。
Ownership — full detail持仓 — 完整明细
Insiders & shorts内部人与空头
Insider net buying (6 months)内部人净买入（6个月）
-$22.4M
Insider buyers vs sellers内部人买家vs卖家
0 : 3
Short interest空头占流通盘
5.4%
Days to cover回补天数
4.3
Short interest change空头变化
-11.9%
Recent fund flows近期基金流向
SPDR S&P HomebuildersSPDR S&P Homebuilders
trimming减持
Research context only — refreshed nightly. Not investment advice.仅供研究参考 — 每晚更新，不构成投资建议。